" 英伟达的「迭代速度」将让高通倍感压力。 " 作者丨 刘伊伦 编辑丨 包永刚 雷峰网消息显示，当地时间10月27日，高通宣布推出针对数据中心场景的AI推理优化解决方案。该方案由 Qualcomm AI200、AI250云端AI芯片，及对应的加速卡、机架等组成。 千亿级云端推理市场的入局动态，让高通在资本市场收获积极反馈。其股价在交易时段内最高上涨22%， 收盘时涨幅收窄至11%。截至美股10月27日收盘，高通股价报187.68美元/股，公司市值约2025亿美 元， 市值单日增加近200亿美元。 "站在美国的角度看，英伟达的市值已经很高了，再向上涨一个数量级有比较高的难度，而美股近期能够 上涨的股票都跟AI概念相挂钩， 高通推出AI推理芯片属于补涨。" 芯片行业分析师陈冲表示。 不少行业人士认为，高通在端侧芯片有很多经验和技术上的积累，进军AI推理芯片可以为高通带来新的业 务增量，并且市场也不想看到英伟达一家独大，因此此举在行业预期之内 。 关于国内外AI芯片市场的竞 争格局，欢迎添加微信 YONGGANLL6662 交流更多信息。 但这份行业预期背后，高通的低TCO主张能否真正形成竞争力，仍需接受检验。 据 ...

Group 1 - The core message emphasizes the significant improvement in "technological self-reliance and strength," indicating an increased importance of technology in the current context [2][4] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (159516) has seen a rebound, rising over 2.5% on October 24, with a year-to-date share growth exceeding 200%, currently reaching over 7.5 billion yuan, making it the largest in its category [1][6] - The focus on "domestic substitution and self-control" is reinforced, highlighting the need for China to enhance its technological capabilities amidst global competition and supply chain constraints [2][4] Group 2 - Major cloud service providers (CSPs) are significantly increasing capital expenditures, with North American CSPs planning to exceed 370 billion USD in capital spending for the 2025 fiscal year, a 40% increase year-on-year [3] - Domestic cloud companies, including ByteDance, Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu, are expected to invest over 450 billion yuan in AI computing power by 2025, accelerating the industrialization of domestic supernode computing clusters [3] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing strong growth momentum, driven by increased demand for AI computing power and supply constraints in upstream components [3][4]

产业基本面上，2026年英伟达Rubin出货预期上调，头部龙头企业或将开始上调明年1.6T的总需求至 1500万，且仍有上修动能。此次需求上修不仅直接增厚了头部厂商的盈利预期，更强化了AI算力驱动 下光模块高景气周期的持续性与确定性。上游CW光源、EML光芯片及关键设备（MOCVD/电子束）排 产紧张，供给约束增强，价格与毛利率韧性提升，龙头受益度更高。 此外，谷歌gemini3系列有望于10月22日发布，或将为板块行情带来催化。Gemini 3.0 预计将在多个维 度超越现有的顶尖模型 Gemini 2.5 Pro。新模型有望优化延迟和成本控制方面，这意味着更快、更经济 的 AI 服务。 国内外云厂商持续加大资本开支，直接利好光模块、IDC板块。根据国信证券，北美CSP云厂(包括亚马 逊、谷歌、Meta、微软、甲骨文等)计划2025财年资本开支超过3700亿美金,同比增长40%。其中,甲骨文 最新一季财报显示,其FY26Q1末剩余履约义务(RPO)达4550亿美元，较上季度末增加3170亿美元。公司 将继续加大AI投入,预计2026财年资本开支达350亿美元。10月6日OpenAI宣布与AMD共同部署6GW ...

1、上证指数上涨0.63%报收3863.89点，深证成指上涨0.98%报收12813.21点。两市缩量明显，仅成交 1.75万亿元，成交额创近两个月新低。板块上，通信、煤炭领涨，有色金属板块则受金银回调拖累，跌 幅居前。展望后市，盈利拐点未至的情况下，结构性行情仍是基调，后市或继续以震荡为主。 2、今日港股跳空高开，全日维持高位震荡，最终收涨2.42%，报25858.83点。上周中美贸易争端引发风 偏回落，港股出现调整。若后续贸易争端进一步降温，近期受情绪压制明显的港股有望积聚反弹动能。 推荐对港股通50ETF(159712)、港股科技ETF(513020)保持关注。 3、通信ETF(515880)今日上涨3.39%。产业基本面上，2026年英伟达Rubin出货预期上调，头部龙头或将 开始上调明年1.6T的总需求至1500万，且仍有上修动能。此次需求上修不仅直接增厚了头部厂商的盈利 预期，更强化了AI算力驱动下光模块高景气周期的持续性与确定性。此外，谷歌Gemini3系列有望于10 月22日发布，或将为板块行情带来催化。目前市场存在多重事件扰动，板块可能延续震荡，有兴趣的投 资者可以持续关注通信ETF(515 ...

Market Performance - On October 20, the market experienced high-level fluctuations in the early session, with the ChiNext Index leading the gains. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.16 trillion yuan, a decrease of 16.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. By midday, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.69%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.38%, and the ChiNext Index surged by 2.49%. Notably, overseas computing power was strong, with the ChiNext AI ETF rising by 4.14% and the communication ETF increasing by 3.97% [1]. Factors Driving the Upsurge - Nvidia's Rubin shipment expectations for 2026 have been raised, and the competitive landscape in the optical module market remains stable. If the market expands, it is theoretically expected that the performance of related manufacturers will also improve [2]. - The upcoming release of Google's Gemini 3 series has generated buzz, with leaked demo tests indicating its strong capabilities. Gemini 3 addresses AI display issues with precision down to the second hand, outperforming GPT-5 in certain aspects. The number of tokens processed by Google has seen a significant increase, surpassing 1.3 trillion monthly, up from 980 trillion in July and 480 trillion in May, indicating a steep growth trajectory [2]. Market Outlook - The AI wave is expected to continue, with a focus on computing power as the main line. The acceleration of industrialization is evident, with overseas infrastructure investments resonating with performance and mature business models leading to a noticeable speed-up in AI. Domestically, the production of domestic GPUs is accelerating, and domestic computing power remains strong. Recent tariff expectations have led to a pullback in computing power, presenting potential low-position investment opportunities [4]. - There is a caution regarding short-term pullback risks. Geopolitical tensions and tariff risks are expected to have a relatively larger impact on consumer electronics and communications sectors, while the semiconductor sector is less affected. Multiple disruptive events may increase market volatility, and significant developments may remain uncertain ahead of APEC [5]. Investment Considerations - Following previous pullbacks, better investment opportunities may arise. Investors are encouraged to consider both domestic and overseas computing power investments, with a focus on communication ETFs (515880) and semiconductor equipment ETFs (159516) [5].

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the three major indices rebounding after an initial drop, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.13%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.38%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.27% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.98 trillion yuan, a decrease of 140.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The computing hardware sector saw a strong rebound, with stocks like Industrial Fulian and Dongshan Precision hitting the daily limit [2][5] - The oil and gas sector also performed well, with Junyou shares reaching the daily limit, supported by rising oil prices [2][3] - The film and cinema sector experienced a surge, with Jin Yi Film hitting the daily limit, indicating a recovery in the Chinese film market [3] - The battery sector showed weakness, with Lingpai Technology experiencing a significant decline [1] Key Stocks - Notable stocks in the computing hardware sector included Industrial Fulian, Shenghong Technology, and Zhongji Xuchuang, all of which saw substantial gains [2][5] - In the oil and gas sector, Junyou shares and Tongyuan Petroleum were among the top performers [2][3] - The film sector saw strong performances from Jin Yi Film and other entertainment stocks [3] Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue experiencing fluctuations, with a focus on sector rotation and identifying low-entry opportunities in key stocks [7] - The computing hardware and semiconductor sectors are highlighted as areas of potential growth, alongside solid-state batteries and satellite internet [7] - The film industry is anticipated to enter a new product cycle, supported by strong box office performance [3] Regulatory Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments have initiated a three-month special rectification action in the automotive industry to regulate competition in the new energy vehicle sector [9] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs plans to hold a meeting on September 16 to discuss pig production capacity control with major industry players [10][11]