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毛戈平(01318):25年净利润同比增长37%护肤、彩妆双轮驱动营收增长
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-03-31 10:21
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The company achieved a net profit growth of 37% year-on-year in 2025, driven by both skincare and makeup segments [5][8] - The total revenue for 2025 was 5.05 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 30.01% [8] - The company maintains a gross margin of 84.22%, which is relatively stable compared to the previous year [8] Financial Performance - Revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: - 2026: 6.49 billion RMB (growth of 28.5%) - 2027: 8.19 billion RMB (growth of 26.3%) - 2028: 9.83 billion RMB (growth of 20.0%) [7] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2026: 1.56 billion RMB (growth of 29.9%) - 2027: 2.01 billion RMB (growth of 28.5%) - 2028: 2.47 billion RMB (growth of 22.9%) [7] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 3.19 RMB in 2026, 4.10 RMB in 2027, and 5.04 RMB in 2028 [7] Business Segments - Skincare revenue in 2025 was 1.87 billion RMB, up 31.1% year-on-year, with key products contributing significantly [8] - Makeup revenue reached 3.00 billion RMB, also reflecting a 30.0% increase year-on-year, with several products achieving over 1 billion RMB in retail sales [8] - The company is expanding its high-end department store channels and has a total of 445 self-operated counters [8] Market Position - The company has been recognized as the top domestic makeup brand during major shopping festivals on platforms like Douyin [8] - The brand is enhancing its high-end positioning with new fragrance products, contributing additional revenue [8] Profitability and Cost Management - The company’s net profit margin improved to 23.9%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The sales expense ratio decreased to 48.3%, indicating effective cost management and scale effects [8]
毛戈平(01318):高端美妆壁垒稳固,全链路效率持续优化
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [8]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong financial performance, with 2025 revenue reaching 5.05 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 30%, and net profit of 1.205 billion RMB, up 36.8% [8]. - The company's gross margin stands at 84.22%, with a net profit margin of 23.87%, significantly exceeding industry averages, showcasing its robust profitability [8]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its product categories, with significant growth in both makeup and skincare segments, and has recently entered the fragrance market, indicating a comprehensive product strategy [8]. - The company is expanding its high-end market presence, with a balanced approach between online and offline sales channels, and plans to enhance its store coverage in high-tier cities and explore international markets [8]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Projected revenue growth from 2024 to 2028 is as follows: 3.885 billion RMB in 2024, 5.050 billion RMB in 2025, 6.575 billion RMB in 2026, 8.189 billion RMB in 2027, and 10.199 billion RMB in 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 25% [7][9]. - The forecasted net profit for the same period is expected to be 881 million RMB in 2024, 1.205 billion RMB in 2025, 1.560 billion RMB in 2026, 1.954 billion RMB in 2027, and 2.289 billion RMB in 2028, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [7][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 2.18 RMB in 2024 to 4.67 RMB in 2028, indicating a solid return for shareholders [7].
毛戈平(01318):多品类全渠道同步增长,彰显可持续成长潜力
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2026-03-30 07:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future stock performance [4][6][17]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 5.05 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.0%, with a net profit of 1.20 billion yuan, up 36.7% year-on-year [1][11]. - The company is recognized as a rare high-end domestic beauty brand with strong brand and product recognition among consumers, indicating significant potential for continued growth in the domestic market [4][16][17]. - The company is actively expanding into the fragrance segment and gradually entering international markets, further enhancing its growth prospects [4][16][17]. Revenue Breakdown - Makeup revenue reached 3.00 billion yuan, accounting for 59.3% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 30.0%. The average price per item was 176.4 yuan, with sales volume increasing by 30.9% to 16.99 million units [2][12]. - Skincare revenue was 1.87 billion yuan, representing 37.1% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 31.1%. The average price per item was 328.3 yuan, with sales volume increasing by 24.6% to 5.71 million units [2][12]. - Fragrance revenue was 0.03 billion yuan, accounting for 0.7% of total revenue, with an average price per item of 309.5 yuan and sales volume of 1.09 million units [2][12]. Channel Performance - Offline channel revenue was 2.43 billion yuan, up 24.5% year-on-year, accounting for 49.5% of total revenue. The average revenue per self-operated counter was 5.60 million yuan, an increase of 16.7% year-on-year [3][13]. - Online channel revenue reached 2.48 billion yuan, growing by 38.8% year-on-year, and accounted for 50.5% of total revenue. Online direct sales were 1.94 billion yuan, up 36.1% year-on-year [3][13]. Financial Projections - The company expects revenues of 6.49 billion yuan, 8.29 billion yuan, and 10.59 billion yuan for 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.59 billion yuan, 2.04 billion yuan, and 2.58 billion yuan [4][5][17]. - The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2026, 2027, and 2028 are 20 times, 16 times, and 12 times, respectively [4][5][17].
毛戈平:量价齐升驱动高增,盈利韧性持续验证-20260329
Guoxin Securities· 2026-03-29 00:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3] Core Views - The company has demonstrated rapid growth, with projected revenue of 5.05 billion and a year-on-year increase of 30.0% for 2025, alongside a net profit of 1.205 billion, reflecting a 36.8% year-on-year growth [1][3] - The company is positioned as a rare high-end domestic beauty brand, leveraging its founder's strong professional IP and Eastern aesthetic to build a robust brand moat, distinguishing itself from the homogenized pricing competition in the domestic beauty market [3][5] - The company is expanding its high-value product categories while maintaining stable expense ratios due to efficient operations, leading to an upward revision of net profit forecasts for 2026-2028 [3][4] Revenue and Profitability - Revenue from the cosmetics segment reached 2.996 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 30.0%, while skincare revenue was 1.873 billion, growing by 31.1% [1][2] - Online sales generated 2.477 billion, reflecting a 38.8% increase, while offline sales reached 2.426 billion, with a 24.5% growth [2] - The company's gross margin and net margin for 2025 are projected at 84.2% and 23.9%, respectively, with slight year-on-year changes [2][4] Financial Forecasts - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 6.586 billion in 2026 and 8.404 billion in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 1.615 billion and 2.071 billion [4][13] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2026 and 2027 are 3.29 and 4.22, respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [4][13] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 29.8 in 2024 to 12.4 by 2028, reflecting improved valuation metrics over time [4][13]
毛戈平(01318):量价齐升驱动高增,盈利韧性持续验证
Guoxin Securities· 2026-03-28 14:34
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated rapid growth, achieving a revenue of 5.05 billion with a year-on-year increase of 30.0% and a net profit of 1.205 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 36.8% [1][3]. - The company is positioned as a rare high-end domestic beauty brand, leveraging its founder's strong professional IP and Eastern aesthetic to build a robust brand moat, avoiding price competition in the domestic beauty market [3][5]. - The company is expanding its high-value product categories while maintaining stable expense ratios due to efficient operations [3]. Financial Performance - Revenue by category shows that makeup generated 2.996 billion with a year-on-year increase of 30.0%, while skincare achieved 1.873 billion with a year-on-year increase of 31.1% [1]. - Online channels contributed 2.477 billion with a year-on-year increase of 38.8%, while offline channels generated 2.426 billion with a year-on-year increase of 24.5% [2]. - The gross profit margin for 2025 is projected at 84.2%, with a net profit margin of 23.9%, reflecting a slight decrease in gross margin but an improvement in net margin [2][4]. Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 6.586 billion in 2026 and 8.404 billion in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 1.615 billion and 2.071 billion respectively [4][13]. - The projected earnings per share for 2026 and 2027 are 3.29 and 4.22 respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [4][13]. - The price-to-earnings ratio is expected to decrease from 29.8 in 2024 to 12.4 by 2028, suggesting an attractive valuation over time [4][13].
毛戈平跻身50亿级国货,除了电商激增还有哪些看点?
FBeauty未来迹· 2026-03-28 09:36
Core Viewpoint - In 2025, the company achieved significant financial results with a revenue of 50.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 30%, and a net profit of 12.05 billion yuan, reflecting a 36.8% increase, indicating a healthy financial structure and strong risk resilience in a slowing industry environment [2][3]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue has more than doubled over the past five years, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 35%, and net profit increased nearly 2.6 times from 3.31 billion yuan in 2021 to 12.05 billion yuan in 2025 [5]. - The revenue and net profit figures for the past five years are as follows: - 2025: Revenue 50.5 billion yuan, Net Profit 12.05 billion yuan - 2024: Revenue 38.85 billion yuan, Net Profit 8.81 billion yuan - 2023: Revenue 28.86 billion yuan, Net Profit 6.63 billion yuan - 2022: Revenue 18.29 billion yuan, Net Profit 3.52 billion yuan - 2021: Revenue 15.77 billion yuan, Net Profit 3.31 billion yuan [7]. Business Structure - The core revenue is supported by two main segments: color cosmetics and skincare, with color cosmetics generating 29.96 billion yuan (59.3% of total revenue) and skincare contributing 18.73 billion yuan (37.1% of total revenue) in 2025 [9][10]. - The skincare segment has seen a significant increase in average selling price from 312.2 yuan per unit in 2024 to 328.3 yuan per unit in 2025, indicating a successful premiumization strategy [12]. Sales Channels - In 2025, online sales surpassed offline sales for the first time, with online revenue reaching 24.77 billion yuan (50.5% of total sales), a year-on-year growth of 38.8% [15]. - Offline sales also grew to 24.26 billion yuan, a 24.5% increase, with a focus on high-end retail experiences [16]. Customer Engagement - The overall repurchase rate increased from 30.9% to 33.3% in 2025, with offline member repurchase rates reaching 36.5% [18]. - The company’s strategy of integrating online and offline channels has created a closed-loop ecosystem that enhances customer retention and brand loyalty [20]. Brand Development and Cultural Strategy - The company has invested in brand culture and future strategies, emphasizing "Oriental aesthetics" through various collaborations and product lines, enhancing consumer experience and brand recognition [22][24]. - The brand's cultural marketing initiatives have successfully connected traditional culture with contemporary consumer experiences, contributing to increased customer loyalty and brand value [25]. Future Outlook - The company plans to continue expanding its presence in high-end markets, enhance product offerings in skincare and fragrance, and pursue international expansion starting from Hong Kong [26].
毛戈平(01318):业绩增长稳健,高端品牌势能持续强化
HUAXI Securities· 2026-03-27 14:33
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.05 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.01%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.20 billion yuan, up 36.73% [2] - The company has shown balanced growth in both makeup and skincare segments, with online and offline channels working synergistically [3] - The company continues to enhance its product lineup and brand presence, with a focus on high-end beauty products and expanding its market reach [6][8] Revenue Summary - In 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.05 billion yuan, with makeup revenue at 2.996 billion yuan (+30.04%) accounting for 59.33% of total revenue, and skincare revenue at 1.873 billion yuan (+31.08%) making up 37.08% [2][3] - The company launched new eye makeup products in 2025, which performed exceptionally well [3] - Offline revenue reached 2.426 billion yuan (+24.49%), while online revenue was 2.477 billion yuan (+38.83%), indicating strong growth in both channels [4] Profitability Summary - The company's gross margin for 2025 was 84.22%, with a net profit margin of 23.84%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.17 percentage points [5] - The company effectively managed its expenses, with a sales expense ratio of 48.28% and a management expense ratio of 5.33%, both showing a decrease compared to the previous year [5] Future Growth Prospects - The company is expected to continue expanding its product matrix and channel layout, with a strategic focus on overseas markets [6][7] - Revenue projections for 2026-2028 are estimated at 6.56 billion yuan, 8.27 billion yuan, and 10.14 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.58 billion yuan, 2.02 billion yuan, and 2.51 billion yuan [8][9]
毛戈平(01318):——毛戈平(1318.HK)2025年业绩点评:2025年业绩表现亮眼,多品类、多渠道协同发力
EBSCN· 2026-03-27 08:27
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1]. Core Insights - The company achieved impressive performance in 2025, with revenue and net profit increasing by 30.0% and 36.7% year-on-year, respectively. The total revenue reached 5.05 billion yuan, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.20 billion yuan, with an EPS of 2.46 yuan [5][9]. - The company continues to strengthen its positioning in the high-end beauty market, with significant growth across various product categories and sales channels [9]. Revenue Performance - In 2025, the company reported revenue of 5.05 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 30.0%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.20 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 36.7%. The basic EPS was 2.46 yuan, and the net profit margin improved to 23.8% [5][9]. - The revenue breakdown for the first and second halves of 2025 was 2.59 billion yuan and 2.46 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 31.3% and 28.7% [5]. Product Category Performance - The revenue contribution from major product categories in 2025 was as follows: makeup (59.3%), skincare (37.1%), fragrance (0.7%), and makeup artistry training (2.9%). Makeup and skincare categories saw revenue growth of 30.0% and 31.1%, respectively [6]. - The company launched new products in the eye makeup category, achieving retail sales exceeding 600 million yuan for the starry eyeshadow and 900 million yuan for the earth eyeshadow [9]. Sales Channel Performance - In 2025, online and offline sales channels contributed 50.5% and 49.5% to total revenue, with year-on-year growth of 38.8% and 24.5%, respectively. Online direct sales and sales through online distributors accounted for 39.7% and 10.8% of total revenue, with growth rates of 36.1% and 49.7% [7]. - The company expanded its offline presence, with a total of 412 self-operated counters and 33 distributor counters by the end of 2025, marking a net increase of 34 and 2 counters, respectively [7]. Financial Metrics - The gross margin for 2025 was 84.2%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year. The operating cash flow for the year was 1.20 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 23.8% [8][9]. - The company’s expense ratio decreased by 2.4 percentage points to 53.7%, with sales, management, and financial expense ratios at 48.3%, 5.3%, and 0.05%, respectively [8]. Future Earnings Forecast - The report projects net profits for 2026, 2027, and 2028 to be 1.58 billion yuan, 2.04 billion yuan, and 2.60 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.22 yuan, 4.16 yuan, and 5.30 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 19, 15, and 12 for the years 2026 to 2028 [9][10].
毛戈平(1318.HK):发布限制性股票激励计划 长期发展信心充足
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-17 03:53
Core Viewpoint - The company, Mao Ge Ping, has proposed a restricted stock incentive plan aimed at enhancing its long-term incentive mechanism and aligning the interests of shareholders, the company, and management to promote sustainable development [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 670 million yuan, up 36.1% year-on-year [1] - For the third quarter of 2025, sales on various platforms showed significant growth, with Taobao, Douyin, and JD platforms reporting year-on-year increases of 25.4%, 55.6%, and 45.7% respectively [1] Group 2: Sales Performance During Promotions - In October, during the "Double Eleven" promotional period, sales on Taobao, Douyin, and JD platforms grew by 60.5%, 39.8%, and 22.3% year-on-year [2] - The brand entered the top 20 in the beauty category on Tmall for the first time, ranking 20th, and secured the 1st position in the domestic makeup category on JD [2] - Several key products performed exceptionally well, with annual sales exceeding 200,000 for the Xiaojin Fan powder and over 100,000 for the Caviar Cushion Foundation and Caviar Mask [2] Group 3: Strategic Positioning and Future Outlook - The company is reinforcing its high-end beauty positioning, with strong growth in main categories and channels [2] - The product range is expanding into fragrances, with new series launched to enhance the product matrix [2] - The company maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of 1.21 billion, 1.58 billion, and 2.04 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 2.46, 3.22, and 4.16 yuan, and a "buy" rating is upheld [3]
【毛戈平(1318.HK)】发布限制性股票激励计划,长期发展信心充足——限制性股票激励计划点评(姜浩/孙未未/朱洁宇)
光大证券研究· 2025-11-16 23:03
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implementation of a restricted stock incentive plan by the company Mao Ge Ping, aimed at enhancing long-term incentive mechanisms and aligning the interests of shareholders, the company, and management [4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.59 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 31.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 670 million yuan, up 36.1% year-on-year [5]. - For the third quarter of 2025, sales on various platforms showed significant growth: Taobao increased by 25.4%, Douyin by 55.6%, and JD.com by 45.7% [5]. - During the "Double Eleven" sales event, sales continued to perform well, with Taobao, Douyin, and JD.com showing year-on-year growth of 60.5%, 39.8%, and 22.3% respectively [5]. Group 2: Market Position and Product Development - The company has strengthened its high-end beauty positioning, with significant growth in its main product categories and channels [6]. - The product range has expanded from makeup and skincare to include fragrances, with new series such as Guo Yun Ning Xiang and Wen Dao Dong Fang [6]. - The company has successfully entered high-end department stores, including Beijing SKP and Chongqing Xingguang 68, enhancing its offline presence [6]. Group 3: Sales Performance and Rankings - The company achieved notable rankings during the "Double Eleven" event, entering the top 20 in the beauty category on Tmall and ranking first in the domestic makeup category on JD.com [5]. - Several key products have performed exceptionally well, with annual sales exceeding 200,000 units for the Xiaojin Fan powder and over 100,000 units for the Caviar Cushion Foundation and Caviar Mask [5].