Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaopeng Motors (9868.HK) with a target price of HKD 80.45, indicating a strong potential for stock performance in the upcoming months [1][13]. Core Insights - Xiaopeng Motors reported a significant improvement in gross margins for its automotive business in Q2 2025, with a gross margin of 14.3%, an increase of nearly 4 percentage points quarter-over-quarter. The company also achieved a delivery volume of 103,181 units, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 241.6% [3][6]. - The company’s revenue for Q2 2025 reached CNY 18.27 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of 125.3% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 15.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of CNY 480 million, which narrowed by 62.8% year-over-year [3][6]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Projections**: Expected revenues for 2025 are projected at CNY 81.97 billion, with a year-over-year growth rate of 100.6% [5][11]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: The net profit forecast for 2025 is a loss of CNY 1.21 billion, improving to a profit of CNY 2.28 billion by 2026 and CNY 4.68 billion by 2027 [5][11]. - **Gross Margin Trends**: The gross margin is expected to improve from 14.3% in 2025 to 18.9% by 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [5][11]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS is projected to improve from -CNY 3.04 in 2024 to CNY 2.46 by 2027 [5][11]. Delivery and ASP Insights - The average selling price (ASP) of vehicles increased to CNY 164,000, attributed to a decrease in the proportion of lower-priced models and an increase in higher-priced models [6]. - The company has provided guidance for Q3 2025 deliveries between 113,000 to 118,000 units, with expected revenue between CNY 19.6 billion to CNY 21 billion [6]. Strategic Developments - Xiaopeng Motors is focusing on enhancing product design and has initiated pre-sales for the new generation P7, which has already surpassed previous models in pre-order numbers. The company plans to launch the X9 model, marking the start of a new product cycle [7][6]. - The collaboration with Volkswagen on electronic and electrical architecture is expected to boost service and other income, with Q2 2025 service revenue at CNY 1.39 billion [6]. Conclusion - The report indicates a strong outlook for Xiaopeng Motors, driven by improving margins, increasing ASP, and a robust product pipeline. The company is positioned to capitalize on its strategic initiatives and market trends in the automotive sector [6][7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [6]. Core Views - In July 2025, the company delivered 36,717 new vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 229.4% and a month-on-month increase of 6.1%. Cumulatively, from January to July 2025, the company delivered 234,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 270.3% [2][4][8]. - The company is expected to see steady sales growth due to a strong new car cycle, with the MONA M03 and P7+ models contributing significantly. The company is also benefiting from cost reductions in platforms and technology, as well as an expanding software revenue model and continued growth in international markets [2][8]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - July 2025 saw a record monthly delivery of 36,717 vehicles, with a year-on-year growth of 229.4% and a month-on-month growth of 6.1%. The total deliveries from January to July 2025 reached 234,000 vehicles, marking a year-on-year increase of 270.3% [2][4][8]. - The cumulative delivery of vehicles has surpassed 800,000 units as of July 2025. The MONA M03 model delivered over 15,000 units in July, maintaining strong sales momentum [8]. New Product Launches - The company is entering a strong new car cycle with the recent launches of the MONA M03 and P7+. The G7 model was launched on July 3, 2025, and has already seen significant pre-orders. Upcoming models, including the new generation P7 and the Kunpeng super electric vehicle, are expected to further enhance sales in the latter half of the year [8]. Financial Outlook - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of 99.1 billion yuan in 2025, with a price-to-sales ratio of 1.2X. The software revenue is expected to show significant improvement, contributing to a positive financial outlook as the company enters a new car cycle [8].

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index faced downward pressure due to the implementation of tariff measures by the Trump administration, resulting in a decline of over 200 points, closing at 24,507, down 265 points or 1.1% [2][3] - The index has experienced a continuous decline for four days, with a weekly drop of 880 points or 3.5%, while the technology index fell by 4.9% [2][3] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The S&P Global reported that China's manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5 in July, down from 50.4 in the previous month, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity [5] - The decline in new business volumes has led manufacturers to reduce production for the second time in three months, with a notable decrease in new export orders [5] Group 3: Company News - JD.com has committed to eliminating unfair competition practices in the food delivery sector, emphasizing a transparent subsidy mechanism and resisting "zero-dollar purchase" promotions [9] - Xiaopeng Motors reported a record delivery of approximately 36,700 smart electric vehicles in July, marking a year-on-year increase of 2.29 times, with total deliveries exceeding 800,000 vehicles [10] - Xiaomi's automotive division achieved over 30,000 vehicle deliveries in July, reflecting a growth of approximately 20% compared to June [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a total of 34,611 vehicle deliveries in June 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 224.4% and a month-on-month increase of 3.2% [2][4]. - Cumulative vehicle deliveries for Q2 2025 reached 103,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 241.6% [2][4]. - The company is expected to see steady sales growth due to a strong new vehicle cycle, with the launch of models like MONA M03 and P7+ [2][7]. - The company anticipates achieving a revenue of 99.1 billion yuan in 2025, corresponding to a price-to-sales ratio of 1.2X, with significant improvements in software revenue contributing to financial performance [7]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In June 2025, the company delivered 34,611 vehicles, with a year-on-year growth of 224.4% and a month-on-month growth of 3.2% [2][4]. - For Q2 2025, the total vehicle deliveries reached 103,000 units, achieving a new quarterly record with a year-on-year increase of 241.6% [2][7]. New Vehicle Cycle - The launch of new models such as G6, G9, and the upcoming G7 is expected to drive sales further, with G6 and G9 already performing well in domestic and international markets [7]. - The company has initiated a strong new vehicle cycle, with multiple new models set to be released in Q3 and Q4 2025 [7]. Profitability Outlook - The company is projected to achieve a turnaround in profitability by Q4 2025, with expectations of positive free cash flow for the year [7]. - The ongoing improvements in scale, platform, and technology cost reductions, along with the expansion of software revenue models, are expected to enhance future profitability [7].

Core Viewpoint - Audi has retracted its plan to stop selling internal combustion engine vehicles by 2033, opting for a parallel development of fuel, plug-in hybrid, and electric vehicles over the next decade, indicating a shift from its previously aggressive electrification strategy [1][19]. Group 1: Electrification Strategy - Audi's CEO, Markus Duesmann, initially aimed to transform Audi into a fully electric brand by 2033, with a target for zero emissions by 2050 [3]. - The company planned to launch approximately 20 new models by 2025, with over 10 being fully electric [4]. - Despite ambitious plans, Audi's electric vehicle sales have not translated into significant profits, with fuel vehicles still being the primary revenue source [1][16]. Group 2: Market Performance - Audi's global sales from 2020 to 2022 were 1.69 million, 1.68 million, and 1.61 million vehicles, while competitors like BMW and Mercedes maintained sales above 2 million [5]. - In China, Audi's sales have declined from 726,000 in 2021 to 643,000 in 2023 [6]. - For 2024, Audi's global sales are projected to drop by 11.8% to 1.67 million vehicles, with electric models accounting for only 9.8% of total sales [9]. Group 3: Operational Adjustments - Audi has announced plans to cut costs and increase efficiency, including the closure of its Brussels plant and a workforce reduction of 7,500 employees by 2029 [9]. - The company is shifting focus back to fuel vehicles, with new models like the Audi A5, A6, and Q7 set to launch in 2025 and 2026 [16]. - Audi aims to maintain the appeal of fuel vehicles until the end of their product lifecycle while gradually transitioning to electric models [19]. Group 4: Strategic Partnerships and Investments - Audi has established a new brand, AUDI, in collaboration with SAIC to target younger, tech-savvy consumers in China [1]. - The company is investing approximately 35 billion yuan in a new plant in Changchun for electric vehicle production, with an annual capacity of 150,000 units [10]. - Audi's software subsidiary, CARIAD, is expanding its presence in China, establishing a local development team to enhance its software capabilities [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [10]. Core Insights - The company is expected to experience rapid sales growth driven by its leading AI smart driving capabilities, enhanced marketing systems, and a strong new car cycle, with multiple new models anticipated to launch in 2025 [3][8]. - The company is positioned to benefit from significant earnings elasticity due to scale improvements, cost reductions from platform and technology advancements, and the expansion of software profitability models alongside international growth [3][8]. Summary by Sections Historical Review of New Energy Vehicles and Smart Driving Trends - The transition from policy-driven to consumer-driven demand for new energy vehicles has been marked by significant technological advancements and cost reductions, leading to a rapid increase in market penetration rates [5][16]. - The report outlines three phases of development: policy-driven (pre-2019), product introduction (2020-2021), and hybrid power advancements (post-2022) [16][17]. Smart Driving Advantages and Organizational Reforms - The company is embracing AI smart driving through self-developed Turing chips and a comprehensive software ecosystem, aiming to create a robust competitive moat [6]. - Organizational reforms are being implemented to enhance management efficiency, with a focus on optimizing marketing and supply chain strategies [6]. New Car Cycle and Sales Expectations - The company is entering a new car cycle with a strategic product rollout planned for the next three years, including several key models set to launch in 2024 and 2025 [7][8]. - The anticipated new models are expected to significantly boost sales, leveraging the company's advanced smart driving technology [7]. Investment Recommendations - The report forecasts the company's revenue to reach CNY 99.1 billion in 2025, corresponding to a price-to-sales ratio of 1.4x, supported by ongoing advancements in AI smart driving and a strong new car cycle [8][10].

Core Viewpoint - Xiaopeng Motors has shown improvement in gross margin and a reduction in net loss, positioning itself to face greater challenges in the second half of the year [2][3]. Financial Performance - In Q1, Xiaopeng's net loss narrowed to 660 million yuan, a decrease of over 50% year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, with free cash flow exceeding 3 billion yuan [3][4]. - The overall gross margin reached 15.6%, an increase of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year and 1.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter; the automotive gross margin was 10.5%, marking a continuous increase for seven consecutive quarters [4]. - Despite a quarter-on-quarter revenue decline of 290 million yuan to 15.81 billion yuan, new vehicle deliveries increased by 2,500 units to 94,000 units, with the lower-priced MONA M03 accounting for 50.1% of deliveries [4]. Revenue Composition - Service revenue, which has a gross margin exceeding 66%, accounted for less than 10% of Xiaopeng's total revenue but contributed nearly 40% of the gross margin, primarily from technology development services related to collaborations with Volkswagen Group [4]. Future Outlook - For Q2, Xiaopeng expects delivery volumes to continue growing, reaching between 102,000 and 108,000 units, with revenue projected between 17.5 billion and 18.7 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 115.7% to 130.5% [5]. - The company aims for over 100% growth in annual sales and plans to achieve profitable operations in Q4, maintaining a positive cash flow [5]. Competitive Landscape - Xiaopeng faces increasing competition from new entrants like Xiaomi and established brands such as Toyota and Volkswagen, which are accelerating their new product launches [6]. - The company is transitioning from full-stack self-research to a matrix-style integrated research and development approach to enhance its technological capabilities and long-term competitiveness [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][9] Core Views - The report highlights that the company is experiencing positive financial performance driven by a new vehicle cycle, accelerated intelligent driving technology, and overseas expansion [1][8] - In March 2025, the company delivered 33,205 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 268%, and a total of 94,008 vehicles in Q1 2025, up 331% year-on-year [1][2] Financial Performance - For Q4 2024, the company achieved revenue of 16.11 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 23.4% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 59.4% [5] - Vehicle revenue for Q4 2024 was 14.67 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 20.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 66.8% [5] - The company reported a gross margin of 14.4% for Q4 2024, with an automotive gross margin of 10.0% [5][9] Sales and Delivery Outlook - The company expects to deliver between 91,000 to 93,000 vehicles in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 317.0% to 326.2% [6] - Projected total revenue for Q1 2025 is estimated to be between 15 billion to 15.7 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 129.1% to 139.8% [6] Strategic Developments - The company has expanded its overseas market presence, entering Poland, Switzerland, Czech Republic, and Slovakia, with plans to sell models P7, G9, and G6 in Q2 2025 [8] - The company has established partnerships with leading distribution companies in Europe to enhance its market penetration [8] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are 89 billion, 129.4 billion, and 153.8 billion RMB, with growth rates of 118%, 45%, and 19% respectively [7][9] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of -1.316 billion RMB in 2025, turning positive with a profit of 2.408 billion RMB by 2026 [7][9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the automotive industry [1] Core Views - The automotive sector is expected to enter a phase of sales prosperity, event catalysis, and industry trend resonance, with continued optimism for investment opportunities in the automotive sector [8][18] - The 2024 vehicle trade-in policy has boosted passenger vehicle sales beyond expectations, and the continuation of this policy in 2025 is expected to support upward consumer spending on automobiles [8][18] Summary by Sections Recent Developments - The Tengshi N9 SUV was launched on March 21, with a starting price of 389,800 yuan, featuring advanced specifications such as a power output of nearly 1,000 horsepower and a 0-100 km/h acceleration time of 3.9 seconds [5][15] - The second-generation Haval Xiaolong MAX began pre-sales on March 21, with a starting price of 138,800 yuan, showcasing a comprehensive power system and intelligent driving features [6][16] - Elon Musk held a Tesla all-hands meeting on March 20, discussing innovations in production lines and plans for mass production of autonomous vehicles and humanoid robots [7][17] Market Performance - The automotive sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index during the week of March 17-21, with the automotive index declining by 0.8% compared to the Shanghai Composite's decline of 1.6% [20] - The report highlights a significant increase in the penetration rate of advanced driving assistance systems, benefiting leading automakers and related component manufacturers [9][19] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies several investment opportunities, including: 1. Domestic automakers entering a new phase of high-end development, with companies like Li Auto, JAC Motors, Geely, BYD, and Great Wall Motors expected to benefit [19] 2. The "affordability" of advanced driving technology is anticipated to significantly increase its market penetration, with recommendations for companies like XPeng Motors, Huayang Group, Desay SV, and Kobot [19] 3. The potential for mass production of robots, with recommendations for leading companies in the industry chain such as Top Group, Sanhua Intelligent Control, and Beite Technology [19] 4. Favorable conditions for high-quality auto parts manufacturers amid a complex export environment, recommending companies like Fuyao Glass, Xingyu Co., and Yinlun [19] 5. Recovery in the commercial vehicle sector, particularly for heavy trucks, with recommendations for leading companies like China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Yutong Bus [19]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][27] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 16.1 billion yuan in Q4 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 23% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 59.4% [10][4] - The total sales volume for Q4 2024 was 91,500 units, a year-on-year increase of 52.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 96.8% [10][15] - The company is expected to deliver between 91,000 and 93,000 vehicles in Q1 2025, which would represent an annual increase of approximately 317% to 326.2% [15][4] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the gross margin was 14.4%, an increase of 8.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was -8.3% [2][13] - The automotive business gross margin was 10.0%, up 5.9 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to reduced vehicle costs [2][14] - The company forecasts revenues of 88.5 billion, 118.1 billion, and 130.3 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with expected net profits of -1.6 billion, 2.7 billion, and 4.7 billion yuan for the same years [4][5][27] Product Development - The 2025 models of the G6 and G9 were officially launched, featuring the Turing AI driving system [3][22] - The G6 is positioned as an all-around electric coupe SUV with a price range of 176,800 to 198,800 yuan, while the G9 is marketed as a flagship SUV priced between 248,800 and 278,800 yuan [22][25] Strategic Partnerships - The company entered a strategic partnership with Volkswagen Group (China) to develop a super-fast charging network, aiming to create the largest fast-charging network in China [18][21]