存储的涨价潮仍在持续！ 2月9日，市场研究公司Counterpoint表示，截至2026年第一季度，内存价格环比上涨80%—90%，迎来前所未有 的创纪录暴涨。 另外，高盛大幅上调了DRAM供应短缺预期，并发出警告称，市场正处于过去15年来最严重的存储芯片供应短 缺前夜。而在几天之前，TrendForce集邦咨询全面上修第一季DRAM、NAND Flash各产品价格季度增长幅度， 预估整体Conventional DRAM合约价将从1月初公布的季增55%—60%，改为上涨90%—95%。 此外，TrendForce集邦咨询最新数据显示，受惠于AI浪潮的推升，存储器与晶圆代工产值均将在2026年同步创 下新高。存储器产业受供给吃紧与价格飙升影响，产值规模大幅扩张至5516亿美元。尽管晶圆代工产值同步创 下2187亿美元的新高纪录，但存储器产值规模已攀升至晶圆代工的2倍以上。 上一次存储器超级循环落在2017—2019年，主要由云端数据中心建置需求所驱动，存储器产值当时也与晶圆代 工拉开了显著差距。然而，此次由AI需求驱动的循环与前一次相比，缺货的状况更为全面。AI产业重心由模 型训练转向大规模推理应用，更强调实 ...

产业洞察 根据Tr e n dFo r c e集邦咨询最新数据显示，受惠于AI浪潮的推升，存储器与晶圆代工产值均将在 2 0 2 6年同步创下新高。 存储器产业受供给吃紧与价格飙升影响，产值规模大幅扩张至5 , 5 1 6亿 美元。尽管晶圆代工产值同步创下2 , 1 8 7亿美元的新高纪录，但存储器产值规模已攀升至晶圆代 工的2倍以上 。 存储器新循环，需求韧性与价格溢价远超2017年 上一次存储器超级循环落在2 0 1 7 - 2 0 1 9年，主要由云端数据中心建置需求所驱动，存储器产值 当时也与晶圆代工拉开了显著差距。 Feb. 9, 2026 产能利用率受限，晶圆代工产值增长趋于平稳 尽管晶圆代工同样受惠于AI芯片的强劲订单，但其产值成长幅度相较存储器的成长轨道平缓， 原因主要在于产业结构与定价机制。 从晶圆代工产能结构来看，尽管先进制程单价高昂，驱动整体产业近年持续成长，然而受限于 极高的技术门槛与资本支出，供应商呈现高度寡占，导致产能规模无法轻易扩张，在这一情况 下，即便单价惊人，先进制程对整体产值贡献的仍不及相对疲弱的成熟制程市场。成熟制程约 占整体晶圆代工产能的7 0%~8 0%，而先进制程仅 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the industry index is expected to perform better than the market by more than 5% over the next six months [8]. Core Insights - Micron Technology's FY26Q1 financial results exceeded expectations, with Non-GAAP revenue reaching $13.64 billion, a year-on-year increase of 57% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21%. Non-GAAP net profit was $5.48 billion, up 169% year-on-year and 58% quarter-on-quarter [3][6]. - The storage industry is experiencing a strong upward cycle driven by AI, with significant demand for storage products expected to continue until 2026 due to supply constraints. The overall trend is for both volume and price of storage products to rise [5][6]. - The company's DRAM business revenue increased by 69% year-on-year to $10.8 billion, accounting for 79% of total revenue, with an average selling price (ASP) up by 20% quarter-on-quarter [5][6]. - The cloud data business achieved a record revenue of $5.3 billion, with a notable gross margin increase of 15 percentage points year-on-year [6]. - The company anticipates FY26Q2 revenue to be in the range of $18.3 billion to $19.1 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 132% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 37% [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Micron's Non-GAAP revenue for FY26Q1 was $13.64 billion, with a gross margin of 56.8%, up 17 percentage points year-on-year and 11 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3][6]. - The company expects a gross margin of 68% for FY26Q2, an increase of 30.1 percentage points year-on-year [6]. Market Demand - The demand for high-performance and high-capacity storage is significantly increasing due to the acceleration of AI data center construction [6][7]. - The company is actively developing advanced products, including HBM and high-performance SSDs, to meet this demand [6][7]. Future Outlook - The storage supply is expected to remain tight until 2026, leading to sustained price increases in storage products [5][6]. - The company is focusing on expanding its product offerings and improving production efficiency to capitalize on the growing market demand [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongxing Securities highlights the strengthening AI logic, driven by rapid growth in computing power demand, the rise of AI chips, and the exponential increase in AI workloads, suggesting investment opportunities in the semiconductor sector, particularly in storage, testing equipment, and magnetic components [1] Semiconductor Storage - The storage industry is entering an upward cycle driven by AI, with explosive demand for AI infrastructure leading to a super cycle in prices, particularly for high-performance storage like HBM and DDR5 [2] - AI servers require significantly more storage than traditional servers, causing a surge in demand for high-performance storage solutions [2] - Major manufacturers are prioritizing production for high-margin products, leading to a supply squeeze for traditional storage products [2] - Beneficiaries include storage module companies like Shannon Microelectronics and Jiangbolong, and storage chip companies like Zhaoyi Innovation and Lanke Technology [2] Semiconductor Testing Equipment - The development of AI computing power is increasing the complexity and time required for testing, driving growth in the testing equipment market [3] - The global testing equipment market is expected to exceed $13.8 billion by 2025, with SoC testing machines and storage testing machines being core categories [3] - Domestic manufacturers with high-precision measurement and efficient parallel testing capabilities are accelerating breakthroughs in high-end testing [3] - Recommended companies include Jingzhida and beneficiaries like Changchuan Technology and Huafeng Measurement and Control [3] Magnetic Components - The power requirements of AI servers are increasing significantly, leading to a shift towards 800V high-voltage direct current (HVDC) architecture, which presents challenges for traditional power supply systems [4] - The SST (Solid State Transformer) solution is expected to accelerate the demand for magnetic components, with costs accounting for 15%-20% of the total [4] - The growth in server magnetic components is driven by the need for efficient power conversion and high-performance computing [4] - Beneficiaries include companies like Keliqi, Jingquan Technology, and Mingpu Optical Magnetics [4]

Investment Summary - The electronic industry index (CITIC) increased by 44.67% from the beginning of 2025 to December 5, 2025, driven by the innovation wave led by DeepSeek and the continuous iteration of AI applications on the terminal side [3][13][20] - The AI technology-driven innovation in the industrial chain and the recovery of terminal applications are expected to continue to push the electronic industry upward, with the storage sector entering a price increase cycle starting in the second half of 2025 due to supply-demand gaps [3][4][30] Market Review - The electronic sector's performance has outpaced the CSI 300 index, with a notable increase in institutional investment, as evidenced by the total market value held by funds in the electronic sector reaching 937.088 billion yuan, accounting for 5.07% of the circulating A-share market [3][20][25] - The top ten companies by fund holdings in the electronic sector include Maolai Optics, Lanke Technology, and Zhongke Feice, indicating a strong focus on the semiconductor core track [3][21][24] 2026 Investment Outlook - The report suggests capitalizing on the AI innovation cycle by focusing on new technologies, demands, and cycles, with a positive outlook for the following areas: 1. Semiconductor storage: The storage industry is entering an upward cycle driven by explosive demand for AI computing infrastructure, particularly in high-performance storage products like HBM and DDR5 [4][32][58] 2. Semiconductor testing equipment: The demand for testing machines is expected to rise due to the increasing complexity of AI chips and high-performance storage, with the global semiconductor testing equipment market projected to exceed $13.8 billion in 2025 [5][77][81] 3. Magnetic components: The transition to 800V high-voltage direct current (HVDC) architecture is anticipated to accelerate the demand for magnetic components, driven by the increased power requirements of AI servers [6][30][56] Semiconductor Storage - The storage industry is expected to experience a "super cycle" due to the explosive demand for AI computing, with the global storage market projected to approach $300 billion by 2027 [32][36] - The report highlights that AI applications are significantly increasing the demand for storage, with AI servers requiring up to eight times more DRAM and three times more NAND than traditional servers [42][49] - The current inventory levels of NAND and DRAM are at historical lows, and major manufacturers are prioritizing high-margin products for servers, leading to anticipated price increases of at least 20% for DRAM and NAND products [36][40][58] Semiconductor Testing Equipment - The semiconductor testing machine market is expected to grow significantly, with the global market size projected to reach $9.3 billion in 2025 and $9.77 billion in 2026, driven by the increasing complexity of AI chips and high-performance storage [5][77][81] - The report emphasizes the critical role of testing machines in ensuring the quality and reliability of AI chips, as the demand for high-performance computing continues to rise [59][66][72] Magnetic Components - The shift to 800V HVDC architecture is expected to drive the demand for magnetic components, as traditional power supply structures face limitations under increased power demands [6][30][56] - The report identifies key beneficiaries in the magnetic component sector, including companies like Keli Ke and Jingquan Hua, which are positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for efficient power conversion solutions [6][30]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a structural and long-term shortage in the global storage industry due to increased AI investments by North American cloud service providers, leading to a significant supply gap in HDDs and a surge in demand for high-capacity QLC SSDs [2] - Major DRAM manufacturers such as SK Hynix, Samsung, and Micron, along with NAND manufacturers like Kioxia and Yangtze Memory Technologies, have seen their capacities fully utilized, indicating that the shortage issue is unlikely to be resolved in the short term, with relief expected only by the end of 2026 [2] - A-share storage module companies are currently prioritizing inventory management over order fulfillment, as the production cycle from wafer procurement to sales impacts profit margins positively when storage wafer prices rise, making inventory a critical asset [2] Group 2 - Among A-share storage module companies, Jiangbo Long leads in inventory with 8.51687 billion yuan, followed by Baiwei Storage, Demingli, Wanrun Technology, Langke Technology, and Tongyou Technology with inventories of 5.69514 billion yuan, 5.93952 billion yuan, 386.74 million yuan, 290.83 million yuan, and 138.24 million yuan respectively [3] - A-share storage module companies have been increasing R&D investments in enterprise storage, high-end consumer storage, overseas business, and self-developed main control chips, which are expected to drive profitability through internal growth factors [3] - Jiangbo Long has the highest R&D investment of 700.86 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, followed by Baiwei Storage with 409.93 million yuan, while Demingli, Wanrun Technology, Tongyou Technology, and Langke Technology have significantly lower investments [3] Group 3 - In terms of year-on-year growth rates for R&D investments, Langke Technology shows a notable increase of 32.2264%, followed by Demingli at 25.7229% and Baiwei Storage at 20.9762%, while Jiangbo Long, Wanrun Technology, and Tongyou Technology have much lower or negative growth rates [4] - Jiangbo Long and Baiwei Storage are positioned as leading companies in the industry, with both high inventory levels and R&D investments, which significantly exceed their peers, allowing them to build a competitive moat and widen the gap with competitors [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates a significant supply shortage of HDDs due to increasing demand from North American cloud service providers investing heavily in AI infrastructure [1] Group 1: Market Demand and Supply Dynamics - North American cloud service providers are ramping up investments in AI, leading to a substantial increase in demand for data storage [1] - HDD supply is expected to remain insufficient to meet the growing data storage needs, resulting in a notable supply gap [1] - Cloud service providers are placing larger orders for high-capacity QLC SSDs, which has caused server market demand to exceed initial supply expectations from storage manufacturers [1] Group 2: Price Trends - Storage manufacturers are shifting their production capacity towards the server market, tightening the supply of consumer-grade and embedded storage [1] - Recent temporary contract quotes from some manufacturers indicate that prices for DRAM and NAND products across various application markets have increased by at least 20%, with some quotes rising over 40% [1]

Group 1: Market Trends and Price Increases - The recent increase in storage prices is attributed to the growing demand from North American cloud service providers investing heavily in AI infrastructure, leading to a significant supply shortage of HDDs [2][3] - DRAM and NAND product prices have seen a minimum increase of 20%, with some prices rising over 40% [3] Group 2: Impact on Profitability - The production cycle from wafer procurement to storage sales will positively impact the company's gross margin during periods of rising storage wafer prices, although raw material price fluctuations are only one factor affecting performance [4] - The company has made significant breakthroughs in enterprise storage, high-end consumer storage, overseas business, and self-developed controller chips, which will drive profitability growth more directly and sustainably [4] Group 3: Resource Supply Stability - As a leading independent storage manufacturer, the company maintains a strong inventory turnover rate and has established long-term partnerships with major wafer suppliers, ensuring resource supply stability [4] - The company has signed long-term agreements (LTA) or memorandums of understanding (MOU) with wafer suppliers, enhancing supply chain resilience and diversity [4] Group 4: Enterprise Storage Business Progress - The company ranks third in total capacity for enterprise SATA SSDs in China for the first half of 2025, leading among domestic brands [4] - The company is actively expanding its high-performance storage products for data center applications, including new memory types like CXL2.0 and MRDIMM, and has officially launched SOCAMM2 [5][6] Group 5: UFS4.1 and Controller Chip Developments - The company has successfully developed UFS4.1 products, which outperform comparable market products in terms of process, read/write speed, and stability, gaining recognition from major clients [6] - The deployment of the company's self-developed controller chips has surpassed 100 million units, with rapid growth expected in the coming year [6]

Group 1 - Western Digital's stock rose over 10% after it was highlighted as a global leader in NAND storage [1] - HDD manufacturers, including Western Digital and Seagate, have not planned to expand production lines, leading to a supply shortage in HDDs due to the growing demand for AI storage [1] - The lead time for NLHDD has dramatically increased from a few weeks to over 52 weeks, exacerbating the storage gap for CSPs [1] Group 2 - The current market demand gap for cold data storage is approximately 180-200EB, prompting CSPs to accelerate the adoption of SSDs over HDDs [1] - Industry forecasts suggest that large-capacity QLC SSD shipments may experience explosive growth by 2026 [1] - Samsung Electronics anticipates that HBM sales in 2026 will significantly exceed this year's figures, with plans to expand HBM production [1] Group 3 - The AI-driven memory semiconductor supercycle is expected to be more prolonged and robust than previous boom periods, with supply shortages potentially lasting 3-4 years [1] - TrendForce reports that DRAM prices are expected to increase by 8-13% quarter-over-quarter in the fourth quarter, with older process DRAM prices seeing substantial growth [1] Group 4 - Key storage module manufacturers include De Ming Li, Jiang Bo Long, Bai Wei Storage, Shannon Chip Creation, and Kai Pu Cloud [2] - Advanced storage manufacturers include Zhaoyi Innovation, Hengshuo Co., and Beijing Junzheng [2] - NAND manufacturers include Zhaoyi Innovation and Dongxin Co., while overseas manufacturers include Micron, SanDisk, and Western Digital [2]

Group 1: Tax Revenue and Market Activity - The Ministry of Finance reported that stamp duty revenue for the first three quarters reached 314.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.5% [1] - Securities transaction stamp duty accounted for 144.8 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 103.4% [1] - In September, the number of newly opened margin trading accounts reached 205,400, marking a year-on-year increase of 288% [2] Group 2: Market Trends in Precious Metals - The gold price in Shenzhen's Shui Bei market surpassed 1,000 yuan per gram, reaching 1,006 yuan, up from approximately 796 yuan in early September [3] - Major jewelry brands, such as Chow Tai Fook, have adjusted their prices in response to rising gold prices, with their gold jewelry priced at 1,279 yuan per gram [3] - Lao Pu Gold announced a price increase for the third time this year, with many of its products currently out of stock [3] Group 3: Industry Developments in Battery Recycling - The market for battery recycling in China is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan, with a projected recovery volume of over 300,000 tons by 2024 [4] - The rapid growth of the electric vehicle industry is driving the demand for battery recycling [4] Group 4: Corporate Financial Performance - Pianzaihuang reported a 20.74% decline in net profit for the first three quarters, with revenue down 11.93% [13] - Shentong Technology experienced a remarkable 584.07% increase in net profit year-on-year, with revenue up 34.65% [14] - Ying Shi Network reported a 12.68% increase in net profit for the first three quarters, with revenue growth of 8.33% [15] - Tengjing Technology's net profit grew by 15% year-on-year, with a revenue increase of 28.11% [16] - Jinshiyao expects a net profit increase of 48.99% to 83.95% for the first three quarters [18] Group 5: Market Reactions and Stock Performance - The market saw a significant decline, with the ChiNext index dropping by 3.36% and nearly 4,800 stocks falling [19] - Defensive sectors, such as gas and banking, showed resilience, while several heavyweight stocks weakened [19]