Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaopeng Motors (9868.HK) with a target price of HKD 80.45, indicating a strong potential for stock performance in the upcoming months [1][13]. Core Insights - Xiaopeng Motors reported a significant improvement in gross margins for its automotive business in Q2 2025, with a gross margin of 14.3%, an increase of nearly 4 percentage points quarter-over-quarter. The company also achieved a delivery volume of 103,181 units, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 241.6% [3][6]. - The company’s revenue for Q2 2025 reached CNY 18.27 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of 125.3% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 15.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of CNY 480 million, which narrowed by 62.8% year-over-year [3][6]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Projections**: Expected revenues for 2025 are projected at CNY 81.97 billion, with a year-over-year growth rate of 100.6% [5][11]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: The net profit forecast for 2025 is a loss of CNY 1.21 billion, improving to a profit of CNY 2.28 billion by 2026 and CNY 4.68 billion by 2027 [5][11]. - **Gross Margin Trends**: The gross margin is expected to improve from 14.3% in 2025 to 18.9% by 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [5][11]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS is projected to improve from -CNY 3.04 in 2024 to CNY 2.46 by 2027 [5][11]. Delivery and ASP Insights - The average selling price (ASP) of vehicles increased to CNY 164,000, attributed to a decrease in the proportion of lower-priced models and an increase in higher-priced models [6]. - The company has provided guidance for Q3 2025 deliveries between 113,000 to 118,000 units, with expected revenue between CNY 19.6 billion to CNY 21 billion [6]. Strategic Developments - Xiaopeng Motors is focusing on enhancing product design and has initiated pre-sales for the new generation P7, which has already surpassed previous models in pre-order numbers. The company plans to launch the X9 model, marking the start of a new product cycle [7][6]. - The collaboration with Volkswagen on electronic and electrical architecture is expected to boost service and other income, with Q2 2025 service revenue at CNY 1.39 billion [6]. Conclusion - The report indicates a strong outlook for Xiaopeng Motors, driven by improving margins, increasing ASP, and a robust product pipeline. The company is positioned to capitalize on its strategic initiatives and market trends in the automotive sector [6][7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [6]. Core Views - In July 2025, the company delivered 36,717 new vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 229.4% and a month-on-month increase of 6.1%. Cumulatively, from January to July 2025, the company delivered 234,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 270.3% [2][4][8]. - The company is expected to see steady sales growth due to a strong new car cycle, with the MONA M03 and P7+ models contributing significantly. The company is also benefiting from cost reductions in platforms and technology, as well as an expanding software revenue model and continued growth in international markets [2][8]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - July 2025 saw a record monthly delivery of 36,717 vehicles, with a year-on-year growth of 229.4% and a month-on-month growth of 6.1%. The total deliveries from January to July 2025 reached 234,000 vehicles, marking a year-on-year increase of 270.3% [2][4][8]. - The cumulative delivery of vehicles has surpassed 800,000 units as of July 2025. The MONA M03 model delivered over 15,000 units in July, maintaining strong sales momentum [8]. New Product Launches - The company is entering a strong new car cycle with the recent launches of the MONA M03 and P7+. The G7 model was launched on July 3, 2025, and has already seen significant pre-orders. Upcoming models, including the new generation P7 and the Kunpeng super electric vehicle, are expected to further enhance sales in the latter half of the year [8]. Financial Outlook - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of 99.1 billion yuan in 2025, with a price-to-sales ratio of 1.2X. The software revenue is expected to show significant improvement, contributing to a positive financial outlook as the company enters a new car cycle [8].

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index faced downward pressure due to the implementation of tariff measures by the Trump administration, resulting in a decline of over 200 points, closing at 24,507, down 265 points or 1.1% [2][3] - The index has experienced a continuous decline for four days, with a weekly drop of 880 points or 3.5%, while the technology index fell by 4.9% [2][3] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The S&P Global reported that China's manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5 in July, down from 50.4 in the previous month, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity [5] - The decline in new business volumes has led manufacturers to reduce production for the second time in three months, with a notable decrease in new export orders [5] Group 3: Company News - JD.com has committed to eliminating unfair competition practices in the food delivery sector, emphasizing a transparent subsidy mechanism and resisting "zero-dollar purchase" promotions [9] - Xiaopeng Motors reported a record delivery of approximately 36,700 smart electric vehicles in July, marking a year-on-year increase of 2.29 times, with total deliveries exceeding 800,000 vehicles [10] - Xiaomi's automotive division achieved over 30,000 vehicle deliveries in July, reflecting a growth of approximately 20% compared to June [11]

Core Viewpoint - Audi has retracted its plan to stop selling internal combustion engine vehicles by 2033, opting for a parallel development of fuel, plug-in hybrid, and electric vehicles over the next decade, indicating a shift from its previously aggressive electrification strategy [1][19]. Group 1: Electrification Strategy - Audi's CEO, Markus Duesmann, initially aimed to transform Audi into a fully electric brand by 2033, with a target for zero emissions by 2050 [3]. - The company planned to launch approximately 20 new models by 2025, with over 10 being fully electric [4]. - Despite ambitious plans, Audi's electric vehicle sales have not translated into significant profits, with fuel vehicles still being the primary revenue source [1][16]. Group 2: Market Performance - Audi's global sales from 2020 to 2022 were 1.69 million, 1.68 million, and 1.61 million vehicles, while competitors like BMW and Mercedes maintained sales above 2 million [5]. - In China, Audi's sales have declined from 726,000 in 2021 to 643,000 in 2023 [6]. - For 2024, Audi's global sales are projected to drop by 11.8% to 1.67 million vehicles, with electric models accounting for only 9.8% of total sales [9]. Group 3: Operational Adjustments - Audi has announced plans to cut costs and increase efficiency, including the closure of its Brussels plant and a workforce reduction of 7,500 employees by 2029 [9]. - The company is shifting focus back to fuel vehicles, with new models like the Audi A5, A6, and Q7 set to launch in 2025 and 2026 [16]. - Audi aims to maintain the appeal of fuel vehicles until the end of their product lifecycle while gradually transitioning to electric models [19]. Group 4: Strategic Partnerships and Investments - Audi has established a new brand, AUDI, in collaboration with SAIC to target younger, tech-savvy consumers in China [1]. - The company is investing approximately 35 billion yuan in a new plant in Changchun for electric vehicle production, with an annual capacity of 150,000 units [10]. - Audi's software subsidiary, CARIAD, is expanding its presence in China, establishing a local development team to enhance its software capabilities [12].

Core Viewpoint - Xiaopeng Motors has shown improvement in gross margin and a reduction in net loss, positioning itself to face greater challenges in the second half of the year [2][3]. Financial Performance - In Q1, Xiaopeng's net loss narrowed to 660 million yuan, a decrease of over 50% year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, with free cash flow exceeding 3 billion yuan [3][4]. - The overall gross margin reached 15.6%, an increase of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year and 1.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter; the automotive gross margin was 10.5%, marking a continuous increase for seven consecutive quarters [4]. - Despite a quarter-on-quarter revenue decline of 290 million yuan to 15.81 billion yuan, new vehicle deliveries increased by 2,500 units to 94,000 units, with the lower-priced MONA M03 accounting for 50.1% of deliveries [4]. Revenue Composition - Service revenue, which has a gross margin exceeding 66%, accounted for less than 10% of Xiaopeng's total revenue but contributed nearly 40% of the gross margin, primarily from technology development services related to collaborations with Volkswagen Group [4]. Future Outlook - For Q2, Xiaopeng expects delivery volumes to continue growing, reaching between 102,000 and 108,000 units, with revenue projected between 17.5 billion and 18.7 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 115.7% to 130.5% [5]. - The company aims for over 100% growth in annual sales and plans to achieve profitable operations in Q4, maintaining a positive cash flow [5]. Competitive Landscape - Xiaopeng faces increasing competition from new entrants like Xiaomi and established brands such as Toyota and Volkswagen, which are accelerating their new product launches [6]. - The company is transitioning from full-stack self-research to a matrix-style integrated research and development approach to enhance its technological capabilities and long-term competitiveness [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the automotive industry [1] Core Views - The automotive sector is expected to enter a phase of sales prosperity, event catalysis, and industry trend resonance, with continued optimism for investment opportunities in the automotive sector [8][18] - The 2024 vehicle trade-in policy has boosted passenger vehicle sales beyond expectations, and the continuation of this policy in 2025 is expected to support upward consumer spending on automobiles [8][18] Summary by Sections Recent Developments - The Tengshi N9 SUV was launched on March 21, with a starting price of 389,800 yuan, featuring advanced specifications such as a power output of nearly 1,000 horsepower and a 0-100 km/h acceleration time of 3.9 seconds [5][15] - The second-generation Haval Xiaolong MAX began pre-sales on March 21, with a starting price of 138,800 yuan, showcasing a comprehensive power system and intelligent driving features [6][16] - Elon Musk held a Tesla all-hands meeting on March 20, discussing innovations in production lines and plans for mass production of autonomous vehicles and humanoid robots [7][17] Market Performance - The automotive sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index during the week of March 17-21, with the automotive index declining by 0.8% compared to the Shanghai Composite's decline of 1.6% [20] - The report highlights a significant increase in the penetration rate of advanced driving assistance systems, benefiting leading automakers and related component manufacturers [9][19] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies several investment opportunities, including: 1. Domestic automakers entering a new phase of high-end development, with companies like Li Auto, JAC Motors, Geely, BYD, and Great Wall Motors expected to benefit [19] 2. The "affordability" of advanced driving technology is anticipated to significantly increase its market penetration, with recommendations for companies like XPeng Motors, Huayang Group, Desay SV, and Kobot [19] 3. The potential for mass production of robots, with recommendations for leading companies in the industry chain such as Top Group, Sanhua Intelligent Control, and Beite Technology [19] 4. Favorable conditions for high-quality auto parts manufacturers amid a complex export environment, recommending companies like Fuyao Glass, Xingyu Co., and Yinlun [19] 5. Recovery in the commercial vehicle sector, particularly for heavy trucks, with recommendations for leading companies like China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Yutong Bus [19]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for key companies in the electric power equipment and new energy sector, including Ningde Times, Keda Li, and others [4]. Core Insights - The electric power equipment and new energy sector saw a weekly increase of 1.61%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, with the energy storage index leading the gains at 2.38% [1]. - Xpeng Motors has launched new products targeting the mid-to-high-end SUV market, utilizing a differentiated pricing strategy to enhance user loyalty and market competitiveness [2]. - Aiko has won a major bid for a 1GW photovoltaic component framework from Datang Group, indicating strong growth in the photovoltaic supply chain with a 24% increase in component production in March [3][22]. Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicles - Xpeng Motors effectively covers different market segments with its G9 and G6 models, enhancing user engagement through policies like replacement subsidies [2][8]. - The G9 model features a long range of up to 725 km and advanced driving systems, while the G6 offers competitive pricing and features for the mid-range market [8]. New Energy Generation - Aiko's successful bid for the N-type BC photovoltaic component marks a significant achievement in the domestic centralized business, with a production capacity expansion plan of approximately 100GW [22]. - The overall production of silicon materials is expected to reach 10.8-10.9 million tons in March, with stable prices around 39-42 yuan/kg [23]. - Battery production is projected to increase by 22% to 57.4GW in March, with N-type battery prices rising due to strong demand [24]. Electric Power Equipment and Industrial Control - Google has introduced two new AI robot models, enhancing capabilities in physical actions and spatial understanding, which may impact the electric power equipment sector [4]. - Key companies to watch include Ningde Times, Keda Li, and others, which are expected to benefit from ongoing technological advancements and market demand [4]. Market Trends - The report highlights a positive outlook for the electric vehicle sector over the next decade, driven by continued demand and supportive policies [9]. - It emphasizes three main investment themes: battery segment growth, technological advancements in battery production, and the emergence of new technologies like solid-state batteries [10][28].

Core Viewpoint - The automotive market is experiencing unprecedented competition, with various companies achieving different levels of year-on-year growth in delivery data despite it being a traditionally slow sales season [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - In February, several new energy vehicle manufacturers, including XPeng, Li Auto, and Leap Motor, reported significant delivery numbers, with XPeng leading the new forces in sales [4][5]. - XPeng's P7+ and MONA M03 models contributed nearly 80% of its sales, with the latter expected to be a strong contender in the "smart driving" segment [4]. - Li Auto delivered 26,263 vehicles in February, a 12% month-on-month decrease, while Leap Motor delivered 25,287 vehicles, marking a 285% year-on-year increase [5][6]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Other players like Hongmeng Zhixing, NIO, and Lado are closely following the top three, with Hongmeng Zhixing experiencing a 38.5% month-on-month decline in deliveries [6][7]. - NIO's delivery numbers were 9,143 units, while Lado's were significantly below expectations at 4,049 units, indicating challenges in maintaining competitive sales [7]. Group 3: Future Strategies - Companies are implementing new promotional strategies to boost sales, with Li Auto offering significant discounts and financing options [10][11]. - Upcoming model launches and updates are expected to influence market dynamics, with several companies planning to release new or updated models in the coming months [11].

9 月 1 日，小鹏新车 MONA M03 上市后第 5 天，小鹏汽车总裁王凤英在一场小范围内部宴会上喝下了人 生中第一杯酒。 以下文章来源于晚点Auto ，作者晚点团队 从 MONA M03 到 P7+，销量跃升背后，小鹏的思路转变。 文丨赵宇 编辑丨宋玮 晚点Auto . 从制造到创造，从不可能到可能。《晚点LatePost》旗下汽车品牌。 王凤英说，"在过去的这么多年中，遇到过很多大事，但是 MONA 这件事对我（尤为重要）。" 去年 7 月，小鹏 G6 上市第二周，王凤英也曾为营销团队举办宴会，但她当时滴酒未沾。 小鹏 MONA 系列产品负责人杨光告诉我们，M03 的上市给王凤英带来很大压力，因为小鹏此前已经打了 很久的 "逆风局"。"当时大家还说，M03 超预期，喝第一杯酒；P7+ 超预期，喝第二杯酒？" 从目前订单表现看，王凤英应该喝下第二杯酒了。 M03 上市两天，大定 3 万台；P7+ 大定达到同一数字只用了 4 个小时。中国汽车行业价格战已经持续近两 年，小鹏这两款新车是比较少见的逆转。 M03 发售后月交付量连续过万，改善了小鹏的财务表现。今年三季度，小鹏净亏损为 18.1 亿元，比去年 ...