除汽车内饰领域外，中化东大在特种聚醚方面不断发力，突破了UV光固化聚醚等高端品种，替代部分进口产品，应用于电子显示屏粘结、光纤光缆涂 层、新能源电池包封装、电子器件胶黏剂等领域。 此外，中化东大还承担国家"十四五"重点研发计划课题，并自主研发了全球首款工业化"低碳环保聚氨酯防水涂料专用聚醚多元醇"，显著提高涂料的批次 稳定性，中间体粘度降低20%，并大幅降低防水涂料VOC排放，减少有毒有害溶剂的使用。凭借产品优势，中化东大成为巴斯夫、亨斯迈、科思创、三井 等多家跨国头部企业在国内的核心供应商，以及比亚迪（002594）、东风、瑞洋安泰、北京高盟、浙江华峰等国内龙头企业的长期合作伙伴。 胡永贺表示，中化东大作为省级绿色供应链管理企业和淄博市聚氨酯产业链合作联盟会长单位，将借助淄博市工业门类齐全的优势，整合环氧丙烷、聚醚 多元醇、聚氨酯等产业链资源，形成最大合力，助推淄博聚氨酯产业链做优做强。 齐鲁晚报.齐鲁壹点张文珂 8月26日，淄博市人民政府新闻办公室召开"产业链上的山东好品牌"淄博聚氨酯产业链记者见面会，邀请市传统产业发展中心、中化东大(淄博)有限公 司、山东一诺威聚氨酯股份有限公司、山东隆华新材（3011 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the basic chemical industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The exit of overseas bulk chemicals is expected to accelerate the growth of China's fine chemicals [6][21] - China's petrochemical capacity has rapidly increased since 2018, surpassing the US in refining capacity in 2023, leading to a stronger competitive position compared to Europe and Northeast Asia [15][6] - The reduction in imports of phenol and the expansion of downstream products like PC and epoxy resins in China have significantly decreased overseas demand for phenol, creating opportunities for domestic fine chemical companies [15][6] Summary by Sections 1. Impact of Overseas Bulk Chemical Exit - The exit of European bulk chemical capacity is driven by the rapid enhancement of China's chemical industry competitiveness [10] - China's share in bulk chemicals has been increasing, with significant capital expenditure leading to output growth [10][18] - The exit of marginal capacity in Europe and Japan is expected to accelerate supply-demand balance restoration in the industry [23][24] 2. Opportunities for Domestic Fine Chemicals - China's technological breakthroughs and industry chain expansion are forcing European upstream bulk chemicals to exit [25] - The trend of European chemical industry exit is unlikely to reverse, providing growth opportunities for China's fine chemical enterprises [25][39] - The exit of bulk chemicals will lead to supply issues in fine chemical products, prompting demand for stable suppliers from China [39][44] 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Huangma Technology (603181, Buy): A leader in specialty polyether with a total capacity of approximately 225,000 tons and new projects adding 330,000 tons [47] - Changqing Technology (603125, Not Rated): A leader in specialty monomers with a projected capacity increase from 35,000 tons to 90,500 tons by the end of 2024 [47] - Lianlong (300596, Buy): A leader in polymer materials with a focus on anti-aging agents and lubricant additives [47]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" for companies with strong fundamentals and low correlation to oil prices, suggesting a bottom-fishing strategy [10][18]. Core Viewpoints - The report indicates a recovery in macro expectations, with a notable increase in oil prices due to supply risks from geopolitical tensions and seasonal demand [10][14]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on domestic demand and opportunities in new material substitutions, particularly in the agricultural chemical sector during the spring planting season [10][18]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Viewpoints - Oil prices have risen this week, with a focus on companies that have strong fundamentals and are less affected by oil price fluctuations [10][18]. - Recommendations include companies like Wanhua Chemical, Huamao Technology, Runfeng Co., Guoguang Co., and Hualu Hengsheng, highlighting their unique market positions and growth potential [10][18]. 2. Oil and Chemical Price Information 2.1 Oil - As of June 6, Brent oil prices increased by 4.02% to $66.47 per barrel, driven by supply risks and seasonal demand [14]. - U.S. crude oil commercial inventories decreased by 4.3 million barrels to 436.1 million barrels [14]. 2.2 Chemicals - Among 188 monitored chemical products, the top three price increases this week were for liquid chlorine (up 11.8%), natural gas (up 9.3%), and hydrochloric acid (up 4.6%) [15]. - The report notes significant monthly price changes, with hydrochloric acid increasing by 54.5% [10][15]. 3. Price and Spread Changes - The report highlights the top three products with the largest weekly spread increases: R410a spread (up 200.0%), acrylic acid butyl ester spread (up 58.2%), and PTA (up 45.9%) [10][20]. - Monthly spread changes show significant increases in the electric stone method PVC spread (up 216.9%) [10][20].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [7] Core Viewpoints - This week, oil prices experienced a slight decline, while the prices of acrylic acid and coal tar saw significant increases. The report emphasizes a focus on leading companies with strong alpha that are less correlated with oil prices, suggesting a bottom-fishing strategy. It also highlights the importance of domestic demand and opportunities in new material domestic substitution, particularly in the agricultural chemical sector during the spring farming peak [9][17]. Summary by Sections Oil and Chemical Prices Information - As of May 23, Brent oil price decreased by 0.96% to $64.78 per barrel. The report notes that U.S. commercial crude oil inventories increased by 1.3 million barrels to 443.2 million barrels, with gasoline inventories rising by 800,000 barrels and distillate inventories by 600,000 barrels [13][14]. - Among 188 monitored chemical products, the top three price increases this week were acrylic acid (up 10.8%), coal tar (up 7.6%), and anthracene oil (up 5.7%). The largest declines were seen in liquid chlorine (down 16.7%), formic acid (down 8.0%), and tetrachloroethylene (down 7.2%) [9][14]. Price and Spread Changes - The report indicates that the top three products with the largest weekly price increases were acrylic acid (up 10.8%), coal tar (up 7.6%), and anthracene oil (up 5.7%). The largest monthly price increases were liquid chlorine (up 40.2%), but it also noted significant declines in formic acid (down 29.2%) [9][15]. - The top three products with the largest weekly spread increases were MTP spread (up 35.0%), acrylic acid spread (up 33.2%), and BDO spread (up 29.5%). The report also highlights significant declines in the spreads of acrylic acid butyl ester (down 710.1%) and R410a spread (down 100.0%) [9][19]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment: - Wanhua Chemical (600309, Buy): Core product MDI is seeing profit improvements, with new petrochemical and new material projects coming online [17]. - Huangma Technology (603181, Buy): A leading special polyether company that has entered a growth phase again [17]. - Runfeng Co., Ltd. (301035, Buy): A rare company with a global layout for formulation registration and sales channels [17]. - Guoguang Co., Ltd. (002749, Buy): A leading company in the plant growth regulator sector [17]. - Hualu Hengsheng (600426, Buy): Core product prices are recovering alongside a decline in coal prices, leading to continuous improvement in spreads [17].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [7] Core Viewpoints - Oil prices experienced a slight decline this week, with a focus on leading companies that have strong alpha and are less correlated with oil prices, suggesting a bottom-fishing strategy. The report emphasizes the importance of domestic demand and opportunities in new material domestic substitution, particularly in the agricultural chemical sector during the spring farming peak [17][9][5]. Summary by Sections Oil and Chemical Prices Information - As of May 23, Brent oil price decreased by 0.96% to $64.78 per barrel. The increase in U.S. commercial crude oil inventory and OPEC+ production expectations contributed to this decline. As of May 16, U.S. crude oil commercial inventory was 443.2 million barrels, with a weekly increase of 1.3 million barrels [13][2]. - Among 188 monitored chemical products, the top three price increases this week were acrylic acid (up 10.8%), coal tar (up 7.6%), and anthracene oil (up 5.7%). The largest declines were in liquid chlorine (down 16.7%), formic acid (down 8.0%), and tetrachloroethylene (down 7.2%) [14][9]. Price Spread Changes - The top three price spread increases this week were MTP spread (up 35.0%), acrylic acid spread (up 33.2%), and BDO spread (up 29.5%). The largest declines were in acrylic acid butyl ester spread (down 710.1%), R410a spread (down 100.0%), and lithium hexafluorophosphate spread (down 20.7%) [19][9]. - Monthly, the top three price spread increases were in styrene (up 192.7%), oil head ethylene glycol spread (up 130.1%), and MTO spread (up 119.6%). The largest declines were in acrylic acid butyl ester spread (down 2675.6%), BDO (phenol method) spread (down 370.9%), and R410a spread (down 100.0%) [19][9]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Wanhua Chemical (600309, Buy): Core product MDI shows recent profit improvement, with upcoming petrochemical and new material projects [17]. - Huangma Technology (603181, Buy): A leading special polyether company that has entered a growth phase again [17]. - Runfeng Co., Ltd. (301035, Buy): A rare company with global formulation registration and sales channels [17]. - Guoguang Co., Ltd. (002749, Buy): A leading domestic differentiated formulation company in the plant growth regulator industry [17]. - Hualu Hengsheng (600426, Buy): Core product price recovery combined with falling coal prices leads to continuous improvement in spreads [17].

Group 1: Company Overview and Product Capacity - The company produces various products with capacities as follows: Special Polyether 19,000 tons/year, Polyether Amine 31,000 tons/year, Alkyl Glycoside 35,000 tons/year, Flame Retardants 34,800 tons/year, Silicone Oil 4,600 tons/year, and Silicone Rubber 8,500 tons/year [2] - The current capacity utilization rate is good, and the company is focused on capturing market opportunities to secure more orders [2] Group 2: Dividend Policy and Historical Performance - Since its listing in 2017, the company has distributed a total of 308 million RMB in dividends, with the total funds raised at 264 million RMB [3] - The dividend payout ratios from 2016 to 2023 have shown a consistent increase: 18%, 19%, 19%, 24%, 44%, 48%, 59%, and 63% respectively [3] - For the 2024 profit distribution, the company plans to distribute 2.00 RMB (including tax) per 10 shares, totaling 43,001,596 RMB [3] Group 3: Share Buyback Plan - The share buyback will commence on May 13, 2025, and will last for 12 months [4] - The company will adhere to information disclosure requirements during the buyback period [4] Group 4: Market Trends and Future Outlook - In the surfactant sector, the company aims to strengthen its product line and enhance quality, maintaining deep cooperation with renowned companies [5] - The flame retardant business is expected to see a slight decline in scale due to oversupply in the domestic market [5] - The organic silicone rubber materials are projected to have a slight increase in gross profit due to leading technology and brand advantages [5] - The market trends for 2025 are expected to follow the development patterns observed in 2024 [5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [6] Core Views - The report highlights that the recent US-China tariff policy has been implemented, leading to a further increase in oil prices. The focus remains on leading companies with strong alpha that are less correlated with oil prices, suggesting a bottom-up investment approach. There is significant uncertainty regarding the US tariff policy, and short-term attention should be on domestic demand and opportunities for domestic substitutes in new materials. The agricultural chemical sector, characterized by rigid demand and dividend attributes, is recommended for investment [13][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies with strong fundamentals that are less affected by oil price fluctuations. It suggests a bottom-up investment strategy and highlights the agricultural chemical sector as a promising area due to its rigid demand [13]. 2. Oil and Chemical Price Information 2.1 Oil - As of May 16, Brent oil prices increased by 2.3% to $65.41 per barrel. The report notes that while oil prices are rising, the increase in US oil inventories has somewhat restrained the price growth. As of May 9, US commercial oil inventories stood at 441.8 million barrels, with a weekly increase of 3.5 million barrels [14]. 2.2 Chemicals - Among the 188 monitored chemical products, the top three price increases this week were for butadiene (up 21.1%), SBS (up 13.6%), and benzene (up 11.4%). Conversely, the largest declines were seen in liquid chlorine (down 464.3%), natural gas (down 8.1%), and formic acid (down 7.4%). The report attributes the significant rise in butadiene prices to increased downstream demand and supply constraints [15][16]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Wanhua Chemical: Core product MDI shows recent profit improvement, with upcoming petrochemical and new material projects [13]. - Huangma Technology: A leader in specialty polyether, responding positively to previous macro demand pressures [13]. - Runfeng Co., Ltd.: A rare company with global formulation registration and sales channels [13]. - Guoguang Co., Ltd.: A leading domestic differentiated formulation company in the plant growth regulator sector [13]. - Hualu Hengsheng: Core product prices are recovering alongside falling coal prices, leading to improved price differentials [13].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [6] Core Views - The report highlights a significant decline in oil prices, suggesting a focus on domestic demand and opportunities in domestic substitutes for new materials. It emphasizes the importance of companies with strong fundamentals that are less correlated with oil prices [13][14] - The report recommends several companies based on their market positions and recent performance improvements, particularly in the agricultural chemicals sector due to the ongoing spring farming season [13] Summary by Sections 1. Core Views - The report indicates a substantial drop in oil prices, with Brent crude down 8.3% to $61.29 per barrel as of May 2, 2025. This decline is attributed to OPEC+ production increases and global trade tensions affecting supply-demand dynamics [14] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong alpha characteristics that are less affected by oil price fluctuations, particularly in the agricultural chemicals sector, which is experiencing robust demand [13] 2. Oil and Chemical Price Information - As of April 25, 2025, U.S. crude oil commercial inventories stood at 440.4 million barrels, with a weekly decrease of 270 thousand barrels. Gasoline inventories decreased by 4 million barrels to 225.5 million barrels, while distillate inventories increased by 900 thousand barrels to 107.8 million barrels [14] - Among 188 monitored chemical products, the top three price increases this week were for liquid chlorine (up 58.8%), natural gas (up 14.0%), and monoammonium phosphate (up 3.9%). The largest declines were seen in formic acid (down 7.7%), pure benzene (down 6.5%), and vitamin A (down 6.4%) [15] 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Wanhua Chemical: Core product MDI shows recent profit improvement, with upcoming petrochemical and new material projects [13] - Huamao Technology: A leader in specialty polyether, responding well to previous macro demand pressures [13] - Runfeng Co., Ltd.: A rare company with global formulation registration and sales channels [13] - Guoguang Co., Ltd.: A leader in differentiated formulations in the plant growth regulator sector [13] - Hualu Hengsheng: Core product prices are recovering alongside falling coal prices, leading to improved margins [13]

Core Viewpoint - The top-performing stocks in April include United Chemical and Guofang Group, with significant price increases of 159.09% and 117.10% respectively, amidst a general market decline [1][3]. Stock Performance Summary - **United Chemical**: Achieved a cumulative increase of 159.09% in April, with two trading days recording a 20% limit up. The company reported a revenue of 535 million yuan for 2024, a 24.80% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 56.43 million yuan, up 66.81% [5]. - **Guofang Group**: Experienced a 117.10% increase, despite multiple risk warnings. The company reported a revenue of 757 million yuan for 2024, a 21.92% decrease, and a net profit of 58.01 million yuan, down 63.23% [6]. - **Hongbaoli**: Recorded a 104.27% increase, with eight trading days hitting the limit up. The company is undergoing technical modifications for its epoxy propylene project, which has not yet generated sales revenue [7]. - **ST Yushun**: Increased by 88.49%, with 16 trading days hitting the limit up. The company announced a significant asset restructuring involving a data center project [8]. - **Zhongqi New Materials**: Achieved an 85.72% increase, with a major share transfer that changed its controlling shareholder [9]. - **Lintai New Materials**: Increased by 84.94%, reporting a revenue of 101 million yuan for Q1 2025, a 107.43% increase, and a net profit of 38.36 million yuan, up 287.62% [10]. - **Wancheng Group**: Increased by 82.79%, reporting a revenue of 10.821 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a 124.02% increase, and a net profit of 215 million yuan, up 3344.13% [11][12]. - **Anji Food**: Increased by 76.69%, with a revenue of 607 million yuan for 2024, a 4.06% decrease, and a net profit of 38.33 million yuan, up 23.29% [13]. - **Leshan Electric Power**: Increased by 71.69%, with multiple risk warnings regarding high stock price increases [14]. - **Redick**: Increased by 70.20%, with ongoing uncertainty regarding its acquisition activities [15].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [6] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the impact of recent tariff actions and a significant drop in international oil prices due to weak supply and demand expectations. It emphasizes a focus on leading companies with strong fundamentals that are less correlated with oil prices, suggesting a bottom-fishing strategy. Additionally, it recommends paying attention to domestic market opportunities, particularly in the agricultural chemical sector during the spring farming season, and the potential for domestic substitution in new materials due to tariff pressures [12][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Viewpoints - The report notes that as of April 4, Brent oil prices fell by 10.9% to $65.58 per barrel, influenced by tariff actions and OPEC+ production plans exceeding expectations, leading to a significant decline in oil supply forecasts [13] - It suggests focusing on leading companies with strong alpha, recommending investments in companies like Wanhua Chemical, Huamao Technology, Runfeng Co., Guoguang Co., and Hualu Hengsheng, all of which are expected to benefit from recent market dynamics [12][14] 2. Oil and Chemical Price Information - As of March 28, U.S. crude oil commercial inventories stood at 439.8 million barrels, with a weekly increase of 6.2 million barrels. Gasoline inventories decreased by 1.6 million barrels, while distillate inventories increased by 300,000 barrels [13] - The report monitors 188 chemical products, noting that the top three price increases were for acrylic acid (up 8.8%), synthetic ammonia (up 5.0%), and DMF (up 4.7%). The largest decreases were for tetrachlorethylene (down 7.1%), tryptophan (down 5.8%), and succinic anhydride (down 5.8%) [14][15] 3. Investment Recommendations and Targets - Recommended stocks include: - Wanhua Chemical: Core product MDI showing recent profit improvement with upcoming petrochemical and new material projects [12] - Huamao Technology: A leader in specialty polyether, recovering from previous macro demand pressures [12] - Runfeng Co.: A rare stock with global formulation registration and sales channels [12] - Guoguang Co.: A leader in differentiated formulations in the plant growth regulator sector [12] - Hualu Hengsheng: Core product prices recovering alongside falling coal prices, leading to improved margins [12]