Investment Rating - The report recommends the industry [6] Core Insights - In Q2 2025, ANTAM's nickel pig iron production increased by 2% to 4,569 tons, while sales decreased by 81% to 924 tons, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 15% and 87% respectively [1] - Nickel ore production decreased by 3% to 4.47 million wet tons, but sales increased by 14% to 4.37 million wet tons, showing a year-on-year growth of 63% and 85% respectively [2] - Gold production reached 208 kg (6,687 troy ounces), down 10% quarter-on-quarter and down 24% year-on-year, while gold sales increased by 13% to 15,566 kg (500,459 troy ounces), reflecting a year-on-year increase of 76% [3] - Bauxite production increased by 11% to 728,360 wet tons, with sales decreasing by 12% [4] - Alumina production rose by 3% to 45,334 tons, with sales increasing by 7% to 47,060 tons, showing a year-on-year growth of 19% and 2% respectively [4] - ANTAM is focusing on sustainable business development through downstream mineral development and strategic partnerships [5] - ANTAM is accelerating the development of a precious metal processing plant in Gresik JIIPE to meet growing market demand and expand its gold market [7] - In the nickel business, ANTAM is developing cooperative projects for the electric vehicle battery ecosystem in Indonesia, achieving several milestones in preliminary work, licensing, and funding [7] - The construction of integrated battery plants in Karawang and East Halmahera has commenced, involving multiple joint ventures [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report recommends the industry [4] Core Insights - The RKEF project produced 30,463 tons of nickel pig iron (NPI) in Q2 2025, a decrease of 5% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to adjustments made to the ONI furnace [1][2] - The unit cash cost for NPI increased by 4% year-on-year to $10,348 per ton, driven by maintenance costs and rising electricity expenses [2] - The sales revenue for NPI in Q2 2025 was $346 million, reflecting a 6% decrease year-on-year [2] RKEF Project Summary - NPI production in Q2 2025 was 30,463 tons, with a contract price of $11,449 per ton, showing a 1% increase from the previous quarter [1][2] - The adjusted EBITDA for NPI was $33.7 million, down 24% from the previous quarter, with an adjusted EBITDA per ton of $1,107, a decrease of 20% [2][12] HPAL Project Summary - The Huayue nickel-cobalt project produced 20,750 tons of nickel and 1,877 tons of cobalt in Q2 2025, exceeding the rated capacity by 38% [3] - The unit EBITDA for HNC was $4,819 per ton, up 12% quarter-on-quarter, supported by rising MHP prices [5] Mining Operations Summary - The Hengjaya mine produced 5.92 million wet tons of nickel ore in Q2 2025, a 99% increase year-on-year [7] - The adjusted EBITDA for the Hengjaya mine was $41.4 million, a 33% increase from the previous quarter, driven by rising nickel ore prices [7] Financial Overview - Nickel Industries received $34.4 million in shareholder loan repayments in Q2 2025 [10] - The company also received $8.1 million in dividends from the Oracle Nickel project and $8 million from the Hengjaya mine [10][11]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $86 million for the June quarter, bringing the first half unaudited adjusted EBITDA to $183.6 million, which is a material outperformance compared to the previous year [4][16] - The twelve-month rolling Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate (TRIFR) was 1.29, with a Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate (LTIFR) of 0.05 for June, indicating strong safety performance [2][3] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - RKF nickel metal production was 30,463 tonnes, slightly lower than the previous quarter, impacted by kiln realignment and maintenance [4][7] - HPAL production from HNC was 2,075 tonnes of nickel, continuing to operate above nameplate capacity [4] - The Hangjai mine achieved record ore sales of over 3 million wet metric tonnes, with an EBITDA of $41.4 million, a 33% increase from the previous quarter [6][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - MHP pricing remained stable at $11,449, slightly higher than the previous quarter, with payabilities for MHP close to 90% [8][9] - The Hengjia mine's EBITDA increased by CAD10.4 million, highlighting the benefits of integrated operations [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on the completion of the E and C project, with commissioning deferred to align working capital requirements [10][11] - The feasibility study to increase the Anglia mine RKB from 9 million tonnes to 19 million tonnes has been approved, indicating growth plans [13] - The Sampala project is progressing well, with a feasibility study lodged for an initial operation of 6 million wet metric tonnes per annum [14][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about achieving RKAB approval in August and expects to ramp up production from the Hangjai mine significantly [37] - The company remains confident in the exploration target of over 1 billion wet metric tonnes of ore at the Sao Paulo project, with strong margins expected [16][40] Other Important Information - The company is actively managing working capital due to a significant build-up, particularly in RKF operations [20][30] - There are discussions regarding various financing sources, excluding equity raises, to manage cash flow and debt obligations [32][33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Cash flow neutrality despite good EBITDA - Management explained that the neutral cash flow was due to a large working capital build, particularly in RKF operations, which is expected to unwind [20][21] Question: MHP realizations increase - Management noted market tightness leading to improved MHP payabilities, offsetting a decrease in LME prices [22][23] Question: Delaying commissioning of E and C - The decision to delay was significant enough to avoid building up working capital ahead of the sales license [28][30] Question: Debt service requirements - Management confirmed $33 million in interest amortization was paid in July, with another $100 million due in the remainder of the year [31][34] Question: Production ramp-up from Hangjai mine - Management remains optimistic about receiving the RCAB permit in August and targets significantly above 12 million tonnes for the year [37] Question: Development timing for Sao Paulo - The company is targeting completion of the haul road by early Q4, with first ore delivery expected in early H2 next year [40]