截至9月30日，盛路通信股东户数6.76万，较上期减少13.92%；人均流通股12534股，较上期增加 16.18%。2025年1月-9月，盛路通信实现营业收入9.42亿元，同比增长13.03%；归母净利润8407.21万 元，同比增长26.49%。 分红方面，盛路通信A股上市后累计派现1.09亿元。近三年，累计派现0.00元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，盛路通信十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第一大流 通股东，持股2578.26万股，相比上期增加1484.97万股。广发聚丰混合A（270005）位居第六大流通股 东，持股713.59万股，相比上期减少143.09万股。广发优势成长股票A（011425）位居第八大流通股 东，持股368.05万股，为新进股东。前海开源公用事业股票（005669）、前海开源新经济混合A （000689）退出十大流通股东之列。 11月11日，盛路通信跌2.00%，成交额4.05亿元。两融数据显示，当日盛路通信获融资买入额4713.38万 元，融资偿还5186.68万元，融资净买入-473.30万元。截至11月11日，盛路通信融资融券余额合计5.14 亿元。 融 ...

行 业 研 究 / 国 防 军 工 / 证 券 研 究 报 告 国防军工行业专题研究 2025Q3 基金持仓超配比例近 5 年新 低，配置比例有望触底反弹 2025 年 11 月 11 日 挖掘价值 投资成长 强于大市（维持） 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：张凯 证书编号：S1160525050002 证券分析师：刘帅 证书编号：S1160525090002 【投资要点】 【配置建议】 我们认为，随着"十五五"规划方向的逐步明晰与落地实施，国防装 备行业有望进入新一轮订单驱动下的放量周期，同时军工板块亦将迎 来业绩复苏和估值重塑的新阶段。以军机、航发为牵引的航空装备依 旧是军工板块的中坚力量，以智能技术、无人装备和体系融合为特征 的新域新质方向有望成为"十五五"国防建设的核心增量，军贸将对 我国军工产业天花板的提供持续动能。 建议关注： 相对指数表现 -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 2024/11 2025/5 2025/11 国防军工 沪深300 相关研究 《扶摇直上九万里——如箭在弦的低成本 运载火箭助力星座基建加速》 2025.11.04 《商业航天高密度发射加速，应用百花齐 放可 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Industrial Securities highlights significant volatility in global risk assets due to concerns over tightening overseas liquidity and discussions surrounding an "AI bubble" [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - Global risk assets have experienced substantial fluctuations this week, influenced by a lack of economic data, frequent hawkish statements from the Federal Reserve, and rising liquidity pressures in the money market due to government shutdown and fiscal constraints [1] - The strong dollar has suppressed global stock markets and commodity prices, with technology-heavy indices like Nikkei 225, Korean stock index, and Nasdaq leading the decline [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - The probability of overseas liquidity tightening evolving into systemic risk is low, as solutions from the Federal Reserve and bipartisan negotiations to reopen the government are progressing, which may gradually alleviate external disturbances on risk appetite [2] - If the U.S. government shutdown ends as expected in mid-November and more economic data is released, market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts will be recalibrated, potentially creating a window for global recovery [3] Group 3: AI Industry Analysis - The current discussions around the "AI bubble" have caused some disturbances in the domestic AI industry chain, but Industrial Securities believes that AI's empowerment of traditional industries is still in its early stages, making it incomparable to the internet bubble of 1999-2000 [4] - The development logic of the AI industry is clear, with major global tech companies continuously defining their AI strategies, and the fundamentals of leading companies in the U.S. stock market remain strong due to ongoing R&D investments and capital expenditures [4] Group 4: Investment Strategies - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes AI as a key driver for national competition and technological innovation, indicating that the AI industry chain will be a focus area with favorable prospects next year [5] - The year-end market is seen as an important window for positioning in sectors expected to perform well in the coming year, with a focus on cyclical sectors such as steel, chemicals, construction materials, and new consumption [6][7] - High-growth sectors expected to see net profit growth of over 30% next year include AI hardware, new energy, and military industries, while sectors with expected growth of 10%-30% include pharmaceuticals and AI downstream applications [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a recovery in the military industry, particularly in missile and military electronics sectors, suggesting a positive investment outlook for the industry [1][3]. Core Insights - The military industry is actively preparing for production in the first half of 2025, with revenue recovery observed in Q2. The electronic information sector is experiencing alleviated pricing pressures, while the aviation sector is expected to accelerate deliveries in the second half of the year [3][4][14]. - The overall revenue for the military industry in the first half of 2025 was 227.8 billion, a decrease of 6.7% year-on-year, but a recovery of 3.3% in Q2 compared to the previous quarter [6][7]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 was 14.3 billion, down 28.0% year-on-year, but showing a significant recovery of 84.5% in Q2 compared to Q1 [6][7]. Summary by Sections Overall Industry Performance - The military industry is seeing a significant increase in contract liabilities compared to the beginning of the year, indicating a recovery in the upstream revenue sector in Q2 2025 [11][27]. - The first half of 2025 saw a gross margin of 22.1%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 6.3%, down 1.9 percentage points year-on-year [6][19]. Segment Performance - In the electronic information sector, revenue reached 38.2 billion, with an 8.7% year-on-year increase, while net profit was 2.93 billion, down 2.1% year-on-year [16][19]. - The aviation sector reported revenue of 146.9 billion, a decrease of 12.9% year-on-year, with net profit down 33.4% [16][19]. - The weaponry sector showed a revenue increase of 26.0% year-on-year, with net profit down 6.4% [16][19]. Industry Chain Insights - The downstream sector's contract liabilities increased significantly, reflecting a recovery in the upstream revenue sector in Q2 2025 [27][34]. - The gross margin for the upstream sector was 34.9%, down 2.9 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 12.8%, down 3.9 percentage points [29][30].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the military industry, indicating a recovery in the sector with a recommendation to focus on military trade, new combat capabilities, consumable ammunition, and military electronics as key investment themes [2][3]. Core Insights - The military industry showed signs of recovery in H1 2025, with revenues reaching 227.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.7%, and a net profit of 14.3 billion yuan, down 28.0% year-on-year. The second quarter of 2025 saw revenues of 140.2 billion yuan, an increase of 3.3% year-on-year, and a net profit of 9.3 billion yuan, down 23.4% year-on-year [2][7]. - The aerospace sector experienced a revenue decline of 12.9% in H1 2025, while the weaponry sector saw a revenue increase of 26.0%. The missile and military electronics sectors showed significant improvement, with military electronics revenues in Q2 2025 reaching 17.9 billion yuan, up 18.8% year-on-year [2][3][17]. - The report emphasizes that 2025 is a critical year for the military industry, driven by multiple factors including the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan and the beginning of the 15th Five-Year Plan, as well as a global arms race, which may lead to a revaluation of military assets in China [2][3]. Summary by Sections Overall Industry Performance - In H1 2025, the military industry actively prepared for production, with Q2 revenues showing recovery. The electronic information sector faced reduced pricing pressure, while the aerospace sector is expected to accelerate deliveries in the second half of the year [3][26]. - The downstream contract liabilities increased significantly compared to the beginning of the year, indicating a recovery in the upstream revenue sector in Q2 2025 [3][26]. Key Segments Performance - The electronic information sector reported revenues of 38.2 billion yuan in H1 2025, up 8.7% year-on-year, while the aerospace sector's revenues were 146.9 billion yuan, down 12.9% year-on-year. The weaponry sector's revenues increased by 26.0% [17][20]. - The report highlights that the missile industry chain's revenues in Q2 2025 reached 5.2 billion yuan, up 21.5% year-on-year, indicating a narrowing decline in net profit [2][3][17]. Financial Metrics - The overall gross margin for the military industry in H1 2025 was 22.1%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 6.3%, down 1.9 percentage points year-on-year [7][20]. - The report provides detailed financial metrics for various segments, indicating that the electronic information sector had a gross margin of 42.6% in H1 2025, while the aerospace sector had a gross margin of 17.6% [20][28].

每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——"我们也深陷残酷价格战"！德资巨头中国区高管警告：智驾绝不能免费， 否则会给全行业带来灾难 （记者 胡玲） 每经AI快讯，盛路通信（SZ 002446，收盘价：7.43元）8月4日晚间发布公告称，截至2025年7月31日， 公司通过回购专用证券账户以集中竞价交易方式累计回购公司股份100万股，占公司目前总股本的比例 为0.11%，最高成交价为7.36元/股，最低成交价为7.2元/股，成交总金额约为726万元。 2024年1至12月份，盛路通信的营业收入构成为：通信设备占比56.73%，军工电子占比43.27%。 截至发稿，盛路通信市值为68亿元。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the military-civilian integration enterprises is "Accumulate" [2]. Core Insights - The military-civilian integration enterprises have experienced significant growth, with the number of listed companies increasing from 25 in 2014 to 143 in 2024, representing a rise in market share from 37% to 59% within the military industry [1][2]. - The industry is currently facing a phase of adjustment, leading to decreased confidence among entrepreneurs and capital investors, necessitating a reflective approach for these enterprises to learn from past experiences [1][2]. - The military-civilian integration enterprises primarily operate in the upstream of the supply chain, focusing on supporting roles such as military electronics, component processing, and military information technology [2][30]. Summary by Sections 1. Current Status and Characteristics of Military-Civilian Integration Enterprises - The number of military-civilian integration enterprises is increasing significantly, with a growing market share due to the establishment of a "small core, large collaboration" system and lowered entry barriers [1][2]. - These enterprises are generally smaller in scale compared to state-owned military enterprises, leading to greater survival pressure [2]. - The enterprises are concentrated in regions such as Beijing, Sichuan, Guangdong, and the Yangtze River Delta, showcasing a clear regional clustering effect [2][31]. 2. Challenges and Pressures Faced by Military-Civilian Integration Enterprises - The military industry is undergoing a temporary adjustment, resulting in uncertainty in demand and insufficient orders for military-civilian integration enterprises [7][38]. - Following a period of capacity expansion, the efficiency and effectiveness of these enterprises have not improved, leading to increased competition [8][45]. - The enterprises face significant pricing pressures due to their weak bargaining power in a highly competitive market [8][51]. 3. Paths to Military-Civilian Integration - There are three main paths for enterprises to engage in military-civilian integration: entering the military sector at inception, gradually entering after establishment, or through mergers and acquisitions of military enterprises [10][11]. 4. Development Paths for Military-Civilian Integration - The choice of business sectors and expansion strategies is crucial for the growth of military-civilian integration enterprises, with a focus on high-tech materials and electronic components being common [11][12]. 5. Experiences and Considerations for Military-Civilian Integration - Successful military-civilian integration enterprises have demonstrated the ability to accurately grasp military needs, diversify their operations, and maintain flexible management mechanisms [12][13]. - Caution is advised against aggressive expansion and over-reliance on channel resources, as these can lead to operational difficulties [13][14]. 6. Opportunities and Challenges in the "15th Five-Year Plan" - The "15th Five-Year Plan" presents opportunities for military-civilian integration enterprises to expand their business scale and explore new markets, such as low-altitude economy and commercial aerospace [14][15].