原油产业期现日报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年7月11日 宙 扬 Z0020680 | 原油价格及价差 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品中 | 7月11日 | 7月10日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 車位 | | Brent | 68.64 | 70.19 | -1.55 | -2.21% | | | WTI | 66.81 | 66.57 | 0.24 | 0.36% | 美元/桶 | | SC | 512.80 | 520.30 | -7.50 | -1.44% | 元/相 | | Brent M1-M3 | 1.87 | 2.14 | -0.27 | -12.62% | | | WTI M1-M3 | 2.43 | 2.33 | 0.10 | 4.29% | 美元/桶 | | SC MI-M3 | 15.90 | 16.90 | -1.00 | -5.92% | 元/桶 | | Brent-WTI | 1.83 | 2.07 | -0.24 | -11.59% | | | EFS | 1.78 | 1 ...

| | | | | 聚酯数据日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号: Z0017251 | 2025/7/11 | | | | 能源化工研究中心 | 陈胜 | | 从业资格号:F3066728 | | | 指标 | 2025/7/9 | 2025/7/10 | 变动值 | 行情综述 | | SC | INE原油(元/桶) | 519.7 | 522.5 | 2. 80 | 成交情况: PTA:华东市场PTA价格4746元/吨,跌2元/吨。聚酯工 | | | PTA-SC(元/陣) | 941.3 | 944.9 | 3. 65 | 厂官宣继续减产,PTA需求利空继续发酵,日内PTA基 | | | PTA/SC(比价) | 1.2492 | 1. 2489 | -0. 0004 | 差继续走弱,加之国际油价对PTA成本提振效果一般, 日内PTA现货微幅下跌。 | | | CFR中国PX | 850 | 852 | 2 | | | PX | | | | | | | | PX-石脑油价差 | 264 | 254 | - ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 | | | | | 髪酯数据日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号: Z0017251 | 2025/7/10 | | | | 能源化工研究中心 | 陈胜 | 从业资格号:F3066728 | | | | 指标 | 2025/7/8 | 2025/7/9 | 变动值 | 行情综述 | | | INE原油(元/桶) | 510. 7 | 519.7 | 9.00 | 成交情况: PTA: PTA行情下跌,下游聚酯工厂进一步减产,PTA预 | | | | | | | 期供应增加,市场心态支撑不足,日内现货成交基差 | | SC | PTA-SC(元/陣) | 998. 7 | 941.3 | -57. 40 | 大幅度走弱。 | | | PTA/SC(比价) | 1. 2691 | 1. 2492 | -0. 0199 | | | PX | CFR中国PX | 847 | 850 | 3 | | | | PX-石脑油价差 | 270 | 264 | -7 ...

| | | PX&PTA&PR | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/7/10 | 品种 | 更新日期 | 单位 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌(幅) | | | 期货结算价(连续):WTI原油 | 2025/7/9 | 美元/桶 | 68.38 | 68.33 | 0.07% | | 上 | 期货结算价(连续):布伦特原油 | 2025/7/9 | 美元/桶 | 70.19 | 70.15 | 0.06% | | 游 | 现货价(中间价):石脑油:CFR日本 | 2025/7/9 | 美元/吨 | 598.25 | 586.50 | 2.00% | | | 现货价(中间价):二甲苯(异构级):FOB韩国 | 2025/7/9 | 美元/吨 | 724.00 | 719.50 | 0.63% | | | 现货价:对二甲苯PX:CFR中国主港 | 2025/7/9 | 美元/吨 | 850.00 | 847.33 | 0.32% | | | CZCE TA 主力合约 收盘价 | 2025/7/9 | 元/吨 | 4718.00 | ...

【7月8日原料行情波动，7月9日下游产销有差异】7月8日，纽约原油8月期货涨0.4美元，结算价68.33美 元/桶；布伦特原油9月期货涨0.57美元，结算价70.15美元/桶。石脑油涨10美元至587美元/吨CFR日本。 同日，亚洲异构MX涨4美元至719美元/吨FOB韩国，亚洲PX涨6美元至826美元/吨FOB韩国和847美元/ 吨CFR中国。乙烯东北亚持平于820美元/吨，东南亚持平于830美元/吨CFR。 7月9日上午，PTA期货区 间震荡，现货基差快速走弱，下午基差企稳。今日逸盛石化PTA美价下调6至614美元/吨。 7月9日， MEG内盘上午窄幅整理，下午区间整理；外盘上午弱势整理，下午小幅抬升，日内有3000吨台湾招标 货515美元/吨附近成交。 下游方面，7月9日江浙涤丝产销整体偏弱，平均产销4成偏上。直纺涤短期货 震荡盘整，工厂报价下调50 - 100元/吨，平均产销59%。 半光1.4D直纺涤价格方面，江谈重心6600 - 6800元/吨，福建主流报6800 - 6950元/吨，山东、河北主流6700 - 6900元/吨。 7月9日，聚酯切片成交气 氛一般，半光、有光主流成交分别在5780 ...

| | PX&PTA&PR | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/7/9 | 品种 | 更新日期 | 单位 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌(幅) | | | 期货结算价(连续):WTI原油 | 2025/7/8 | 美元/桶 | 68.33 | 67.93 | 0.59% | | 上 | 期货结算价(连续):布伦特原油 | 2025/7/8 | 美元/桶 | 70.15 | 69.58 | 0.82% | | 游 | 现货价(中间价):石脑油:CFR日本 | 2025/7/7 | 美元/吨 | 577.00 | 578.75 | -0.30% | | | 现货价(中间价):二甲苯(异构级):FOB韩国 | 2025/7/7 | 美元/吨 | 715.50 | 716.50 | -0.14% | | | 现货价:对二甲苯PX:CFR中国主港 | 2025/7/7 | 美元/吨 | 841.67 | 839.67 | 0.24% | | | CZCE TA 主力合约 收盘价 | 2025/7/8 | 元/吨 | 4710.00 ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 装置检修动态:华东一套150万吨PTA装置目前已投料重启,该装置5.6附近停车检修。华东一套300万吨PTA装置已于近日停车检 修,预计10天附近。 PTA现货价格 - MEG内盘 基差 -- PTA现货价格 -- PTA主力期货价格 8000 - 1700 9200 1500 7000 1300 8200 1100 6000 7200 900 700 5000 6200 500 5200 4000 300 100 4200 3000 -100 -300 3200 2000 2025- 2023- 2023- 2024- 2024- 2025- 2023- 2024- 2024-11 2025-01 2025-03 2025-05 2024-07 2024-09 01 01 01 05 09 05 09 05 数据图表 800 现货加工区间 -- 盘面加工区间 POY现金流 -FDY现金流 =DTY现金流 800 涤短现金流 切片现金流 600 700 400 600 500 200 400 0 01 300 -200 200 -400 100 0 ...

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Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of the U.S. job market, with June non-farm employment data showing an increase of 147,000 jobs and a decrease in the unemployment rate from 4.2% to 4.1% [4] - The report notes the significant growth of the jewelry brand Zhou Li Fu, which went public on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising approximately HKD 1.292 billion [5][6] - The report discusses the rapid expansion of 361 Degrees, which opened 49 new stores, establishing itself as a new landmark in urban sports consumption [6][7] Market Trends - The U.S. economy is experiencing a mild cooling phase, with concerns about the job market being alleviated by strong employment data [4] - The textile and apparel sector saw a 1.36% increase, while the light industry manufacturing sector rose by 0.58% [6] - The gold and jewelry retail sector reported a year-on-year growth of 21.8% in May, indicating a robust demand for gold and jewelry products [7] Company Performance - Zhou Li Fu's revenue is projected to grow from CNY 3.102 billion in 2022 to CNY 5.718 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.8% [5] - The net profit of Zhou Li Fu is expected to increase from CNY 575 million in 2022 to CNY 706 million in 2024, with a CAGR of 10.8% [5] - Tao Tao Vehicle's net profit for the first half of 2025 is projected to be between CNY 310 million and CNY 360 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 70.34% to 97.81% [14][16] Industry Developments - The global regulatory framework for stablecoins is advancing, with significant legislative actions in the U.S., EU, and Hong Kong [9][10] - The report emphasizes the entry of traditional financial institutions and tech giants into the stablecoin market, enhancing the ecosystem [9] - The report also highlights the potential for Real World Assets (RWA) to create new growth opportunities for stablecoins [10] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong mid-year performance, particularly in the textile and apparel sector, such as Anta Sports and 361 Degrees [6][7] - In the gold and jewelry sector, companies like Lao Pu Gold and Chao Hong Ji are highlighted as having strong mid-year performance potential [7] - The report suggests monitoring the progress of virtual asset licensing in Hong Kong and the core application scenarios for stablecoins in the long term [12]

2025 年 07 月 08 日 工业生产趋缓，地产成交趋弱 宏观研究团队 ——宏观经济专题 何宁（分析师） 郭晓彬（联系人） hening@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522110002 guoxiaobin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790123070017 供需：工业生产趋缓，消费需求趋稳 1.建筑开工：开工率季节性位置回落。最近两周（6 月 22 日至 7 月 5 日），石油沥 青装置开工率、水泥发运率季节性位置重新回落至历史中低位，磨机运转率进一 步下行至历史低位。基建、房建项目水泥出库量保持历史同期低位，资金方面， 建筑工地资金到位率同比低于 2024 年同期。 2.工业生产端，部分化工与汽车钢胎产业开工率回落。最近两周，工业开工整体 景气度仍处于历史中高位，但部分化工与汽车钢胎开工率出现回落。化工链中聚 酯切片开工率回落至历史低位，汽车半钢胎开工率回落至历史中位，焦化企业开 工率处于历史最低位。 3.需求端，建筑需求偏弱，汽车、家电需求波动运行。最近两周，建筑需求弱于 历史同期，螺纹钢、线材、建材表观需求低于历史同期。汽车销售同比波动运行， 中国轻纺城成交量回升至历史中位，义乌小 ...