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Group 1: Report Summary - The report is the Weekly Precious Metals Report by Changjiang Futures, dated November 17, 2025 [1] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided content Group 3: Core Viewpoints - The end of the US government shutdown and the mitigation of liquidity shocks, along with hawkish statements from multiple Fed officials, have led to a strong - oscillating trend in precious metal prices. The market is divided on whether there will be an interest rate cut in December, and the expected end - point of this round of rate cuts has been lowered. Amid concerns about the US fiscal situation and Fed independence, precious metal prices are expected to be supported in the medium - term but are currently in a short - term adjustment phase [6][9][11] Group 4: Summary by Directory 4.1 Market Review - US government shutdown ended and liquidity shock eased. Fed officials made hawkish statements. The price of US gold was in a strong - oscillating state, closing at $4084 per ounce last Friday, up 1.9% for the week. The upper resistance level is $4150, and the lower support level is $3980. The price of US silver also showed a strong - oscillating trend, with a weekly increase of 4.5%, closing at $50.4 per ounce. The lower support level is $49, and the upper resistance level is $51.5 [6][9] 4.2 Weekly Viewpoint - The end of the US government shutdown and hawkish Fed statements have reduced the market's expectation of a December rate cut. The market is divided on the December rate cut, and the expected end - point of rate cuts has been lowered. With a slowdown in the US employment situation and concerns about the US economy and Fed independence, precious metal prices are expected to be supported in the medium - term but are in short - term adjustment. Strategy advice is to trade cautiously within a range, with the reference operating range for SHFE gold contract 12 being 910 - 970 and for SHFE silver contract 12 being 11500 - 12400 [11][13] 4.3 Overseas Macroeconomic Indicators - The report presents data and trends of various overseas macroeconomic indicators, including the US dollar index, euro - US dollar exchange rate, pound - US dollar exchange rate, real interest rate, inflation expectation, US Treasury yield spread, gold - silver ratio, Fed balance sheet size, and WTI crude oil futures price [15][17][21] 4.4 Important Economic Data of the Week - The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for the eurozone in November was 25, compared with the previous value of 22.7 [28] 4.5 Important Macroeconomic Events and Policies of the Week - The US House of Representatives passed a federal government temporary appropriation bill, ending the government shutdown. There are internal disagreements within the Fed on interest rate cuts, and it is uncertain whether there will be a rate cut in December [29] 4.6 Inventory - This week, COMEX gold inventory decreased by 10,789.81 kg to 1,162,728.30 kg, while SHFE gold inventory increased by 810 kg to 90,426 kg. COMEX silver inventory decreased by 138,277.37 kg to 14,795,008.84 kg, and SHFE silver inventory decreased by 46,158 kg to 576,894 kg [13][33] 4.7 Fund Holdings - This week, the net long position of gold CFTC speculative funds was 259,261 contracts, an increase of 3,182 contracts from last week. The net long position of silver CFTC speculative funds was 49,507 contracts, an increase of 729 contracts from last week [13][38] 4.8 Key Points to Watch This Week - On Thursday, November 20th, at 21:30, important economic indicators to watch include the seasonally - adjusted change in US non - farm payrolls for September and the US unemployment rate for September [40]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoint The Sino - US negotiation has concluded, and the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected. The market is still skeptical about the tariff details. After the correction, precious metals rebounded. There is a divergence in the market regarding whether there will be an interest rate cut in December, and the expected end - point of this round of interest rate cuts has been lowered compared to the previous period. The Fed meeting minutes show that most officials believe it may be appropriate to further ease policies this year. The influence of Trump on the Fed's independence is emerging, and the US employment situation is slowing down. Although Powell said that changing economic risks give the Fed more reasons to cut interest rates, it is not certain that the Fed will further cut interest rates at the December monetary policy meeting. With the US economic data trending weaker and concerns about the US fiscal situation and the Fed's independence, it is expected that the medium - term prices of precious metals will still be supported, while the short - term prices are still in an adjustment state. It is recommended to pay attention to the US ADP employment data to be released this Wednesday [11]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review - **Gold**: Due to the conclusion of the Sino - US negotiation, market doubts about tariff details, and the Fed's 25 - basis - point interest rate cut, the price of US gold declined. As of last Friday, US gold closed at $4013 per ounce, down 2.8% for the week. The upper resistance level is $4100, and the lower support level is $3950 [6]. - **Silver**: Affected by the same factors, the price of US silver showed a weak oscillation. As of last Friday, it had a weekly decline of 0.3%, closing at $48.3 per ounce. The lower support level is $47, and the upper resistance level is $49.5 [9]. 3.2 Weekly Viewpoint The factors mentioned above led to the correction and subsequent rebound of precious metals. The market is divided on the December interest - rate cut, and the expected end - point of this round of cuts has been lowered. The Fed may further ease policies, but a December cut is not guaranteed. With the weakening US economic data and concerns about fiscal and Fed independence, precious metals are expected to be supported in the medium - term but are in short - term adjustment. Attention should be paid to the US ADP employment data on Wednesday [11]. 3.3 Overseas Macroeconomic Indicators The report presents multiple charts related to overseas macroeconomic indicators, including the US dollar index, euro - US dollar and pound - US dollar exchange rates, real interest rates, yield spreads, gold - silver ratio, Fed balance - sheet size, and WTI crude oil futures prices, but no specific analysis of these indicators is provided in the text [15][17][19]. 3.4 Important Economic Data of the Week The announced value of the US October Chicago PMI was 43.8, higher than the expected value of 42.3 and the previous value of 40.6 [26]. 3.5 Important Macroeconomic Events and Policies of the Week - **Sino - US Negotiation**: The US will cancel the 10% so - called "fentanyl tariff" on Chinese goods, and the 24% reciprocal tariff will be suspended for another year. China will adjust counter - measures accordingly. Both sides agree to extend some tariff exclusion measures. The US will suspend the implementation of the 50% penetration rule of export control announced on September 29 for one year, and China will suspend relevant export - control measures announced on October 9 for one year and study specific plans [27]. - **Fed**: The Fed cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75 - 4.0% at the October FOMC meeting, in line with market expectations, and will end the balance - sheet reduction on December 1. Powell said that the government "shutdown" affects the economy, but the impact will reverse after the "shutdown" ends. A further interest - rate cut at the December meeting is not certain [27]. - **European Central Bank**: The ECB kept the deposit facility rate at 2.00%, the main refinancing rate at 2.15%, and the marginal lending rate at 2.40% at the interest - rate meeting. This is the third consecutive time it has kept rates unchanged. The last rate cut was in June when the euro - area inflation rate reached the 2% target [27]. 3.6 Inventory - **Gold**: COMEX inventory decreased by 22,053.63 kg to 1,187,159.84 kg, and SHFE inventory increased by 801 kg to 87,816 kg [13][31]. - **Silver**: COMEX inventory decreased by 451,258.42 kg to 15,005,532.25 kg, and SHFE inventory increased by 573 kg to 665,544 kg [13][31]. 3.7 Fund Holdings - **Gold**: The net long position of CFTC speculative funds was 259,261 contracts, an increase of 3,182 contracts from the previous week [13][36]. - **Silver**: The net long position of CFTC speculative funds was 49,507 contracts, an increase of 729 contracts from the previous week [13][36]. 3.8 Key Points to Watch This Week - On Monday (November 3), 23:00, the US October ISM Manufacturing PMI will be released. - On Wednesday (November 5), 21:15, the change in the US October ADP employment number will be announced [38].

Report Overview - Report Title: Yangtze River Futures Precious Metals Weekly Report - Report Date: October 13, 2025 - Report Institution: Yangtze River Futures Co., Ltd. 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Due to the delayed release of non - farm payroll data, lower - than - expected ADP employment data, the risk of a US government shutdown driving up risk - aversion sentiment, and the resurgence of Sino - US trade frictions, precious metal prices continued to rise. The London silver spot market was tight. - There are differences in the market's expectations for the extent of interest rate cuts this year, and the expected end - point of this round of interest rate cuts has been lowered compared to the previous period. The US PPI data for August was lower than expected, and the dot - plot of the interest rate meeting showed that there will be two more interest rate cuts. - The impact of Trump on the independence of the Federal Reserve is apparent, and the US employment situation is slowing down. Powell said that the changing economic risks give the Fed more reasons to cut interest rates, and the impact of tariffs on consumer prices is unlikely to be persistent. - With the US economic data trending weaker, the market is concerned about the US fiscal situation and the independence of the Fed. Supported by interest rate cut expectations and risk - aversion sentiment, precious metal prices are expected to remain supported. It is recommended to pay attention to the US non - farm payroll employment data for September released this week [11]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review - **Gold**: The price of US gold continued its strong trend. As of last Friday, it closed at $4036 per ounce, up 3.2% for the week. The upper resistance level is $4100, and the lower support level is $3960 [6]. - **Silver**: The price of US silver continued to rise. As of last Friday, it had a weekly decline of 1%, closing at $47.5 per ounce. The lower support level is $46.5, and the upper resistance level is $52 [9]. 3.2 Weekly View - Due to multiple factors such as delayed non - farm data and government shutdown risks, precious metal prices are expected to be supported. It is necessary to pay attention to the US non - farm payroll employment data for September [11]. 3.3 Overseas Macroeconomic Indicators No specific analysis content is provided in the text, only some data charts are presented, including real interest rates, the US dollar index, yield spreads, the Fed's balance sheet size, and the gold - silver ratio. 3.4 Important Economic Data of the Week - Eurozone retail sales month - on - month rate in August was 0.1%, in line with expectations and an improvement from the previous - month's - 0.5%. - The preliminary value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in the US in October was 55, higher than the expected 54.2 but slightly lower than the previous value of 55.1 [24]. 3.5 Important Macroeconomic Events and Policies of the Week - On October 10, 2025, former US President Trump announced plans to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese goods starting November 1, and implement key software export controls, causing a significant shock in the global financial markets. - In the London market, the silver lease rate soared to 34.98% on October 9, reaching a record high. There may be a run - on risk for overseas silver ingot inventories, and it has become extremely difficult for traders in Singapore to borrow silver from banks. The silver ingot price shows a pattern of being stronger overseas and weaker domestically, and it is necessary to closely monitor the opening of the general trade export window and the export trend of silver ingots [25]. 3.6 Inventory - **Gold**: COMEX inventory decreased by 5,294.21 kg to 1,242,294.62 kg this week, and SHFE inventory remained unchanged from last week at 70,728 kg. - **Silver**: COMEX inventory decreased by 292,673.17 kg to 16,250,452.72 kg, and SHFE inventory decreased by 23,221 kg to 1,169,061 kg [13]. 3.7 Fund Holdings - **Gold**: The net long position of CFTC speculative funds in gold this week was 259,261 contracts, an increase of 3,182 contracts from last week. - **Silver**: The net long position of CFTC speculative funds in silver this week was 49,507 contracts, an increase of 729 contracts from last week [13]. 3.8 Key Points to Watch This Week - On Tuesday, October 14, at 20:30, the seasonally - adjusted change in non - farm payroll employment in the US for September and the US unemployment rate for September will be released. - On Thursday, October 16, at 20:30, the US PPI annual rate for September and the US retail sales month - on - month rate for September will be released [34].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core View of the Report - The market's expectation of a Fed rate cut in October has increased due to the in - line US August PCE data, and precious metal prices are in a strong - side consolidation. The US economic data is trending weaker, and there are concerns about the US fiscal situation and Fed independence, suggesting support for precious metal prices. Attention should be paid to the US September non - farm payroll data released on Friday [6][9][11] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review - The price of US gold continued its strong - side consolidation. As of last Friday, it closed at $3,790 per ounce, up 1.9% for the week. The upper resistance level is $3,850, and the lower support level is $3,700 [6] - The price of US silver continued to rise. As of last Friday, it had a weekly gain of 6.9%, closing at $46.4 per ounce. The lower support level is $45, and the upper resistance level is $48.5 [9] 3.2 Weekly View - Due to factors such as the in - line US August PCE data, the downward revision of the total non - farm employment in March, the indication of two more rate cuts in the dot - plot of the FOMC meeting, market expectations of monetary policy easing have increased. The precious metal prices are expected to be supported at the bottom. Attention should be paid to the US September non - farm payroll data released on Friday [11] 3.3 Overseas Macroeconomic Indicators - No specific text summary information provided, only charts are shown 3.4 Important Economic Data of the Week - The annual rate of the US August PCE price index was 2.7%, in line with expectations and slightly higher than the previous value of 2.6% [26] - The final quarterly annualized rate of the US second - quarter real GDP was 3.8%, higher than the expected 3.3% and the previous value of 3.3% [26] - The preliminary value of the US September SPGI manufacturing PMI was 52, in line with expectations and slightly lower than the previous value of 53 [26] 3.5 Important Macroeconomic Events and Policies of the Week - The overall US August PCE data increased by 2.7% year - on - year, in line with market expectations and slightly higher than the previous value. The market is still betting that the Fed will cut rates in October, with an 86% probability [27] - The annualized growth rate of the US second - quarter GDP reached 3.8%, the fastest in nearly two years. The expected growth rate of the third - quarter GDP is generally around 2.5%. US consumer spending in August increased by 0.6%, exceeding expectations [27] 3.6 Inventory - For gold, the COMEX inventory increased by 15,019.10 kg to 1,242,473.18 kg this week, and the SHFE inventory increased by 8,397 kg to 65,826 kg [13] - For silver, the COMEX inventory increased by 195,990.93 kg to 16,495,571.19 kg this week, and the SHFE inventory decreased by 1,177 kg to 1,158,266 kg [13] 3.7 Fund Holdings - As of September 23, the net long position of CFTC speculative funds in gold was 259,261 contracts, an increase of 3,182 contracts from last week [13][35] - As of September 23, the net long position of CFTC speculative funds in silver was 49,507 contracts, an increase of 729 contracts from last week [13][35] 3.8 Key Points to Watch This Week - On Wednesday (October 1), at 22:00, the US September ISM manufacturing PMI will be released [37] - On Friday (October 3), at 20:30, the seasonally - adjusted change in US September non - farm payrolls and the US September unemployment rate will be released [37]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics significantly revised down the total non - farm employment in March, and the U.S. August PPI data was lower than expected, leading to an increase in the market's expectation of multiple interest rate cuts within the year, and the precious metal prices continued to rebound. - Trump's influence on the Fed's independence is evident. The results of trade negotiations between the U.S. and multiple countries have been finalized, and the tariff increase is generally lower than market expectations, leading to an increase in the market's optimistic expectation of a trade agreement between the U.S. and Europe. - The market expects a 25 - basis - point interest rate cut in September. The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. last week exceeded expectations. Powell said that the changing economic risks give the Fed more reasons to cut interest rates, and the impact of tariffs on consumer prices is unlikely to be sustained. - The U.S. economic data is trending weaker, and the market is worried about the U.S. fiscal situation and geopolitical prospects. It is expected that the precious metal prices will have support at the bottom. It is recommended to pay attention to the U.S. September interest rate decision announced on Thursday [11]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Market Review - Due to the U.S. August PPI data being significantly lower than expected and the market's increased expectation of the number of Fed interest rate cuts within the year, the price of U.S. gold continued to rise. As of last Friday, U.S. gold closed at $3,681 per ounce, up 1.1% within the week. The upper resistance level is $3,740, and the lower support level is $3,600 [6]. - Due to the same reasons, the price of U.S. silver continued to rise. As of last Friday, it had a weekly increase of 2.8%, closing at $42.7 per ounce. The lower support level is $40.5, and the upper resistance level is $44 [9]. 3.2 Weekly View - The factors mentioned above lead to the continuation of the precious metal price rebound. The market expects a 25 - basis - point interest rate cut in September. The U.S. economic data is weakening, and there are concerns about the fiscal situation and geopolitical prospects, so the precious metal prices are expected to have support at the bottom. Attention should be paid to the U.S. September interest rate decision announced on Thursday [11]. - Gold: COMEX inventory decreased by 1,347 kilograms to 1,210,376.87 kilograms this week, while SHFE inventory increased by 9,615 kilograms to 52,950 kilograms. - Silver: COMEX inventory increased by 281,642.11 kilograms to 16,404,708.42 kilograms this week, while SHFE inventory decreased by 18,840 kilograms to 1,246,569 kilograms. - This week, the net long position of gold CFTC speculative funds was 255,351 contracts, an increase of 10,919 contracts compared with last week; the net long position of silver CFTC speculative funds was 50,889 contracts, a decrease of 1,848 contracts compared with last week. - Strategy suggestion: Trade cautiously and within the range. Refer to the operating range of 815 - 855 for the Shanghai Gold 10 - contract and 9,700 - 10,500 for the Shanghai Silver 10 - contract [13]. 3.3 Overseas Macroeconomic Indicators Although there are a lot of data charts provided, no specific analysis or summary information is given in the text. 3.4 Important Economic Data of the Current Week - The U.S. August CPI annual rate unadjusted was 2.9%, the same as the expected value and higher than the previous value of 2.7%. - The U.S. August PPI annual rate was 2.6%, lower than the expected value of 3.3% and the same as the previous value [28]. 3.5 Important Macroeconomic Events and Policies of the Current Week - From April 2024 to March 2025, the total non - farm employment in the U.S. was revised down by 911,000, with an average monthly decrease of 76,000. The expected revision was 682,000, and this is the largest revision since 2009. The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending September 6 rose to 263,000, reaching the highest point in nearly four years, further reflecting the cooling of the labor market. - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the consumer price index (CPI) in August increased by 0.4% month - on - month, higher than the expected 0.3%, recording the largest increase in seven months; the year - on - year growth rate was 2.9%, also higher than 2.7% in July. The core CPI excluding food and energy increased by 0.3% month - on - month and 3.1% year - on - year, in line with market expectations [29]. 3.6 Inventory - Gold: COMEX inventory decreased by 1,347 kilograms to 1,210,376.87 kilograms, and SHFE inventory increased by 9,615 kilograms to 52,950 kilograms. - Silver: COMEX inventory increased by 281,642.11 kilograms to 16,404,708.42 kilograms, and SHFE inventory decreased by 18,840 kilograms to 1,246,569 kilograms [13]. 3.7 Fund Holdings - As of September 9, the net long position of gold CFTC speculative funds was 255,351 contracts, an increase of 10,919 contracts compared with last week. - As of September 9, the net long position of silver CFTC speculative funds was 50,889 contracts, a decrease of 1,848 contracts compared with last week [13]. 3.8 Key Points to Focus on This Week - On Tuesday (September 16), 20:30, the U.S. August retail sales month - on - month rate. - On Thursday (September 18), 20:30, the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending September 13 [40].

Report Title - "Yangtze River Futures Precious Metals Weekly Report: Rising Expectations of Interest Rate Cuts Provide Support for Prices" [1] Report Date - August 11, 2025 [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The continuous weakening of US economic data has led to an increase in expectations of an interest rate cut in September, causing precious metal prices to fluctuate strongly. The implementation of the new round of US tariffs, the poor performance of July's non - farm payroll data, and the downward revision of May and June data have reversed the market's expectations of employment market resilience. Although the Fed's interest rate - setting meeting was hawkish, market concerns about the US fiscal situation and geopolitical outlook are expected to support precious metal prices. Attention should be paid to the US July CPI inflation data released on Tuesday [4][7][8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review - Gold: US economic data weakened continuously, and the expectation of an interest rate cut in September increased. As of last Friday, the price of US gold was reported at $3458 per ounce, up 1.2% for the week. The upper resistance level is $3510, and the lower support level is $3390 [4] - Silver: US economic data weakened continuously, the expectation of an interest rate cut in September increased, and silver inventories decreased during the week. As of last Friday, the price of US silver rebounded, with a weekly increase of 3.8%, reported at $38.51 per ounce. The lower support level is $37, and the upper resistance level is $39.7 [7] 2. Weekly View - New US tariffs took effect, July's non - farm payroll data was far below expectations, and data for May and June were significantly revised downwards, reversing the market's expectations of employment market resilience and increasing the market's expectation of an interest rate cut in September. The results of trade negotiations between the US and multiple countries were announced, and the tariff increase was generally lower than market expectations, increasing the market's optimistic expectation of a trade agreement between the US and Europe. Although the market expects an interest rate cut in September, Powell said at the interest - rate meeting that the conditions for a rate cut had not been met, and the meeting result was hawkish. Trump nominated a Fed governor. With the US tariff policy basically in place, the market is concerned about the US fiscal situation and geopolitical prospects, and precious metal prices are expected to be supported. Attention should be paid to the US July CPI inflation data [8] 3. Overseas Macroeconomic Indicators - Not summarized in text form, mainly presented in charts including the US dollar index, real interest rates, currency exchange rates, US Treasury yields, inflation expectations, Fed balance sheet size, and WTI crude oil futures prices [12][14][16] 4. Important Economic Data of the Week - US July ISM non - manufacturing PMI was 50.1, expected to be 51.5, and the previous value was 50.8 - The revised monthly rate of US durable goods orders in June was - 9.4% [19] 5. Important Macroeconomic Events and Policies of the Week - The number of initial jobless claims in the US last week rose to the highest level in a month. As of the week ending August 2, the number of initial jobless claims increased by 7000 to 226,000, higher than the economist's forecast of 221,000. The number of continued jobless claims rose to 1.974 million, the highest since November 2021 - Trump said he would nominate White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Milan to temporarily serve as a Fed governor to fill the vacancy left by Kugler's unexpected resignation [21] 6. Inventory - Gold: COMEX inventory decreased by 4062.44 kg to 1,200,128.17 kg, and SHFE inventory increased by 300 kg to 36,045 kg - Silver: COMEX inventory decreased by 5260.36 kg to 15,753,687.21 kg, and SHFE inventory decreased by 25,570 kg to 1,158,387 kg [10] 7. Fund Holdings - As of August 5, the net long position of gold CFTC speculative funds was 230,217 contracts, an increase of 13,029 contracts from last week - As of August 5, the net long position of silver CFTC speculative funds was 48,500 contracts, a decrease of 8719 contracts from last week [10] 8. Key Points to Watch This Week - August 12 (Tuesday), 20:30: US July CPI annual rate unadjusted - August 14 (Thursday), 20:30: US July PPI annual rate - August 15 (Thursday), 20:30: US July retail sales annual rate; 22:00: US August preliminary University of Michigan consumer confidence index [32]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report - The U.S. economic data shows resilience recently, with the May non - farm payrolls exceeding expectations, the April inflation data below expectations, and the Fed maintaining policy independence. Gold prices are in a state of oscillatory adjustment. The strong employment data and existing inflation risks provide policy space for the Fed to postpone interest rate cuts. The Fed's May FOMC meeting maintained a hawkish stance. The market expects the Fed to cut rates in September but has lowered the expected rate - cut amplitude. Considering the repeated expectations of U.S. tariff policies and market concerns about the U.S. fiscal situation and geopolitical prospects, prices are expected to continue oscillating and adjusting, with a mid - term bullish outlook [10]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review - Due to the U.S. May non - farm payrolls exceeding expectations and the market lowering the expected rate - cut amplitude, the price of U.S. gold slightly corrected. As of last Friday, U.S. gold closed at $3331 per ounce, up 0.5% for the week. The upper resistance level is $3390, and the lower support level is $3280 [6]. - The price of U.S. silver rose to catch up. As of last Friday, it had a weekly increase of 9.2%, closing at $36.13 per ounce. The lower support level is $34.5, and the upper resistance level is $37 [9]. 3.2 Weekly View - The U.S. May non - farm payrolls exceeded expectations, the Fed maintained policy independence, the April inflation data was below expectations, and recent U.S. economic data showed resilience, leading to an oscillatory adjustment of gold prices. The strong employment data and inflation risks provide policy space for the Fed to postpone interest rate cuts. The Fed's May FOMC meeting maintained a hawkish stance, and Powell said that tariffs might have a lasting impact on inflation and that the Fed needs to wait for the situation to become clear before considering rate cuts. The ECB cut rates by 25 basis points as expected in April. The market expects the Fed to cut rates in September and has lowered the expected rate - cut amplitude. Due to the repeated expectations of U.S. tariff policies and market concerns about the U.S. fiscal situation and geopolitical prospects, prices are expected to continue oscillating and adjusting, with a mid - term bullish outlook. It is recommended to pay attention to the U.S. May year - on - year inflation data to be released on Wednesday [10]. 3.3 Overseas Macroeconomic Indicators There is no specific text - based summary information provided in the content, only some data charts are presented. 3.4 Important Economic Data of the Week | Economic Indicator | Announced Value | Expected Value | Previous Value | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | U.S. May non - farm payrolls change, seasonally adjusted (in millions) | 13.9 | 13 | 14.7 | | U.S. May unemployment rate (%) | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | | U.S. May ADP employment change (in millions) | 3.7 | 11 | 6.2 | | U.S. April durable goods orders monthly rate revision (%) | - 6.3 | - | - 6.3 | [20] 3.5 Important Macroeconomic Events and Policies of the Week - The U.S. May non - farm payrolls increased by 1.39 million, higher than the expected 1.3 million, and the unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%. However, the average hourly wage increased by 0.4% month - on - month, higher than expected and the previous value, indicating an upward risk of inflation. The strong employment data and inflation risks provide policy space for the Fed to postpone interest rate cuts. After the release of the non - farm data, the market lowered the expected rate - cut amplitude, expecting the annual rate - cut to be less than 50 basis points [21]. - The ECB cut rates by 25 basis points as expected but hinted that its one - year easing cycle would pause after the inflation rate finally reached the central bank's 2% target. Since last June, the ECB has cut rates eight times. Currently, the inflation rate in the eurozone is slightly below 2%, and ECB President Lagarde said the bank is in a "good position," leading investors to believe that even if the easing policy is not ended, rate cuts will pause [21]. - Representatives of the U.S. and the EU said that the bilateral trade negotiations are progressing rapidly. The new U.S. metal tariffs have disrupted the global economy again, increasing the urgency of the negotiations. U.S. President Trump's measure to double the import tariffs on steel and aluminum took effect on Wednesday. On the same day, the U.S. asked its trading partners to submit "best offers" to avoid other punitive tariffs from taking effect in July [21]. 3.6 Inventory - For gold, this week, Comex inventory decreased by 20,897.20 kg to 1,185,582.5 kg, and SHFE inventory increased by 600 kg to 17,847 kg. - For silver, this week, Comex inventory decreased by 40,062.53 kg to 15,387,521.69 kg, and SHFE inventory increased by 51,055 kg to 1,117,940 kg [12][26]. 3.7 Fund Holdings - As of June 3, the net long position of gold CFTC speculative funds was 191,433 contracts, an increase of 14,371 contracts from last week. - As of June 3, the net long position of silver CFTC speculative funds was 59,230 contracts, an increase of 8,616 contracts from last week [12][31]. 3.8 Key Points to Watch This Week - On Wednesday (June 11) at 20:30, the U.S. May year - on - year inflation data will be released. - On Thursday (June 12) at 20:30, the U.S. May PPI year - on - year data and the number of initial jobless claims for the week ending June 7 will be announced. - On Friday (June 13) at 22:00, the preliminary value of the U.S. June University of Michigan consumer confidence index will be released [33].