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理想L系列改款分析
数说新能源· 2025-10-11 08:15
L系列目前的整个产品序列,存在着下面几个明显的问题: 1、在L6789当中,L8销量最差,而六座车的整体销量又明显低于五座; 2、偏偏L系列是没有真正意义上的五座旗舰的,L7虽然号称五座旗舰,但实际的配置是看齐L8的,明显低L9一档;真正的增程旗舰L9,出于想子的某种正常人 难以理解的执念,一直都不肯提供五座版本(隔壁M9就有五座版); 3、L8一方面被同为六座的L9所压制,另一方面30多万的起售价,又没办法有效覆盖25万左右的大六座市场的需求,销量上处于一个非常尴尬的位置; 4、作为L系列旗舰,L9的销量在两年前达到峰值之后,这两年可以说是处于一个持续的下行通道当中,无论是24款还是25款的配置升级都无法改变下滑趋势; 5、出于我们都可以理解的原因,商务车市场基本上不会选择L系列。 L8则与L7正相反,磷酸铁锂的后驱版(空悬作为选装存在)将把起售价拉入到25万左右,作为大六座车型与L90之类的竞品展开正面竞争。既然销量不佳&上升 空间被L9限死,那么往下走将是个更合理的方向; 至于L9,首先期待它能拥有一套与L678不同的外观设计方案,在视觉上做出明显的区隔;其次,除了按部就班的配置提升之外,非常期望它能推 ...
理想i6今年保守产能4.5万~5万台
伴随重磅新车陆续发布完毕,新势力们到了比拼产能的关键赛点,是否能跨过交付难关,直接左右着新 势力今年的成绩单表现。蔚来CEO李斌此前在NIO Day后的采访环节透露,乐道L90的产能将在10月达 到1.5万台,而ES8将在12月达到这个数字。小鹏汽车CEO何小鹏曾在今年8月小鹏P7开卖时立下军令 状:"P7的目标是同级轿车前三,小鹏实际上就是奔着前三去准备产能的。" 9月26日,目前理想汽车旗下最小的一款纯电车型理想i6正式上市。i6全系只有一款车型、一个价格, 售价24.98万元。10月31日前为首销期,新车于9月27日起开始交付。 三个月销量承压后,理想i6是理想背水一战的纯电产品。为此,理想拿出了满满的诚意。首销期内,理 想i6直减1万元,价格为23.98万元,还标配后驱、空悬、VLA和冰箱,续航为720km。 空间方面,理想i6长4.95米,轴距3米,远超特斯拉Model Y,后者长4.8米,轴距2.98米。但在价格上, 理想i6比Model Y便宜1.37万元。 在i6的发布上,理想采取了一种新型的发布方式——跳过小订阶段,直接上市发布,用户有7天的时间 决定是否锁单。一位理想内部的员工告诉21世纪 ...
理想MEGA:买这车不对比竞品,能来到店里的就是高意向客户
车fans· 2025-09-23 00:30
Core Viewpoint - The success of the MEGA model, achieving monthly sales of over 3,000 units, highlights the importance of product strength despite initial controversies regarding its pricing and appearance [1]. Group 1: Customer Traffic and Sales Performance - In a third-tier city, the local delivery center experiences daily foot traffic of over 200 customers, with weekends seeing around 500 [2]. - Last month, the store sold 86 vehicles, with 4 MEGA units delivered, indicating a steady demand [3]. Group 2: Customer Demographics and Preferences - The majority of MEGA buyers are families, particularly those with two children, making up 70% of the customer base [5]. - Customers are generally well-informed and come specifically to purchase the MEGA, often without needing extensive sales pitches [5][7]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - MEGA customers rarely mention competitors, indicating a strong brand loyalty and direct interest in the MEGA model [10]. - While some competitors like GL8 and D9 are occasionally referenced, they are not the primary focus for MEGA buyers [10]. Group 4: Vehicle Configuration and Pricing - The MEGA is available in two versions, Home and Intelligent Renewal, with no significant issues regarding sellability of configurations [12]. - The pricing strategy includes a down payment starting at ¥15.98 million, with various financing options available [13]. Group 5: Customer Feedback - Customers have praised the intelligent driving assistance system, especially after the introduction of VLA [17]. - Positive feedback also includes spaciousness, comfort, and the convenience of the charging network [19][20]. Group 6: Maintenance Costs - Routine maintenance costs are relatively low, averaging around ¥300 for standard services [22]. Group 7: Customer Sentiment - Customers are encouraged to purchase vehicles they genuinely like, rather than succumbing to external opinions [24].
理想汽车 | 2025Q2:毛利保持韧性 VLA规模化部署在即【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-08-30 14:56
Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q2 2025 financial results, showing a mixed performance with revenue under pressure but resilient gross margins, and a strong outlook for future vehicle deliveries and new model launches [2][10]. Revenue Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 30.25 billion yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter changes of -4.5% and +16.7% respectively [3]. - The automotive business revenue was approximately 28.89 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 4.7% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.0% [3]. - The average selling price (ASP) decreased from 266,000 yuan in Q1 2025 to 260,000 yuan in Q2 2025 due to changes in product mix and increased customer incentives [3]. Sales Volume - The company delivered approximately 111,000 vehicles in Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19.6% [3]. - The sales distribution for models in Q2 2025 included 13.0% for L9, 13.3% for L8, 23.8% for L7, 46.8% for L6, and 3.1% for Mega [3]. Profitability - The automotive business gross profit for Q2 2025 was 5.61 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 19.4%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.7 percentage points [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.09 billion yuan, with a non-GAAP net profit of 1.46 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.7% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 43.8% [5]. Research and Development - R&D expenses for Q2 2025 were 2.81 billion yuan, with an R&D expense ratio of 9.3%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.3 percentage points [6]. - The increase in R&D expenses quarter-on-quarter was driven by new vehicle project progress and support for an expanding product portfolio [6]. Charging Infrastructure - As of July 20, 2025, the company had established 2,902 fast charging stations and 15,945 charging piles across 31 provinces and 255 cities [7]. Cash Flow - The net cash used in operating activities for Q2 2025 was 3 billion yuan, while the free cash flow was -3.8 billion yuan [8]. Future Outlook - The company expects Q3 2025 vehicle deliveries to be between 90,000 and 95,000 units, with projected revenue of approximately 24.8 billion to 26.2 billion yuan [10]. - The upcoming launch of the Li Auto i6, a mid-large pure electric SUV, is anticipated to enhance sales, targeting a younger consumer demographic [10].
NIO or LI: Which Chinese EV Stock Looks Better Placed Pre-Q2 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-08-26 13:20
Core Insights - NIO Inc. and Li Auto are set to report their Q2 2025 results, raising questions about their current positioning in the EV market [1] Product Lineup - Li Auto focuses on a hybrid approach with extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs) and has a successful L-series lineup [1] - NIO is committed to pure EVs, offering a diverse range of sedans and SUVs, and is expanding with its ONVO mass-market division and Firefly premium brand [2] Deliveries and Growth - In Q2 2025, Li Auto delivered 111,074 vehicles, while NIO delivered 72,056 vehicles [3] - Li Auto's deliveries increased by 2.3% year-over-year, whereas NIO's deliveries surged by 25.6% [3] Profitability and Margins - NIO's vehicle margin improved to 10.2% in Q1 2025, up from 9.2% a year ago [4] - Li Auto's vehicle margin was 19.8% in Q1 2025, slightly up from 19.3% the previous year, indicating stronger profitability [5] Financial Strength - As of March 31, 2025, Li Auto had approximately $15.3 billion in cash, while NIO had $3.6 billion [6] - NIO's long-term debt-to-capitalization ratio is 75%, compared to Li Auto's 10.8%, indicating Li Auto's stronger financial position [6] Technological Bets - NIO's strategy includes a battery swap network with over 3,400 stations, enhancing EV adoption [10] - Li Auto is focused on autonomous driving technology, aiming for level-4 autonomy with its Li AD Max and Pro systems [11] Stock Performance and Valuation - NIO shares rose by 27% over the past six months, while Li Auto shares fell by 25% [12] - NIO trades at a lower forward price-to-sales ratio compared to Li Auto, making it more attractively valued [13] Future Estimates - NIO's sales are projected to grow by 50% in 2025 and 36% in 2026, with a significant narrowing of losses expected [16] - Li Auto's sales are expected to grow by only 6% in 2025, with a projected decline in earnings before rebounding in 2026 [17] Final Verdict - NIO shows stronger growth potential, accelerating deliveries, and a more attractive valuation, positioning it better than Li Auto ahead of earnings season [19]
做增程的品牌越来越多,但增程车却有点卖不动了
3 6 Ke· 2025-08-25 03:02
Group 1 - The article discusses the current trend of electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers shifting from pure electric models to range-extended electric vehicles (EREVs), with brands like Zhiji, Haobo, and Xiaopeng launching new EREV models [1][3][6] - Despite the initial excitement around EREVs, sales data indicates a decline in their popularity, with July retail sales of EREVs at 102,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 11.4%, while pure electric vehicle sales increased by 24.5% [7][8] - The market share of pure electric vehicles has grown significantly, with the ratio of pure electric to EREV sales changing from 43:57 last year to 64:36 this year [7][8] Group 2 - The sales performance of leading EREV brands like Aion and Li Auto has been disappointing, with Li Auto experiencing a 39.7% year-on-year decline in July sales [10][12] - In contrast, brands like Xiaopeng and Leap Motor have seen substantial growth in pure electric sales, with Xiaopeng's sales increasing by 229.4% year-on-year [9][10] - The decline in EREV sales is attributed to the decreasing price of lithium and the resulting drop in battery costs, making pure electric vehicles more affordable and attractive [17][19] Group 3 - The article highlights that the charging infrastructure for pure electric vehicles is rapidly expanding, with an average of 34.3 public charging stations per square kilometer in major cities, alleviating range anxiety for consumers [20][23] - As battery technology improves, the range of pure electric vehicles continues to increase, with models like the Model Y achieving a range of up to 751 km [24][29] - The article concludes that while EREVs will continue to exist, they are returning to their original position as a transitional product rather than a primary choice for consumers [32][33]
推测理想25Q2营收会在307亿以上
理想TOP2· 2025-08-24 13:46
Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to report Q2 2025 revenue exceeding 30.7 billion, with a projected gross margin of 19.0-20.0%, leading to a gross profit of approximately 5.833-6.14 billion [1][2]. Revenue and Profit Projections - The estimated revenue for Q1 2025 was between 25.543-26.148 billion, with the actual revenue reported at 25.98 billion [2]. - The revenue calculation for Q2 2025 is based on vehicle pricing adjustments and is projected to be around 30.721 billion after accounting for VAT [2]. - The gross profit for Q2 2025 is expected to be between 5.833-6.14 billion, given the gross margin estimates [1][3]. Operating Expenses and Profitability - Operating expenses for Q2 2025 are projected to be between 5.047-5.792 billion, which may lead to an operating profit ranging from 0.04-1.093 billion [1][3]. - Historical data indicates that the company has only once reported lower Q2 operating expenses compared to Q1, which occurred in 2024 [2]. Sales Performance - The company’s sales in June 2025 fell significantly short of expectations, impacting the overall profitability outlook for Q2 2025 [3]. - Despite the lower sales performance, the operating profit for Q2 2025 is likely to exceed that of Q1 2025, although it may not surpass Q3 2024 levels [3]. Financial Summary Table - A detailed financial summary table outlines the delivery numbers, operating profit, operating expenses, R&D expenses, and general & administrative expenses for various quarters, highlighting trends in profitability and cost management [4].
MEGA可能比所有L系列90后占比更高, 无孩率更高
理想TOP2· 2025-08-23 14:42
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that the MEGA model from Li Auto is more suitable for single users compared to other models, highlighting its advantages in space utilization and convenience for individual use [2][7]. Group 1: Space Utilization - MEGA allows for a flat single bed setup, which is not feasible in other models like L67 and L89 when used by multiple people [3]. - The design of MEGA enables better space management, allowing for more items to be stored and utilized effectively when only one person is using the vehicle [6]. Group 2: Convenience Features - MEGA has more cup holders compared to L67, enhancing the convenience for a single user to store various items [4]. - The ability to keep a floating table in MEGA provides additional utility for work or leisure activities, especially when used by one person [5]. Group 3: Market Performance and Outlook - MEGA is expected to achieve monthly deliveries of 3,300 to 3,500 units starting from September, with a goal to complete existing orders by the end of December [7]. - The perception of MEGA as a superior vehicle compared to L9 is growing among potential buyers, which could lead to increased sales in the future [7]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The article suggests that competitors will find it challenging to replicate MEGA's features, particularly its advanced charging infrastructure and software integration [8]. - The software experience is currently undervalued in the purchasing decision but is anticipated to gain importance as it enhances user scenarios [9].
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-19 03:08
Tesla priced its updated, six-seat Model Y sport utility vehicle in the same range as local rival Li Auto’s extended-range L8 model, to win over middle-class families in China’s hyper-competitive market https://t.co/mhstGkHYsG ...
MoonFox Data | Li Auto Financial Report Analysis: Pure Electric SUV Model i8 to become the Key Breakthrough in 2025
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-08-13 09:00
Core Viewpoint - Li Auto is facing significant challenges due to intensified competition in the automotive market, leading to a slowdown in revenue growth and a decline in vehicle deliveries [1][2][6]. Financial Performance - Li Auto's projected revenue for Q2 2025 is RMB 33.5 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 5.6%, but with a growth slowdown of 4.96% [4][5]. - The company's net profit for Q1 2025 was RMB 647 million, showing a year-over-year increase of 9.4% but a quarter-over-quarter decline of 81.7% [5]. - As of June 30, 2025, Li Auto's cumulative historical deliveries reached 1,337,810 vehicles, marking a year-over-year decline of 24% and a quarter-over-quarter decline of 11.2% [5][6]. Market Competition - The automotive market is experiencing a contraction in overall demand, with fierce competition in the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector, leading to stock competition for Li Auto's family-oriented models [2][9]. - Li Auto's sales performance is under pressure due to promotional campaigns and new model launches from various automakers [9]. Strategic Adjustments - Following a downward revision of its 2025 annual sales target from 700,000 units to 640,000 units, Li Auto is under increased scrutiny from investors [10][11]. - The company is pursuing breakthroughs in four strategic areas, including advancements in pure electric vehicles and autonomous driving technology [11][12]. Product Development - Li Auto plans to launch its first all-electric SUV, the Li i8, in July 2025, alongside a self-developed driver assistance model [12]. - The company is expanding its charging infrastructure, having built 2,421 charging stations with a total of 13,200 charging piles as of June 2025 [18]. Market Expansion - Li Auto is implementing a "Hundred-city Starry Plan" to establish a self-operated sales and service presence in lower-tier cities [18]. - The company is also pursuing international expansion through a dealership model, establishing after-sales service centers in markets such as Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and the UAE [19]. Future Outlook - Despite maintaining a leading market position, Li Auto's growth momentum is expected to decelerate further in 2025 due to intensified competition [20][21]. - The company must accelerate new product development and expand its model lineup to remain competitive in a rapidly changing market [22].