行 业 报 告 行业点评 存储周期强劲，美光业绩超预期 强于大市( 维持) 行情走势图 杨钟 投资咨询资格编号 S1060525080001 yangzhong035@pingan.com.cn 郭冠君 投资咨询资格编号 S1060524050003 GUOGUANJUN625@pingan.com.cn 徐勇 投资咨询资格编号 S1060519090004 XUYONG318@pingan.com.cn 事项： 近日，美光科技发布FY26Q1财报，FY26Q1公司Non-GAAP营收达136.4亿美 元 ， 同 比 +57% ， 环 比 +21% ， Non-GAAP 净 利 润 达 54.8 亿 美 元 ， 同 比 +169%，环比+58%。 平安观点： 电子 相关研究报告 【平安证券】行业动态跟踪报告*电子*存储周期跟踪 复盘，AI催生景气向上*强于大市20251124 【平安证券】行业深度报告*电子*AI系列专题报告 （九）存储：主流存储迎来全面涨价，企业级产品需 求持续向好*强于大市20251106 证券分析师 2025年12月19日 行 业 点 评 研 究 报 告 求，122TB和245TB容量的 ...

(一)半导体存储 存储行业迎来上行周期，AI驱动供需失衡推动价格进入超级周期。本轮存储上行周期的核心驱动力是 AI算力基础设施的爆发性需求，特别是AI服务器对存储的用量是普通服务器的数倍，带动HBM、 DDR5、企业级SSD等高性能存储需求激增。在供给端，三大原厂(三星、SK海力士、美光)将产能优先 分配给高利润的HBM和DDR5等领域，导致用于传统服务器和消费电子的DDR4等成熟制程产品产能被 挤压，供应紧张。同时，全球存储供应商的库存水平已降至历史低位。在需求端，AI推理应用普及使 得"冷数据"和"温数据"的调用需求增加，进一步推动了对大容量SSD的需求，QLCSSD因其高密度和成 本优势正在加速替代传统HDD。受益标的：(1)存储模组：香农芯创、江波龙、佰维存储、德明利等;(2) 存储芯片：兆易创新、澜起科技、东芯股份、普冉股份等。 (二)半导体测试设备 智通财经APP获悉，东兴证券发布研报称，AI逻辑正在不断强化：①算力需求快速增长，在生成式人工 智能蓬勃发展的推动下，算力行业维持高景气。②AI芯片崛起，端侧AI领域百花齐放。③AI工作负载 的指数级增长正在增加数据中心的功率需求。该行建议沿着AI创新 ...

Investment Summary - The electronic industry index (CITIC) increased by 44.67% from the beginning of 2025 to December 5, 2025, driven by the innovation wave led by DeepSeek and the continuous iteration of AI applications on the terminal side [3][13][20] - The AI technology-driven innovation in the industrial chain and the recovery of terminal applications are expected to continue to push the electronic industry upward, with the storage sector entering a price increase cycle starting in the second half of 2025 due to supply-demand gaps [3][4][30] Market Review - The electronic sector's performance has outpaced the CSI 300 index, with a notable increase in institutional investment, as evidenced by the total market value held by funds in the electronic sector reaching 937.088 billion yuan, accounting for 5.07% of the circulating A-share market [3][20][25] - The top ten companies by fund holdings in the electronic sector include Maolai Optics, Lanke Technology, and Zhongke Feice, indicating a strong focus on the semiconductor core track [3][21][24] 2026 Investment Outlook - The report suggests capitalizing on the AI innovation cycle by focusing on new technologies, demands, and cycles, with a positive outlook for the following areas: 1. Semiconductor storage: The storage industry is entering an upward cycle driven by explosive demand for AI computing infrastructure, particularly in high-performance storage products like HBM and DDR5 [4][32][58] 2. Semiconductor testing equipment: The demand for testing machines is expected to rise due to the increasing complexity of AI chips and high-performance storage, with the global semiconductor testing equipment market projected to exceed $13.8 billion in 2025 [5][77][81] 3. Magnetic components: The transition to 800V high-voltage direct current (HVDC) architecture is anticipated to accelerate the demand for magnetic components, driven by the increased power requirements of AI servers [6][30][56] Semiconductor Storage - The storage industry is expected to experience a "super cycle" due to the explosive demand for AI computing, with the global storage market projected to approach $300 billion by 2027 [32][36] - The report highlights that AI applications are significantly increasing the demand for storage, with AI servers requiring up to eight times more DRAM and three times more NAND than traditional servers [42][49] - The current inventory levels of NAND and DRAM are at historical lows, and major manufacturers are prioritizing high-margin products for servers, leading to anticipated price increases of at least 20% for DRAM and NAND products [36][40][58] Semiconductor Testing Equipment - The semiconductor testing machine market is expected to grow significantly, with the global market size projected to reach $9.3 billion in 2025 and $9.77 billion in 2026, driven by the increasing complexity of AI chips and high-performance storage [5][77][81] - The report emphasizes the critical role of testing machines in ensuring the quality and reliability of AI chips, as the demand for high-performance computing continues to rise [59][66][72] Magnetic Components - The shift to 800V HVDC architecture is expected to drive the demand for magnetic components, as traditional power supply structures face limitations under increased power demands [6][30][56] - The report identifies key beneficiaries in the magnetic component sector, including companies like Keli Ke and Jingquan Hua, which are positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for efficient power conversion solutions [6][30]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a structural and long-term shortage in the global storage industry due to increased AI investments by North American cloud service providers, leading to a significant supply gap in HDDs and a surge in demand for high-capacity QLC SSDs [2] - Major DRAM manufacturers such as SK Hynix, Samsung, and Micron, along with NAND manufacturers like Kioxia and Yangtze Memory Technologies, have seen their capacities fully utilized, indicating that the shortage issue is unlikely to be resolved in the short term, with relief expected only by the end of 2026 [2] - A-share storage module companies are currently prioritizing inventory management over order fulfillment, as the production cycle from wafer procurement to sales impacts profit margins positively when storage wafer prices rise, making inventory a critical asset [2] Group 2 - Among A-share storage module companies, Jiangbo Long leads in inventory with 8.51687 billion yuan, followed by Baiwei Storage, Demingli, Wanrun Technology, Langke Technology, and Tongyou Technology with inventories of 5.69514 billion yuan, 5.93952 billion yuan, 386.74 million yuan, 290.83 million yuan, and 138.24 million yuan respectively [3] - A-share storage module companies have been increasing R&D investments in enterprise storage, high-end consumer storage, overseas business, and self-developed main control chips, which are expected to drive profitability through internal growth factors [3] - Jiangbo Long has the highest R&D investment of 700.86 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, followed by Baiwei Storage with 409.93 million yuan, while Demingli, Wanrun Technology, Tongyou Technology, and Langke Technology have significantly lower investments [3] Group 3 - In terms of year-on-year growth rates for R&D investments, Langke Technology shows a notable increase of 32.2264%, followed by Demingli at 25.7229% and Baiwei Storage at 20.9762%, while Jiangbo Long, Wanrun Technology, and Tongyou Technology have much lower or negative growth rates [4] - Jiangbo Long and Baiwei Storage are positioned as leading companies in the industry, with both high inventory levels and R&D investments, which significantly exceed their peers, allowing them to build a competitive moat and widen the gap with competitors [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates a significant supply shortage of HDDs due to increasing demand from North American cloud service providers investing heavily in AI infrastructure [1] Group 1: Market Demand and Supply Dynamics - North American cloud service providers are ramping up investments in AI, leading to a substantial increase in demand for data storage [1] - HDD supply is expected to remain insufficient to meet the growing data storage needs, resulting in a notable supply gap [1] - Cloud service providers are placing larger orders for high-capacity QLC SSDs, which has caused server market demand to exceed initial supply expectations from storage manufacturers [1] Group 2: Price Trends - Storage manufacturers are shifting their production capacity towards the server market, tightening the supply of consumer-grade and embedded storage [1] - Recent temporary contract quotes from some manufacturers indicate that prices for DRAM and NAND products across various application markets have increased by at least 20%, with some quotes rising over 40% [1]

Group 1: Market Trends and Price Increases - The recent increase in storage prices is attributed to the growing demand from North American cloud service providers investing heavily in AI infrastructure, leading to a significant supply shortage of HDDs [2][3] - DRAM and NAND product prices have seen a minimum increase of 20%, with some prices rising over 40% [3] Group 2: Impact on Profitability - The production cycle from wafer procurement to storage sales will positively impact the company's gross margin during periods of rising storage wafer prices, although raw material price fluctuations are only one factor affecting performance [4] - The company has made significant breakthroughs in enterprise storage, high-end consumer storage, overseas business, and self-developed controller chips, which will drive profitability growth more directly and sustainably [4] Group 3: Resource Supply Stability - As a leading independent storage manufacturer, the company maintains a strong inventory turnover rate and has established long-term partnerships with major wafer suppliers, ensuring resource supply stability [4] - The company has signed long-term agreements (LTA) or memorandums of understanding (MOU) with wafer suppliers, enhancing supply chain resilience and diversity [4] Group 4: Enterprise Storage Business Progress - The company ranks third in total capacity for enterprise SATA SSDs in China for the first half of 2025, leading among domestic brands [4] - The company is actively expanding its high-performance storage products for data center applications, including new memory types like CXL2.0 and MRDIMM, and has officially launched SOCAMM2 [5][6] Group 5: UFS4.1 and Controller Chip Developments - The company has successfully developed UFS4.1 products, which outperform comparable market products in terms of process, read/write speed, and stability, gaining recognition from major clients [6] - The deployment of the company's self-developed controller chips has surpassed 100 million units, with rapid growth expected in the coming year [6]

Group 1 - Western Digital's stock rose over 10% after it was highlighted as a global leader in NAND storage [1] - HDD manufacturers, including Western Digital and Seagate, have not planned to expand production lines, leading to a supply shortage in HDDs due to the growing demand for AI storage [1] - The lead time for NLHDD has dramatically increased from a few weeks to over 52 weeks, exacerbating the storage gap for CSPs [1] Group 2 - The current market demand gap for cold data storage is approximately 180-200EB, prompting CSPs to accelerate the adoption of SSDs over HDDs [1] - Industry forecasts suggest that large-capacity QLC SSD shipments may experience explosive growth by 2026 [1] - Samsung Electronics anticipates that HBM sales in 2026 will significantly exceed this year's figures, with plans to expand HBM production [1] Group 3 - The AI-driven memory semiconductor supercycle is expected to be more prolonged and robust than previous boom periods, with supply shortages potentially lasting 3-4 years [1] - TrendForce reports that DRAM prices are expected to increase by 8-13% quarter-over-quarter in the fourth quarter, with older process DRAM prices seeing substantial growth [1] Group 4 - Key storage module manufacturers include De Ming Li, Jiang Bo Long, Bai Wei Storage, Shannon Chip Creation, and Kai Pu Cloud [2] - Advanced storage manufacturers include Zhaoyi Innovation, Hengshuo Co., and Beijing Junzheng [2] - NAND manufacturers include Zhaoyi Innovation and Dongxin Co., while overseas manufacturers include Micron, SanDisk, and Western Digital [2]

Group 1: Tax Revenue and Market Activity - The Ministry of Finance reported that stamp duty revenue for the first three quarters reached 314.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.5% [1] - Securities transaction stamp duty accounted for 144.8 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 103.4% [1] - In September, the number of newly opened margin trading accounts reached 205,400, marking a year-on-year increase of 288% [2] Group 2: Market Trends in Precious Metals - The gold price in Shenzhen's Shui Bei market surpassed 1,000 yuan per gram, reaching 1,006 yuan, up from approximately 796 yuan in early September [3] - Major jewelry brands, such as Chow Tai Fook, have adjusted their prices in response to rising gold prices, with their gold jewelry priced at 1,279 yuan per gram [3] - Lao Pu Gold announced a price increase for the third time this year, with many of its products currently out of stock [3] Group 3: Industry Developments in Battery Recycling - The market for battery recycling in China is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan, with a projected recovery volume of over 300,000 tons by 2024 [4] - The rapid growth of the electric vehicle industry is driving the demand for battery recycling [4] Group 4: Corporate Financial Performance - Pianzaihuang reported a 20.74% decline in net profit for the first three quarters, with revenue down 11.93% [13] - Shentong Technology experienced a remarkable 584.07% increase in net profit year-on-year, with revenue up 34.65% [14] - Ying Shi Network reported a 12.68% increase in net profit for the first three quarters, with revenue growth of 8.33% [15] - Tengjing Technology's net profit grew by 15% year-on-year, with a revenue increase of 28.11% [16] - Jinshiyao expects a net profit increase of 48.99% to 83.95% for the first three quarters [18] Group 5: Market Reactions and Stock Performance - The market saw a significant decline, with the ChiNext index dropping by 3.36% and nearly 4,800 stocks falling [19] - Defensive sectors, such as gas and banking, showed resilience, while several heavyweight stocks weakened [19]

Core Insights - The massive data generated by AI is impacting global data center storage facilities, leading to a supply shortage of Nearline HDDs, which have traditionally been the cornerstone for massive data storage [1] - As a result, high-performance and high-cost SSDs are becoming the market focus, particularly large-capacity QLC SSDs, which are expected to see explosive growth in shipments by 2026 [1] Industry Summary - AI-generated data is creating significant challenges for traditional storage solutions, indicating a shift in demand towards more advanced storage technologies [1] - The anticipated growth in QLC SSD shipments highlights a trend towards higher efficiency and performance in data storage solutions, reflecting the evolving needs of data centers [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that the demand for AI-driven data is causing a severe shortage of Nearline HDDs, leading to a potential explosive growth in QLC SSD shipments by 2026 [2] - Nearline HDDs have a delivery cycle of 52 weeks, an average price of $0.015 per GB, and a maximum capacity of 32 TB, while QLC SSDs have a delivery cycle of 8 weeks, an average price of $0.05-$0.06 per GB, and a maximum capacity of 122 TB [3] Group 2 - NVIDIA is attempting to raise the specifications for HBM4, anticipating that SK Hynix will remain the largest supplier in the initial phase of HBM4 production in 2026 [2] - The global laptop market is expected to see a 2.2% year-on-year increase in shipments in 2025, reaching over 180 million units, driven by production capacity expansion in Southeast Asia [4][5] Group 3 - Meta's recent launch of the Meta Ray-Ban Display Glasses, utilizing LCoS display technology, is expected to increase the market share of LCoS products to 13% by 2026 [8]