Core Viewpoint - The Chinese ruthenium industry is at a critical development juncture characterized by severe supply-demand imbalance, with significant risks and opportunities arising from increasing demand in data centers, hydrogen fuel cells, and quantum computing by 2025, while facing supply instability from major producers like South Africa and Russia due to geopolitical risks and logistical challenges [1][9]. Industry Overview - Ruthenium (Ru) is a rare transition metal with a high melting point (approximately 2334°C) and boiling point (approximately 4150°C), primarily extracted from platinum or nickel refining by-products, with global resources concentrated in South Africa and Russia [2][4]. Industry Chain - The upstream of the ruthenium industry involves extraction from associated minerals like platinum, nickel, and copper sulfide ores, with no large independent deposits. Ruthenium can also be recovered from electronic waste and industrial catalysts [4][6]. Current Industry Status - Ruthenium, once an obscure metal, is rapidly becoming a strategic material driving the global digital economy and green transition, with a projected global demand of approximately 1197 megajoules in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.73% [8][9]. Key Enterprises - The competitive landscape of the Chinese ruthenium industry is marked by a heavy reliance on imports and a focus on circular economy practices. Major players include Jinchuan Group, which leverages its resources for strategic metal development, and Guizhou Platinum Group, which leads in precious metal recycling and processing [10][11]. Industry Development Trends 1. **Strategic Demand Restructuring**: The growth logic of the ruthenium industry is shifting, with explosive growth expected from the renewable energy and semiconductor sectors, particularly in hydrogen energy applications where ruthenium is becoming a key material [14]. 2. **Industry Paradigm Shift**: The development of a circular economy and efficient recovery from urban mining is essential for ensuring supply chain security in China, with a focus on improving recovery technology and product purity [14]. 3. **Optimized Development Environment**: The healthy development of the industry relies on comprehensive top-level design and policy support, including the establishment of a national recycling network and financial tools to stabilize the market [15].

Core Insights - The JinChuan Group has successfully completed the industrialization project for the efficient separation and extraction of platinum group metals from carbonyl tailings, marking a significant breakthrough in the recycling and green low-carbon development of precious metal resources [1][2] - The project, with a total investment of 127 million yuan, began construction in September 2024 and is expected to be completed by December 28, 2025 [1] - The project addresses the technical challenges of efficiently separating and extracting scarce platinum group metals such as platinum, palladium, rhodium, ruthenium, and iridium from complex carbonyl tailings, enhancing China's strategic capabilities in this field [1] Project Details - The carbonyl tailings processing line is the first of its kind in China to achieve large-scale processing of similar materials, indicating a major advancement for the JinChuan Group [1] - The simultaneous completion of the "Precious Metal Waste Gas Centralized Treatment Project" is a key technical renovation project for 2025, with an investment of 49.96 million yuan, aimed at deep treatment of waste gas emissions from precious metal production systems [1] - This project is part of the company's commitment to environmental protection and sustainable development, reinforcing its efforts in ecological civilization construction [1][2] Construction Challenges - The construction faced multiple challenges, including technical integration across metallurgy, construction, chemical, and electromechanical installation sectors, as well as tight schedules and complex site operations [2] - The builders ensured high-quality completion of the project by optimizing design plans, scientifically coordinating construction, and strictly controlling quality [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company announced an expected increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, projecting a range of 750 to 900 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 426 to 576 million yuan, or a growth of 131.63% to 177.95% [1] Group 1: Performance Drivers - The performance boost is attributed to multiple factors, including the upgrade of product structure in resource projects and rising metal prices. The second phase of the Jinchang High Energy project is set to commence production in 2024, significantly enhancing the separation and purification capacity of precious metals, with an annual production capacity of 2 tons of gold, 2 tons of platinum, 2 tons of palladium, 2 tons of rhodium, 500 kilograms of iridium, and 50 tons of silver [1] - The company has optimized production capacity for gold, silver, copper, bismuth, nickel, and tin through technological upgrades at the Jingyuan High Energy and Jiangxi Xinke projects. The Zhuhai project will also contribute to capacity increases, allowing the company to capitalize on the high demand for rare and precious metals, leading to substantial profit growth [1] Group 2: Strategic Moves - The company plans to invest 63.28 million yuan to acquire 45.2% equity in Tianyuan Mining, Tianxin Mining, and Yueping Mining, which hold exploration rights for several gold mines. The exploration rights for the Qingshan Cave gold mine have completed detailed investigations, revealing a total gold metal quantity of 2,445 kg, while the Daping gold mine is in the detailed investigation phase with an estimated gold metal quantity of 2,029 kg, indicating promising exploration prospects [2] - The company's environmental operations, primarily focused on waste incineration power generation, currently manage projects with a capacity of 11,000 tons per day. Recent initiatives to increase heating supply have led to steady improvements in profitability. The company has also won a bid for a 500 tons per day waste incineration project in Thailand, with a total investment of approximately 427 million yuan, of which the company holds an 80% stake. The company is committed to its overseas expansion strategy, with ongoing projects in Southeast Asia expected to materialize [2] Group 3: Investment Outlook - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been slightly adjusted upward, with expected net profits of 823 million, 1.013 billion, and 1.212 billion yuan, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 15.33x, 12.46x, and 10.41x, respectively. The company maintains a "recommend" rating [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Guoyan Platinum Industry (600459.SH), focuses on the refining of precious metals from waste materials, specifically gold and silver, and does not currently engage in mining activities for these metals. Future expansion into mining will depend on the company's development plans and business layout [1] Group 1 - The company operates in the precious metals sector, which includes eight elements: gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium, iridium, osmium, and ruthenium [1] - Currently, the company's business primarily involves the purification of precious metals from waste materials [1] - The company has not yet entered the mining of gold and silver, and future decisions will be based on strategic planning [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Guiyan Platinum Industry (600459.SH), confirmed that its operations include precious metals such as gold and silver, but currently focuses on refining precious metals from waste materials rather than mining them directly [2]. Group 1 - The company operates with eight types of precious metals: gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium, iridium, osmium, and ruthenium [2]. - Currently, the company's business primarily involves the purification of precious metals from waste materials, and it does not engage in the mining of gold and silver [2]. - Future decisions regarding entering the gold and silver mining sector will depend on the company's development plans and business strategy [2].

Core Viewpoint - The report by Heraeus Precious Metals predicts a downward trend in the prices of gold, silver, and platinum group metals in the first half of 2026, following previous price increases that pushed gold and silver to high levels and platinum group metals to record highs [1] Group 1: Price Trends - Gold and silver prices are expected to face downward pressure due to a potential loss of momentum after recent price increases [1] - Platinum group metals may experience significant downward pressure due to weak industrial demand, despite a currently tight market [1] Group 2: Market Influences - The precious metals market may be affected by slowing economic growth, geopolitical uncertainties, and ongoing transformations in the automotive industry, leading to increased price volatility in the first half of 2026 [1] - Strong central bank demand and favorable macroeconomic conditions are expected to provide solid support for gold prices [1] Group 3: Specific Metal Insights - Silver prices are anticipated to be more volatile due to industrial headwinds [1] - The palladium market is expected to continue facing oversupply as the market share of pure electric vehicles increases [1] - China remains a key factor in global demand trends, with the "14th Five-Year Plan" promoting green hydrogen and fuel cell technology, which may benefit the demand for ruthenium and iridium in the long term [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Heraeus Precious Metals indicates that gold, silver, and platinum group metals prices may experience a downward trend in the first half of 2026, following previous highs driven by strong demand and macroeconomic factors [1][2] Group 1: Price Trends and Influencing Factors - Precious metal prices are expected to undergo consolidation after significant increases, with gold likely to have the strongest support due to robust central bank demand and favorable macroeconomic conditions [1] - Industrial demand weakness and recession risks pose significant downward pressure on platinum group metals, while silver's price may be more volatile due to industrial headwinds [1][2] - The report anticipates that the global market will face both economic and geopolitical challenges, with major economies like the US and Europe experiencing slower growth and persistent inflation affecting monetary policy [1] Group 2: China's Role and Future Demand - China remains a key factor in global demand trends, with economic stimulus measures potentially supporting industrial activity, although adjustments in photovoltaic policies may slow silver demand growth [2] - Initiatives related to green hydrogen and fuel cell technology in China's 14th Five-Year Plan may drive long-term demand for ruthenium and iridium [2] - The precious metals market may be influenced by slowing economic growth, geopolitical uncertainties, and ongoing transformations in the automotive industry, with low real interest rates and sustained inflation supporting investment demand [2]

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals industry, represented by Heraeus, predicts a downward trend in gold, silver, and platinum group metals prices in the first half of 2026, following a period of rapid price increases that pushed gold and silver to historical highs and platinum group metals to multi-year highs [1] Group 1: Price Predictions - Heraeus expects that gold prices will have the strongest support due to robust central bank demand and favorable macroeconomic conditions, while silver may experience more volatility due to industrial headwinds [1] - The report indicates that after significant price increases, precious metals prices may need to realign and consolidate [1] - The potential for short-term price increases exists, but a weakening momentum is anticipated to lead to price corrections [1] Group 2: Economic and Geopolitical Factors - The global market is expected to face simultaneous economic and geopolitical challenges, with major economies like the US and Europe experiencing slowed growth, persistent inflation, and fiscal imbalances that could impact monetary policy [1] - Central banks are likely to maintain low real interest rates, which may support investment demand for precious metals while suppressing industrial demand [1] - Geopolitical risks are expected to remain high, and there is uncertainty regarding the impact of tariffs on platinum group metals [1] Group 3: China's Role in Demand - China is identified as a key factor in global demand trends, with economic stimulus measures potentially supporting industrial activity, although adjustments in photovoltaic policies may slow silver demand growth [2] - The new five-year plan (2026-2030) in China includes initiatives to promote green hydrogen and fuel cell technologies, which could positively impact the long-term demand for ruthenium and iridium [2] - The precious metals market may be influenced by slowing economic growth, geopolitical uncertainties, and ongoing transformations in the automotive industry [2]

（来源：SMM小金属） 2026 SMM 铂族金属供需交易峰会 【时间】2026年1月15日~16日 【地点】浙江·宁波 在全球能源转型加速、高端制造升级的当下，铂族金属（铂、钯、钌、铑、铱）作为"工业维生素"，正迎来供需格局的深度重构。 需求端，混动汽车催化器等战略性领域需求增速受关注，传统化工需求有变化；供应端，全球铂族金属资源集中，地缘政治导致供应链波动，中国部分资 源潜力待释放；政策与竞争方面，美欧清单、国内再生政策及跨境新规重塑市场规则。 值此机会，在美丽的浙江宁波，未泰铂业将作为鸣谢单位参与到SMM举办的2026 SMM铂族金属供需交易峰会，并由亚太区铂族金属首席分析师 曲艺女 士出席，围绕混动汽车触媒用量增加、氢能电极材料需求增长等趋势同大家展开深入探讨与分享。 鸣谢单位及嘉宾介绍 未泰铂业 （Valterra Platinum Limited） 未泰铂业（前身为英美铂业有限公司）是一家南非矿业公司。它是全球领先的铂族金属综合生产商之一，在约翰内斯堡证券交易所和伦敦证券交易所上 市。 该公司拥有世界级、长寿命的矿山组合以及业内最高效的加工资产，负责任地从其位于南非和津巴布韦的业务中开采、冶炼和精 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a strong upward trend in precious metal prices, particularly gold, driven by multiple factors including geopolitical uncertainties, concerns over U.S. debt sustainability, and central bank purchases [1][3][4] - As of mid-October 2025, gold prices have increased by 66% year-to-date, reaching a peak of over $4,380 per ounce, with expectations for further increases in 2026 [1][3] - The average gold price for 2026 is projected to be around $4,560 per ounce, representing a 33% increase compared to the previous year [3] Group 2 - Silver prices are expected to be influenced by similar factors as gold, including policy uncertainties and rising demand for safe-haven assets, with short-term supply remaining tight [4][6] - The average silver price for 2026 is anticipated to reach $57 per ounce, with potential to exceed $60 per ounce in the latter half of the year [6] - Platinum prices have risen over 80% year-to-date, with expectations of continued upward momentum due to supply constraints and increased demand [6][9] Group 3 - Palladium has also seen a price increase of over 70% this year, driven by tariff risks and supply adjustments, with a projected average price of $1,340 per ounce for 2026 [9][10] - The supply-demand dynamics for other platinum group metals, such as rhodium and ruthenium, are expected to improve by 2026, with rhodium prices potentially spiking again due to low ground stocks [10][12] - Overall, the precious metals market is characterized by strong investment interest and ongoing central bank purchases, which are expected to support prices in the coming years [3][4][6]