Core Viewpoint - The report from Guohai Securities indicates that Qiaqia Foods is experiencing significant declines in net profit for the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 73.68% to 0.89 billion yuan, and a further decline of 88.17% in Q2 to 0.11 billion yuan. The company is expected to face short-term operational pressures but anticipates recovery in revenue and profit as raw material prices stabilize [1] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 0.89 billion yuan, down 73.68% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 0.11 billion yuan, down 88.17% year-on-year [1] - The non-recurring net profit was -0.15 billion yuan, indicating a shift from profit to loss year-on-year [1] Profit Outlook - Short-term profit pressures are attributed to rising raw material prices, but there is an expectation for margin recovery as these prices decline [1] - The company is focusing on product innovation and differentiation in key categories to drive revenue growth [1] Revenue Growth Strategy - Qiaqia Foods plans to enhance its product lineup with new offerings such as flavored seeds, ice cream with seed kernels, and various nut products, which are expected to optimize product structure [1] - The company aims to deepen channel penetration by increasing investments in large-scale snack stores, membership stores, and O2O initiatives, while also enhancing online presence through new product launches and content marketing [1] - Internationally, the company is focusing on Southeast Asia and expanding into mainstream channels in North America and Japan to increase terminal coverage [1] Market Position - Qiaqia Foods is recognized as a leading player in China's snack food industry, holding a significant market share in the seed industry [1] - The nut segment is identified as a second growth curve with substantial growth potential, alongside active expansion into other product categories [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with a focus on improving performance through new product launches and channel expansion [1][4]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.75 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 90 million yuan, down 73.7% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, revenue was 1.18 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 9.7%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 10 million yuan, down 88.2% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company's gross profit margin in Q2 2025 was 21.4%, a decrease of 3.6 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to high raw material costs [3]. Revenue Breakdown - In the first half of 2025, revenue from sunflower seeds, nuts, and other products decreased by 4.4%, 7.0%, and 13.8% year-on-year, respectively [2]. - By region, revenue in the Eastern region decreased by 24.8%, while the Southern region saw a 2.4% increase, and the overseas market grew by 13.2% [2]. - Direct sales channels experienced a 63.0% year-on-year increase in revenue, accounting for 28.3% of total revenue, with significant growth in emerging channels [2]. Cost and Expenses - The net profit margin in Q2 2025 was 1.0%, down 8.0 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by increased sales and R&D expenses [3]. - The sales expense ratio was 14.1%, up 4.0 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting increased promotional activities [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively exploring new product lines and enhancing its digital platform, with a focus on expanding into snack retail and leveraging seasonal demand [3]. - New product launches include a variety of innovative snacks aimed at diversifying the product portfolio and driving growth [3]. Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are expected to grow by 2%, 7%, and 6% year-on-year, respectively, with net profit forecasts showing a recovery starting in 2026 [4]. - The company aims to improve operational margins and capitalize on seasonal demand in Q3 2025 [3][4].

Core Viewpoint - Qiaqia Food reported a steady performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue of 2.752 billion yuan and a net profit of 88.6416 million yuan, driven by a balanced business structure and a focus on quality and innovation [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Qiaqia achieved revenue of 2.752 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 88.6416 million yuan, with an overall gross margin of 19.93% [1] Product Innovation - In July 2025, Qiaqia launched five innovative product series, including the introduction of ice cream made from sunflower seeds, expanding into the ice cream market [3] - The company also introduced new products like "Magic Yam Princess" and "Crispy Bear Fresh Cut Fries," further diversifying its snack offerings [3] - Qiaqia focused on optimizing the new product launch mechanism and enhancing the efficiency of new product introductions [3] Market Strategy - The company aims to focus on nuts and sunflower seeds while actively developing a third category, such as peanuts, to become a leader in this segment [4] - Fresh cut fries have already generated several million yuan in revenue within months of launch, indicating significant growth potential [4] - Qiaqia plans to leverage its brand and channel advantages for overseas sales, employing a tailored strategy for different countries [4] Channel Expansion - Qiaqia is expanding into emerging channels such as special channels, gift channels, and dining channels, while also enhancing its online presence [6] - The company reported that its digital platform serves approximately 560,000 terminal outlets, with direct channel revenue accounting for 28.33% of total revenue, reaching 779 million yuan [6] - In the first half of 2025, overseas revenue reached 278 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.18%, while e-commerce revenue grew by 24.79% to 451 million yuan [6] Brand Engagement - Qiaqia is enhancing its brand appeal through various interactive initiatives, including music festivals and competitions, to attract younger consumers [7] - The company illuminated its brand landmarks in eight major cities worldwide during the Spring Festival, reinforcing its connection to Chinese culture [7] - Looking ahead, Qiaqia plans to continue expanding its product matrix and optimizing channel services to drive performance improvement [7]

Core Viewpoint - In the first half of 2025, the company experienced a decline in revenue and net profit due to external channel changes and rising raw material costs, prompting adjustments in product and channel strategies to enhance competitiveness [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 2.752 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 5.05% compared to the same period last year [1]. - The net profit attributable to the company was 88.6416 million yuan, down 73.68% year-on-year, primarily due to increased costs of sunflower seeds and core nut raw materials [1]. Group 2: Market and Channel Dynamics - The sales channel landscape in the snack food industry has changed significantly, with a trend towards discounting and proximity, leading to a decline in foot traffic in traditional channels such as hypermarkets and supermarkets [1]. - The company has initiated a channel cultivation project to enhance its presence, increasing the number of service terminal outlets to approximately 560,000 by June 30, 2025 [1]. - The company is focusing on emerging channels such as bulk snack stores, membership stores, and instant retail, which have shown rapid growth during the reporting period [1]. Group 3: Cost and Raw Material Challenges - The rise in sunflower seed raw material costs was attributed to adverse weather conditions during the harvest period, leading to increased spoilage rates and reduced supply of quality raw materials [2]. - The procurement prices for almonds and cashews also increased due to supply-demand dynamics and industry cyclicality, significantly impacting the company's gross margin [2]. Group 4: Product Development and Innovation - The company is focusing on key product categories, optimizing the new product launch mechanism, and continuously innovating within segmented categories to enhance the efficiency of new product introductions [3]. - New products launched during the reporting period include various types of seeds and nuts, as well as innovative snack items like honey butter-flavored fresh-cut potato strips and konjac products [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a steady growth in revenue and net profit for 2024, with a focus on expanding its product offerings and distribution channels, despite facing challenges in profit margins and traditional sales channels [1][2][3][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue and net profit were 7.131 billion and 849 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 4.79% and 5.82% [1]. - For Q4 2024, revenue and net profit were 2.374 billion and 223 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.99% but a decline in net profit by 24.79% [1]. - In Q1 2025, revenue and net profit dropped to 1.571 billion and 77 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year decreases of 13.76% and 67.88% [1]. Product Performance - Key products showed robust growth, with revenue from sunflower seeds, nuts, and other products reaching 4.381 billion, 1.923 billion, and 773 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.60%, 9.74%, and 8.04% [1]. - The company is focusing on establishing its brand in the sunflower seed market and has launched new products like "Da Shou" peanuts, which have seen rapid sales growth [1]. - The high-end sunflower seed product "Kuaizhen" is expanding through new channels such as high-end membership stores and boutique supermarkets [1]. Channel Development - New channels such as volume sales and e-commerce are growing rapidly, while traditional channels are under pressure [2]. - In 2024, revenue from southern, northern, eastern regions, e-commerce, and overseas markets were 2.266 billion, 1.343 billion, 2.121 billion, 779 million, and 569 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 3.88%, -3.25%, 9.47%, 8.86%, and 10.28%, respectively [2]. - The number of distributors decreased by 99 to 1,380, but average distributor income increased by 6% to 4.11 million yuan per distributor [2]. Profitability and Cost Structure - The company's gross margin and net margin improved by 2.02 and 0.12 percentage points to 28.78% and 11.92%, respectively, in 2024 [3]. - In Q4 2024, due to rising raw material prices, the overall cost increased as the company utilized both reserve and newly procured raw materials [3]. - For Q1 2025, gross margin and net margin decreased to 19.47% and 4.93%, with changes in expense ratios reflecting a mixed trend [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 7.4 billion, 7.8 billion, and 8.2 billion yuan in 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 3%, 6%, and 5% [4]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 720 million, 850 million, and 920 million yuan, with a projected year-on-year decline of 15% in 2025, followed by increases in subsequent years [4]. - The company aims to enhance business growth quality and maintain a "buy" rating based on its strategic initiatives [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6][17] Core Views - The company is expected to see revenue and net profit growth in 2024, with revenue projected at 7.131 billion yuan (+4.79% YoY) and net profit at 849.48 million yuan (+5.82% YoY) [1] - The company is focusing on expanding its product lines, particularly in the sunflower seed and nut categories, with notable growth in sales from high-end products and new product launches [1][4] - The company is actively exploring new sales channels, including e-commerce and overseas markets, while traditional channels are experiencing slight pressure [2][4] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 7.131 billion yuan, with a growth rate of +4.79% compared to the previous year [5] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 28.78%, an increase of 2.02 percentage points YoY, while the net profit margin was 11.92%, up by 0.12 percentage points YoY [3] - The company’s net profit for Q1 2025 is projected to decline significantly to 770 million yuan, a decrease of 67.88% YoY [1] Product and Channel Development - The company is enhancing its product offerings, particularly in the nut category, and is expanding its sales channels to include county-level distributors and new retail formats [4][2] - The company has seen a significant increase in direct sales, with a growth rate of 38% and an increase in the number of terminal outlets to over 490,000 [2][4] Profitability and Cost Management - The company is facing pressure on profit margins due to rising raw material costs, with a gross margin of 19.47% in Q1 2025, down by 10.97 percentage points YoY [3] - The selling expense ratio increased to 10.60%, reflecting higher marketing investments [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6][17] Core Views - The company is expected to see revenue and net profit growth in 2024, with revenue projected at 7.131 billion yuan (+4.79% YoY) and net profit at 849.48 million yuan (+5.82% YoY) [1] - The company is focusing on expanding its product lines, particularly in the sunflower seed and nut categories, with notable growth in sales from high-end products and new product launches [1][4] - The company is actively expanding its distribution channels, including new TO-B group purchasing and restaurant partnerships, while also increasing its presence in e-commerce and overseas markets [2][4] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 7.131 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 4.79%, and a net profit of 849.48 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 5.82% [5] - The gross margin for 2024 was 28.78%, an increase of 2.02 percentage points YoY, while the net margin was 11.92%, up 0.12 percentage points YoY [3] - The company’s revenue for Q1 2025 was 1.571 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.76% YoY, and net profit was 770 million yuan, down 67.88% YoY [1] Product and Channel Development - The company is enhancing its product offerings, particularly in the nut category, and is focusing on high-end sunflower seed products through new sales channels [1][4] - The company has seen a significant increase in direct sales, with a growth rate of 38% and an increase in the number of terminal outlets to over 490,000 [2][4] - The company is also expanding its international market presence, particularly in Southeast Asia and Canada [2]

Group 1: Research Basic Information - The research object is Qiaqia Food, belonging to the food and beverage industry, and the reception time was on May 16, 2025 [8] - The listed company's reception staff included the chairman and general manager Chen Xianbao, vice - chairman and deputy general manager Chen Qi, etc. [8] - Participating research institutions included Dongxing Securities, CITIC Securities, Tianfeng Securities, etc., as well as some fund management companies and asset management companies [2][9][10] Group 2: Core Views - The company's future development depends on product innovation and product strength, and each double - digit growth is accompanied by the emergence of a new large - scale product series [21] - The company aims to expand sales volume and increase gross profit margin through category innovation, product innovation, and channel sales service innovation, while continuously improving supply chain efficiency [17][19] Group 3: Specific Content Summaries Reasons for the decline in the company's first - quarter gross profit margin - The decline in the first - quarter gross profit margin was mainly due to the increase in sunflower seed raw material costs (affected by continuous rain in Inner Mongolia, the mold rate increased, and the output of qualified raw materials decreased, leading to price increases) and the increase in the purchase price of some nut raw materials. Product structure also had an impact [17] Scale and future plans of Sam's Club and snack retail channels - Sam's Club revenue increased by 50 - 60% last year, and the snack retail channel doubled. The company will increase investment in these channels this year [17] Plans for the third - largest product category - In the short - to - medium term, the company focuses on nuts and melon seeds. The third - largest category, such as peanuts, is in the incubation stage, and the company hopes to become a leading brand in this segment. The fresh - cut fries have achieved revenues of several million yuan in less than a year [17] Overseas development strategy for konjac products - The company first conducts trial sales overseas, leveraging its brand and channel advantages [17] Sales channels for Kui Zhen products - Kui Zhen is sold both online (e.g., its official flagship store) and offline (e.g., Sam's Club and RT - Mart's premium stores), and will continue to expand in these channels [19] Company's competitive points for nuts - The most important thing for products is quality, and for nuts, freshness must be ensured [19] Company's learning from Coca - Cola and农夫山泉 - These two companies are learning examples for Qiaqia Food in terms of products, channels, and brands. Qiaqia Food focuses more on product raw materials due to its high direct raw material cost ratio and is seeking a suitable model for itself [20] Company's view on KA direct - sales channels - The company pays attention to changes in offline retail channels, hopes that each link in the value chain can obtain reasonable profits, and will actively embrace the trend of KA direct - sales and explore a suitable cooperation model with distributors [20] Company's R & D considering population aging - The company has considered population aging in product R & D, such as nut powder products, and will develop specialized deep - processed products for the elderly. It has also launched low - GI nuts for people with sugar - control needs, and health is one of the future R & D directions [21]

Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's gross margin decreased in Q1 due to rising sunflower seed raw material costs and increased procurement prices for certain nut raw materials [1] - Revenue from Sam's Club increased by 50-60%, and the snack wholesale channel saw a doubling in growth [1] - The company aims to enhance sales and gross margin through category innovation, product innovation, and channel sales service innovation [1] Group 2: Product Development and Market Strategy - The company is focusing on nuts and seeds in the short to medium term, with plans to develop a third major category, such as fresh-cut potato strips, which has already generated several million in revenue within a year [2] - The strategy for overseas expansion includes a country-specific approach, leveraging brand and channel advantages [2] - Future innovations will not only focus on flavor but also on packaging and technology to improve gross margin and brand premium [2] Group 3: Competitive Positioning and Consumer Trends - The company emphasizes product quality, particularly freshness, as a key competitive advantage in the nut market [2] - There is a focus on developing products tailored for health-conscious consumers, including low GI nuts for those with sugar control needs [3] - The company is also considering the aging population in its product development, such as nut powder products [3] Group 4: Intellectual Property and Market Trends - The company is advised to strengthen intellectual property protection due to the prevalence of imitation products in the market [2] - The company is committed to promoting nutritional knowledge about nuts to consumers, addressing both nutrition and taste [2] Group 5: Channel Strategy and Collaboration - The company is adapting to changes in offline retail channels and is open to exploring suitable collaboration models with distributors [2] - The trend towards direct sales in key accounts (KA) is acknowledged, and the company aims to embrace this change [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the food and beverage industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The food and beverage sector is expected to gradually recover, supported by resilient operations and structural opportunities within the industry [4][16] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - In 2024, Anhui's large-scale liquor enterprises achieved revenue of 37.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, with total profits reaching 12.77 billion yuan, up 13.2% [4][21] - The liquor industry in Lüliang aims for a revenue target exceeding 70 billion yuan in 2025, with a focus on enhancing production capacity and quality [4][22] - The Sichuan liquor group targets a revenue of 40 billion yuan in 2025, emphasizing innovation and brand development [5][22] - Xishui aims for a liquor output value exceeding 30 billion yuan in 2025, continuing to strengthen its position as a major liquor production base [6][23] Key Company Performances - Qiaqia Food reported a revenue of 7.131 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 4.79%, driven by high-end products [7][24] - Budweiser Asia Pacific's 2024 revenue was approximately 45.31 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.0%, with a notable decline in the Chinese market [10][25] - Dongpeng Beverage launched a new product "Fruit Tea" aimed at the lower-tier market, reflecting a growing demand for cost-effective, large-packaged beverages [11][26] Investment Recommendations - For liquor, focus on companies like Luzhou Laojiao, Jiuzi Liquor, and others that cater to both high-end and real estate segments [16][30] - In the beer sector, consider Qingdao Beer and Chongqing Beer for their product optimization and market expansion strategies [16][30] - For soft drinks, Dongpeng Beverage and Bai Run Co. are recommended for their national expansion and clear product matrix [16][30] - In the frozen food segment, companies like Anji Food and Qianwei Central Kitchen are highlighted for their potential growth [16][31] - For snacks, attention is drawn to Salted Fish and Qiaqia Food for their channel expansion and performance recovery [16][31]