Core Viewpoint - Minsheng Securities maintains a "recommended" rating for Xiaomi Group-W (01810), projecting revenue and net profit growth from 2025 to 2027, driven by the successful launch of the Xiaomi 17 series and the introduction of customized automotive services [1][2] Group 1: Financial Projections - Expected revenue for Xiaomi from 2025 to 2027 is projected at 509.295 billion, 640.908 billion, and 749.653 billion yuan respectively [1] - Projected net profit for the same period is estimated at 44.441 billion, 64.047 billion, and 81.832 billion yuan respectively [1] Group 2: Product Launch and Features - Xiaomi launched the Xiaomi 17 series, Xiaomi Pad 8 series, and several other products including the Xiaomi TV SPro Mini LED 2026, Mijia Pro refrigerator, and Mijia Pro washing machine [1] - The Xiaomi 17 series features a starting price of 4,499 yuan, a new 6.3-inch OLED screen, and is powered by the fifth-generation Snapdragon 8 processor, with a 20% performance improvement over the previous generation [1] - The series includes a 7,000 mAh battery with 100W wired and 50W wireless fast charging capabilities [1] Group 3: Battery Technology - The Xiaomi 17 Pro and Xiaomi 17 Pro Max are priced starting at 4,999 and 5,999 yuan respectively, featuring a unique stacked battery technology [2] - All batteries in the series are designed for a five-year lifespan, maintaining over 80% capacity after 2,000 complete charge-discharge cycles [2]

Core Viewpoint - Minsheng Securities maintains a "recommended" rating for Xiaomi Group-W (01810), projecting revenue and net profit growth from 2025 to 2027, driven by the successful launch of the Xiaomi 17 series and the introduction of customized automotive services [1][2] Group 1: Financial Projections - Expected revenue for Xiaomi Group is projected to reach 509.30 billion, 640.91 billion, and 749.65 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] - Projected net profit for the same years is estimated at 44.44 billion, 64.05 billion, and 81.83 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Product Launch and Features - Xiaomi held an annual speech and product launch event on September 25, introducing the Xiaomi 17 series, Xiaomi Pad 8 series, and various other products including the Xiaomi TV SPro Mini LED 2026 and Mi Home appliances [1] - The Xiaomi 17 series features a starting price of 4,499 yuan, equipped with a new 6.3-inch OLED screen and the fifth-generation Snapdragon 8 processor, showing a 20% performance improvement over the previous generation [1] - The series also includes a 7,000 mAh battery with support for 100W wired and 50W wireless fast charging [1] Group 3: Battery Technology - The Xiaomi 17 Pro and Xiaomi 17 Pro Max are priced starting at 4,999 yuan and 5,999 yuan respectively, featuring a unique stacked battery technology [2] - All batteries in the series are designed for a five-year lifespan, maintaining over 80% capacity after 2,000 complete charge-discharge cycles [2]

今日早参 2025 年 9 月 29 日 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 今日热点 宏观：日本自民党总裁选举前瞻及影响 首相石破茂宣布辞职后，日本自民党于 9 月 22 日启动总裁选举，投票将于 10 月 4 日进行。目前已有五位国会议员宣布参选，其中小泉进次郎和高市早 苗的支持率相对领先。考虑到自民党执政联盟已失去参众两院的多数席位、 且国内对财政刺激的呼声较大，新一任首相的政治与经济主张可能对日本的 政经形势产生深远影响。本文将探讨此次自民党总裁选举的可能结果、候选 人的政策主张以及选举对日本市场的潜在影响。 风险提示：政治选举期可能引发日本市场大幅波动；执政联盟不稳的风险； 选举结果超市场预期的风险。 研报发布日期：2025-09-28 研究员 易峘 SAC:S0570520100005 SFC:AMH263 胡李鹏 SAC:S0570525010001 SFC:BWA860 陈玮 SAC:S0570524030003 SFC:BVH374 宏观：低基数推动 8 月工企利润同比回升 8 月工业企业利润数据点评 今年 ...

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi is undergoing a significant transformation, shifting from a "geek brand" to a "mass brand," with a focus on high-end products and a broader customer base, including a notable increase in female users [6][9]. Product Launch and Strategy - Xiaomi launched the new Xiaomi 17 series, skipping the 16 to signify a new identity and to encourage consumers to re-evaluate the brand [3][5]. - The company aims to fully compete with industry leaders like Apple and Samsung, emphasizing that the Xiaomi 17 series has surpassed many features of the iPhone 17 [3][5]. - Xiaomi's strategy includes a commitment to long-term growth, targeting a 1% annual increase in market share over five years, aiming for a total of 20% [5][9]. Market Position and Competition - Xiaomi regained the top position in China's smartphone market in Q1 2025, marking its return to the number one spot after ten years [3]. - The smartphone market is described as highly competitive, with six major players each holding around 15-16% market share, leading to frequent shifts in market leadership [3][5]. Brand Evolution - The brand's image has evolved from being male-dominated and focused on tech enthusiasts to appealing to a wider audience, including women, particularly in the automotive sector [6][9]. - Xiaomi's automotive division has introduced a customization service, allowing users to personalize their vehicles, which is a significant step towards high-end market positioning [6][8]. R&D and Investment - Xiaomi has committed to investing 100 billion RMB over five years in research and development, with an annual R&D budget of over 30 billion RMB [9][11]. - The company emphasizes that its advancements are the result of long-term investments and efforts, countering perceptions of sudden changes [11]. Challenges and Industry Environment - Xiaomi's automotive brand has faced significant online criticism, and the company supports regulatory actions against malicious online practices that hinder industry growth [9][11].

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's 17 series has achieved record sales within the first five minutes of its launch, setting new benchmarks for the entire price range of domestic smartphones in 2025 [1]. Group 1: Product Launch - Xiaomi officially launched the 17 series, along with the Xiaomi Pad 8 series and various home appliances including TVs, refrigerators, washing machines, routers, and speakers [3]. - The company also introduced customized services for Xiaomi cars during the product launch event [3]. Group 2: Pricing Information - The starting price for the Xiaomi 17 is 4,499 yuan, while the 17 Pro starts at 4,999 yuan, and the 17 Pro Max begins at 5,999 yuan [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the Hong Kong stock market, particularly technology stocks, experienced a significant drop on September 26, with Xiaomi Group's stock falling over 8% due to profit-taking by short-term investors after a product launch event [1][2][4] - Xiaomi Group's stock closed at 54.65 HKD per share, with a total trading volume of 23.35 billion HKD on the day of the drop [2] - The company's chairman, Lei Jun, emphasized the importance of self-developed chips for Xiaomi's success, committing to invest at least 50 billion RMB over the next decade [4] Group 2 - Other technology stocks in Hong Kong also declined, with the Hang Seng Technology Index dropping over 3%, and notable declines in companies like Horizon Robotics and Kingsoft [6] - Morgan Stanley expressed optimism about Xiaomi's new flagship smartphone series, predicting that the sales performance could exceed expectations and maintain an "overweight" rating with a target price of 62 HKD [5] - UBS maintained a positive outlook on Chinese stocks, expecting further growth potential in the market, particularly in the technology sector [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group with a target price of HKD 65.4 [5][7]. Core Insights - Xiaomi's recent product launch includes the Xiaomi 17 series smartphones, Pad 8, smart home appliances, routers, and a customized service for its automotive line, indicating a strong focus on innovation and ecosystem development [1][2]. - The company emphasizes its ongoing investment in hard technology, particularly in self-developed chips and smart vehicles, which are expected to support the development of a comprehensive "people-vehicle-home" ecosystem [1][4]. Summary by Sections Mobile Phones - The Xiaomi 17 series features competitive pricing and significant improvements in battery life, with the standard version priced at HKD 4,499 and the Pro version at HKD 4,999, which is a reduction of HKD 300 from the previous model [2]. - The new series utilizes Qualcomm's Snapdragon 8 Elite chip, manufactured with TSMC's 3nm process, and boasts a battery life improvement of 109% for the standard model compared to the iPhone 17 [2]. Automotive - Xiaomi introduced a customization service for its automotive line, allowing for personalized options for the SU7 Ultra and YU7 Max models, which is expected to attract high-end users and enhance brand prestige [3]. - The gross margin for Xiaomi's automotive and AI innovation business reached 26.4% in Q2 2025, an increase of 11 percentage points year-over-year, indicating a positive trend in profitability [3]. Annual Presentation - Founder Lei Jun highlighted the company's advancements in self-developed chips and electric vehicles since 2021, showcasing the successful launch of the Xuanjie SoC chip and the SU7 Ultra model, which has achieved notable performance metrics [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report projects Xiaomi's net profit for 2025-2027 to be RMB 443.1 billion, RMB 526.3 billion, and RMB 671.2 billion respectively, maintaining a target price of HKD 65.4 based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation method [5][42].

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group's stock price experienced volatility following the launch of the Xiaomi 17 series and a keynote speech by CEO Lei Jun, indicating mixed market reactions despite product announcements [1][2] Group 1: Product Launch and Market Response - Xiaomi's stock opened lower on September 26, dropping over 5% despite a previous day surge of over 5% after the product launch [1] - The Xiaomi 17 series was launched with starting prices of 4,499 yuan for the standard model, 4,999 yuan for the Pro, and 5,999 yuan for the Pro Max [1] - Lei Jun emphasized the importance of self-developed chips for Xiaomi's success, committing to invest at least 50 billion yuan over the next decade [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - Xiaomi reported a revenue of 115.96 billion yuan for Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, marking three consecutive quarters of revenue exceeding 100 billion yuan [4] - Operating profit reached 13.44 billion yuan, up 128.2% year-on-year, while adjusted net profit was 10.83 billion yuan, a 75.4% increase [4] - The innovative business segment, including smart electric vehicles and AI, generated 21.3 billion yuan in revenue, a significant year-on-year growth of 234% [4] Group 3: Market Position and Sales - Xiaomi's smartphone shipments increased slightly from 42.2 million units in Q2 2024 to 42.4 million units in Q2 2025, driven by a 3.6% rise in shipments in mainland China [4] - The company achieved a record activation of 11.5 million new devices, securing a 16.8% market share in the domestic market [4] - In the home appliance sector, Xiaomi's revenue reached a historical high with a year-on-year growth of 66.2%, with air conditioning units exceeding 5.4 million units sold [5]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi officially launched the Xiaomi 17 series smartphones, starting at a price of 4499 yuan, during the annual speech by CEO Lei Jun on September 25 [2][16]. Product Features - The Xiaomi 17 features a 6.3" screen, a thickness of 8.06mm, and a weight of 191g, with enhanced durability through Xiaomi's Dragon Crystal Glass, which improves drop resistance by 10 times [5][6]. - It is powered by the fifth-generation Snapdragon 8 processor, utilizing a 3nm process with a maximum clock speed of 4.6GHz, and includes a cooling system that is three times more effective than traditional systems [6]. - The device is equipped with a 7000mAh battery, boasting a high silicon content of 16%, which contributes to its long lifespan and exceptional low-temperature performance [7]. Camera and Imaging - The Xiaomi 17 features a Leica professional triple-camera system, including a 50MP main camera and a 50MP ultra-sensitive front camera, designed for high-quality selfies [9]. - The Xiaomi 17 Pro series introduces the "Leica Light Master" imaging system, enhancing dynamic range and reducing ghosting and glare [9][10]. Pricing and Variants - The Xiaomi 17 series pricing starts at 4499 yuan for the 12GB+256GB version, with higher configurations priced up to 4999 yuan. The Xiaomi 17 Pro series starts at 4999 yuan [16]. Ecosystem Integration - The Xiaomi 17 series supports integration with Apple's ecosystem, allowing for cross-device functionalities such as message viewing and photo sharing with iPhones and Macs [18]. Broader Product Launches - Alongside the smartphone launch, Xiaomi introduced the Xiaomi Pad 8 series starting at 2199 yuan, featuring a Snapdragon 8 processor and a large battery [18]. - Xiaomi's recent strategy focuses on high-end product offerings across various categories, including smart home appliances and televisions [20]. Automotive Developments - Xiaomi's Yu7 electric SUV has seen over 40,000 units delivered within three months of its launch, indicating strong market demand [26]. - The company is also expanding its automotive offerings with customizable features and a unique service for personalized vehicle options [34][36].