一、行情 8月25日，稀土磁材板块再度大涨，金力永磁、大地熊等涨幅均超10%，北方稀土大涨超8%。 此外，有色金属板块章源钨业、北方铜业、湖南白银等涨停，洛阳钼业涨超7%，再创历史新高。 | 股票名称 | | 最新价 = | 涨跌幅 ◆ | 涨停时间◆ | 换手率 ◆ | 流通市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 章源钨业 002378.SZ | 2天2板 | 13.38 | +10.03% | 09:32:12 | 4.13% | 159.90亿 | | 五矿发展 600058.SS | 2天2板 | 10.14 | +9.98% | 09:48:13 | 3.99% | 108.69亿 | | 北方铜业 000737.SZ | | 12.50 | +10.04% | 09:40:18 | 5.10% | 238.07亿 | | 湖南白银 002716.SZ | | 5.39 | +10.00% | 09:40:45 | 8.43% | 119.14亿 | | 惠城环保 | 219.18 | +10.83% | | 2.82% | 345.49 ...

本周行情综述 铜：本周LME铜价-0.26%%到9734.50美元/吨，沪铜-0.47%到7.87万元/吨。供应端，据 SMM，本周进口铜精矿加工费周度指数跌至-41.15美元/吨；截至本周四，全国主流地区铜 库存较周一下降0.2万吨至13.17万吨，较上周四增加0.61万吨。冶炼端，受原料紧张及政策 不明的影响，国内部分阳极板企业减产停产，致本周行业开工率环比下降7.39%至52.1%； 2025年7月，中国进口阳极铜8.42万吨，环比大增22.9%，同比增19.1%。消费端，据SMM， 本周漆包线行业机台开机率环比微降0.27个百分点至78.13%；本周黄铜棒行业开工率 49.83%，原料与成品库存双双回落，均处低位。受再生铜税收政策调整影响，江西已有小 型企业暂停生产观望。若政策9月落地，当地成本优势不再，订单或回流浙江。当前仍处传 统淡季，需求预计9月中旬回暖。SMM预计，下周开工率将微降至49.58%。 铝：本周LME铝价-0.38%到2593.00美元/吨，沪铝-0.67%到2.06万元/吨。供应端，据 SMM，本周四国内主流消费地电解铝锭库存59.6万吨，较周一下跌1.1万吨，较上周四增加 0. ...

人民财讯8月23日电，横店东磁（002056）8月21日在半年报业绩线上电话会表示，公司面向AI服务器 的铜片电感、新能源汽车的滤波器等器件已实现大批量供货，单月营收已由数百万元快速提升至千万元 级，后续增速及成长空间比较看好。 今年上半年公司磁材整体出货约10.7万吨，同比差不多，但产品结构优化明显，平均售价有所提升。软 磁业务的下游新兴应用领域较多，增速更快；塑磁业务毛利率及增速一直保持良好；永磁业务受"以旧 换新"边际效应递减影响，预计增速将为个位数。 ...

格隆汇8月21日｜国盛证券研报指出，金力永磁上半年归母净利3.0亿元，同比+155%，净利率8.7%，实 际业绩位于预告偏下限。2025Q2毛利实现稳增，出口管制扰动可控。公司完成库存重建，涨价周期有 望充分受益。自7月起，镨钕金属价格呈现加速上行趋势。8月19日，镨钕金属价格已上涨至77万元/吨 高位水平，该行预计涨价周期公司有望充分享受库存收益。公司磁材业务稳健爬产&扩产，向下游延伸 布局机器人业务布局有望开拓新兴业绩增长极。鉴于稀土价格强势表现，该行上调公司盈利预测，预计 公司2025-2027年归母净利7.2/8.9/11.3亿元，对应PE55/45/35x。维持"买入"评级。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The report argues that the value reassessment of the strategic metals sector has just begun, contrary to some investors' belief that the recent rapid price increases indicate an impending peak [8][14] - It highlights three dimensions supporting this view: policy measures against strategic mineral smuggling, a tight supply-demand balance driving product prices up, and an increase in risk appetite due to political policy risk premiums [8][14][17] Summary by Sections Strategic Metals - Some investors believe the recent surge in strategic metals prices is unsustainable and may soon peak [8][13] - The report counters this by stating that the value reassessment of strategic metals is just beginning, driven by macroeconomic inflation, tight supply-demand dynamics, and political risk premiums [14][17] - Policy measures to combat strategic mineral smuggling are expected to be reinforced, particularly for rare earths and other strategic metals [15] - The supply-demand balance remains tight, with increasing demand from sectors like new energy vehicles and offshore wind power, leading to rising prices for rare earths [16] - Political policy risk premiums are expected to rise, enhancing the attractiveness of the strategic metals sector [17] Steel Industry - Steel prices are anticipated to continue rising due to production cut expectations [18] - Steel demand and production have decreased, but a dynamic balance in supply and demand is expected [18][25] - Inventory levels are showing differentiation among various steel products, with total inventory likely to decline further [25] - Cost increases in raw materials are pushing steel prices up, with profits for steel mills expected to recover [28] - The overall steel price index has seen a slight increase, with specific products like hot-rolled steel showing notable price rises [35] New Energy Metals - Lithium production in June 2025 saw a significant year-on-year increase of 20.95%, indicating strong supply growth [40] - The demand for new energy vehicles remains robust, with production and sales in June 2025 showing substantial growth [44] - Prices for lithium and cobalt have generally risen, while nickel prices have seen a decline [49][50] Industrial Metals - Global refined copper production has increased, with supply slightly better than expected [57] - The demand outlook is improving, with manufacturing activity expected to continue recovering [69]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the global distribution of non-ferrous resources is uneven, and strategic metals are becoming a focal point for countries, leading to a revaluation of their worth, with supply being the core theme [2][5][14] - Unlike previous trends driven by macro demand recovery, strategic metals have shown stronger excess returns compared to non-ferrous indices and base metals this year, with supply acting as the main catalyst [2][5][14] Rare Earth Magnets - Rare earths are highlighted as a core strategic metal, with potential price increases due to tightening domestic controls and possible disruptions in overseas supply [5] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's proactive supply reduction in response to weak prices is expected to weaken the price suppression effect [5] - New regulations on rare earth management are set to enhance industry concentration and control [5] Tungsten - The report forecasts a continued rigid supply for tungsten, supporting an upward price trend due to limited new mining projects and declining output from existing mines [5] - The anticipated decline in domestic mining quotas for 2025 is expected to further bolster bullish sentiment regarding tungsten prices [5] Cobalt - Cobalt's supply is highly concentrated, with the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) accounting for 75% of global production, and the DRC's export ban reflects a strong price support intention [5] - The report predicts a significant reduction in DRC's external inventory by 2025, leading to potential price increases [5] Nickel - Indonesia's government policies are expected to support nickel prices, but upward price elasticity will depend on macroeconomic recovery [5] - The report notes that the current tightness in nickel supply is expected to maintain price stability [5] Lithium - Despite current supply pressures and declining prices, the report suggests that a significant resource clearing will take time, with oversupply continuing to suppress prices [5] - However, the report indicates that lithium prices have stabilized at around 70,000 yuan/ton, providing a safety margin for investments [5]

Production Capacity and Utilization - The company has a magnetic material production capacity of approximately 13,000 tons, with a utilization rate of about 80% [1] - In 2024, the sales volume of finished magnetic materials is expected to exceed 6,200 tons, with exports accounting for 20-30% [1] Raw Material Procurement and Inventory - The company maintains long-term relationships with major raw material suppliers, employing a combination of long-term contracts and flexible procurement strategies [2] - Raw material inventory is kept at around two months, with procurement strategies adjusted based on price trends [2] Export Licenses and Market Applications - The company has actively applied for export licenses for permanent magnetic products since the implementation of export control policies, with some orders already approved [3] - The company's electromechanical products are primarily used in health mobility, smart home appliances, agricultural machinery, and security systems, with exports accounting for 60-70%, mainly to Europe, America, and Asia [3] Health Equipment Business Development - The health equipment segment, focusing on electric wheelchairs and mobility scooters, has a significant overseas business share of about 70-80% [3] - Growth in this sector is attributed to brand development, new material applications, market expansion, and ongoing automation and cost optimization efforts [3] Future Business Development Plans - The Vietnam base will primarily support the production of motors, health equipment, and acoustic products [4] - The company plans to expand its electronic acoustic product line, focusing on high-end automotive audio and consumer electronics [4] Strategic Positioning and Value Management - The company aims to enhance its core business by focusing on precision in electromechanical products, strengthening magnetic materials, and optimizing downstream applications [6] - Ongoing efforts will be made to improve operational performance and enhance intrinsic value, with a commitment to reasonable returns for investors through cash dividends and share buybacks [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Jinli Permanent Magnet, has successfully navigated the export control measures on medium and heavy rare earth materials by complying with national regulations and obtaining necessary export licenses for regions including the US, Europe, and Southeast Asia [2] Group 1: Export Performance - In Q1 2025, Jinli Permanent Magnet reported export sales revenue of 312 million yuan, accounting for 17.76% of total revenue, with sales to the US reaching 122 million yuan, representing 6.94% of total revenue [2] - The company does not engage in military-related businesses [2] Group 2: Compliance and Regulatory Environment - The Ministry of Commerce spokesperson emphasized China's responsible approach to reviewing export license applications for rare earth materials, ensuring compliance while considering the reasonable needs of other countries in civilian sectors [2] Group 3: Supply Chain and Partnerships - Jinli Permanent Magnet has established long-term strategic partnerships with major rare earth suppliers, including Northern Rare Earth Group and China Rare Earth Group, with purchases from these suppliers accounting for 63% of the company's total annual procurement in 2024 [2] Group 4: Sustainable Practices - The company prioritizes green recycling of rare earth materials, investing in the recycling company Yinhai New Materials, which has passed rigorous audits by SCS Global Services [3] - In 2024, Jinli Permanent Magnet utilized 2,575 tons of recycled rare earth materials, including waste magnet recovery, which constituted 30.4% of the total rare earth materials used [3]

Group 1: Company Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.61 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14.19% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.61 billion RMB, up 57.85% year-on-year [2] - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses reached 1.06 billion RMB, reflecting a significant growth of 331.10% [2] Group 2: Export and Compliance - In Q1 2025, export sales revenue was 3.12 billion RMB, accounting for 17.76% of total revenue [3] - Sales revenue from exports to the United States was 1.22 billion RMB, representing 6.94% of total revenue [3] - The company has obtained export licenses for magnetic materials, components, and motor rotors, complying with national regulations [3] Group 3: Raw Material Procurement - In 2024, 63% of the company's raw material procurement came from strategic partnerships with Northern Rare Earth Group and China Rare Earth Group [4] - The company utilized 2,575 tons of recycled rare earth materials, which constituted 30.4% of total rare earth material usage in 2024 [4] - The procurement strategy emphasizes green recycling and risk management through a diversified supply chain [4] Group 4: Business Development - The company is actively involved in the development of embodied robot motor rotors, with initial small-scale deliveries [5] - Investments have been made in specialized facilities and equipment to support the scaling of production in the robotics sector [5] - The low-altitude aircraft sector has also seen small-scale deliveries, indicating progress in this area [5] Group 5: Share Buyback Plan - The board has approved a share buyback plan with a total fund of no less than 100 million RMB and not exceeding 200 million RMB [6][7] - The buyback will be conducted through centralized bidding and aims to reduce registered capital by canceling repurchased shares [7] - The plan reflects the company's confidence in its future development and value recognition [6]

Group 1 - China emphasizes its responsible role as a major power, considering the reasonable needs and concerns of various countries in the civilian sector, and has approved a certain number of compliant applications for rare earth exports while continuing to strengthen the approval process for compliance applications [1][3] - During the recent US-China economic talks, both sides reached a principled consensus on measures to implement the important consensus from the June 5 call between the two heads of state, making new progress in addressing each other's economic concerns [1][2] - The US has announced a 55% tariff on China, while China will impose a 10% tariff on the US, but will continue to export magnets and rare earth materials to the US, highlighting the ongoing economic interdependence [2][3] Group 2 - The Chinese government has granted export licenses to leading rare earth permanent magnet companies, such as Jinli Permanent Magnet, allowing them to export to the US, Europe, and Southeast Asia, which has sparked optimism in the market regarding the easing of US-China tensions [3][4] - China's export controls on dual-use items, including rare earths, are aimed at safeguarding national security and interests, and are not targeted at any specific country, indicating a structured approach to export management [3][4] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce expresses willingness to enhance communication and dialogue on export controls with relevant countries to facilitate compliant trade, while ensuring that export license applications are compliant [4]