新增一般债
Search documents
地方债周度跟踪:发行持续放缓,今年发行已近尾声-20251221
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-21 15:28
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The issuance and net financing of local government bonds in the current period (2025.12.15 - 2025.12.21) decreased significantly compared to the previous period, and the expected issuance and net financing in the next period (2025.12.22 - 2025.12.28) will also decline significantly. The weighted issuance term of local government bonds in the current period has lengthened. The issuance of new special bonds has used part of the 500 billion yuan carry - over quota, and the cumulative issuance in the current and next periods exceeds the original quota. The current spread between local government bonds and treasury bonds shows a narrowing trend for the 10Y and a widening trend for the 30Y, and the weekly turnover rate has decreased. Attention should be paid to the cost - effectiveness of 3/10/15Y local government bonds [2]. Summary by Directory 1. The issuance volume of local government bonds in the current period decreased, and the weighted issuance term lengthened - The total issuance/net financing of local government bonds in the current period (2025.12.15 - 2025.12.21) was 40.037 billion yuan/28.157 billion yuan (compared with 106.955 billion yuan/62.187 billion yuan in the previous period), and the expected issuance/net financing in the next period (2025.12.22 - 2025.12.28) is 2.037 billion yuan/- 3.174 billion yuan. The weighted issuance term of local government bonds in the current period was 16.15 years, which was longer than 12.52 years in the previous period [2][9]. - As of December 19, 2025, the cumulative issuance of new general bonds/new special bonds accounted for 96.2% and 103.4% of the annual quota respectively. Considering the expected issuance in the next period, it remains at 96.2% and 103.4%. The cumulative issuance in the current and next periods exceeds the original 4.4 trillion yuan quota by 14.95 billion yuan/15.15 billion yuan. The cumulative issuance progress in 2024 was 92.0%/99.7% and 94.5%/99.8%, and in 2023, it was 97.2%/98.0% and 97.3%/98.1% [2]. - The planned issuance scale of local government bonds in December 2025 is 176.1 billion yuan in total, of which new special bonds are 58.4 billion yuan. As of December 19, 2025, 17 regions have disclosed a total planned issuance scale of 176.1 billion yuan, with new special bonds of 58.4 billion yuan. The previous year's issuance in the same regions was 420.3 billion yuan and 800 million yuan, and the national issuance in the same period of the previous year was 1091.3 billion yuan and 2.11 billion yuan [2]. - In the current period, the issuance of special new special bonds was 1.2 billion yuan, and there was no issuance of special refinancing bonds for replacing implicit debts and repaying existing debts. As of December 19, 2025, the cumulative issuance of special new special bonds was 1366.8 billion yuan (1.2 billion yuan in the current period); the cumulative issuance of special refinancing bonds for replacing implicit debts was 2000 billion yuan (0 billion yuan in the current period), with the issuance progress reaching 100%, and this year's quota has been fully issued; since October 2025, the cumulative issuance of special refinancing bonds for repaying existing debts (possibly from the 500 billion yuan carry - over quota mentioned in the press conference of the Ministry of Finance on October 17) was 287.5 billion yuan (0 billion yuan in the current period) [2]. 2. The spread between local government bonds and treasury bonds in the current period narrowed for the 10Y and widened for the 30Y, and the weekly turnover rate decreased - As of December 19, 2025, the spreads between 10 - year and 30 - year local government bonds and treasury bonds were 22.92BP and 21.48BP respectively, narrowing by 1.12BP and widening by 3.35BP compared with December 12, 2025 (which were 24.04BP and 18.13BP respectively on December 12, 2025), and were at the 72.20% and 83.20% historical quantiles since 2023 respectively. The weekly turnover rate of local government bonds in the current period was 0.77%, a decrease compared with 0.86% in the previous period. The yields and liquidity of 7 - 10Y local government bonds in regions such as Yunnan, Jilin, and Guizhou were better than the national average [2]. - Regarding the cost - effectiveness of local government bonds, taking 10 - year local government bonds as an observation anchor, since 2018, the top of the spread adjustment may be about 20 - 25BP higher than the lower limit of the issuance spread, and the bottom may be near the lower limit of the issuance spread. Currently, the top of the spread between local government bonds and treasury bonds may be around 30 - 35BP, and the bottom may be around 5 - 10BP [2].
地方债周度跟踪:减国债利差表现分化,下周发行降速-20251214
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-14 13:09
2025 年 12 月 14 日 减国债利差表现分化,下周发行降 速 ——地方债周度跟踪 20251212 相关研究 《今年 2 万亿置换隐债专项债已全 部发行完毕——地方债周度跟踪 20251205》 2025/12/07 《发行提速但下周再降速,5000 亿 结存限额发行或已过半 ——地方 债周度跟踪 20251128》 2025/11/30 《减国债利差皆收窄,下周发行明 显提速——地方债周度跟踪 20251121》 2025/11/23 《新增债发行提速,减国债利差表 现分化——地方债周度跟踪 20251114》 2025/11/16 《7Y 以上地方债减国债利差收窄, 下周发行明显提速——地方债周度 跟踪 20251107》 2025/11/10 《地方债,正当时》 2025/04/09 证券分析师 黄伟平 A0230524110002 huangwp@swsresearch.com 杨雪芳 A0230524120003 yangxf@swsresearch.com 联系人 杨雪芳 A0230524120003 yangxf@swsresearch.com 债 券 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请 ...
地方债周报:地方债发行利差走阔-20251201
CMS· 2025-12-01 12:03
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report analyzes the primary and secondary market conditions of local government bonds in the week ending December 1, 2025, including net financing, issuance terms, issuance spreads, fundraising directions, and trading activities [1][5]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Primary Market Issuance Situation - **Net Financing**: This week, local government bonds issued a total of 351.4 billion yuan, with net financing increasing by 199.2 billion yuan. The net financing amount was 325.9 billion yuan, with new general bonds at 8.7 billion yuan, new special bonds at 225.3 billion yuan, refinancing general bonds at 68.8 billion yuan, and refinancing special bonds at 48.6 billion yuan [1][9]. - **Issuance Terms**: The 10 - year local government bonds had the highest issuance proportion (27%) this week, and the proportion of 10 - year and above bonds was 76%, slightly down from last week. The 30 - year bonds' issuance proportion increased significantly, while the 5 - year bonds' decreased by about 8 percentage points [1][12]. - **Debt - Resolution - Related Local Government Bonds**: This week, special refinancing bonds worth 82.7 billion yuan were issued. As of now, 34 regions have disclosed plans to issue special refinancing bonds totaling 2.2802 trillion yuan in 2025, including 2 trillion yuan of special bonds for replacing hidden debts. Jiangsu, Hunan, Henan, and Guizhou are expected to issue 251.1 billion yuan, 128.8 billion yuan, 122.7 billion yuan, and 117.6 billion yuan respectively [2][15]. - **Issuance Spreads**: The weighted average issuance spread of local government bonds this week was 20.4bp, wider than last week. The 30 - year bonds had the highest weighted average issuance spread at 25.8bp, and spreads for all terms widened. Jilin, Hebei, and Inner Mongolia had weighted average issuance spreads exceeding 25bp [1][25]. - **Fundraising Directions**: As of the end of this week, the main fundraising directions of new special bonds in 2025 were cold - chain logistics, municipal and industrial park infrastructure construction (29%), transportation infrastructure (17%), land reserve (17%), affordable housing projects (11%), and social undertakings (11%). The proportion of land reserve increased by 16.9% compared to 2024, while that of cold - chain logistics, municipal and industrial park infrastructure construction decreased by 8.3% [2][28]. - **Issuance Plans**: As of the end of this week, 34 regions have disclosed their fourth - quarter 2025 local government bond issuance plans. Considering the actual issuance in October and November, the total planned issuance in the fourth quarter is nearly 1.6 trillion yuan, with 104.9 billion yuan in December. Next week, 108.7 billion yuan of local government bonds are planned to be issued, with a repayment amount of 48.2 billion yuan and net financing of 60.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 265.4 billion yuan compared to this week [3][33]. 3.2 Secondary Market Situation - **Secondary Spreads**: This week, the secondary spreads of 15 - year and 30 - year local government bonds were relatively high, while those of 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, and 7 - year bonds narrowed. The secondary spreads of 15 - year and 30 - year bonds were 18.7bp and 16.4bp respectively. In terms of historical quantiles over the past three years, the secondary spreads of 3 - year and 30 - year bonds were at relatively high levels, 44% and 70% respectively. Regionally, the secondary spreads of bonds over 20 - year in each region were relatively high, between 14 - 18bp, and those of bonds over 10 - year in medium - level regions were also relatively high [5][36]. - **Trading Volume**: This week, the trading volume and turnover rate of local government bonds decreased compared to last week. Shenzhen and Chongqing had relatively high turnover rates. The trading volume of local government bonds reached 379 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.70%. Guangdong had the largest trading volume at 3.62 billion yuan, while Shenzhen and Chongqing had the highest turnover rates at 2.0% and 1.6% respectively [5][41].
政府债发行追踪(2025年第48周)
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-01 05:38
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View - The report tracks the issuance of government bonds in the 48th week of 2025, presenting the issuance progress, scale, and planned issuance of new special bonds, new general bonds, local bonds, and treasury bonds [3][7][9][13] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs New Special Bonds - As of November 30, the issuance progress of new special bonds was 101.3% [3] - This week, new special bonds issued 225.3 billion yuan, a week - on - week increase of 143 billion yuan, and next week's planned issuance is 39 billion yuan [3] - In November, the cumulative issuance of new special bonds was 492.2 billion yuan [4] New General Bonds - As of November 30, the issuance progress of new general bonds was 91.5% [8] - This week, new general bonds issued 8.8 billion yuan, a week - on - week decrease of 11.6 billion yuan, and next week's planned issuance is 11.4 billion yuan [7] - In November, the cumulative issuance of new general bonds was 41.6 billion yuan [5] Local Bonds - This week, the net financing scale of local bonds was 325.9 billion yuan, a week - on - week increase of 199.2 billion yuan, and next week's planned net financing is 60.5 billion yuan [9] - As of November 30, the issuance progress of new local bonds was 99.8% [10] Treasury Bonds - This week, the net financing scale of treasury bonds was 39.1 billion yuan, a week - on - week decrease of 62.5 billion yuan, and next week's planned net financing is - 133.8 billion yuan [13] - As of November 30, the net financing progress of treasury bonds was 93.2% [14] Government Bonds - This week, the net financing scale of government bonds was 365 billion yuan, a week - on - week increase of 136.7 billion yuan, and next week's planned net financing is - 73.3 billion yuan [15] - As of November 30, the progress of treasury bond net financing + new local bond issuance was 96.1% [15]
政府债发行追踪(2025年第47周)
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 06:04
Report Summary 1. Core Data - This week, the net financing scale of local government bonds was 126.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 116.4 billion yuan from the previous week. Next week, the planned net financing is 304.1 billion yuan. As of November 23, the issuance progress of new local government bonds was 95.3% [6]. - This week, the net financing scale of treasury bonds was 101.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 142.7 billion yuan from the previous week. Next week, the planned net financing is -56.1 billion yuan. As of November 23, the net financing progress of treasury bonds was 92.6% [10]. - As of November 23, the issuance progress of new general bonds was 90.4%. This week, the issuance of new general bonds was 2.04 billion yuan, an increase of 0.78 billion yuan from the previous week. Next week, the planned issuance is 0.88 billion yuan. As of November 23, the cumulative issuance of new general bonds in November was 3.29 billion yuan [17][18]. - As of November 23, the issuance progress of new special bonds was 96.2%. This week, the issuance of new special bonds was 82.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 57.1 billion yuan from the previous week. Next week, the planned issuance is 225.4 billion yuan. As of November 23, the cumulative issuance of new special bonds in November was 266.9 billion yuan [18]. 2. Core View The report provides a detailed tracking of the issuance of government bonds in the 47th week of 2025, including the net financing scale and issuance progress of local government bonds, treasury bonds, general bonds, and special bonds, which helps investors understand the current situation of government bond issuance.
地方债周度跟踪:减国债利差皆收窄,下周发行明显提速-20251123
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-23 09:46
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The issuance and net financing of local government bonds decreased significantly on a week - on - week basis this period, but are expected to increase significantly next period. The issuance/net financing of local government bonds in this period (2025.11.17 - 2025.11.23) was 184.659 billion yuan/126.343 billion yuan, and the expected issuance/net financing for next period (2025.11.24 - 2025.11.30) is 351.461 billion yuan/326.313 billion yuan [2]. - The issuance of new local government bonds slowed down this period and is expected to speed up significantly next period. As of November 21, 2025, the cumulative issuance of new general bonds/new special bonds accounted for 90.3% and 95.6% of the annual quota respectively, and is expected to be 91.4% and 100.7% considering the expected issuance next period [2]. - The planned issuance of local government bonds from November to December 2025 is 713.3 billion yuan in total, with new special bonds amounting to 347.5 billion yuan [2]. - The spreads between local government bonds and treasury bonds for 10 - year and 30 - year terms narrowed this period, and the weekly turnover rate increased on a week - on - week basis. As of November 21, 2025, the spreads were 14.34BP and 18.24BP respectively, narrowing by 1.26BP and 3.95BP compared to November 14, 2025 [2]. - The spreads between 15/20/30 - year, especially 15 - year, local government bonds and treasury bonds still have certain value for investment [2]. 3. Summary Based on the Table of Contents 3.1 This period, the issuance volume of local government bonds increased, and the weighted issuance term lengthened - The issuance volume of local government bonds decreased this period compared to the previous period, but is expected to increase next period. The weighted issuance term of local government bonds this period was 14.30 years, longer than 13.90 years in the previous period [2][5][10]. - As of November 21, 2025, the cumulative issuance of new general bonds/new special bonds accounted for 90.3% and 95.6% of the annual quota respectively, and is expected to be 91.4% and 100.7% considering the expected issuance next period. The cumulative issuance progress is lower than that of the same period in 2023 and 2024 [2][13][16]. - The planned issuance of local government bonds from November to December 2025 is 713.3 billion yuan in total, with new special bonds amounting to 347.5 billion yuan. As of November 21, 2025, 29 regions have disclosed the planned issuance [2][24][25]. - This period, special new special bonds worth 4.9 billion yuan were issued, and special refinancing bonds for replacing hidden debts and repaying existing debts were issued at 0 billion yuan and 40 billion yuan respectively [2][20][21]. 3.2 This period, the spreads between 10 - year and 30 - year local government bonds and treasury bonds narrowed, and the weekly turnover rate increased on a week - on - week basis - As of November 21, 2025, the 10 - year and 30 - year spreads between local government bonds and treasury bonds were 14.34BP and 18.24BP respectively, narrowing by 1.26BP and 3.95BP compared to November 14, 2025, and are at the 18.00% and 69.70% historical quantiles since 2023 [2][30][34]. - The weekly turnover rate of local government bonds this period was 0.80%, up from 0.71% in the previous period [2][37][38]. - The yields and liquidity of 7 - 10Y local government bonds in regions such as Xiamen, Beijing, and Jiangxi are better than the national average [2]. - The spreads between 15/20/30 - year, especially 15 - year, local government bonds and treasury bonds still have certain value for investment. Since 2018, the top of the spread adjustment may be 20 - 25BP above the lower limit of the issuance spread, and the bottom may be around the lower limit of the issuance spread [2].
地方债周度跟踪:新增债发行提速,减国债利差表现分化-20251116
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-16 15:31
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The issuance and net financing of local government bonds increased significantly this period, but are expected to decline next period. The weighted issuance term of local government bonds shortened this period. The issuance progress of new bonds is still slow, with the cumulative issuance progress lower than that of the same period in 2023 and 2024. The scale of local government bonds planned to be issued from November to December 2025 is 713.3 billion yuan, including 347.5 billion yuan of new special bonds. The spread between local government bonds and treasury bonds narrowed for the 10 - year term and widened for the 30 - year term this period, and the weekly turnover rate decreased. The spread between 15 - 30 - year local government bonds and treasury bonds still has certain value for investment. [3] 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 This period, the issuance volume of local government bonds increased, and the weighted issuance term shortened - This period (2025.11.10 - 2025.11.16), the total issuance/net financing of local government bonds was 285.066 billion yuan/242.792 billion yuan (last period was 91.607 billion yuan/-33.641 billion yuan), and next period (2025.11.17 - 2025.11.23), the expected issuance/net financing is 184.659 billion yuan/126.343 billion yuan. The weighted issuance term of local government bonds this period was 13.90 years, shorter than 14.57 years in the previous period. [3] - As of November 14, 2025, the cumulative issuance of new general bonds/new special bonds accounted for 87.8% and 93.7% of the annual quota respectively, and considering the expected issuance next period, it will be 90.3% and 95.6%. The cumulative issuance progress in 2024 was 88.9%/97.2% and 90.9%/98.0%, and in 2023 it was 91.6%/94.4% and 94.3%/95.9%. [3] - As of November 14, 2025, 29 regions have disclosed that the scale of local government bonds planned to be issued from November to December 2025 is 713.3 billion yuan (701.6 billion yuan in November and 11.7 billion yuan in December), including 347.5 billion yuan of new special bonds (343.9 billion yuan in November and 3.6 billion yuan in December). The issuance in the same period last year in the same regions was 1897.6 billion yuan and 71.8 billion yuan, and the national issuance in the same period last year was 2405.4 billion yuan and 106.8 billion yuan. [3] - This period, the issuance of special new special bonds was 4 billion yuan, and the issuance of special refinancing bonds for replacing hidden debts and repaying existing debts was 5.1 billion yuan and 0.28 billion yuan respectively. As of November 14, 2025, the cumulative issuance of special new special bonds was 1291.8 billion yuan; the cumulative issuance of special refinancing bonds for replacing hidden debts was 1996.2 billion yuan, with an issuance progress of 99.8%, and 32 regions such as Zhejiang have completed the issuance; since October 2025, the cumulative issuance of special refinancing bonds for repaying existing debts has been 101.6 billion yuan. [3] 3.2 This period, the spread between local government bonds and treasury bonds narrowed for the 10 - year term and widened for the 30 - year term, and the weekly turnover rate decreased - As of November 14, 2025, the spreads between 10 - year and 30 - year local government bonds and treasury bonds were 15.60BP and 22.19BP respectively, narrowing by 4.98BP and widening by 2.00BP compared with November 7, 2025, and were at the 25.80% and 87.10% historical quantiles since 2023 respectively. The weekly turnover rate of local government bonds this period was 0.71%, a decrease compared with 0.87% in the previous period. The yields and liquidity of 7 - 10 - year local government bonds in regions such as Guizhou, Jilin, and Qingdao were better than the national average. [3] - Currently, the spread between 15 - 30 - year local government bonds and treasury bonds still has certain value for investment. Taking 10 - year local government bonds as an observation anchor, since 2018, the upper limit of the spread adjustment may be about 20 - 25BP above the lower limit of the issuance spread, and the lower limit may be near the lower limit of the issuance spread. Currently, the upper limit of the spread between local government bonds and treasury bonds may be around 30 - 35BP, and the lower limit may be around 5 - 10BP. [3]
7Y以上地方债减国债利差收窄,下周发行明显提速:地方债周度跟踪20251107-20251110
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-10 03:56
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The issuance and net financing of local government bonds decreased on a sequential basis this period, and are expected to increase significantly on a sequential basis next period. The weighted issuance term of local government bonds lengthened. The spreads between 10Y and 30Y local government bonds and treasury bonds narrowed, and the weekly turnover rate increased on a sequential basis. The current spread between local government bonds and treasury bonds still has certain value for investment [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Current Situation of Local Government Bond Issuance - This period (from November 3, 2025, to November 9, 2025), the total issuance/net financing of local government bonds was 9.1607 billion yuan/-3.3641 billion yuan (compared to 27.0682 billion yuan/17.5677 billion yuan in the previous period). It is expected that the issuance/net financing next period (from November 10, 2025, to November 16, 2025) will be 28.5067 billion yuan/24.2792 billion yuan. The weighted issuance term of local government bonds this period was 14.57 years, longer than 13.72 years in the previous period [2][6]. - As of November 7, 2025, the cumulative issuance of new general bonds/new special bonds accounted for 86.2% and 90.5% of the annual quota respectively. Considering the expected issuance next period, it will be 87.8% and 93.7%. The cumulative issuance progress in 2024 was 88.6%/97.0% and 88.9%/97.2%, and in 2023 was 91.5%/94.4% and 91.6%/94.4% [2][15]. - As of November 7, 2025, 29 regions have disclosed that the planned issuance scale of local government bonds from November to December 2025 is 71.33 billion yuan (70.16 billion yuan and 1.17 billion yuan in November and December respectively), including 34.75 billion yuan of new special bonds (34.39 billion yuan and 0.36 billion yuan in November and December respectively). The issuance in the same period last year in the same regions was 189.76 billion yuan and 7.18 billion yuan, and the national issuance in the same period last year was 240.54 billion yuan and 10.68 billion yuan [2]. - This period, the issuance of special new special bonds was 100 million yuan, and the issuance of special refinancing bonds for replacing hidden debts and repaying existing debts was 0 yuan and 570 million yuan respectively. As of November 7, 2025, the cumulative issuance of special new special bonds was 125.18 billion yuan (100 million yuan issued this period); the cumulative issuance of special refinancing bonds for replacing hidden debts was 199.34 billion yuan (0 yuan issued this period), with an issuance progress of 99.7%, and 32 regions such as Zhejiang have completed the issuance (no new regions this period); since October 2025, the cumulative issuance of special refinancing bonds for repaying existing debts (possibly from the 500 - billion - yuan unused quota mentioned in the press conference of the Ministry of Finance on October 17) was 5.07 billion yuan (570 million yuan issued this period) [2]. 3.2 Spreads and Turnover Rate - As of November 7, 2025, the spreads between 10 - year and 30 - year local government bonds and treasury bonds were 20.58BP and 20.19BP respectively, narrowing by 2.88BP and 3.50BP compared to October 31, 2025 (23.46BP and 23.69BP on October 31, 2025), and were at the 58.70% and 77.70% historical quantiles since 2023 respectively [2]. - The weekly turnover rate of local government bonds this period was 0.87%, increasing on a sequential basis compared to 0.70% in the previous period. The yields and liquidity of 7 - 10Y local government bonds in regions such as Yunnan, Guizhou, and Qingdao were better than the national average this period [2]. - Taking the 10 - year local government bond as an observation anchor, since 2018, the upper limit of the spread adjustment may be about 20 - 25BP higher than the lower limit of the issuance spread, and the lower limit may be around the lower limit of the issuance spread. Currently, the upper limit of the spread between local government bonds and treasury bonds may be around 30 - 35BP, and the lower limit may be around 5 - 10BP [2].
政府债发行追踪:2025年第45周
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-10 03:06
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core View - The report tracks the issuance of government bonds in the 45th week of 2025, presenting the issuance progress, weekly issuance, and planned issuance of various types of bonds, including new special bonds, new general bonds, new local bonds, and treasury bonds, as well as the net financing scale of local bonds and treasury bonds [2][4][6]. 3. Summary by Bond Type New Special Bonds - As of November 9, the issuance progress of new special bonds was 91.1%. This week, 45.2 billion yuan of new special bonds were issued, a decrease of 109.7 billion yuan from the previous week. Next week, 139.4 billion yuan is planned to be issued. As of November 9, the cumulative issuance of new special bonds in November was 45.2 billion yuan [4][5]. New General Bonds - As of November 9, the issuance progress of new general bonds was 86.3%. This week, 0 yuan of new general bonds were issued, a decrease of 1.7 billion yuan from the previous week. Next week, 1.25 billion yuan is planned to be issued. As of November 9, the cumulative issuance of new general bonds in January was 0 yuan [5][6]. New Local Bonds - As of November 9, the issuance progress of new local bonds was 90.4% [9]. Treasury Bonds - This week, the net financing scale of treasury bonds was 225.8 billion yuan, an increase of 225.8 billion yuan from the previous week. Next week, the planned net financing is 22 billion yuan. As of November 9, the net financing progress of treasury bonds was 87.4% [12]. Local Bonds - This week, the net financing scale of local bonds was -33.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 209.3 billion yuan from the previous week. Next week, the planned net financing is 242.8 billion yuan [18].
政府债发行追踪:2025年第44周
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-03 06:33
Report Summary 1. Core Data - As of November 2, the issuance progress of new special bonds was 90.1%. This week, 154.9 billion yuan of new special bonds were issued, a week-on-week increase of 42.5 billion yuan, and 45.2 billion yuan is planned to be issued next week [4]. - As of October 31, the cumulative issuance of new special bonds in October was 287.4 billion yuan, and the cumulative issuance of new general bonds was 18.3 billion yuan [5]. - As of November 2, the issuance progress of new general bonds was 86.3%. This week, 17 billion yuan of new general bonds were issued, a week-on-week increase of 15.7 billion yuan, and 0 yuan is planned to be issued next week [6]. - This week, the net financing scale of local bonds was 175.7 billion yuan, a week-on-week increase of 9.9 billion yuan. Next week, the planned net financing scale is -36 billion yuan. As of November 2, the issuance progress of new local bonds was 89.5% [9]. - As of November 2, the net financing progress of treasury bonds was 84.0% [12]. - This week, the net financing of government bonds was 175.7 billion yuan, a week-on-week decrease of 13.6 billion yuan. Next week, the planned net financing scale is 114.5 billion yuan. As of November 2, the net financing of treasury bonds + the issuance progress of new local bonds was 86.4% [15]. - This week, the net financing scale of treasury bonds was 0 yuan, a week-on-week decrease of 23.6 billion yuan. Next week, the planned net financing scale is 150.4 billion yuan [19]. 2. Core View The report tracks the issuance of government bonds in the 44th week of 2025, presenting the issuance progress, issuance scale, and net financing scale of new special bonds, new general bonds, local bonds, and treasury bonds, as well as their week-on-week changes and future issuance plans [4][6][9]