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杨山海:金银较扯得理由下跌,但仍然是上车的机会!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 02:31
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that despite recent fluctuations in gold prices, the overall bullish trend remains intact, and the recent drop should be viewed as a potential buying opportunity [1][3][4] - Gold prices experienced a significant drop to a low of 4876, influenced by market reactions to artificial intelligence concerns, but this is considered an unfounded reason for such volatility [1][3] - The technical analysis indicates that gold is currently in a consolidation phase, with a trading range between 5100 and 4400, and a breakout above 5100 could lead to a stronger bullish trend [3][4] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices are advised to be cautious above 1135, indicating a potential consolidation phase rather than a strong upward movement [4] - Silver prices reached a high of 86, but it is recommended not to chase the price unless it breaks above 90, with a buying opportunity suggested around 75 [4] - The article emphasizes that any adjustments in silver prices could present buying opportunities, with a focus on long-term trends rather than short-term fluctuations [4]
山海:非农延期公布,黄金该何去何从?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 01:36
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold has experienced fluctuations, rising to 5100 before a decline, but is still in a low-level oscillation phase, with significant ranges identified at 5600/4400 and 5100/4600 [1][3] - Gold's recent price movement shows an increase from 4400 to 5100, a rise of 700 USD, followed by a drop to 4650, a decrease of 450 points, suggesting a potential for a rebound towards the upper range [3] - The technical analysis highlights that after testing the low at 4650, gold is expected to rebound, with a target of 5100, indicating a possible upward trend in the coming days [3] Group 2 - Domestic gold trading strategies have yielded profits, with a maximum profit potential of over 120 points, although recent declines have reduced some gains [4] - Silver is described as highly volatile and not suitable for normal trading, with current prices around 70, and a recommendation against trading due to unpredictable movements [4] - The analysis suggests that silver has become more of a speculative tool rather than a reliable investment, with significant risks outweighing potential profits, advising to wait for market stabilization before making any moves [4]
山海:ADP数据利多,黄金走低再次确定底!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-05 01:50
Group 1 - The recent gold price has experienced a significant drop from a high of 5100 to a low of 4850, despite positive ADP employment data which typically supports gold prices [2][4] - The upward trend in gold, which started from 4400, has seen three key support levels at 4400, 4600, and 4850, indicating a strong bullish outlook with a target of 5300 [4] - Silver has also shown signs of recovery, with expectations of reaching a high of 100 after completing its recent adjustments [2][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold trading strategies have been profitable, with the highest prices for Shanghai gold reaching 1147 and Rongtong gold at 1140, indicating a strong upward momentum [5] - The silver market has seen a three-day upward trend, with expectations of further increases, particularly after a recent low of 84 [5][6] - The Shanghai silver contract has shown significant gains, with a target of 24500, suggesting a strong bullish trend if it maintains above this level [6]
山海:黄金走出预期的调整,力度还会延申!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 03:17
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold is currently in a bullish trend, but there is a potential for a significant downward adjustment, with a recent high of 4890 and a low of 4755, reflecting a drop of nearly 135 USD [2][4] - The recent upward movement in gold prices was driven by market stimuli, but as these stimuli fade, there is a risk of a sharp decline, which has already begun with a drop of nearly 150 USD [4] - Technical analysis suggests that a major decline in gold prices is imminent, with the daily chart indicating a peak formation that requires breaking below the 5 and 10-day moving averages to confirm a significant drop [4][5] Group 2 - The support levels for gold are identified at 4730 and 4650, with 4650 being a critical point for the current bullish trend [5] - Domestic gold prices have seen a decline from a high of 1095 to around 1070, emphasizing the need for caution as the market remains unstable [5] - International silver prices have fallen more than expected, with a recent low of 90, and further adjustments are anticipated, with support levels at 90 and 86 [5][6] Group 3 - Domestic silver has also experienced a downward adjustment, with the Shanghai silver contract falling to around 22500, aligning with previous expectations [6] - The technical outlook for silver suggests a continued decline, with key support levels at 22500 and 21500, indicating a cautious approach to buying [6]
山海:黄金不要急着追,保持回落再顺势上车!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 02:19
Group 1 - The article emphasizes that gold should not be chased immediately, and investors should wait for a pullback before entering the market [1] - Recent geopolitical tensions, including tariffs imposed by Trump on eight European countries and Iran's declaration of a "full war" status, have led to a bullish sentiment in gold and silver, with gold reaching a high of 4690 and silver at 94 [3] - The technical analysis indicates that gold is in an upward phase, with a potential target of 4800 if it breaks through the upper Bollinger Band, while a pullback could see prices drop to around 4600 or 4550 [5] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have shown volatility, with the Shanghai gold contract (2606) hitting a low of 1025, and the expectation is to wait for a pullback to buy, with key levels at 1040 and 1025 [6] - Silver has formed a strong support level around 86, and the outlook remains bullish, with expectations for silver to reach 100, while waiting for adjustments to enter trades [6] - The oil market is currently experiencing fluctuations, with support at 58 and resistance at 62, suggesting a cautious trading approach around these key levels [7]
山海:黄金在极强状态下,继续关注调整的可能性!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-15 02:15
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold is experiencing a bullish trend but is showing signs of potential adjustment, while silver is on a stronger upward trajectory [2][3][4] - Gold reached a peak of 4643, facing resistance from an upward trend line, suggesting a possible wedge formation that indicates a loss of upward momentum [3] - The support levels for gold are identified at 4570 and 4520, with a cautionary note to avoid chasing highs due to the potential for a significant pullback [3][4] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have shown significant movement, with the Shanghai gold contract peaking at 1048, but there is an emphasis on the need for caution and waiting for a potential adjustment [4][5] - Silver has reached a high of 93.7, but there are warnings of a possible sharp decline, with previous drops indicating a risk of falling to around 83.5 or even 80 [4][5] - The domestic silver market is closely monitored, with the Shanghai silver contract reaching 23650, but there is a recommendation to avoid chasing prices and to wait for a correction before entering positions [5] Group 3 - Crude oil has shown volatility, with a recent peak at 61.8 after a drop to 60, indicating a lack of sustained upward momentum and a potential for a sideways trading pattern [5] - Key support for crude oil is noted at 58, with resistance at 62, suggesting a strategy of trading within these levels rather than entering at other points [5]
山海:黄金保持北伐计划,同时等待非农有效冲击!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 02:15
Group 1 - The market is showing unclear performance following recent data shocks, with the ADP employment data falling short of expectations, which is bullish for precious metals, yet gold and silver have not seen significant upward movement and instead experienced a reverse adjustment [2] - The unemployment claims data met expectations, which is bearish for precious metals, but gold and silver also did not see significant declines, instead showing a trend upward, reaching a high of around 4485 [4][5] - Attention is now on the upcoming non-farm payroll data, which could provide real guidance for gold prices, with previous values at 64,000 and a market forecast of 60,000 [5] Group 2 - The technical analysis indicates a bullish trend for gold, with a rise from 4300 to 4400 and then to 4500, despite the recent data having limited impact on the overall bullish outlook [4][5] - The market is expected to remain in a bullish trend as long as it does not fall below 4400, with potential fluctuations between 4500 and 4400 [5] - Domestic gold prices have shown expected upward movement, with the Shanghai gold contract reaching a high of 1010, and the market is advised to wait for the non-farm data impact before making further moves [6] Group 3 - Silver has experienced significant downward adjustments, with prices dropping to 74, but there are indications of a rebound, and as long as the trend remains positive, there are opportunities for bullish positions [6][7] - The domestic silver market has also seen a decline, with the Shanghai silver contract dropping to around 17800, but after a rebound, it has risen to approximately 18500 [7] - The oil market has been fluctuating between 56 and 60, with recent highs reaching 58.8, and the expectation is for continued range-bound trading unless it breaks above 60 [7]
山海:黄金陷入震荡上行中,关注看每日数据影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-08 01:52
Group 1 - Gold has experienced a significant upward movement after breaking the 4400 level, reaching a high of 4500, but has shown signs of weakening after this peak, indicating a likely range-bound movement between 4400 and 4500 [1] - The upcoming unemployment claims data and non-farm payroll data are expected to influence gold prices, with potential for a breakout above the current range [1][3] - Silver has shown a clear upward trend, currently adjusting from a high of 82.5 to a low of 76.5, with expectations for a continuation of this trend in the coming days [4][5] Group 2 - The domestic gold market has seen the Shanghai gold contract (2606) reaching a target of 1015, with short-term profits realized from previous positions, suggesting a cautious approach ahead of non-farm payroll data [4] - The silver market is expected to continue its upward trajectory, with key resistance levels at 82 and 84.5, indicating a bullish outlook [4] - Crude oil remains in a bearish trend, with recent movements characterized as a rebound rather than a shift to a bullish trend, and support is noted around the 56 level [6]
山海:金银看涨趋势不变,耐心等待上行空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-31 04:12
Group 1 - The overall trend for gold and silver remains bullish despite recent price fluctuations, with expectations for upward movement continuing into the new year [3][5] - After a significant drop, gold rebounded to 4405, aligning with market predictions, and the focus remains on the resistance level at 4400 and potential breakout towards 4500 [5][6] - Short-term trading opportunities are available, but for medium to long-term positions, it is advised to hold existing long positions and wait for clearer trends post-holiday [6][7] Group 2 - The recent trading day for gold and silver showed expected upward movements, but the market remains in a consolidation phase, suggesting caution for new positions [6] - Silver's price action indicates a potential rise from 73 to 78, with a longer-term view suggesting a target of 80 if the 78 resistance is broken [6] - Crude oil is currently in a weak trend, oscillating within a range of 60 to 56.5, with no significant volatility expected unless these levels are breached [7]