回顾1月12日的市场，资金对人工智能板块的追捧达到了一个阶段性高潮。不仅涨幅惊人的ETF数量众 多，部分品种上的资金进出强度也令人瞩目。例如，有创业板软件ETF单日换手率超过330%，另有同 类产品换手率也高达172%，反映出短线资金极高的参与热情和激烈的博弈。据了解，这种高换手现象 通常意味着市场对该板块的看法存在较大分歧，既有强烈的买入意愿，也有大量的获利了结盘。 | 序号 | 14.25 | 名称 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | 换手串 | 6日涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 588420 | 科创创业人工智能ETF摩 | 18,69% | 13.08% | 21,58% | | 2 | 159243 | 创业板人工智能ETF招商 | 13.19% | 50.07% | 16.05% | | 3 | 159107 | 创业板软件ETF富国 | 12.71% | 171.76% | 23,06% | | 4 | 159256 | 创业板软件ETF华夏 | 11.29% | 331.57% | 22.24% | | 5 | 159382 | 创业板人工 ...

华夏基金ETF方面，1月12日，航空航天ETF和游戏ETF单日净流入居前，分别净流入10.34亿元和6.78亿元，最新规模分别达37.81亿元和163.84亿元，对应 跟踪指数近一月日均成交额分别为4.94亿元和8.36亿元。传媒ETF净流入5.76亿元，有色金属ETF和创业板软件ETF分别净流入4.02亿元和3.92亿元。 【导读】昨日股票ETF资金净流入超130亿元 1月12日，A股三大指数继续强势表现，沪指日线17连阳再创逾十年新高。股票ETF资金净流入超130亿元。其中，传媒、卫星、软件、有色金属等热门主 题ETF资金净流入居前，沪深300ETF、创业板ETF、科创50ETF、A500ETF等宽基ETF成为"失血"大户。 昨日股票ETF资金净流入超130亿元 昨日（1月12日），市场震荡拉升，三大指数均涨超1%，全市场股票ETF（含跨境ETF）资金净流入131.3亿元。 净流入前5板块分别为传媒（净流入38.0亿元）、有色金属（净流入32.2亿元）、卫星产业（净流入27.7亿元）、人工智能（净流入26.1亿元）、国防军工 （净流入23.9亿元）。 净流出前5板块分别为中证A500指数（净流出28.7亿 ...

机构表现方面，中小基金公司凭借高弹性产品布局展现突出业绩弹性，华富基金、西部利得基金、永赢 基金平均收益率位居前列，其中华富基金凭借人工智能ETF（515980.SH）的优异表现，平均收益率突 破70%；资金吸附能力上，国泰基金因旗下证券ETF吸引近300亿元资金流入，成为年度唯一资金净流 入超300亿元的基金公司，景顺长城基金、华宝基金等资金净流入规模紧随其后。机构格局呈现"强者恒 强"与"差异化突围"共生特征，华夏基金、易方达基金规模增长均超千亿，头部公司依托宽基赛道优势 巩固地位，中小基金则通过细分行业产品实现突围。 展望2026年，新时空研究院认为，机构竞争将进一步聚焦细分品类创新与服务能力提升，头部公司在宽 基和主流赛道的规模优势难以撼动，中小基金需在细分行业ETF、跨境产品等领域挖掘差异化机会。整 体而言，2026年ETF市场将更考验管理人对产业趋势的前瞻布局能力与资金流动的敏锐把握。 关于新时空NewTimeSpace：新时空NewTimeSpace是一家采用人工智能技术的国际财经新闻媒体，内容 覆盖股票市场、宏观经济、可持续投资等领域，提供中英文双语财经资讯服务。新时空研究院 （NewTime ...

Group 1 - The commercial aerospace sector led the market last week, with the China Satellite Industry Index rising over 12% and multiple satellite-themed ETFs increasing by more than 10% [2] - The lithium battery sector also showed strong performance, with several battery-themed ETFs ranking among the top gainers [2] - The Hong Kong pharmaceutical sector continued to decline, with several related ETFs dropping over 2% [3] Group 2 - The short-term bond ETF (511360) maintained high trading activity, with a weekly trading volume exceeding 140 billion yuan [3] - In the equity ETF segment, four large-scale CSI A500 ETFs had significant trading volumes, collectively exceeding 300 billion yuan [3] - The overall ETF market saw a net inflow of 91.5 billion yuan last week, with the Sci-Tech Bond ETF and CSI A500 ETF attracting substantial investments [4] Group 3 - The total market size of ETFs surpassed 6 trillion yuan, reaching 60,304.77 billion yuan, marking a 61.86% increase compared to the end of 2024 [4] - New additions to the "billion-dollar ETF club" included AI ETFs and robotics ETFs, expanding the number from 66 to 125 [4] Group 4 - Looking ahead, the market is expected to return to a profit-driven trajectory, supported by positive domestic and international policy environments [5] - The focus on technology sectors, particularly AI applications and commercial aerospace, is anticipated to remain strong, alongside cyclical sectors benefiting from global economic recovery [6] - Investment strategies should consider emerging industries prioritized by the government, such as humanoid robots and solid-state batteries, as well as consumer sectors influenced by favorable policies [6]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：六里投资报 但斌自己早已All In AI，投资报资料显示，目前东方港湾海外基金的第一大持仓是英伟达，第二大是谷 歌。 他分析，明年可能是"AI应用大年"， 基础层与应用层将突飞猛进、相辅相成发展，并且远未达到所谓的泡沫阶段。 关于白酒行业，但斌认为其逻辑已发生变化。 房地产下跌影响中产阶级财富，人口结构变迁也带来长期挑战，因此投资需要与时俱进。 对于普通投资者，他建议可以买"王冠上的明珠企业"， 即最好的公司或者指数基金，如纳指ETF、标普ETF、人工智能ETF等，但强调"千万不能借钱，不能融 资炒股票"。 但斌在分享中指出，人工智能革命是一场堪比工业革命的时代机遇，是一场"10年以上的周期"。 他认为，从长远看，AI或许是人类从碳基生命向硅基生命过渡的起点， 甚至，未来能够帮助人类"穿越地球、穿越太阳系、甚至是穿越银河系"。 12月21日，东方港湾董事长但斌在雪球嘉年华活动中，围绕人工智能、白酒股等投资方向，讨论了他看 好的机会，给出了一些投资建议等。 但斌表示，投资比的是思考的远见， 即"谁看得远、看得准、敢重仓、能坚持"。 ...

Market Overview - A-shares have seen a significant decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping from a high of 4034 points in mid-November to near 3800 points [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.74%, while the Hang Seng Index and the China Enterprises Index dropped by 1.54% and 1.79%, respectively, marking recent lows [1] - Bitcoin has recently fallen below $86,000 for the first time in two weeks, and gold prices ended a five-day increase, with COMEX gold down by 0.61% [1] ETF Performance - Gold-themed ETFs have experienced notable declines, with the Yongying Gold Stock ETF dropping by 4.16%, leading the market [2] - Other ETFs in sectors such as semiconductor, new energy, photovoltaic, and artificial intelligence also saw declines exceeding 3% [1][2] Reasons for Market Adjustment - The recent downturn in A-shares is attributed to three main factors: a significant drop in the AI sector of the US stock market, a hawkish stance on interest rate cuts, and increased liquidity demands as the year-end approaches [4] - The AI sector's decline was highlighted by major US tech stocks losing substantial market value, impacting the A-share technology index [4] Future Market Outlook - Despite recent volatility, several brokerages suggest that the spring market rally may still be anticipated, supported by policy measures and liquidity improvements as year-end approaches [6] - There is a consensus among institutions that the current market conditions may present opportunities for a "spring rally," particularly in sectors aligned with the "14th Five-Year Plan" such as quantum technology and biomanufacturing [7] 2026 Market Predictions - Looking ahead to 2026, institutions are optimistic about the equity market, particularly in technology, which is expected to remain a key focus [9] - The return of foreign capital to the Chinese market is anticipated, with sectors such as high-end manufacturing and biotechnology expected to offer significant investment opportunities [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming investment opportunities and risks in the A-share market as the year-end approaches, highlighting the significance of fundamental factors and policy directions for the next year [3][4]. Group 1: Cross-Year Market Logic and Historical Review - The A-share market exhibits seasonal characteristics, with a "cross-year market" being a notable investment window, showing over 70% probability of gains from November to January since 2010, with an average increase of 11.5% for the Shanghai Composite Index and 14.9% for the ChiNext Index during this period [5][6]. - The cross-year market typically lasts about 44 trading days, with historical data indicating varying performance based on previous year's market conditions [6][7]. - Factors contributing to this phenomenon include increased bank credit issuance at year-end, which enhances market liquidity, and positive signals from key policy meetings that boost market expectations [7][8]. Group 2: Special Background for 2024-2025 Cross-Year Market - The current macroeconomic environment presents unique conditions for the upcoming cross-year market, particularly with a moderate internal economic recovery and anticipated liquidity improvements from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [13][14]. - The Federal Reserve has cut rates by 75 basis points throughout the year, signaling a potential end to the rate-cutting cycle, which may ease pressure on the RMB exchange rate [15][17]. - As the first year of the "14th Five-Year Plan," there is heightened policy expectation focusing on technological innovation and new productivity, which may lead to early market movements and increased volatility [17]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities Selection - The article suggests a positive outlook for the new year, emphasizing that internal economic recovery, policy support, and valuation corrections provide a solid foundation for A-shares [18]. - Recommended investment themes include the AI industry, globally competitive high-end manufacturing, and industries benefiting from supply-side optimization [18][20]. - Specific ETFs are highlighted for investment, such as those focusing on AI trends, advantageous manufacturing, and sectors experiencing supply-side improvements, providing efficient tools for investors to participate in the cross-year market [21][26][29].

刚刚闭幕的中央经济工作会议，以及前不久党的二十届四中全会，都对"十五五"时期加快构建新发展格 局，着力推动高质量发展作出战略部署，为金融强国、资本市场高质量发展赋予新使命、明确新方向。 作为资本市场的重要机构投资者，公募基金是连接实体经济与居民财富的关键纽带，其发展成效直接关 系到金融强国建设的成色和中国式现代化的推进质效。 金融赋能新质生产力发展 中央经济工作会议指出，"因地制宜发展新质生产力""坚持创新驱动，加紧培育壮大新动能""创新科技 金融服务"。新质生产力的核心是科技创新，而科技创新具有投入大、周期长、风险高的特征，迫切需 要长期资本的精准赋能。作为专业机构投资者，公募基金须当好"耐心资本"，做时间的朋友，做创新的 伙伴，助力 "长钱长投"市场生态建设。 华夏基金秉承"研究创造价值"的投资理念，坚持价值投资、长期投资，构建适应新质生产力的投研体 系，未来将更多地关注技术壁垒、研发投入、产业链地位等长期成长要素，鼓励投研人员深入产业链一 线，发掘具备核心技术、代表中国未来竞争力的优质企业，力争发挥桥梁纽带作用，形成对新质生产力 的长期稳定支持。华夏基金前期还成立了第一家公募基金股权子公司，后续将持续挖 ...

Group 1 - The core concept of edge AI is to deploy artificial intelligence algorithms and models on local devices, enabling local data processing, analysis, and decision-making, which enhances speed, privacy, and efficiency [1] - Edge AI significantly reduces latency from hundreds of milliseconds to around ten milliseconds, meeting the real-time feedback requirements for interactive applications [2] - The stability and reliability of edge AI are improved as it operates independently of network conditions, maintaining functionality in low or no connectivity environments [2] Group 2 - Major companies are actively launching products related to edge AI, with notable releases including Quark AI glasses by Alibaba and a collaboration between ByteDance and ZTE for a new smartphone [3] - Predictions indicate that the global penetration rate of AI smartphones could reach 43% by 2027, a 32% increase from 2024, while China's rate may reach 52%, a 39% increase [3] - The focus on edge AI is seen as a key direction for scalable expansion and application, addressing issues of energy consumption, cost, reliability, and data security associated with cloud-based AI [3] Group 3 - Investors interested in edge AI opportunities can consider specific ETF products, such as the E Fund CSI Consumer Electronics Theme ETF, which tracks companies involved in consumer electronics [4] - Another option is the Artificial Intelligence ETF, which covers leading companies in the AI industry chain, with a significant focus on computer, electronics, and communication sectors [4]

Core Insights - E Fund has established a standardized full-process management mechanism for index fund management, leading the industry in tracking error control capabilities [1][2] - As of Q3 2025, E Fund's A-share ETFs have a scale-weighted tracking error of 0.14% relative to the total return index, ranking among the top in the industry [1] - The company has reduced management fees for over 110 index products to the lowest tier of 0.15% per year, enhancing cost efficiency for investors [1][2] Group 1 - E Fund's index products, including the Robot ETF and Hong Kong Stock Connect ETFs, have demonstrated leading tracking errors within their categories [1] - The company has implemented a liquidity compensation strategy through inquiry transfer, resulting in over 100 events in the A-share market this year, nearly doubling from the previous year [2] - E Fund's Star Market 50 ETF has achieved the highest excess returns among comparable products in the first three quarters of this year [2] Group 2 - The full-process management mechanism includes comprehensive research on index targets, investment methods, and operational scenarios, enhancing investment management efficiency [2] - The standardized management ensures stable operation of products across different market environments, translating professional capabilities into tangible value for investors [2] - The CSI 300 ETF has maintained stable operations since its listing in 2013, demonstrating the effectiveness of E Fund's management approach [2]