光大证券发布研报称，关注车企AI转型、以及上游原材料涨价压力消化。该行判断，当前新势力车企 积极向AI转型(尤其人形机器人)：特斯拉规划将当前Model S/X生产线逐步改造为专门用于人形机器人 的产线、小鹏宣布将于2026年启动人形机器人规模量产、理想新设人形机器人团队。2025年底至今， 铜/铝/碳酸锂等新能源车上游原材料陆续涨价，预计整车毛利率将承压，关注后续产业链消化涨价压力 进度。 光大证券主要观点如下： 特斯拉：国产Model3全系交付周期为2-4周，Model Y长续航版本交付周期为4-6周、后轮驱动版本交付 周期为1-3周，Model YL交付周期为2-4周;Model3全系可享8,000元限时保险补贴+7年超低息金融政策， Model Y全系享7年超低息金融政策，Model YL享5年0息金融政策。 新势力：1)理想：L6交付周期维持1-3周，MEGA交付周期维持1-4周，i8/L7交付周期维持2-4周，L9交 付周期缩短至1-3周(vs.1月为1-5周)，L8交付周期缩短至1-3周(vs.1月为1-4周)，i6宁德时代（300750）电 池版本交付周期维持19-22周、欣旺达（300207 ...

"7年超低息+国家贴息，月供低至1759元……"1月，各车企的销售信息开始轮番"轰炸"，"7年超低息"成为这一轮优惠措施的核心关键词。而在半年前，车 企的销售策略还只是"最高3年0息！5年超低息！"短短几个月，从5年超低息到7年超低息，这场博弈并非仅仅是数字的改变，其背后是车企市场竞争进入 新阶段的标志与象征。 "超低息"大杀器 1月6日，特斯拉首次推出"行业首创贷款方案"，提供限时7年的超低息贷款。据介绍，在该超低息方案下，Model 3首付7.99万元，月供1800元，日供仅60 元；Model Y首付7.99万元，月供2200元，日供仅74元；Model YL首付9.99万元，月供2947元，日供95元。"长达7年的贷款期限、年化利率不足1%的超低 息贷款，以及2000元左右的月供，进一步减轻了更多家庭的购车负担。"特斯拉销售店长王女士满怀信心地介绍道。 继特斯拉之后，小米、理想、小鹏、吉利等多家车企迅速跟进，将传统3年车贷周期延长至7年，一场以金融服务为切入点的抢单大战全面打响。 1月15日消息，小米董事长雷军在直播中表示，小米SU7限时上线3年0息和7年低息购车政策：从2026年1月16日0点起，至 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中信建投发布研报称，当前汽车板块处于淡季弱势表现，但近期来看，市场对销量 悲观预期反馈逐步钝化，悲观预期见底，结构性看反内卷及出海预期改善，自动驾驶政策催化落地，人 形机器人特斯拉(TSLA.US)V3临近推出节点。26年汽车以旧换新政策支撑内需，商用车或更为受益；结 构性看多端侧AI(无人驾驶及机器人)商业化0-1突破带来估值弹性。 中信建投主要观点如下： 推荐组合：江淮汽车(600418.SH)、恒勃股份(301225.SZ)、隆盛科技(300680.SZ)、潍柴动力 (000338.SZ)、宇通客车(600066.SH)、金龙客车(600686.SH)、曹操出行(02643)。 特斯拉FSD订阅率随着V14推送持续提升，25年Q1-Q4订阅量分别约80、90、100、110万辆，26年开始 FSD订阅取消买断(全部改成月度订阅)，目前月度订阅费99美金/月；截至25年底，FSD累计行驶行驶里 程超70亿英里(约115亿km)，持续推动中国及欧洲本地化部署还需中国及欧洲监管许可。战略重心正加 速从硬件销售转向物理AI，包括FSD迭代、Robotaxi服务、Cybercab车型量产、Op ...

Group 1: Automotive Sector Overview - The automotive sector is currently experiencing a weak performance during the off-season, but market pessimism regarding sales expectations is gradually stabilizing, indicating a potential bottoming out of negative sentiment [1] - Tesla's recent quarterly report shows a year-on-year increase in gross profit for Q4 2025, with gross margin reaching a two-year high, driven by higher sales prices in the Asia-Pacific region and an increase in FSD subscriptions [1] - Capital expenditures for Tesla in 2026 are expected to exceed $20 billion, focusing on computing infrastructure and new factory capacity expansion [1] Group 2: Autonomous Driving Developments - 2026 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for the commercialization of autonomous driving, with Tesla's FSD subscription rates increasing significantly throughout 2025 [2] - By the end of 2025, Tesla's FSD has accumulated over 7 billion miles (approximately 11.5 billion kilometers) of driving distance, with ongoing localization efforts in China and Europe pending regulatory approvals [2] - Tesla is shifting its strategic focus from hardware sales to physical AI, including FSD iterations, Robotaxi services, and the production of Cybercab models [2] Group 3: Humanoid Robots and Supply Chain Updates - The humanoid robot sector is experiencing volatility, with recent adjustments in trading volumes and external rumors affecting market sentiment [3] - Key catalysts for the T-chain include the release of Gen3 in Q1 2025 and the commencement of overseas production capacity and mass production later in the year [3] - There is a positive outlook for specific investment targets within the T-chain, including Tesla-related high-probability segments and undervalued companies with growth potential [3] Group 4: Commercial Vehicles Outlook - The heavy-duty truck and bus segments are expected to benefit from policy support for domestic demand and ongoing export growth in 2026 [4] - Weichai Power is favored in the heavy-duty truck sector due to increased domestic bidding and market expectations for product volume growth [4] - In the bus sector, Yutong and King Long are highlighted for their potential upside, driven by export growth and favorable valuation margins [4]

尽管政策换挡引发车市阵痛，专家普遍认为这是阶段性调整， 长期将有利于推动车市向高质量转型。 作者：周菊 封图：本报资料室 农历腊月初十（1月28日），本是车市传统"年货采购"旺季，往年此时销售人员常忙得不可开 交。然而，经济观察报记者走访了北京多家品牌4S店后发现，今年的汽车展厅格外安静——车辆 整齐停放，销售人员或三两交谈，或低头刷手机，偶尔才有零星顾客到访。"1月客流明显减少， 购置税和补贴政策2025年底调整后，不少客户提前购车，我对春节前销量已不抱期望。"一位比 亚迪销售人员坦言，因为2月工作日比较少预计市场也不会太好，他已经做好这两个月收入锐减的 心理准备。 小鹏汽车销售人员同样感慨："上个月忙得脚不沾地，这个月突然就冷清了，政策调整作用太明 显。"广汽丰田的门店亦门可罗雀，一位销售人员表示，即便店内销售车型以燃油车为主，受新能 源购置税调整影响较小，但多数购车需求已在元旦前释放，市场进入"冷静期"。 上述多家4S店的冷清现状是当前车市下滑的一个缩影。中国汽车流通协会乘用车市场信息联席分 会（下称"乘联分会"）公布的数据显示，2026年1月1日至18日，国内乘用车零售67.9万辆，同 比下跌28%， ...

农历腊月初十（1月28日），本是车市传统"年货采购"旺季，往年此时销售人员常忙得不可开交。然而，经济观察报记者走访了北京多家品牌4S店后发现， 今年的汽车展厅格外安静——车辆整齐停放，销售人员或三两交谈，或低头刷手机，偶尔才有零星顾客到访。"1月客流明显减少，购置税和补贴政策2025年 底调整后，不少客户提前购车，我对春节前销量已不抱期望。"一位比亚迪销售人员坦言，因为2月工作日比较少预计市场也不会太好，他已经做好这两个月 收入锐减的心理准备。 小鹏汽车销售人员同样感慨："上个月忙得脚不沾地，这个月突然就冷清了，政策调整作用太明显。"广汽丰田的门店亦门可罗雀，一位销售人员表示，即便 店内销售车型以燃油车为主，受新能源购置税调整影响较小，但多数购车需求已在元旦前释放，市场进入"冷静期"。 上述多家4S店的冷清现状是当前车市下滑的一个缩影。中国汽车流通协会乘用车市场信息联席分会（下称"乘联分会"）公布的数据显示，2026年1月1日至18 日，国内乘用车零售67.9万辆，同比下跌28%，环比下跌37%。其中，新能源乘用车出现罕见大幅下滑，零售销售为31.2万辆，同比下跌16%，环比腰斩，降 幅达52%，新能源汽车渗 ...

Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) will report its fourth quarter 2025 earnings on Wednesday after markets close, and Wedbush analysts say investors will be closely watching the company’s progress on autonomous driving and robotics as demand appears to be stabilizing. Wedbush reiterated its ‘Outperform’ rating on Tesla and set a 12-month price target of $600, citing improving delivery trends and the company’s “AI transformation” driven by autonomous and robotics initiatives. Shares of Tesla traded hands at $434 on Tue ...

2026年销量承压的理想则于1月20日"入局"这轮"金融大战"。其官方海报称，"首付3.25万元起，月供低至2578元，新车轻松开回家"；针 对MEGA与i8，另有专属7年贷款方案，可享前三年免息，月供低至2857元。随后，小鹏汽车在官方金融分期页面直接标注"限时6年-7年 低息方案"，明确活动有效期与费率口径，以"全系可享"的覆盖面争夺春节前的新增订单。 "七年低息"正在成为开年车市最热门的竞争焦点。据财联社记者初步统计， 继特斯拉率先推出7年超低息方案后，小米、理想、小鹏及吉利等车企迅 速跟进，将车贷周期从传统的三年拉长至七年，一场以金融服务为核心的竞争突然席卷而来。 这场"金融大战"由特斯拉于1月6日率先点燃，其针对Model3、Model Y以及Model YL车型推出7年超低息购车方案，其中Model YL系首 次开放该政策。以Model 3后轮驱动版为例，目前官网售价23.55万元，在不加装任何选配的情况下，首付7.99万元，贷款15.56万元，月 供1918元，共分为84期，折合年化率0.98%，7年总利息仅5000多元，而这一利率仅为市场普遍水平（4%-8%）的1/4，甚至低于部分 银行理财收 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market is experiencing a strong performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving a 13-day consecutive rise, setting a record for the longest winning streak in history [6][10] - The trading volume today reached over 2.8 trillion yuan, marking the highest single-day volume since the fourth quarter of last year, indicating increasing market enthusiasm [10] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector is leading the market, with a significant increase of over 4%. This sector's performance is driven by strong commodity prices, particularly gold, silver, and copper [12][14] - Zijin Mining, a leading company in the non-ferrous sector, saw its market capitalization exceed 1 trillion yuan, making it the first mining company to reach this milestone in A-shares [16] - The non-bank financial sector has also reached new highs since the 1994 market rally, with major insurance companies continuing to perform well [17][20] Investment Trends - There is a notable influx of funds into the market, with net purchases of financing reaching 19 billion yuan, contributing to a total financing balance of 25.434 trillion yuan, a new historical high [10][23] - The market is witnessing a divergence in sector performance, with the communication sector experiencing a decline while non-ferrous metals continue to rise [13][14] Future Outlook - Predictions suggest that a portion of the influx of funds may gradually be sold off in the early part of the year, with a moderate net sell-off observed [23] - The market's current enthusiasm is reflected in the high trading volume and the performance of key sectors, but caution is advised as certain indicators suggest potential overheating in the market [26]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's Q4 2025 global deliveries fell short of expectations, primarily due to the cancellation of the IRA subsidy in the U.S. and other factors [2] Group 1: Tesla Performance - In Q4 2025, Tesla's global delivery volume decreased by 15.6% year-on-year and 15.9% quarter-on-quarter, totaling 418,000 vehicles, with Model 3 and Model Y deliveries down by 13.8% year-on-year and 15.5% quarter-on-quarter to 407,000 vehicles [2] Group 2: NIO and Other New Energy Vehicles - NIO regained the top position among new energy vehicle manufacturers in December, with a delivery volume of 48,135 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 54.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 32.7% [3] - Ideal's delivery volume decreased by 24.4% year-on-year but increased by 33.3% quarter-on-quarter to 44,246 vehicles [3] - Xiaopeng's delivery volume increased by 2.2% year-on-year and 2.1% quarter-on-quarter to 37,508 vehicles [3] Group 3: New Year Purchase Incentives - Tesla announced that the domestic Model 3 will be delivered in February 2026, with various financing policies extended [4] - Ideal's delivery cycles for several models have been adjusted, with cash subsidies available for January purchases [4] - NIO and Xiaopeng also introduced various delivery cycle adjustments and promotional offers for their vehicles [4][5] Group 4: Policy Updates - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments released the implementation details for the 2026 vehicle trade-in subsidy, extending the policy for another year and adjusting the subsidy method [6]