总台记者 朱曦莉：正当欧盟方面全力冲刺力争在7月9日之前与美方就关税问题达成"原则性协议"之 际，美方却出人意料地将所谓的"对等关税"生效日期从原定的7月9日推迟到8月1日，这令欧盟方面措手 不及。 总台记者 朱曦莉：令欧盟困惑和迷茫的不仅在于时间表的混乱，更在于美方政策的不可预测性。日前 美国向欧盟提出了一项协议草案：在10%的基准关税的基础上，仅对飞机、烈酒等少数领域提供一定关 税豁免，且这一草案还需特朗普最终拍板。至于欧盟最关切的汽车、钢铝、医药等关键产业，美方并未 作出任何豁免承诺。 美国白宫方面7日确认，美国总统特朗普已经签署行政令，延长"对等关税"暂缓期，将实施时间从7月9 日推迟到8月1日。这一突然变动再次突显美国关税政策的不确定性和不可预测性。面对美国关税政策的 反复无常以及成员国内部的分歧，欧盟陷入深深的战略迷茫。 总台记者 朱曦莉：此外，欧盟内部意见不一，也加剧了欧盟的困境。目前，法国和西班牙持强硬立 场，反对对美方轻易让步；而德国、意大利、爱尔兰和匈牙利等依赖出口的国家则倾向于尽快达成协 议，认为即便意味着更多妥协，只要美国能够降低战略性领域的关税即可。然而，除了飞机和烈酒，美 国对欧盟 ...

知情人士：欧盟欲妥协 目前，美国对欧盟钢铝产品征收50%关税，对汽车领域征收25%关税，对几乎所有其他商品征收 10%"基准关税"。 美国总统唐纳德·特朗普先前威胁称，如果7月9日前美欧贸易谈判没有取得突破，他将对欧盟商品 征收50%关税。作为回应，欧盟曾决定对总额210亿欧元的进口美国产品加征最高50%的关税。但为给 贸易谈判留出时间，这一报复措施将推迟至7月14日生效。 据一些欧盟知情人士7日向路透社披露，欧美已接近达成协议，欧盟方面可能对美方针对飞机及其 零部件、部分医疗器械和烈酒产品所征"基准关税"作"有限让步"。 新华社北京7月8日电 欧洲联盟知情人士7日披露，欧盟不会收到美国政府加征关税的信函，欧盟已 准备向美方作一定让步。 特朗普7日表示，将从8月1日起分别对来自日本、韩国、马来西亚、哈萨克斯坦、南非、老挝、缅 甸、突尼斯、波黑、印度尼西亚、孟加拉国、塞尔维亚、柬埔寨和泰国的进口产品征收25%至40%不等 的关税。 另有美媒指出，美国政府当天发出的关税函会增加经济不确定性。 另一方面，欧盟寻求与美方达成协议，使在美国设有工厂的欧盟国家汽车制造商能以低于当前25% 的关税税率进口更多欧盟汽车。此举 ...

消息人士：欧盟寻求与美国达成有关抵消汽车贸易差额的协议 跟踪全球贸易动向 +订阅 欧盟消息人士：欧盟正在研究可能达成的一项汽车协议，以抵消美国汽车出口与进口之间的差额。欧盟 可能在与美国的贸易协议中获得飞机和烈酒的基本关税豁免。 ...

Group 1 - The US-EU trade negotiations have not made significant progress, with discussions expected to continue until the weekend [1] - The EU aims to reach a principle agreement with the US by July 9, and if not, seeks to extend the deadline for tariff increases [1][2] - The focus of the negotiations is on tariff exemptions for goods such as aircraft parts and spirits [1] Group 2 - Core demands between the US and EU are significantly divergent, with the EU willing to make concessions on purchasing US agricultural products, weapons, and LNG, while the US insists on addressing the trade deficit with demands on non-tariff barriers [2] - The US has imposed a 50% tariff on EU steel and aluminum products, a 25% tariff on automobiles, and a 10% baseline tariff on nearly all other goods [3] - The EU has postponed retaliatory tariffs on $210 billion worth of US imports until July 14, and is considering a second set of countermeasures initially estimated at €95 billion, now reduced to €72 billion [3] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs predicts that the most likely outcome of the US-EU trade negotiations will be a limited compromise [4]

Core Insights - The IWSR report indicates a significant restructuring in the Asia-Pacific alcoholic beverage market, with an overall slowdown in growth, particularly in China where baijiu sales have declined by 5% while gin sales surged by 20% [1][6] Group 1: Market Overview - The total beverage alcohol (TBA) volume in the Asia-Pacific region is projected to decrease by 2% in 2024, with a 3% decline in total value [2] - Major categories such as beer (-3%), spirits (-2%), and wine (-4%) have all experienced value declines, while ready-to-drink (RTD) beverages saw a slight increase in sales (+1%) [2] - India stands out with a TBA growth of 6%, driven by a 19% increase in ultra-premium product consumption, contrasting sharply with China's 5% decline [2][5] Group 2: Regional Performance - The Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam recorded a TBA growth of 2%, while Japan (-1%), South Korea (-1%), and Australia (-3%) faced declines [2] - The Indian market is benefiting from a recent UK-India free trade agreement, which will significantly reduce import tariffs on Scotch whisky and British gin, fostering growth in these categories [5] Group 3: Category-Specific Trends - In India, there is a notable increase in the consumption of Irish whiskey (+58%) and vodka (+17%), indicating a shift in consumer preferences beyond traditional whiskey [5] - In China, the decline in key categories such as baijiu (-5%), cognac (-14%), and Scotch whisky (-8%) is attributed to reduced formal consumption occasions [6][8] - Gin and vodka are benefiting from the rising cocktail culture, with gin sales increasing by 20% and vodka by 4% in China [6] Group 4: Future Projections - IWSR forecasts that from 2024 to 2034, beer sales in China will remain stable, while RTDs are expected to grow at a CAGR of 2%, and sparkling wine at +5% [9] - The report predicts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% for Scotch whisky and 3% for gin in India from 2024 to 2029 [5] - The overall spirits category in the Asia-Pacific is expected to decline by 1% CAGR, but excluding baijiu, the growth rate is projected at +2% [9] Group 5: Wine and Beer Trends - The wine category in the Asia-Pacific region faced a 4% decline in 2024, an improvement from the 8% drop in 2023, with still wine and other wine categories contributing to the decrease [13] - Beer sales are expected to continue declining until 2026, with a projected recovery starting in 2027, particularly in India, Vietnam, Thailand, and the Philippines [14][16] Group 6: RTD Growth - RTDs are positioned for strong growth in the coming years, primarily driven by Japan and Korea, with a projected CAGR of +3% from 2024 to 2029 [17] - Japan is expected to be a key driver for RTD growth, while China, Korea, and India are also anticipated to see increases in this category [17]

Group 1 - The event highlighted the potential for economic cooperation between Bolivia and China, particularly in the agricultural sector [1][2] - Bolivia is rich in natural resources, including the world's largest lithium reserves, and has fertile agricultural land [1][2] - The bilateral trade volume between China and Bolivia reached $2.733 billion in 2024, with a notable increase in imports from Bolivia [2] Group 2 - Bolivia's geographical indication products, such as high-altitude wines and unique coffee, are expected to enhance trade cooperation [3] - The country aims to expand its exports to China, including chicken, pork, and honey, while promoting technology transfer from China [3]

Group 1 - Hong Kong is promoting itself as a hub for wine and spirits trade, with a focus on the strong demand growth in the Asia-Pacific region [1][2] - In 2024, Hong Kong's total imports of spirits are valued at $831 million, with France being the second-largest import market, accounting for 30% of the total [1] - The Chinese wine market is projected to generate approximately $31 billion in revenue in 2024, with expectations to grow to $54 billion by 2030, reflecting an annual growth rate of about 10% [1] Group 2 - The introduction of a dual-tiered spirits tax system in Hong Kong has reduced the tax rate on imported spirits priced over HKD 200 from 100% to 10% [1] - From 2013 to 2023, the import of spirits in Asia has increased by 79.3%, significantly outpacing the global growth rate of 42% during the same period [1] - Hong Kong hosts various brand events, such as the Hong Kong International Wine & Spirits Fair, providing French wine merchants with platforms to promote their brands to international buyers and distributors [2]

%% %% 行业研究丨深度报告丨白酒与葡萄酒 [Table_Title] 三得利烈酒发展复盘：因势酝变，厚积薄发 %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 三得利是仅次于帝亚吉欧和保乐力加的全球西式烈酒龙头，产品主要包括内生的角瓶、響、山 崎、白州等日本威士忌，和主要由对 Beam 收购获得的波本威士忌、伏特加、龙舌兰等。威士 忌作为外来酒种在日本生根发芽高增，一次是 20 世纪 50-80 年代西式消费需求主导、三得利 供给端扩张为辅，一次是 2008 年后三得利饮用方法供给端创新主导、需求端性价比消费风潮 为辅。三得利成为日本威士忌龙头的原因，对外是政策的多方面保护阻止了海外威士忌的竞争， 对内是更灵活的经营策略使其在与 Nikka 等酒企的竞争中收获多次关键节点上的先发优势。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 董思远 徐爽 朱梦兰 SAC：S0490517070016 SAC：S0490520030001 SAC：S0490522050003 SFC：BQK487 石智坤 SAC：S0490522090002 SFC：B ...

Group 1: Beer Industry Developments - Major beer companies are reducing workforce to control costs amid increasing competition in the industry [1][3] - Budweiser APAC reduced its workforce from approximately 25,000 in 2023 to over 21,000 in 2024, a decrease of about 4,000 employees or 16% [3] - Yanjing Beer and China Resources Beer also reported reductions of over 1,000 employees each, while Qingdao Beer cut more than 800 positions [3] Group 2: Wine Industry Events - The 5th China (Ningxia) International Wine Culture and Tourism Expo will be held from June 9 to 12, showcasing over 200 domestic and international wineries [5] - The expo will feature various activities, including a national wine industry skills competition and a cultural exhibition [5] Group 3: Labor Issues in Wine Sector - Workers at LVMH's champagne house went on strike on May 13, protesting salary and job security issues [7] - The wine and spirits division of LVMH is facing financial pressure, with a reported loss of €1.5 billion in 2024, contrasting with a cash flow of €1 billion in 2019 [7] Group 4: Leadership Changes - Treasury Wine Estates appointed Sam Fischer as the new CEO, with a compensation package including a fixed salary of AUD 1.73 million and a signing bonus of AUD 4 million [10][11] Group 5: Company Responses and Strategies - Luzhou Laojiao addressed concerns about halting orders, stating that it is maintaining normal supply channels and preparing for the upcoming Dragon Boat Festival [12][13] - Luzhou Laojiao plans to launch innovative products targeting younger consumers, including a collaboration with the sci-fi series "The Three-Body Problem" [12] Group 6: Share Buybacks and Financial Confidence - Kweichow Moutai announced a share buyback of 624,600 shares for a total of CNY 10.11 billion, completing two-thirds of its buyback plan [15] - The company plans to spend between CNY 3 billion and CNY 6 billion on share repurchases within the next 12 months [15] Group 7: Ningxia Wine Export Growth - Ningxia's wine exports reached CNY 13.75 million in 2024, supported by the development of 30 well-known wine import and export enterprises [17] - The brand value of Ningxia's Helan Mountain wine exceeded CNY 34 billion, ranking 8th in the regional brand value list [17]

【深圳商报讯】（记者李佳佳）5月9日，记者从第九届"深圳（湾区）国际品牌周"主场活动——2025粤 港澳大湾区质量品牌峰会上获悉，国际著名品牌价值评估咨询机构Brand Finance联合深圳工业总会，发 布了"2025中国品牌价值500强"中英文榜单。 作为全球领先的国际品牌价值评估机构，Brand Finance每年会对全球数千个知名品牌进行评估，并在每 年初的世界经济论坛期间年会上发布新一年的"全球品牌价值500强报告"，在国际上具高度权威性。 今年，粤港澳大湾区共有109个品牌上榜，深圳入榜的34个品牌中有17个"深圳知名品牌"和13个"国际信 誉品牌"。榜单前十的深圳品牌有腾讯、中国平安等。 报告显示，中国500强品牌总价值同比增长3%，达到2万亿美元，展现出中国品牌在全球竞争中的强劲 韧性与创新活力。 短视频平台抖音以1058亿美元的品牌价值连续两年蝉联榜首，其全球化布局与内容生态创新持续释放商 业潜力。 国家电网凭借绿色转型与数字化升级战略，品牌价值跃升至856亿美元，首次超越中国工商银行（791亿 美元），跻身第二。 工商银行、建设银行、农业银行等国有大行稳居前十，其中，中国银行以26.5%的 ...