Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the resurgence of domestic computing power, with the domestic chip ETF, Guotai (589100), rising over 5% during trading [1][3] - The State Administration for Market Regulation announced an investigation into NVIDIA for violating China's antitrust laws, while Huawei launched new supernodes and Ascend series chips, indicating a strong domestic push for AI computing power [3] - The development of domestic computing power is supported by continuous iterations of domestic chips like Huawei's Ascend, alongside increasing capital expenditures from major domestic internet companies, indicating a robust demand [3][4] Group 2 - The article suggests that a new arms race in AI is underway, with a shift in demand from AI training to inference, indicating stronger and more sustained investment compared to previous cycles [4] - The improving market risk appetite suggests that there is still room for valuation increases within the relevant industry chain, encouraging investors to pay attention to the Guotai chip ETF (589100) and the chip ETF (512760) [4]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced narrow fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3828.58 points, up 0.22%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 13157.97 points, up 0.67% [1][3] - The overall market showed more declines than gains, with the electronics and computer sectors leading the market [1] Gold Market - Spot gold prices rose, with London gold breaking the $3700 mark, continuing its strong performance following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision [1][4] - The Fed's dot plot indicated that 10 members support three or more rate cuts this year, with a 92% probability of a cut in October, which has heightened expectations for a low-interest environment [1][4] - Continuous geopolitical risks and global economic concerns reinforce gold's position as a preferred asset for risk hedging, with central banks expected to purchase between 900 to 950 tons of gold this year [4] Industrial Metals - Under the backdrop of the Fed's rate cuts, various industrial metals also saw price increases, with the non-ferrous metals sector rising approximately 1% [2][6] - Silver prices surged by 3.81%, reaching 10317 yuan/kg, driven by strong demand in electronics and photovoltaic sectors, alongside concerns over supply shortages [6][7] - Copper prices are supported by stable demand from green energy transitions and AI, despite supply-side disruptions [6] Rare Earths - Following China's strengthened export controls on rare earths, overseas restocking orders have increased, and domestic demand remains robust [7] - The rare earth sector is expected to see continuous performance improvements, with the non-ferrous metals index trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of about 24 times, indicating potential for further valuation recovery [7] AI Computing Power - The domestic computing power market is experiencing a resurgence, with the National Technology ETF rising over 5% [2][9] - The trend towards domestic substitution in AI computing is gaining momentum, with significant optimism regarding the industry's outlook [9][10] - The demand for AI is shifting from training to inference, suggesting stronger and more sustained investment in the sector [10] Photovoltaic Industry - The photovoltaic industry is gradually recovering, with the Photovoltaic 50 ETF rising 6.33% since the beginning of the month [3][11] - Policy support and a focus on reducing vicious competition are expected to stabilize prices and improve profitability in the sector [11] - Global demand for photovoltaic installations is projected to grow, with annual new installations expected to exceed 600 GW [11]

Group 1 - The overseas communication equipment supply chain, including the PCB sector, is expected to see significant performance improvements in the second half of the year, driven by the release of new products like 800G optical modules and increased demand from Nvidia's GB200 [1] - The market is currently in a state of divergence, with various sectors such as optical modules, optical devices, and PCB manufacturers showing strong performance, reflecting a positive outlook for the future of the computing power industry, particularly in overseas markets [1] - The innovative drug industry chain has also performed well in the first half of the year, with significant revenue growth driven by overseas orders, particularly in North America, leading to notable stock price increases for related companies [2] Group 2 - Looking ahead to the third quarter, there is potential for increased shipments of domestic computing power cards, which may positively impact the stock prices of domestic data center companies that have faced challenges due to Nvidia's export restrictions [2] - Following the release of Nvidia's GB300, there is growing market interest in areas such as liquid cooling and power supply, indicating that the computing power sector may continue to experience growth driven by fundamental demand and order increases in the second half of the year [3] - Investment opportunities can be found in various ETFs, including communication ETF (515880), innovative drug ETF (589720), chip ETF (512760), and semiconductor equipment ETF (159516) [3]

Group 1 - The market showed a strong upward trend in July, driven by expectations of policy catalysts and stimulus, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high [1] - The basic investment logic based on financial report guidance was fully reflected in July, as the market focused on companies with strong performance forecasts [1] - The AI industry chain, particularly segments like optical modules and PCBs, experienced significant price increases due to strong half-year report forecasts and overseas AI companies reaching new highs [1] Group 2 - Downstream demand is being continuously revised upward, with major overseas internet cloud companies reporting capital expenditures that exceeded market expectations, indicating a positive outlook for future capital spending [2] - The demand for optical modules and PCB companies is also being revised upward, reflecting a high level of industry prosperity [2] - Concerns regarding AI computing power demand and tariffs have eased significantly in July, leading to notable price increases in the overseas computing power industry chain [2] Group 3 - The domestic substitution trend has shown some performance improvement, with expectations for a recovery in the expansion pace of domestic wafer fabs in the second half of the year [3] - The storage sector has seen price increases, driven by high demand in the server storage market and supply constraints in the consumer market [3] - The market's focus on technology growth sectors has increased, with opportunities identified in both overseas export chains and domestic semiconductor industry chains [3]