今日（6.26）A股多数飘绿，大消费走弱，消费ETF（159928）微跌0.25%，盘中成交额已超1.5亿元！资金面上，盘中获净申购 1800万份，连续第2日"吸金"，最新规模超121亿元同类遥遥领先！ | 5分 15分 30分 60分 = 综合屏 F9 前复权 超级叠加 画线 工具 谷 (2 | | | | | 消费ETF | | 159928 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | F] 2025/06/26 收0.796 幅-0.25%(-0.002) 开0.798 高0.799 低0.794 均0.796 量 | | | | WP | 0.796 | | -0.002 -0.25% | | 0.794↓ MA20 0.807↓ MA60 0.818፤ MA120 0.807↓ MA250 0.797↓ | | | (104日)▼ m | | | | | | | | | 0.860 | | | SZSE CNY 14:16:21 交易中 | 通融 / Q F | | 0.858- | | | | | 净值走势 | | 汇添富中证主要消费 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业定期报告 2025 年 06 月 22 日 把握酒类情绪修复机遇，回归业绩主线 食品饮料行业周报（6.22） 消费品/食品饮料 本周新华社、人民网等媒体均发文指向整治违规吃喝一刀切现象，对于部分地 区过度限制正常社交聚餐等行为从态度上进行纠偏，白酒侧有望对于除公务接 待以外场景产生的冲击带来修复，叠加整体估值处于低位，行业加速触底后建 议逢低布局龙头；啤酒侧关注情绪面修复下，在旺季动销催化中具备大单品放 量结构性增长的标的。此外，新消费短期有所回调，建议关注下半年延续高增 品类的估值切换机会。 海天味业：H 股挂牌上市交易。6 月 19 日公司全球发售 2.79 亿股 H 股股 票在香港联交所主板挂牌并正式上市，扣除相关费用后预计收取发售款净 额约为 100.10 亿港元。 ❑ 核心公司跟踪：白酒积极调整应对环境，小食品、宠物景气延续 五粮液：股东会公司表态积极奋进，环境有挑战不改初心，分红有望进一 步提升。公司股东会表态积极，25 年分红率有望进一步提升。普五坚持 量价平衡，1618 以高质量动销为导向。营销执行提升年，精细化渠道政 策持续推进，成立销售公司、实施市场化机制考核。25H ...

-39% -17% 5% 26% 48% 5/24 8/24 11/24 2/25 百润股份 沪深300 [Table_Rank] 投资评级：买入（维持） 报告日期： 2025-05-04 | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | 26.10 | | --- | --- | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | 31.70/15.00 | | 总股本（百万股） | 1,049 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 718 | | 流通股比例（%） | 68.42 | | 总市值（亿元） | 274 | | 流通市值（亿元） | 187 | [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 [Table_Author] 分析师：邓欣 执业证书号：S0010524010001 邮箱：dengxin@hazq.com 联系人：郑少轩 执业证书号：S0010124040001 百润股份（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 002568） 公司点评 库存积极去化，威士忌招商可期 ——百润股份 24 年报&25Q1 点评 [Table_CompanyReport] 相关报告 1.百润 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company's performance in Q1 2025 met expectations, with a focus on the future sales performance of its whiskey products [7] - The pre-mixed beverage business is under pressure, while the whiskey business is in its early stages and requires monitoring for future sales [7] - The company has a strong brand advantage in the pre-mixed beverage industry and has made significant progress in its product matrix since 2022 [7] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 was 3,048 million, a decrease of 6.6% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 719 million, down 11.2% [6][7] - For Q1 2025, total revenue was 737 million, a decline of 8.1% year-on-year, but net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 7.0% to 181 million [7] - The company forecasts net profits of 809 million, 910 million, and 1,022 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.6%, 12.4%, and 12.3% [7][6] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 69.67%, an increase of 2.97 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in raw material prices [7] Business Performance - The pre-mixed beverage and flavoring business generated revenues of 2,677 million and 337 million respectively in 2024, with year-on-year changes of -7.17% and +6.3% [7] - The whiskey business began contributing revenue in Q1 2025, with the launch of "Bailide" blended whiskey [7] - The company is optimistic about the future growth of its whiskey business, contingent on successful sales operations and positive dealer order intentions [7]