截至2026年1月6日 14:19，中证通用航空主题指数(931855)强势上涨4.62%，成分股华测导航(300627)上 涨13.58%，航天电子(600879)上涨10.02%，北斗星通(002151)上涨10.01%，中国卫通(601698)，合众思 壮(002383)等个股跟涨。通用航空ETF基金(561660)上涨5.17%， 冲击3连涨。最新价报1.34元。 消息面上，2026年中国商业航天预计将迎来火箭发射的"大年"。专攻商业航天市场的5米级直径可回收 复用火箭准备首飞，新一代载人"健将"长征十号甲火箭正在筹备首次轨道级飞行。天龙三号、谷神星二 号、智神星一号、力箭二号、双曲线三号、引力二号等大中型商业火箭蓄势待发，有望在2026年首飞入 轨。此外，商业航天火箭企业的上市进程也正在提速，目前已有至少10家商业航天企业启动IPO进程。 中银证券认为，商业航天主题正突破"升温"期。商业航天领域近期迎来顶层设计完善以及新政策支持， 为产业发展明确了发展蓝图，增强了市场对商业航天长期发展的信心。流动性方面，通用航空ETF基金 盘中换手24.55%，成交1662.07万元，市场交投活跃。 | 股票代码 ...

Core Insights - The aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) has seen a significant increase in trading volume and fund inflow, with a turnover of 5.1% and a transaction value of 29.24 million yuan on December 23, 2025 [1] - The ETF has grown by 66.58 million yuan in scale and 31 million shares in the last two weeks, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The ETF tracks the National Aerospace Industry Index, which has a high defense and military weight of 96.2%, making it the highest military content index in the market [1] Product Highlights - The Tianhong aerospace ETF (159241) includes major stocks such as AVIC Chengfei, AVIC Shenyang, AVIC Xifei, and Aero Engine Corporation of China, focusing on core suppliers for fighter jets [1] - The Long March 12A reusable launch vehicle, developed by the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, is set for its maiden flight, marking a significant event in the aerospace sector [2] Industry Trends - The commercial aerospace sector is entering a period of rapid growth, with expectations for a global explosion in commercial space activities over the next two years [2] - The demand for launch services and satellite networking is anticipated to accelerate, supported by successful launches of new rockets like the Zhuque-3 and Long March 12A [2] - The establishment of a commercial aerospace administration and the introduction of specialized development plans are optimizing the policy environment, facilitating the transition of China's commercial aerospace from exploration to growth [2]

近期，商业航天板块成为资本市场关注焦点，多重利好推动行业进入快速发展期。 随着以"朱雀三号"为代表的新型火箭试验获突破，预计下周谷神星二号和长征十二甲将首飞，我国火箭发射能力与成本控制有望突破瓶颈，推动卫星互联网 星座加速组网，卫星和火箭需求将显著增长。此外，SpaceX估值逼近1.5万亿美元并计划明年上市，若该计划顺利实施，有望创下全球史上最大规模上市交 易纪录。 商业航天：景气度持续提升 中国商业航天企业逐步突破可回收火箭技术瓶颈，发射成本有望大幅降低至每公斤1万元以下，为构建万颗级卫星星座组网扫清了成本障碍。目前我国商业 航天产业已形成长三角、珠三角、京津冀三大商业航天产业集群，产业协同效应逐渐显现。 我国作为传统航天领先国家，发展商业航天是提升综合国力、抢占未来科技经济制高点的关键。2024年商业航天首次写入《政府工作报告》，商业航天上升 为国家战略性新兴产业；2025年政府工作报告再提推动其安全健康发展。近期商业航天司设立、《推进商业航天高质量安全发展行动计划（2025 – 2027 年）》出台，彰显顶层对商业航天发展的重视。 产业链分析 从产业链结构来看，商业航天产业上游主要聚焦于研发与制造领域， ...

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 大运载时代：百箭争流，共绘天疆新图景 [Table_Date] 2025 年 12 月 14 日 [Table_Title2] 计算机行业周报 [Table_Summary] 本周观点: ► 一、力箭一号和长征十二号发射验证国内火箭大运 力能力 2025 年 12 月，我国商业航天两大运力平台接连完成 重要发射，验证了本土火箭的大运力能力。力箭一号 以"一箭九星"方式成功发射，标志着该民营固体火 箭进入规模化运营阶段。其 500 公里太阳同步轨道运 力达 1.5 吨，运载系数达 1.12%，达到同级别印度火 箭的四倍以上。凭借高性价比优势，已累计将 84 颗 卫星（总重超 11 吨）送入太空。长征十二号作为我 国最强单芯级火箭，近地轨道运力不低于 12 吨，首 次验证了大规模星座组网发射能力。该火箭采用泵后 摆发动机技术，在 3.8 米直径箭体内实现了四发并 联，支撑了大运力光杆构型。其 5.2 米大直径整流罩 为各类载荷提供了充足空间，成为未来星座建设的主 力运载平台。 谷神星二号（遥一箭）将于 2025 年 12 月 15 日在酒 泉发射中心首飞，采用"三级固体+液体上面级"的 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the defense and military industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this sector [5]. Core Insights - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing a significant upturn, driven by advancements in rocket launch capabilities and supportive policy environments, which are expected to enhance the industry's fundamentals [8][20]. - The global gas turbine market is projected to see substantial growth, with domestic suppliers likely to increase their market share due to rising demand and capacity expansions [10][20]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The defense and military industry comprises 142 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 29,758.55 billion CNY and a circulating market value of about 25,948.25 billion CNY [2]. Commercial Aerospace - New rocket launches, such as the "Zhuque-3" and upcoming tests of the "Vesta-2" and "Long March 12" rockets, are expected to significantly boost China's satellite internet constellation and overall demand for rockets and satellites [8][20]. - The establishment of a dedicated Commercial Aerospace Department by the National Space Administration and the release of a development action plan for 2025-2027 are set to provide a regulatory framework that supports high-quality growth in the sector [8][20]. - The integration of "space computing" into the commercial aerospace landscape is anticipated to create new demand, with major tech companies entering the field [8][20]. Gas Turbine Market - The GEV 2025 Investor Conference highlighted a record number of new gas turbine orders, with expectations for capacity to increase from 20GW to 24GW by 2028, driven by strong market demand and energy transition trends [10][20]. - The global gas turbine market is expected to exceed 100GW in installed capacity over the next decade, with significant growth in the aftermarket services sector [10][20]. Key Sector Dynamics - The aerospace equipment sector is projected to maintain high growth, with GEV's updated production capacity and revenue targets reflecting strong demand driven by AI and energy needs [25]. - Recent advancements in manned space missions and satellite launches underscore China's growing capabilities in aerospace technology [26][29]. Investment Recommendations - Suggested companies for investment include those in missile and military electronics, such as Gaode Infrared, Zhenhua Technology, and Hongyuan Electronics, as well as key players in the aerospace sector like AVIC Chengfei and AVIC Shenyang [16][21][22].

Group 1: IPO Overview - JuShuiTan Group Co., Ltd. officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on October 21, 2025, under the stock code "6687" [3] - The IPO involved the issuance of 68,166,200 shares, with a subscription rate of 1,952.95 times for the Hong Kong public offering and 22.89 times for the international offering [3] - The company attracted 13 cornerstone investors who collectively subscribed for $130 million (approximately HKD 1.012 billion), including notable firms such as Sequoia China and Blue Lake Capital [3][4] Group 2: Company Background and Market Position - Founded in 2014, JuShuiTan provides a one-stop SaaS product and service platform aimed at enhancing business capabilities and performance while significantly reducing deployment and operational costs [4] - As of 2024, JuShuiTan has become the largest e-commerce SaaS ERP provider in China, holding a market share of 24.4%, surpassing the combined market share of the second to fifth largest competitors [4] - In the e-commerce SaaS market, JuShuiTan ranks first with a market share of 8.7% based on total SaaS revenue for 2024 [4] Group 3: Financial Performance - JuShuiTan's revenue for the years 2022 to 2024 was reported as CNY 523 million, CNY 697 million, and CNY 910 million, respectively, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31.9% [5] - The company's gross margin has shown a consistent upward trend, with figures of 52.3%, 62.3%, 68.5%, and 71.8% for the years 2022 to 2024, respectively [5] - By 2024, JuShuiTan achieved full profitability with an adjusted net profit of CNY 48.99 million, and for the first half of 2024, the adjusted net profit was CNY 46.96 million, nearing the full-year profit target [5] Group 4: Starry Sky Dynamics A-Share IPO - Starry Sky Dynamics, established in 2018, has initiated its A-share IPO process with Huatai United Securities [7] - The company is recognized as the first private commercial rocket enterprise in China to achieve mass production and high-density launches, having successfully launched 85 commercial satellites for 27 clients [7] - Starry Sky Dynamics holds a 51.3% share of the total successful launches in the domestic private rocket sector, indicating its leading position in the industry [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace sector in China is experiencing a surge in interest and investment, with multiple private rocket companies preparing for IPOs, driven by supportive government policies and significant capital inflows [1][5]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - On October 24, stocks of commercial aerospace companies such as Aerospace Changfeng and Aerospace Science and Technology reached their daily limit, indicating strong market enthusiasm [1]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced that Beijing Xinghe Power Aerospace Technology Co., Ltd. has submitted its IPO guidance, marking a significant step in the commercialization of private rockets [1][5]. - A total of five private rocket companies, with a combined valuation exceeding 855 billion yuan, are now in the IPO preparation phase, intensifying competition for the title of "first private rocket stock" [1][6]. Group 2: Company Profiles - Beijing Xinghe Power, established in 2018, has developed solid and reusable liquid rockets, with its "Gushenxing" series being the first to transition from experimental to commercial production in China [4]. - The company achieved a record-breaking 2.4 billion yuan in Series D financing in September, raising its post-money valuation to between 15 billion and 15.8 billion yuan [4]. - Other companies in the IPO pipeline include Tianbing Technology, Blue Arrow Aerospace, and Star Glory, with valuations of 225 billion, 220 billion, and 150 billion yuan respectively [2][6]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Xinghe Power leads the private rocket sector with a 51.3% success rate in domestic launches, having successfully launched 85 commercial satellites for 27 clients [8]. - The competitive landscape is evolving, with other companies like Blue Arrow Aerospace and Tianbing Technology also making significant strides in securing commercial contracts [8]. - The upcoming launches of reusable rockets by several companies, including Xinghe Power and Tianbing Technology, are expected to further stimulate investment interest in the commercial aerospace sector [8].

Core Viewpoint - Beijing Xinghe Power Aerospace Technology Co., Ltd. has submitted an IPO counseling record to the Beijing Securities Regulatory Bureau, marking a significant step for the company as a leading private commercial rocket enterprise in China [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Xinghe Power is the first domestic company to achieve mass production and high-density launches of rockets, with a success rate of 51.3% of all successful launches in the private rocket sector in China [1] - The company primarily focuses on solid rockets, while its liquid rocket technology is still under development [2][1] Group 2: Liquid Rocket Development - Liquid rockets offer advantages such as reusability and higher payload capacity compared to solid rockets [2] - Xinghe Power is set to launch the "Zhishen-1," which is one of the first domestic reusable liquid launch vehicles capable of approximately 30 reuses, potentially leading to significant reductions in launch costs [4] Group 3: Recent Financing and Future Plans - The company recently completed a D-round financing of 2.4 billion yuan, aimed at accelerating the development of its "Zhishen" series of reusable liquid rockets and the "Gushen-2" medium solid launch vehicle [5] - The financing will also support related production, testing, and launch capabilities [5] Group 4: Industry Context - The private commercial aerospace sector in China is expected to experience a wave of IPOs, with several companies, including Starry Sky Glory and Blue Arrow Aerospace, currently in the IPO counseling phase [5] - However, challenges such as long R&D cycles, high investment requirements, and difficulties in achieving short-term profitability pose risks to the IPO process [5][6] Group 5: Regulatory Environment - Recent policy changes have eased the path for commercial aerospace companies to go public, with the China Securities Regulatory Commission supporting the listing of unprofitable companies in the sci-tech innovation board [7] - This regulatory shift may lead to the emergence of the first commercial aerospace company on the sci-tech innovation board soon [8]

Core Viewpoint - Beijing Xinghe Power Aerospace Technology Co., Ltd. has completed its IPO guidance filing, marking a significant step in the commercial rocket industry in China, where it stands out as a leader in launch frequency and success rate [1][2] Company Overview - Xinghe Power was established in 2018 and is the first private commercial rocket company in China to achieve mass production and high-density launches [1] - The company has successfully launched its "Vulcan-1" rocket 20 times, delivering 85 commercial satellites for 27 clients, accounting for 51.3% of the total successful launches in the domestic private rocket sector [1][2] Product Development - Xinghe Power has developed a comprehensive product matrix covering various launch service scenarios, including micro and small satellite launches, medium-sized network launches, and large constellation launches [2] - The "Vulcan-2" rocket is set for its maiden flight this year, targeting medium-sized network needs, while the "Zhishen" series, a new generation of reusable rockets, aims to reduce launch costs to below 50% of traditional models [2][3] Funding and Financials - In September, Xinghe Power announced the completion of a D-round financing totaling 2.4 billion yuan, making it the highest single-round financing for a private rocket company in China to date [3][4] - Cumulatively, the company has raised over 5 billion yuan across multiple financing rounds [4] Technological Capabilities - Xinghe Power has established a full-chain technical capability from design to launch, with all core systems and components developed in-house [3] - The company has built a robust quality management and safety control system covering the entire process from design to launch [3]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience a "commercial aerospace IPO boom" next year, driven by favorable policies and the recent initiation of the IPO process by Beijing Xinghe Power Aerospace Technology Co., Ltd. [2] Group 1: Company Overview - Beijing Xinghe Power, established in 2018, is the first private commercial rocket company in China to achieve mass production and high-density launches, having successfully launched 85 commercial satellites for 27 clients [5] - The company holds a significant market share, with its successful launch count accounting for 51.3% of the total successful launches in the domestic private rocket sector [5] Group 2: Technological Innovations - Xinghe Power has developed a comprehensive technical capability covering overall design, propulsion system design, structural design, electrical system design, and ground testing and control system design, with all major systems and components being self-developed [6] - The company has established a complete quality management and safety control system that encompasses the entire process from rocket design to launch [6] Group 3: Product Development - Xinghe Power has created a full product matrix that includes services for commercial micro-satellites, small and medium-sized network launches, and large constellation launches, with its "Gushenxing-1" targeting the micro-satellite market [6][7] - The upcoming "Gushenxing-2" and "Zhishenxing" series rockets are designed for medium and large constellation launches, indicating a comprehensive product offering to meet diverse market demands [7] Group 4: Market Position and Business Model - The development path and profit model for private commercial rocket companies are becoming clearer, focusing on stable and reliable launch services, commercial realization, and technological innovation [7] - Xinghe Power has achieved a stable and reliable commercial operation, with "Gushenxing-1" transitioning from a test model to a fully commercialized product [7]