11月21日（周五），伦敦金属交易所(LME)期铜下滑，预计本周将录得跌幅，因强势美元及喜忧参半的 9月就业数据令投资者在美联储12月利率决议前保持谨慎。 LME三个月期铝下跌0.94%，至每吨2,787.50美元；期锌下跌1.33%，至每吨2,976美元；期铅下跌 1.07%，至每吨1,989美元；期锡下跌0.79%，至每吨36,775美元；期镍下跌0.94%，至每吨14,365美元。 沪铝主力合约下滑1.09%，收报每吨21,340元；沪铅合约下跌0.46%，收报每吨17,165元；沪锌下跌 0.09%，收报每吨22,395元；沪镍下跌1.75%，收报每吨114,050元；沪锡下跌0.93%，收报每吨290,740 元。 （文华综合） 周四因美国政府停摆而推迟公布的9月就业数据向美联储发出了好坏参半的信号，决策者正在考虑12月 份的利率决定，该数据显示新增就业岗位增长强于预期，但失业率升至近四年来的新高。 9月就业数据将是12月利率决议前发布的最后一次官方就业数据。 由于许多美联储官员仍持鹰派态度，美元依然强劲，这对以美元计价的大宗商品造成了压力，使持有其 他货币的投资者认为这些商品更加昂贵。 截至北京时 ...

"在铜价方面，我们看到在回调过程中出现了更低的价位，这表明有买家已经做好了入场准备，他们并 不愿意等待更大的跌幅出现。" 欧洲股市徘徊在一个月低位附近，但在周二创下逾三个月最大单日跌幅之后并未延续跌势。在英伟达发 布重要财报之前，投资者表现谨慎。 铜价上涨还受到供应方面的因素影响，这些因素是由全球范围内的矿山停工所引发的。 自由港麦克莫伦（Freeport-McMoRan）公司周二表示，计划在明年7月前重启印尼Grasberg铜金矿生 产。两个月前，该矿因发生致命事故而被迫停产。 11月19日（周三），伦敦期铜反弹，一些投资者将近期的价格回撤作为了进入市场的机会。 LME三个月期铜上涨0.9%，至每吨10,812美元。 哥本哈根的盛宝银行（Saxo Bank）商品策略主管Ole Hansen表示："在今晚英伟达公布财报之前，我们 看到股市出现了一些复苏迹象，所以我认为金属市场也受到了一些积极情绪的影响，" 根据分阶段重启计划，该公司预计自由港印尼分公司（PT Freeport Indonesia）2026年铜和黄金总产量将 大致持平于2025年水平，约为10亿磅铜和90盎司黄金。 LME其他基本金属方面，三个 ...

Group 1 - LME copper futures weakened amid a general decline in the base metals market, influenced by hawkish comments from some Federal Reserve officials regarding potential interest rate decisions in December [1] - The main copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell by 790 yuan or 0.91% to 86,450 yuan per ton [1] - As of 16:30 Beijing time, LME three-month copper dropped by 0.24% to $10,825.50 per ton, reflecting market pressures from expectations that the Fed may not lower rates [1] Group 2 - Other base metals also experienced declines, with Shanghai aluminum down 1.14% to 21,725 yuan per ton, lead down 1.39% to 17,355 yuan per ton, zinc down 0.33% to 22,465 yuan per ton, nickel down 0.92% to 116,750 yuan per ton, and tin down 1.32% to 290,360 yuan per ton [1] - LME three-month aluminum fell by 0.33% to $2,849 per ton, zinc decreased by 0.23% to $3,013.50 per ton, lead dropped by 0.41% to $2,055.50 per ton, and nickel declined by 0.38% to $14,835 per ton, while tin saw a slight increase of 0.08% to $36,815 per ton [2]

Core Viewpoint - The London Metal Exchange (LME) copper prices increased due to optimism surrounding the potential end of the U.S. government shutdown, with three-month copper rising by $79.5 to $10,796.0 per ton [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - LME three-month copper rose by $79.5, or 0.74%, closing at $10,796.0 per ton [1][2]. - Other base metals also saw increases, with three-month aluminum up by $21.5 (0.75%), zinc up by $24.5 (0.80%), lead up by $11.5 (0.56%), tin up by $202.0 (0.56%), and nickel up by $48.0 (0.32%) [2]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - Year-to-date, LME copper has increased by 23%, reaching a record high of $11,200 per ton on October 29 [4]. - The U.S. Senate passed a bill aimed at reopening the federal government, which positively influenced market sentiment and risk appetite [5]. - Recent economic data, including a drop in the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index to its lowest level in nearly three and a half years, suggests a potential call for lower U.S. interest rates [5]. Group 3: Global Supply and Demand - China's consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year in October, while the core CPI increased by 1.2%, marking the sixth consecutive month of growth [6]. - The producer price index (PPI) in China saw a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, the first rise of the year, although it decreased by 2.1% year-on-year [6]. - Significant aluminum inflows into the LME from the Middle East, Australia, and Indonesia have led to a decrease in the available stock ratios of Russian and Indian aluminum in LME warehouses [6].

Group 1 - LME copper prices reached a 15-month high, driven by a decline in the US dollar and a framework agreement between China and the US regarding TikTok-related issues [1][4] - On September 15, LME three-month copper rose by $119, or 1.18%, closing at $10,186.5 per ton, with an intraday peak of $10,192.50, the highest since June 4 of the previous year [1][5] - Year-to-date, LME copper has increased by 16%, but has struggled to maintain significant gains after surpassing the $10,000 mark [5] Group 2 - Other base metals also saw price increases, with three-month aluminum up by $11, or 0.41%, closing at $2,700.5 per ton [2][7] - Three-month zinc rose by $22, or 0.74%, closing at $2,979.0 per ton [2][8] - Conversely, three-month lead fell by $15.5, or 0.77%, closing at $2,002.0 per ton, while three-month tin decreased by $336, or 0.96%, closing at $34,639.0 per ton [2][9][11] Group 3 - The decline in the US dollar index is noted, with several central banks, including the Federal Reserve, expected to hold meetings this week, with a rate cut anticipated [6]

Group 1 - LME copper prices reached a one-month high, driven by positive manufacturing data from major metal-consuming countries and a weaker dollar [1][4] - As of September 1, LME three-month copper closed at $9,884.00 per ton, down $18.00 or 0.18% [2][4] - Year-to-date, LME copper has increased by 12%, rebounding from $8,105 in early April [4] Group 2 - China's manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August was reported at 49.4%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating improved manufacturing sentiment [4] - The non-manufacturing business activity index for August was 50.3%, up 0.2 percentage points, remaining above the critical point and indicating continued expansion [4] Group 3 - Other base metals showed mixed performance: LME three-month aluminum fell by $4.50 (0.17%) to $2,611.00, while zinc rose by $13.50 (0.48%) to $2,832.50, lead increased by $12.50 (0.63%) to $2,003.50, and nickel rose by $18.00 (0.12%) to $15,439.00 [2][7][8][9][10] - LME three-month tin decreased by $66.00 (0.19%) to $34,952.00 [11] Group 4 - Investors are focusing on the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report, with additional attention on job vacancy and private sector employment data [5] - The U.S. financial markets were closed on Monday due to a holiday, resulting in light trading activity [6]

Group 1 - The main contract for aluminum on the Shanghai Futures Exchange reached a new high since November 2024, closing at 20,900 yuan per ton, up 0.75% [1] - The analyst from a futures company stated that the aluminum fundamentals are the strongest among base metals, supported by a limited smelting capacity of 45 million tons and rising alumina prices [1] - As of July 18, the total aluminum inventory monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 108,822 tons, the lowest since February 2024, despite a rebound over three consecutive weeks [1] Group 2 - The International Lead and Zinc Study Group (ILZSG) reported a global lead market surplus of 1,000 tons in May 2025, compared to a shortage of 6,000 tons in April [1] - In the first five months of 2025, the global lead market had a surplus of 23,000 tons, down from a surplus of 68,000 tons in the same period last year [1] - The global zinc market faced a shortage of 43,900 tons in May 2025, contrasting with a surplus of 17,300 tons in April [1] Group 3 - LME copper inventory increased by 2,775 tons or 2.27%, reaching 124,850 tons, with the largest change occurring in the Guangyang warehouse, which added 1,500 tons [2] - LME three-month zinc rose by 0.14% to $2,842.5 per ton, while three-month tin increased by 0.1% to $33,845 per ton [2] - Three-month copper saw a slight increase of 0.07% to $9,866.5 per ton, while three-month lead and nickel experienced declines of 0.55% and 0.18%, respectively [2]

Core Viewpoint - The London Metal Exchange (LME) copper prices reached a three-month high due to uncertainties surrounding U.S. tariffs, which increased the premium of U.S. copper over LME copper, despite a moderate inflow of LME copper stocks alleviating tightness in the market [1][3]. Group 1: Copper Market - On July 2, LME three-month copper rose by $79, or 0.8%, closing at $10,013 per ton, with an intraday high of $10,020.5, the highest level since March 26 [1][2]. - The premium of U.S. Comex copper over LME copper is 14%, as market expectations suggest that the investigation into potential U.S. copper import tariffs will take longer, while the White House focuses on "reciprocal" tariff negotiations [3][4]. - Alastair Munro from Marex stated that U.S. copper is the real leader in the market, with LME spot copper contracts trading at a premium of $85 per ton over three-month copper, down from $320 per ton last week, the highest level since November 2021 [4]. Group 2: Other Metals Market - LME three-month aluminum increased by $21.5, or 0.83%, closing at $2,620.0 per ton [5]. - LME three-month zinc rose by $43.5, or 1.6%, closing at $2,757.5 per ton [6]. - LME three-month lead increased by $21.5, or 1.05%, closing at $2,059.5 per ton [7]. - LME three-month nickel rose by $96, or 0.63%, closing at $15,302.0 per ton [8]. - LME three-month tin increased by $53, or 0.16%, closing at $33,714.0 per ton [9].

Group 1 - LME copper prices surged to a nearly three-month high, driven by a weak dollar, supply concerns, and speculative buying after key technical levels were breached [1][3] - As of June 26, LME three-month copper rose by $187, or 1.93%, closing at $9,899.5 per ton, marking the strongest level since March 27 [1][2] - The premium of LME spot copper contracts over three-month copper rebounded to $310 per ton, the highest since November 2021 [4] Group 2 - The dollar index fell to its lowest level since early 2022, weakening confidence in the robustness of U.S. monetary policy, which supports commodity prices [3] - Active buying in the Chinese copper market was noted, with Shanghai Futures Exchange copper contracts rising by 0.6% to 79,000 yuan (approximately $11,022.74), the highest since June 11 [6] - LME copper has increased by 22% since hitting a low of $8,105 per ton in April 2023 [6] Group 3 - Other base metals also saw price increases, with LME three-month zinc rising by $63.5, or 2.35%, to $2,768.0 per ton, and three-month tin increasing by $556, or 1.68%, to $33,749.0 per ton [2][6]