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百利好早盘分析:政策巨变在即 年会指引方向
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 01:37
Group 1: Gold Market - Federal Reserve official Goolsbee indicated that despite some recent inflation data being better than expected, there are dangerous signals, and he hopes this is only a temporary phenomenon [2] - Goolsbee noted that the latest inflation report shows an increase in service sector inflation, which may not be driven by tariffs [2] - Fed Chair Powell acknowledged that current policy measures have been undermined by rising inflation and are expected to be eliminated, with a detailed policy statement anticipated at the upcoming annual meeting [2] Group 2: Oil Market - The UK Treasury announced sanctions against Iran's Shamkhani company, which supports hostile activities against the UK and its allies [4] - Following the sanctions, reports emerged of the US imposing sanctions on vessels and entities related to Iran, leading to a rise in oil prices [4] - Geopolitical tensions are heightened as US naval patrols in the Caribbean may serve as a military deterrent against oil-producing nations like Venezuela [5] Group 3: Technical Analysis - In the gold market, the price is maintaining a bullish trend with support at $3,330 and resistance at $3,355 [2] - For oil, the price is fluctuating between $61.80 and $64.50, with support at $62.80 and resistance at $64.50 [5] - The Nasdaq index is experiencing a downward trend with support around $23,050 and a focus on closing above $23,400 for the week [7] - The US Dollar Index is in an upward trend, with a focus on closing above $98.40 for the week [8]
百利好早盘分析:美国政要发声 避险情绪助涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-01 01:46
Group 1: Gold Market - Federal Reserve official Bostic reiterated expectations for a rate cut this year, briefly suppressing gold prices around $3295 [2] - Concerns arose after Treasury Secretary Mnuchin indicated plans to seek a successor for Fed Chair Powell, alongside Trump's comments reigniting focus on the trade war with China [2] - Analyst Mai Dong noted that the return of U.S.-China tariff issues shifted market focus, leading to a rebound in gold prices [2] - Technically, gold showed a bullish trend with support at $3250 and a key resistance level at $3320 [2] Group 2: Oil Market - Geopolitical tensions eased, reducing potential supply risks, with OPEC+ expected to maintain a production increase of 411,000 barrels per day in August [4] - Trump's call to lower oil prices and encourage shale oil production, combined with profit-taking during the Iran conflict, led to a rapid decrease in net long positions in oil [5] - Seasonal demand remains strong due to summer travel peaks in Europe and the U.S., with ongoing positive signals from tariff negotiations [5] - Technically, the oil market is in a range between $63.95 and $66.90, suggesting a strategy of buying low and selling high within this range [5] Group 3: Nasdaq and Dollar Index - The Nasdaq continued its upward trend but faced pressure from Trump's criticisms of China [7] - The U.S. dollar weakened, breaking below the previous low of 96.97, with a focus on potential pullbacks around 97.20 [8]
百利好晚盘分析:避险情绪降温 金价重心下移
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-20 09:52
Gold Market - The gold price has been under pressure due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish signals and a lack of increased safe-haven buying amid Middle East tensions, with prices dropping to a one-week low of $3340 [1] - President Trump criticized Fed Chairman Powell, suggesting a 250 basis point rate cut, while the Fed maintained rates in June, with an increasing number of officials expecting no cuts this year [1] - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East, including potential negotiations with Iran, has also contributed to the downward pressure on gold prices [1][2] Oil Market - Oil prices experienced volatility, initially rising to $77.66 due to concerns over U.S. military involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict, but later fell to around $73 as negotiations were announced [3] - The easing of tensions through potential talks between the U.S. and Iran has reduced risk premiums in the oil market, leading to a significant price drop [3] - Current EIA data indicates rising seasonal demand and low compliance with OPEC+ production increases, which may limit further declines in oil prices despite geopolitical uncertainties [3] U.S. Dollar Index - The U.S. Dollar Index has retreated from above the 99 level, with support noted around 98.50 and resistance at 99.40, indicating potential for a bottoming pattern [4] Dow Jones Industrial Average - The Dow Jones has shown a downward trend, with resistance at approximately 42200, suggesting a risk of accelerated declines if it remains below this level [5]
百利好早盘分析:美联储决议无意外 中东迷局未撑金价
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-19 09:04
Group 1: Gold Market - The Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision signals a hawkish stance, leading to a drop in gold prices by approximately $20 on June 18, with prices falling below $3350, marking a one-week low [1] - The Fed maintained interest rates for the fourth consecutive time, with an increasing number of officials supporting no rate cuts this year, which has negatively impacted gold prices [1] - The ongoing conflict in the Middle East adds uncertainty, which may limit further declines in gold prices, depending on U.S. military actions and Iran's responses [1] Group 2: Oil Market - The potential U.S. military intervention in the Israel-Iran conflict is a significant factor, alongside a substantial drop in U.S. EIA crude oil inventories, which saw a decrease of 11.473 million barrels, indicating rising seasonal demand [3][6] - Oil prices experienced volatility but returned above $75, reflecting the impact of geopolitical tensions and inventory changes [3][5] - The technical outlook suggests that oil prices are in a range-bound movement, with a critical support level at $73.20; maintaining above this level could indicate a bullish trend [6] Group 3: U.S. Dollar Index - The U.S. Dollar Index has broken through the downtrend line since May 13, regaining the 99 level, with a potential upward movement towards 100.50 if it surpasses the 99.40 resistance [7] Group 4: Dow Jones - The Dow Jones has shown signs of weakness after breaking below the uptrend line since April, with a support level at 41800; a breach could lead to further selling pressure [8]
百利好晚盘分析:市场窄幅震荡 静待利率决议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-18 09:27
Gold Market - The U.S. retail sales for May showed a month-on-month decline of 0.9%, lower than the expected 0.7% and the previous value of -0.1%, marking the largest drop since March 2023, indicating a sluggish consumer market which is somewhat bullish for gold prices [1] - Following the data release, gold prices saw reduced downward momentum, hitting a low of $3366 before continuing to trade in a narrow range [1] - The upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision is a key focus for the gold market, with expectations that rates will remain unchanged [1] Oil Market - The API reported a significant decrease in U.S. crude oil inventories, with a drop of 10.133 million barrels, far below the expected decrease of 580,000 barrels, indicating strong oil consumption which supports rising oil prices [2] - Geopolitical tensions are escalating, with Russia launching a large-scale counteroffensive against Ukraine and the EU planning to ban imports of Russian oil and gas [2] Geopolitical Tensions - U.S. President Trump urged Iran to surrender unconditionally, while Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei stated the need for a strong response against Israel, indicating ongoing tensions with no signs of reconciliation [3] - The conflict between Iran and Israel is intensifying, which, combined with increased oil demand, provides strong support for oil prices [3] Nasdaq Index - The Nasdaq index continues to oscillate within the range of 21450 to 22060, with recent poor retail data causing a dip to a low of 21630, as the market awaits the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision for clearer direction [4] U.S. Dollar Index - The U.S. dollar index is fluctuating between 97.50 and 99.20, with significant support at 97.50 leading to a strong rebound and a short-term upward trend [5]
美指回到100关口下方!黄金先涨后跌震荡不止,交易者应顺应趋势多头还是静等信号?TTPS团队卢教练正在讲解在,立即观看!
news flash· 2025-05-23 12:59
Group 1 - The article discusses the fluctuations in gold prices, highlighting that the U.S. dollar index has fallen below the 100 mark, which may influence gold trading strategies [1] - It mentions that gold prices have experienced a pattern of rising and then falling, indicating a volatile market environment for traders [1] - The article suggests that traders should either follow the bullish trend or wait for clearer signals before making trading decisions [1]