证券研究报告：建筑材料|行业周报 行业相对指数表现 研究所 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《地产政策持续落地，关注建材龙头估 值修复机遇》 - 2026.01.05 建材行业报告 （2026.01.05-2026.01.11） 发布时间：2026-01-12 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 5560.36 | | 52 周最高 | 5560.36 | | 52 周最低 | 4167.51 | 电子纱 1 月价格提涨，后续仍存涨价预期 投资要点 上周电子纱价格提涨，中高端产品供需关系紧张，中高端产品货 紧价扬带动普通电子纱 G75 价格继续跟涨，截至 1 月最新价格，国内 G75 均价维持 9377 元/吨，环比上涨近 1%，同比涨幅达 11.31%，在 PCB 高端需求增长支撑下，预计后期价格仍有提涨预期。建议关注： 中国巨石、中材科技。 水泥：年末全国市场逐步进入淡季，整体来看，全国需求仍呈现 下滑态势，房建市场持续疲弱，基建需求在政策驱动下 ...

Core Insights - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for the construction materials industry, reflecting cautious optimism amid ongoing market challenges [2][3] - Key companies like China Jushi and China National Materials have initiated stock incentive plans, indicating confidence in long-term growth [6][21] Group 1: Stock Incentives and Market Management - China Jushi announced a stock incentive plan for 2025, proposing to grant up to 34.52 million shares (approximately 0.86% of total shares), with performance targets set for net profit growth [6][17] - China National Materials also introduced a stock option plan, aiming to grant 15.4 million options (about 0.92% of total shares), with ambitious profit growth targets [6][18] - An article in "Qiushi" magazine emphasized the need for improved management of real estate market expectations, suggesting that timely policy measures could stabilize the market [22][23] Group 2: Industry Fundamentals Tracking - The construction materials sector is experiencing a downturn, with leading companies showing early signs of revenue and profit recovery [34] - In the cement sector, national prices fell by 0.3% week-on-week, with an average price of 353 RMB/ton as of January 2, 2026 [6][35] - The glass market is mixed, with float glass prices showing slight declines, while photovoltaic glass remains stable [6][39] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - The report highlights that the construction materials industry is at a historical valuation low, suggesting potential investment opportunities in leading companies [6][34] - Key companies such as Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, and China Jushi are noted for their strong market positions and potential for profit recovery [6][35][36] - The report provides detailed financial metrics for various companies, indicating a range of price-to-earnings (PE) ratios and expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026 [7]

Core Viewpoint - The construction materials industry is expected to see improved profitability and demand in 2025, driven by "anti-involution" policies and a gradual recovery in key product demand [1][2]. Fundamental Analysis - In the first three quarters of 2025, demand for major construction materials showed slight improvement, while "anti-involution" policies positively impacted supply-side dynamics, leading to improved profitability across various sub-sectors [2]. - The construction materials index rose by 20.8% from January 2 to December 23, 2025, ranking 11th among all sectors, while the CSI 300 index increased by 17.43% during the same period [1][2]. Real Estate and Infrastructure - The real estate market continues to stabilize, with a downward trend in sales and completion rates, alongside declining housing prices; however, inventory reduction is evident as the area of unsold commercial housing has been decreasing since early 2025 [2]. - Infrastructure investment growth is declining despite an increase in the scale of special bonds directed towards land reserves [2]. Investment Recommendations - Focus on two main lines: 1. "Anti-involution" policies are expected to alleviate overcapacity issues in the construction materials sector, with an emphasis on traditional materials [2]. 2. The demand for high-end fiberglass products is anticipated to enhance industry profitability [2]. Sector-Specific Insights - **Cement**: The ongoing "anti-involution" policies are expected to ease overcapacity in the cement industry, with a long-term improvement in supply-demand dynamics anticipated to boost profitability, particularly for leading companies like Conch Cement [3]. - **Float Glass**: Demand remains weak, but supply-side changes from "anti-involution" policies may improve the supply-demand balance; companies like Xinyi Glass are recommended for attention [3]. - **Photovoltaic Glass**: The industry is currently facing overcapacity, but leading companies with cost advantages are likely to benefit from improved supply-demand conditions as "anti-involution" policies are implemented [3]. - **Consumer Building Materials**: The increasing proportion of aging housing is expected to drive demand for renovation-related building materials, with companies like Skshu Paint and Beixin Building Materials highlighted for potential investment [3]. Fiberglass Sector - The "anti-involution" policies are expected to prevent redundant capacity and curb vicious price competition in the fiberglass sector, with rising demand for mid-to-high-end fiberglass products likely to enhance profitability; companies such as China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology are recommended for investment [4].

Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Insights - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the importance of domestic demand and proposed actions to boost consumption, indicating a potential recovery in the construction materials sector in 2026 due to improved fundamentals and valuations [4] - Cement demand is currently under pressure, with a national decline in demand observed, particularly in the housing market, while infrastructure demand shows regional differentiation. The cement industry is expected to see a reduction in overproduction, leading to improved capacity utilization and profit elasticity [4][8] - The glass industry continues to face demand challenges, with high inventory levels among intermediaries and limited improvement in downstream demand. Price fluctuations are expected to remain low due to ongoing supply-demand pressures [5][13] - The fiberglass sector is experiencing stable demand in certain areas, such as wind power and electronics, with expectations for explosive growth driven by AI-related demand [5] - The consumer building materials sector has reached a profitability bottom, with strong pricing improvement requests from companies, indicating potential for profit recovery in the latter half of the year [5] Summary by Sections Cement - December marks the onset of the off-peak season in the northern regions, with national demand continuing to decline. The housing market remains weak, while infrastructure demand is driven by policy, showing significant regional differences. The civil market exhibits relatively rigid demand [4][8] - In November 2025, cement production was 154 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year decline [8] Glass - The glass industry is under pressure, with traditional peak season orders showing limited improvement and high inventory levels among intermediaries. Supply-side adjustments are expected with the cold repair of five production lines, but overall supply-demand pressures persist [5][13] Fiberglass - Demand in sectors like wind power and electronics remains stable, while traditional demand for coarse sand is slowing. The industry is expected to see growth driven by AI-related demand, with a clear upgrade in product structure [5] Consumer Building Materials - The sector's profitability has reached a low point, with no further downward price pressure expected. Companies are actively seeking price increases, indicating a strong desire for profit improvement [5]

发布时间：2025-12-15 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 证券研究报告：建筑材料|行业周报 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 5178.51 | | 52 周最高 | 5417.39 | | 52 周最低 | 4167.51 | 行业相对指数表现 -10% -7% -4% -1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 14% 17% 20% 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 2025-07 2025-09 2025-12 建筑材料 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 建材行业报告 （2025.12.08-2025.12.14） 中央经济会议定调内需，提振消费政策值得期待 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《需求逐步进入淡季，期待地产及化债 政策落地》 - 2025.12.08 投资要点 中央经济工作会议 12 月 10 日至 11 日在北京举行，会议提出坚 持内需主导，建设强大国内市场。深入实施提振消费专项行动，制定 实施城乡居民增收计划。扩大优质商品和服务 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the real estate market in China is under pressure, with expectations for policy changes to stimulate demand, including mortgage subsidies for new home buyers and tax rebates for borrowers [4] - The construction materials sector is anticipated to see a valuation recovery as the fundamentals of cyclical building materials companies have bottomed out [4] - Cement prices are expected to rise in the short term due to supply constraints from seasonal production policies, despite a recent decline in demand [5] - The glass industry is facing a downward trend in demand, with high inventory levels among intermediaries, and the need for policy changes to improve market conditions [6] - The fiberglass sector is experiencing growth driven by demand from the AI industry, with expectations for a significant increase in both volume and price [6] - The consumer building materials segment has reached a profitability bottom, with strong price increase demands from companies following years of competition [6] Summary by Sections Cement - National cement market prices have decreased recently, with a production volume of 148 million tons in October, down 15.8% year-on-year [10] - Demand is still under pressure, but there is a slight improvement expected in November due to project rush [10] Glass - The glass industry is experiencing a continuous decline in demand, with traditional peak season orders showing limited improvement [17] - Supply-demand imbalances persist, and the industry is closely monitoring policy changes for potential recovery [17] Fiberglass - The fiberglass sector is seeing price increases of 5%-10% due to collaborative pricing efforts among manufacturers, with strong demand from the AI sector [6] Consumer Building Materials - The industry has reached a profitability bottom, with no further downward price pressure expected, and companies are actively seeking price increases [6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes that the market is entering a window of strengthened domestic demand logic, driven by factors such as heightened Sino-US trade tensions, the release of Q3 reports, and a pullback in the technology sector. This may lead to increased attention on low-position domestic demand sectors, particularly in the building materials sector, which includes cement, glass, and consumer building materials [4][5] - The report suggests that the cement industry is expected to see a gradual recovery in demand as it enters the peak season, although growth remains limited. The implementation of policies to restrict overproduction is anticipated to enhance capacity utilization in the medium term [5][10] - The glass industry is facing a downward trend in demand due to real estate impacts, with short-term demand remaining weak and prices showing signs of loosening. The report notes that while environmental policies may not lead to a drastic reduction in capacity, they will increase costs and accelerate industry adjustments [5][15] - The fiberglass sector is experiencing growth driven by demand from the AI industry, with expectations for a significant increase in both volume and price for low-dielectric products [5] - The consumer building materials sector is projected to see a bottoming out of profitability, with strong price increase demands supported by anti-involution policies, leading to potential improvements in profitability for leading companies [5] Summary by Sections Cement - The cement market is gradually entering the peak season, with overall demand showing limited recovery. In August 2025, cement production was 148 million tons, down 6.2% year-on-year [5][10] - The report highlights the need to monitor the impact of weather and demand release rhythms on infrastructure and housing construction [5] Glass - The glass industry is currently facing a decline in demand, with prices showing signs of loosening post-holiday. The report indicates that the supply-demand imbalance persists, and future demand improvements are uncertain [5][15] Fiberglass - The fiberglass sector is benefiting from the AI industry's demand, with expectations for a surge in both volume and price for specific products. The report expresses optimism about the ongoing growth trend in this sector [5] Consumer Building Materials - The report notes that the consumer building materials sector has reached a profitability low point, with strong price increase demands expected to lead to profitability improvements for leading companies in the second half of the year [5][18]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" for both construction and building materials, maintained from previous assessments [7]. Core Insights - The report indicates that the construction sector is approaching a turning point, with expectations of narrowing year-on-year declines in revenue due to a low base in Q3 2024 [1]. - The demand for consumer building materials remains relatively stable, with retail categories showing signs of resilience despite ongoing pressures in the engineering sector [1]. - The cement and glass sectors are experiencing weak physical volumes, but there are signs of inventory and price improvements as of September [1]. - High-end demand for fiberglass is strong, leading to continuous profit improvements for companies in that segment, while carbon fiber prices remain stable, supported by wind energy demand [1]. Summary by Sections Construction Sector - In Q3 2025, local government special bond net financing is approximately 1.6 trillion yuan, a decrease of 2.11% from Q2 [2]. - Infrastructure, real estate, and manufacturing investments have shown a year-on-year decline of 1.2%, 0.9%, and 1.1 percentage points respectively compared to the previous month [2]. - Major state-owned enterprises are expected to maintain flat revenue, but the year-on-year decline may narrow due to the low base effect from Q3 2024 [2]. - Regional state-owned enterprises are expected to perform variably, with some regions like Sichuan showing profit growth [2]. Consumer Building Materials - Prices for key raw materials in Q3 2025 show mixed trends, with waterproofing and gypsum board prices increasing while others like hardware and pipes decline [3]. - The cumulative sales of commercial housing from January to August 2025 decreased by 4.7%, while the sales of second-hand homes in sample cities still showed positive growth [3]. - Retail sales in the building and decoration materials sector reached 108.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.8% [3]. Cement and Glass - The average price of cement in Q3 2025 is 349 yuan/ton, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 10.5% [4]. - The average price of float glass is 65 yuan per heavy box, down 13.3% year-on-year, but there is a price increase trend starting in September [4]. - The profitability of the glass sector is expected to improve year-on-year, although supply-side changes are still needed [4]. Fiberglass and Carbon Fiber - The demand for high-end electronic yarn remains strong, with profit improvements expected for fiberglass companies [5]. - The average price of carbon fiber has remained stable, with a slight year-on-year decline, but overall demand is improving, particularly in the wind energy sector [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the building materials industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's performance relative to the overall market [2][10]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the cement industry is experiencing a traditional seasonal downturn in Q3 2025, with prices expected to decline after peaking earlier in the year. The average cement price in Q3 2025 is projected at 353.1 CNY/ton, down 27.6 CNY/ton from the previous quarter and down 33.5% year-on-year [2][3]. - The report notes that while the cement industry's profitability is under pressure, there are ongoing developments in overseas markets, particularly in Africa, where profitability is expected to improve [2]. - In the fiberglass sector, the report indicates that mid-to-high-end product prices are more resilient, with special fabrics contributing positively to profitability. The report anticipates continued differentiation in the fiberglass market, with low-end products facing weaker profitability [2][3]. - The consumer building materials segment is expected to see strong performance from quality companies, particularly in categories like coatings and tiles, as demand in the residential real estate market remains relatively weak [2]. - The glass industry is facing challenges, with photovoltaic glass prices slightly declining and flat glass prices under pressure. The report suggests that the industry may see a shift towards cleaner production methods, which could improve profitability in the coming years [2]. Summary by Sections Cement - Q3 2025 is a traditional off-season for the cement industry, with prices expected to decline after a peak earlier in the year. The average price is projected at 353.1 CNY/ton, down 27.6 CNY/ton from the previous quarter and down 33.5% year-on-year [2][3]. - The industry is expected to face overall profitability pressure, but overseas expansion, particularly in Africa, shows promise for improved earnings [2]. Fiberglass - Mid-to-high-end fiberglass products are showing stronger price resilience, while low-end products are struggling. The report anticipates continued growth in special fabric sales [2][3]. Consumer Building Materials - Quality companies in the consumer building materials sector are expected to stand out, particularly in categories with strong brand value and retail attributes. Price increases in various segments are anticipated to stabilize in Q3 2025 [2]. Glass - The glass industry is experiencing price declines, particularly in photovoltaic and flat glass. The report suggests a potential shift towards cleaner production methods, which may enhance profitability in the future [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with improving Q3 performance expectations and strong fundamentals, including major players in the cement, fiberglass, consumer building materials, and glass sectors [2][3].

Group 1: Cement Industry - The demand for cement is improving slightly, with companies actively pushing for price increases due to the traditional peak season [1] - National cement prices have seen a slight increase this week, driven by higher demand and proactive pricing strategies from cement companies [1] - Despite some recovery in market demand, it remains weaker compared to the same period last year, and the overall increase in demand is expected to be limited [1] Group 2: Consumer Building Materials - The home decoration market is expected to recover in September, supported by urban renewal initiatives, which will improve demand for consumer building materials [2] - Retail sales of building and decoration materials from January to August 2025 grew by 1.8% year-on-year, with a slight decline in August due to adverse weather conditions [2] - The ongoing "old-for-new" policy is anticipated to further stimulate demand in the home decoration market [2] Group 3: Glass Fiber - Prices for roving and electronic yarns remain stable, with strong demand for high-end electronic yarns [3] - The market for roving is stable, but traditional thermosetting product demand is recovering slowly, leading to sustained supply pressure [3] - High-end electronic yarns are experiencing a supply gap, while traditional electronic yarns see stable production and demand [3] Group 4: Float Glass - Float glass prices have seen a slight increase, with seasonal demand recovering slowly [4] - The market is characterized by high inventory levels at float glass manufacturers, leading to significant pressure to reduce stock [4] - Overall market demand is expected to increase gradually, but the improvement will be limited, with companies primarily purchasing based on immediate needs [4]