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汽车帮热评:从两场采访 看小鹏2026年信心和决心
【从汽车公司向全球化具身智能企业转型】 这次新品发布会虽然聚焦地面车型,但结合之前的战略规划就能发现,小鹏的雄心远不止于此。2026年 第二季度,飞行汽车"陆地航母"就要量产交付,目前已经收获了近4000台订单;人形机器人IRON也将 启动规模量产,60%的技术都复用自汽车业务。而海外市场方面,马来西亚本地化生产基地今年就要量 产,年产能5万辆,重点服务东盟右舵市场,欧洲还要再进入10个新国家,目标是2027年跻身全球新能 源出口前三。 说到底,何小鹏的赌局,赌的是小鹏的技术底气,更是2026年的发展成色。 从新品发布会的产品布局,到AI智驾的生死竞速,再到全球化和具身智能的多线布局,小鹏2026年的 路线已经非常清晰:以智驾技术为尖刀,以全价格带产品为载体,以全球化和具身智能为增量,最终实 现从"智能汽车制造商"到"全球AI汽车公司"的跨越。 距离赌约到期还有8个月,金门大桥会不会出现特 殊的"奔跑者",硅谷能不能迎来中国风味食堂,其实都指向同一个问题——小鹏的技术路线能不能跑 通。 何小鹏敢把赌注压在刘先明身上,绝非盲目自信。要知道刘先明可是带着Cruise端到端研发经验加入小 鹏的,还主导了720亿参数 ...
【新能源】2025年11月新能源汽车行业月报
乘联分会· 2026-01-09 08:11
点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共 1349 字,阅读全文约需 4 分钟 销量表现 01 乘用车市场整体表现 11月,乘用车市场销量为203.0万辆,同比下降16.1%,环比下降3.5%;新能源市场销量 约为121.9万辆,同比下降1.9%,环比上升2.5%。 11月,新能源市场的销量占总体乘用车销量的60.0%,较上月增加3.5%,相比去年同期 上涨8.7%。 新能源市场整体表现 新能源乘用车市场销量TOP10城市 11月,纯电动销量约77.0万辆,同比上涨2.3%,环比上涨0.8%;插电混动销量约44.9万 辆,同比下降8.5%,环比上涨5.5%。 2025年新能源累计销量1104.2万辆,累计同比上涨16.8%。 11月,TOP 10城市销量占比为27.2%,比上月(26.1%)增加1.1%;TOP 3城市分别是:上 海市、广州市、北京市。 分燃料类型看,TOP 10 城市除西安外销量均以纯电动居多;从产权归属看,以个人用户 居多。 本月TOP 10城市除成都市(59.8%)外新能源渗透率均超过60%,TOP3城市为:深圳市 (72.3%)、杭州市(70.4%)和上海市(69.9%)。 纯电动细 ...
东北证券:首予小鹏汽车-W“买入”评级 战略转型“物理AI”公司
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 02:39
东北证券发布研报称,首次覆盖,给予小鹏汽车-W(09868)"买入"评级,小鹏汽车2025年第三季度交付 量、营收与综合毛利率均创新高,公司通过推出"纯电+增程"双能策略及多款新车型开启强势产品周 期。同时,小鹏加速向"物理AI"转型,发布VLA 2.0大模型、前装量产Robotaxi及人形机器人IRON,推 动智能驾驶与具身智能技术的研发与商业化落地。 东北证券主要观点如下: 2025Q3交付量与综合毛利均创新高 在2025年科技日上,公司清晰地展示了其向"物理AI"公司转型的决心和具体路径。 核心技术VLA2.0:发布第二代视觉-语言-行动(VLA)大模型,通过砍掉语言转译环节,实现从视觉到动 作的直接映射,推理效率提升12倍。该模型在复杂小路场景的平均接管里程提升13倍。VLA 2.0计划于 2026Q1在Ultra车型上全量推送,并有望技术外溢至机器人等其他具身智能领域。 Robotaxi商业化:公司发布了中国首款全栈自研的前装量产Robotaxi,计划于2026年推出3款车型,并在 2026H2开始试运营。虽然在运营经验上与行业头部尚有差距,但凭借前装量产能力和创新的"全共享 +私享"商业模式,有望 ...
东北证券:首予小鹏汽车-W(09868)“买入”评级 战略转型“物理AI”公司
智通财经网· 2026-01-07 02:36
在2025年科技日上,公司清晰地展示了其向"物理AI"公司转型的决心和具体路径。 核心技术VLA2.0:发布第二代视觉-语言-行动(VLA)大模型,通过砍掉语言转译环节,实现从视觉到动 作的直接映射,推理效率提升12倍。该模型在复杂小路场景的平均接管里程提升13倍。VLA 2.0计划于 2026Q1在Ultra车型上全量推送,并有望技术外溢至机器人等其他具身智能领域。 Robotaxi商业化:公司发布了中国首款全栈自研的前装量产Robotaxi,计划于2026年推出3款车型,并在 2026H2开始试运营。虽然在运营经验上与行业头部尚有差距,但凭借前装量产能力和创新的"全共享 +私享"商业模式,有望在千亿级出行市场中占据一席之地。 智通财经APP获悉,东北证券发布研报称,首次覆盖,给予小鹏汽车-W(09868)"买入"评级,小鹏汽车 2025年第三季度交付量、营收与综合毛利率均创新高,公司通过推出"纯电+增程"双能策略及多款新车 型开启强势产品周期。同时,小鹏加速向"物理AI"转型,发布VLA 2.0大模型、前装量产Robotaxi及人 形机器人IRON,推动智能驾驶与具身智能技术的研发与商业化落地。 东北证券 ...
从造车到造未来:汽车产业迎接智融时代
从汽车到机器人,从地面到低空,汽车产业链正在撑起智能新赛道。 广州黄埔,广汽高域的飞行汽车工厂灯火通明,多旋翼飞行汽车GOVY AirCab进入生产倒计时;数千 公里外的安徽芜湖,在奇瑞汽车墨甲机器人总部园区,120台黑白机器狗Argos整齐列队等待交付;在深 圳的小鹏实验室里,工程师正为全新一代人形机器人IRON做最后的细节调校…… 上海证券报记者在多地调研发现,2025年,从头部主机厂到零部件企业,汽车产业正在加速跨界,走 出"车"的边界。 "十五五"规划建议提出,前瞻布局未来产业。对此,业内专家表示,中国汽车产业链企业要在这场智能 化转型浪潮中脱颖而出,真正的机会在于跨越"剩下的15%",通过接续发力具身智能、低空经济、商业 航天等重点领域,超前谋划具身智能等前沿赛道,实现发展动能的持续转换,迎来产业的"智融时代"。 汽车产业链撑起智能新赛道 12月8日,地平线发布两大具身智能开源模型。其中,具身智能小脑基础模型HoloMotion专注于运动智 能,旨在让机器人"学会像人一样行动",具身智能大脑基础模型HoloBrain则赋予机器人拟人的空间感 知与细腻操作能力。 "如果说自动驾驶是快要'交卷'的考试, ...
新产业造富记:富豪榜里的三个广东老板
何小鹏 图/21世纪经济报道 记者丨郭莎 编辑丨蒋韵 11月17日,小鹏汽车交出了一份靓丽的三季度财报。数据显示,2025年第三季度小鹏汽车营收203.8亿 元,首次实现单季度营收突破200亿元大关,较去年同期上升101.8%,环比增长11.5%。该公司销售规 模继续扩大,三季度汽车总交付量为11.6万辆,同比大幅增长149.3%。 今年以来,小鹏汽车的节节攀升有目共睹。在近期发布的《2025胡润百富榜》上,小鹏汽车董事长、 CEO何小鹏排名114位,财富达到480亿元,涨幅达到50%。在榜单上,同样来自广东的胜宏科技陈涛 与影石创新刘靖康也十分醒目,财富在今年都得到了大幅提升,上述三位企业家,身家合计超过千亿 元。 他们中,有人以技术破局,用一台全景相机打开全球市场;有人数十年深耕,在AI浪潮中成为关键环 节;有人跨界布局,从新能源车到飞行汽车再到机器人,不断拓展未来产业的边界。 而在个人叙事之外,更大的图景正在展开。这背后,正是广东在经历的新产业变局,同时,也是从"制 造大省"向"智造强省"的跃升。 11月5日,小鹏汽车全新一代人形机器人IRON以其高度拟真的外观和流畅的"猫步"动作,引发全网关 注,甚至 ...
新产业造富记:富豪榜里的三个广东老板
21世纪经济报道· 2025-12-27 01:10
记者丨郭莎 编辑丨蒋韵 11月17日,小鹏汽车交出了一份靓丽的三季度财报。数据显示,2025年第三季度小鹏汽车营收203.8亿元,首次实现单季度营收突破200亿元大 关,较去年同期上升101.8%,环比增长11.5%。该公司销售规模继续扩大,三季度汽车总交付量为11.6万辆,同比大幅增长149.3%。 今年以来,小鹏汽车的节节攀升有目共睹。 在近期发布的《2025胡润百富榜》上,小鹏汽车董事长、CEO何小鹏排名114位,财富达到480亿 元,涨幅达到50%。在榜单上,同样来自广东的胜宏科技陈涛与影石创新刘靖康也十分醒目,财富在今年都得到了大幅提升,上 述三位企业 家,身家合计超过千亿元。 他们中,有人以技术破局,用一台全景相机打开全球市场;有人数十年深耕,在AI浪潮中成为关键环节;有人跨界布局,从新能源车到飞行汽 车再到机器人,不断拓展未来产业的边界。 而在个人叙事之外,更大的图景正在展开。这背后, 正是广东在经历的新产业变局,同时,也是从"制造大省"向"智造强省"的跃升。 何小鹏 图/21世纪经济报道 榜单里的造富故事 富豪榜上一长串庞大的数字,不仅仅象征着身家和财富,更是一家企业从无到有、逐步壮大的传奇故 ...
跨越15%——从造车到造“未来”:汽车产业迎接“智融时代”
Core Insights - The automotive industry is rapidly expanding beyond traditional vehicle manufacturing into new domains such as robotics and low-altitude aviation, driven by technological innovation and cross-industry collaboration [10][11][12] Group 1: Industry Trends - The automotive sector is witnessing a shift towards "intelligent integration," with companies exploring opportunities in embodied intelligence, low-altitude economy, and commercial aerospace [10][11] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for forward-looking strategies in emerging industries, indicating a significant transformation in the automotive landscape [10][11] - Companies like Chery and GAC are developing products such as the Argos robotic dog and GOVY AirCab flying car, showcasing the industry's commitment to innovation [10][11][12] Group 2: Technological Advancements - The Argos robotic dog features advanced capabilities, including 13 degrees of freedom and a maximum load of 5 kg, enabling it to navigate complex terrains and enhance safety management [11][12] - Horizon Robotics has captured a 9.4% market share in China's automotive intelligent driving chip market, indicating the growing importance of AI in the automotive sector [12] - The development of flying cars, such as the "陆地航母" by XPeng, represents a significant milestone in the integration of automotive and aerospace technologies [13][14] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The automotive industry's extensive supply chain and manufacturing capabilities are facilitating the transition into robotics and low-altitude aviation, creating new market opportunities [15][16] - The cost of key components, such as LiDAR, has significantly decreased due to automotive industry advancements, making them more accessible for robotics applications [19][20] - The emergence of new business models and investment strategies is reshaping the competitive landscape, with companies actively seeking to extend their industrial boundaries [21][22] Group 4: Future Outlook - The automotive industry is expected to evolve into a key player in the AI-driven economy, with companies increasingly emphasizing their AI capabilities [23][24] - The integration of vehicles into smart city ecosystems is anticipated to redefine the role of automobiles, transforming them into energy storage and computing units [27] - The future of the automotive sector is characterized by a focus on quality and global competitiveness, moving away from mere scale [26]
国内第三家!小鹏拿下L3自动驾驶路测牌照,与特斯拉FSD较量升级
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-12-16 08:55
Core Insights - Xiaopeng Motors has become the third domestic company to obtain an L3 autonomous driving road test license in China, marking a significant step towards commercial application of L3 autonomous driving technology [2][3] Group 1: License Acquisition and Testing - On December 16, Xiaopeng Motors announced it has received an L3 autonomous driving road test license in Guangzhou, enabling regular L3 road testing on designated high-speed roads [2][3] - The L3 license allows vehicles to operate independently in specific environments, contrasting with L2, which requires constant driver supervision [3] - Xiaopeng Motors is now positioned alongside Changan and BYD, who have also received similar testing qualifications [3] Group 2: Technological Advancements - Xiaopeng Motors aims for L4 level autonomous driving, with plans to launch vehicles equipped with L4 capabilities by 2026 [4] - The second-generation VLA software, expected to be mass-produced in Q1 2026, will feature a novel architecture that eliminates the "language translation" step, allowing direct generation of action commands from visual signals [4] - From Q3 2025, Xiaopeng's Ultra models will incorporate three self-developed Turing AI chips, achieving a computing power of 2250 TOPS [4] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The competition between Xiaopeng and Tesla is intensifying, with Xiaopeng's founder, He Xiaopeng, publicly challenging Tesla's FSD capabilities [5][6] - He Xiaopeng has acknowledged that while the first version of Xiaopeng's VLA does not fully match Tesla's FSD V14.2, the upcoming VLA 2.0 is expected to significantly improve performance [6] Group 4: Market Outlook - The next decade is anticipated to be pivotal for L3 autonomous vehicles, with expectations of broader L4 applications [7] - The penetration rate of advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) is projected to exceed 40% by 2026, driven by the increasing adoption of high-end domestic chips [7] - As of the first nine months of 2025, the penetration rate for L2++ and above advanced driving assistance systems reached 25.01% [7]
四季度盈利概率99.999%!从血海里游出来的小鹏,靠增程翻身了?
电动车公社· 2025-11-29 16:04
Core Insights - Xiaopeng Motors is experiencing a series of positive developments, including the introduction of a humanoid robot and record-high third-quarter financial results, aiming for profitability in the fourth quarter [1][3][4] - The company is transitioning from a pure automotive focus to a broader technology-driven approach, emphasizing AI and autonomous driving [3][30] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Xiaopeng Motors reported total revenue of 20.38 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 100% [4] - The company has set a delivery guidance of 125,000 to 132,000 units for Q4, indicating confidence in maintaining a monthly delivery level of 42,000 units [7] - The gross margin for Q3 reached a historic high of 20.1%, surpassing Tesla's 18%, although the automotive business gross margin remains at 13.1% [23][24] Product Strategy - Xiaopeng introduced its first super-extended range model, the X9, which achieved record pre-sale orders, particularly in northern regions [10][11] - The company plans to launch three extended range versions of existing electric models in Q1 2026, aiming to boost sales and profitability [12][14] - The extended range models are designed with a large battery and fuel tank to maximize user convenience and address regional sales challenges [17][20] Technological Advancements - Xiaopeng's R&D expenses have significantly increased, reaching 2.43 billion yuan in Q3, a 48.7% rise from the previous year, focusing on electronic architecture and AI technology [28] - The company is leveraging its technology sales, generating 2.33 billion yuan in revenue with a profit margin of 74.6%, primarily from collaborations with Volkswagen [25][27] - Xiaopeng's second-generation VLA model is expected to revolutionize its software capabilities, applicable across various intelligent hardware, including autonomous vehicles and humanoid robots [34][36] Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about achieving profitability in Q4, with a high probability of success, and anticipates improvements in automotive gross margins thereafter [30] - Xiaopeng's long-term vision includes significant growth in the humanoid robot market, projecting sales to exceed 1 million units by 2030 [36][40] - The competitive landscape in the automotive market is expected to intensify in 2026, prompting Xiaopeng to focus on technological advancements to secure its future [40]