⑤COMEX黄金期货涨1.32%报5410.80美元/盎司，COMEX白银期货涨1.98%报115.78美元/盎司； ⑥美油主力合约收涨3.64%，报65.51美元/桶；布油主力合约涨3.43%，报69.68美元/桶； ⑦纽约尾盘，美元指数跌0.20%报96.16，离岸人民币对美元下跌12.0个基点报6.9449； ①美股三大指数收盘涨跌不一，道指涨0.11%报49071.56点，标指跌0.13%报6969.01点，纳指跌0.72%报 23685.12点； ⑧伦敦基本金属涨跌参半，LME期铜涨4.73%报13705.0美元/吨，LME期锌涨2.65%报3453.0美元/吨， LME期镍涨1.37%报18520.0美元/吨，LME期铅跌0.30%报2011.0美元/吨，LME期铝跌0.72%报3233.5美 元/吨，LME期锡跌2.60%报54500.0美元/吨； ②大型科技股多数上涨，META涨逾10%，微软跌约10%，特斯拉跌超3%，台积电跌1%，ARM跌 1.39%，阿斯麦涨超2%； ③热门中概股涨跌不一，富途跌超2%，哔哩哔哩、网易跌超1%，蔚来涨超3%，好未来涨超18%； ④欧洲三大股指收盘涨跌不一， ...

①美国三大股指收盘涨跌不一，道指涨0.02%报49015.6点，标普500指数跌0.01%报6978.03点，纳指涨 0.17%报23857.45点； ②大型科技股涨跌不一，英伟达涨逾1%，谷歌涨0.44%，微软涨0.22%，特斯拉跌0.1%，脸书跌 0.63%，亚马逊跌0.68%，苹果跌0.71%； ③热门中概股涨跌不一，亚朵跌逾3%，拼多多跌逾3%，玉柴国际跌逾3%，华住集团跌逾3%，禾赛科 技跌逾2%，POLIBELI涨逾9%，大健云仓涨逾6%，新东方涨逾5%，万物新生涨逾4%，百济神州涨逾 4%； ④欧洲主要股指全线下跌，德国DAX指数跌0.29%报24822.79点，法国CAC40指数跌1.06%报8066.68 点，英国富时100指数跌0.52%报10154.43点； ⑤国际贵金属期货普遍收涨，COMEX黄金期货涨6.46%报5411美元/盎司，COMEX白银期货涨10.06% 报116.62美元/盎司； ⑥国际油价集体上涨，美油主力合约收涨1.78%，报63.5美元/桶；布油主力合约涨1.56%，报67.63美元/ 桶； ⑦纽约尾盘，美元指数涨0.63%报96.35，离岸人民币对美元较上一交易日 ...

【资讯导读】 转自：新华财经 •特朗普称美元"表现良好" •美国政府部分停摆风险骤升 •日本财相重申与美协调立场 •美国1月消费者信心骤降至十年新低 【市场资讯】 •美国总统特朗普回应美元贬值担忧时表示，美元"表现很好"，并认为其价值应回归"应有水平"。他虽 称自己有能力让美元"像悠悠球一样涨跌"，但将此类人为干预比作"雇佣无用工人粉饰就业数据"，视为 不利做法。同时，他批评日本试图压低本币汇率。 •因韩国尚未批准所谓"具有历史意义"的美韩贸易协议，特朗普宣布将对韩国汽车、木材、制药等关键 产品加征关税，税率由15%上调至25%，以施压首尔尽快通过协议。 •美国国会若未能在周五午夜前就剩余6项拨款法案达成协议，将触发新一轮政府部分停摆。尽管规模小 于去年秋季，但涉及约78%的联邦政府职能，关键公共服务面临中断风险。 •日本财务大臣片山皋月表示，将根据去年9月日美联合声明，在必要时与美方密切协作并采取适当措 施，但强调不会就具体外汇汇率水平发表评论，延续一贯谨慎立场。 •美国1月消费者信心指数环比大跌9.7点，跌至84.5，创下自2014年以来最低水平，反映民众对经济前景 的忧虑显著加剧。 •22:45 加拿大 ...

⑥美油主力合约收跌0.39%，报60.83美元/桶；布油主力合约跌0.26%，报64.9美元/桶； ⑦纽约尾盘，美元指数跌0.48%报97.0244，离岸人民币对美元跌2.5个基点报6.9490； ⑧伦敦基本金属多数上涨，LME期锌涨2.78%报3351.0美元/吨，LME期铝涨0.84%报3195.5美元/吨， LME期铜涨0.52%报13183.0美元/吨，LME期铅涨0.49%报2036.0美元/吨，LME期镍跌0.89%报18590.0美 元/吨，LME期锡跌4.09%报54495.0美元/吨； ⑨美债收益率集体下跌，2年期美债收益率跌0.18个基点报3.588%，3年期美债收益率跌0.27个基点报 3.654%，5年期美债收益率跌0.17个基点报3.819%，10年期美债收益率跌0.99个基点报4.211%，30年期 美债收益率跌2.13个基点报4.801%； ⑩欧债收益率集体下跌，英国10年期国债收益率跌1.5个基点报4.496%，法国10年期国债收益率跌5.8个 基点报3.434%，德国10年期国债收益率跌3.9个基点报2.865%，意大利10年期国债收益率跌4.7个基点报 3.464%，西班牙 ...

Global Economic Outlook - The World Bank has raised its global economic growth forecast for 2026 to 2.6%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points. The U.S. is expected to grow by 2.2%, while the Eurozone and Japan are projected to slow to 0.9% and 0.8%, respectively [1][8] U.S. Economic Policy and Market Reactions - Former President Trump has called for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates as the economy improves, denying any plans for another government shutdown and indicating upcoming policies aimed at reducing the cost of living [7][8] - Trump has accused Fed Chair Powell of overspending by billions, labeling him as "incompetent or corrupt," and has indicated plans to nominate a new Fed chair soon. This has drawn support for Powell from former Treasury Secretaries and central bank leaders, who criticized political interference in central bank independence [8] U.S. Fiscal Situation - The U.S. Treasury reported a record budget deficit of $145 billion for December 2025, the highest for that month historically. The deficit for the fiscal year 2026 so far stands at $602 billion, down from $711 billion in the same period last year [8] Labor Market and Inflation - The New York Fed President Williams stated that the current U.S. economic conditions are "quite favorable," with no signs of rapid deterioration in the labor market, and expects stabilization and gradual improvement this year. He noted that monetary policy is close to neutral, with no strong pressure for rate cuts or hikes in the short term [2][8] - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December 2025 rose by 2.7% year-on-year, with core CPI increasing by 2.6%, both unchanged from previous values. Due to prior government shutdowns, the data's reference value is limited, and the market anticipates a 95% probability that the Fed will maintain interest rates in January [8] Market Dynamics - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.8% to 49,191.99 points, the S&P 500 decreased by 0.19% to 6,963.74 points, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped by 0.1% to 23,709.87 points [3][9] - COMEX gold futures declined by 0.44% to $4,594.40 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures rose by 2.08% to $86.86 per ounce [4][10] - U.S. oil futures increased by 2.69% to $61.1 per barrel, and Brent crude rose by 2.43% to $65.42 per barrel [5][11]

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.99% at 49,462.08 points, the S&P 500 up 0.62% at 6,944.82 points, and the Nasdaq up 0.65% at 23,547.17 points [1] - European stock indices also closed higher, with the German DAX up 0.27% at 24,936.46 points, the French CAC40 up 0.32% at 8,237.43 points, and the UK FTSE 100 up 1.18% at 10,122.73 points [1] Technology Stocks - Major tech stocks showed mixed performance, with Amazon rising over 3%, Microsoft and Intel up more than 1%, and Meta slightly up; however, Tesla fell over 4%, Apple dropped over 1%, and Nvidia, Google, and Netflix experienced slight declines [1] Chinese Concept Stocks - Popular Chinese concept stocks had varied performance, with Hesai up over 10%, Pony.ai up more than 5%, and Huazhu and United Microelectronics up over 4%; on the downside, BOSS Zhipin fell over 6%, Tencent Music dropped over 4%, and Alibaba declined over 3% [1] Commodities - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 1.22% at $4,505.70 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 5.95% at $81.22 per ounce [1] - London base metals saw an overall increase, with LME nickel up 8.39% at $18,430.00 per ton, LME tin up 4.79% at $44,500.00 per ton, and LME copper up 2.02% at $13,254.50 per ton [1] Bond Market - U.S. Treasury yields collectively rose, with the 2-year yield up 1.04 basis points at 3.463%, the 10-year yield up 0.79 basis points at 4.173%, and the 30-year yield up 0.3 basis points at 4.863% [1] - Conversely, European bond yields collectively fell, with the UK 10-year yield down 2.5 basis points at 4.479%, the French 10-year yield down 1.9 basis points at 3.552%, and the German 10-year yield down 2.8 basis points at 2.840% [1]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve officials suggest that the current interest rate levels may be close to the "neutral rate," with future policy direction dependent on the latest economic data [1][1][1] - The U.S. budget deficit is projected to reach $1.9 trillion this year, with debt-to-GDP ratio expected to rise to 100% and continue increasing [1][1][1] - Venezuela's oil production is being forced to cut back due to U.S. sanctions, which have led to export disruptions and full storage facilities [2][2][2] Group 2 - The Swiss government has frozen all assets held by Venezuelan President Maduro and related individuals in Switzerland for a period of four years [2][2][2] - French consumer behavior is becoming more cautious, reflecting deeper structural issues in the economy, with rising public debt and declining purchasing power [2][2][2] - The Bank of Japan's Governor Ueda emphasizes the continuation of interest rate hikes to achieve stable inflation targets and long-term economic growth [3][3][3] Group 3 - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 594.79 points, closing at 48,977.18, marking a 1.23% increase [4][4][4] - COMEX gold futures increased by 3.00% to $4,459.70 per ounce, while silver futures rose by 7.74% to $76.51 per ounce [5][5][5] - Crude oil prices saw an increase, with light crude futures up by $1.00 to $58.32 per barrel, and Brent crude futures up by $1.01 to $61.76 per barrel [6][6][6]

Group 1 - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.6% at 48,731.16 points, the S&P 500 up 0.32% at 6,932.05 points, and the Nasdaq up 0.22% at 23,613.31 points [1] - Major tech stocks showed mixed performance, with Facebook up 0.39%, Apple up 0.53%, Microsoft up 0.24%, Amazon up 0.10%, while Nvidia down 0.32%, Tesla down 0.03%, and Google down 0.08% [1] - Chinese concept stocks had varied results, with Zai Lab up over 6%, Canadian Solar up over 1%, Sohu up over 1%, Bitdeer up over 1%, and Pinduoduo up over 1%. Conversely, Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics down over 2%, Sorrento Therapeutics down over 2%, Bawang Tea down over 1%, Kingsoft Cloud down over 1%, and TAL Education down over 1% [1] Group 2 - European stock markets were mostly closed, with the UK and France having half-day trading. The French CAC40 index closed flat at 8,103.58 points, while the UK FTSE 100 index fell 0.19% to 9,870.68 points [1] - COMEX gold futures fell 0.01% to $4,505.4 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures rose 1.04% to $71.875 per ounce [1] - U.S. oil futures rose 0.03% to $58.4 per barrel, while Brent oil futures fell 0.05% to $61.84 per barrel [1] - The U.S. dollar index rose 0.06% to 97.95, and the offshore Chinese yuan appreciated by 117.5 basis points to 7.0076 against the U.S. dollar [1] - London base metals showed mixed results, with LME copper up 0.6% at $12,133 per ton, LME zinc down 0.23% at $3,086.5 per ton, LME nickel down 0.5% at $15,660 per ton, LME aluminum up 0.6% at $2,956.5 per ton, LME tin down 0.71% at $42,490 per ton, and LME lead up 0.86% at $1,999.5 per ton [1] - U.S. Treasury yields collectively fell, with the 2-year yield down 2.45 basis points to 3.506%, the 3-year yield down 2.23 basis points to 3.558%, the 5-year yield down 1.92 basis points to 3.718%, the 10-year yield down 2.73 basis points to 4.136%, and the 30-year yield down 2.94 basis points to 4.795% [1]

Market Insights - President Trump calls for the next Federal Reserve chairman to lower interest rates decisively when the economy and markets are performing strongly, rather than tightening policy too early due to inflation concerns. He criticizes the current market logic, stating that "good news has become bad news," and emphasizes that low interest rates can boost the stock market, stimulate the economy, and alleviate housing burdens. He suggests that a thriving stock market could lead to a GDP growth of 10% to 20% in the U.S. [1][6] - The U.S. third-quarter GDP annualized growth rate is reported at 4.3%, significantly exceeding the market expectation of 3.3%, marking the fastest growth rate in 2023 and indicating strong economic resilience [1][6]. - The core PCE price index for the third quarter shows an annualized quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.9%, consistent with expectations and up from the second quarter's final value of 2.6%. The overall PCE price index also rises by 2.8%, indicating that inflation remains on a moderate upward trajectory [1][7]. Manufacturing Sector - U.S. durable goods orders fell by 2.2% month-on-month in October, significantly worse than the expected decline of 1.5%, with the previous value revised down from +0.5%, highlighting weakened manufacturing momentum [2][7]. - U.S. industrial production increased by 0.2% month-on-month in November, slightly above the market expectation of 0.1%, marking the second consecutive month of expansion and indicating a slow recovery in manufacturing activity [2][7]. - The Richmond Fed manufacturing index for December improved to -7, better than the expected -10 and the previous value of -15, suggesting a slowdown in the pace of regional manufacturing contraction, although it has not yet returned to expansion [2][7]. Global Market Dynamics - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.16% to 48,442.41 points, the S&P 500 increased by 0.46% to 6,909.79 points, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.57% to 23,561.84 points [3][8]. - COMEX gold futures increased by 1.09% to $4,518.20 per ounce, reaching a new intraday historical high, while COMEX silver futures rose by 4.40% to $71.585 per ounce, also setting a new historical peak [3][8]. Oil and Bond Markets - U.S. crude oil futures rose by 0.79% to $58.47 per barrel, while Brent crude oil futures increased by 0.62% to $61.96 per barrel [4][9]. - The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 3.18 basis points to 3.532%, the 3-year yield increased by 3.63 basis points to 3.583%, the 5-year yield rose by 2.65 basis points to 3.734%, the 10-year yield increased by 0.40 basis points to 4.165%, and the 30-year yield fell by 1.12 basis points to 4.824% [4][9].

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - President Trump plans to nominate the next Federal Reserve Chair in the first week of January 2026, with current Chair Powell's term ending in May 2026. Trump emphasizes the need for a successor who supports "growth-friendly" monetary policy to promote economic expansion [1] - Treasury Secretary Becerra states that inflation is steadily approaching the Fed's 2% target, predicting that 2026 will see simultaneous improvement in economic growth and price stability. He notes that government efficiency improvements will further optimize the overall economic situation [1] - Fed Governor Milan warns that pausing interest rate cuts in 2026 could increase the risk of recession. He emphasizes that rising unemployment should prompt policymakers to maintain an accommodative stance [1] - Cleveland Fed President Harmack suggests that after three consecutive rate cuts, interest rate policy should remain stable in the coming months, arguing that the primary risk remains stubborn inflation rather than a weak job market [1] Group 2: EU Sanctions and Currency Intervention - The EU has decided to extend comprehensive economic sanctions against Russia for six months, effective until July 31, 2026, covering key areas such as trade, finance, energy, technology, and transportation. The EU is also implementing special measures to combat sanction evasion [2] - Japan's Finance Minister Katayama asserts that Japan retains the discretion to take decisive action in response to significant currency fluctuations that deviate from economic fundamentals, emphasizing the potential for "bold intervention" if necessary [2] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.47% to 48,362.68 points, the S&P 500 increased by 0.64% to 6,878.49 points, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.52% to 23,428.83 points [3] - COMEX gold futures increased by 2.13% to $4,480.60 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures rose by 2.37% to $69.09 per ounce [4] - Crude oil prices saw an increase, with the main US oil contract rising by 2.53% to $57.95 per barrel and Brent crude rising by 2.45% to $61.52 per barrel [5] - US Treasury yields increased across various maturities, with the 2-year yield rising by 2.96 basis points to 3.507%, and the 10-year yield increasing by 2.74 basis points to 4.165% [5] - The US dollar index fell by 0.46% to 98.26, while the euro and British pound appreciated against the dollar [5]