Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Xiaomi's recent financial performance and its strategic moves across various industries, highlighting its growth in the home appliance and smart car sectors while facing challenges in the smartphone market [5][8][21]. Financial Performance - Xiaomi reported a revenue of 116 billion yuan for Q2 2025, marking a 30.5% year-on-year increase, with adjusted net profit rising by 75.4% to 10.8 billion yuan [5]. - The company has achieved six consecutive quarters of record-breaking financial results, indicating strong operational performance [5]. Home Appliance Sector - In the home appliance segment, Xiaomi's air conditioner, washing machine, and refrigerator shipments grew by 60%, 25%, and 45% respectively [5]. - The "IoT and Lifestyle Products" segment saw a revenue increase of 44.7% to 38.7 billion yuan, with wearable products growing by 70.9% and tablet sales increasing by 41.4% [11][12]. Smart Car Business - Xiaomi's smart car revenue reached 21.2 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 26.4%, exceeding market expectations [6]. - The operating loss in the smart car business narrowed to 300 million yuan, with expectations of achieving profitability in the second half of the year [7]. Smartphone Market Challenges - Xiaomi's smartphone revenue declined by 2.1% to 45.5 billion yuan, ending a streak of seven consecutive quarters of growth [21]. - Despite the overall market decline, Xiaomi was the only domestic manufacturer to achieve positive growth in Q2, with a 3.4% increase in shipment volume [22][21]. Strategic Approach - Xiaomi employs a "hit product model," focusing resources on creating standout products, which has proven effective in the air conditioning market [15]. - The company is also pushing for ecosystem integration, enhancing user stickiness through interconnected devices [16]. Market Dynamics - The smartphone market is experiencing a slowdown, with a longer replacement cycle for consumers, leading to a strategic focus on maintaining market share through competitive pricing [25][26]. - Xiaomi's high-end smartphone strategy is showing results, with increased market share in the 4000-5000 yuan and 5000-6000 yuan price segments [26].

Core Insights - Concerns have been raised regarding Honor's "product ocean strategy," as the company currently has over 20 models across six series while continuing to expand its product lineup, leading to fears of following HTC's path [2] - According to Counterpoint Research, Honor's shipment volume in Q2 2025 is expected to drop by 19% year-on-year, with market share decreasing from 15.5% to 12.8%, resulting in a fall to sixth place [2] Market Performance - IDC data indicates that Honor's market share fell from 17.1% in Q1 2024 (ranking first) to 13.7% in Q4 2024 (ranking fifth), and by Q1 2025, it completely dropped out of the top five, categorized as "Others" [6] - Following Huawei's full return in the second half of 2023, Honor's position as a "substitute" has been rapidly squeezed, with Huawei holding an 18.1% market share in Q2 2025, driven by the success of its Nova 14 series and price reductions on high-end models [6] Competitive Landscape - Despite the HONOR 400 series achieving sales leadership in the 2.5K-4K price range during the 618 shopping festival, competitors like Redmi K80 have reduced prices to 2099 yuan, highlighting Honor's weak differentiation due to a lack of foundational chip technology [6] - Honor's strategy of expanding its product matrix to cover more price segments raises concerns about maintaining the competitiveness of each model, as the company currently offers over 20 models across six series [6] Financial Performance - Honor's cumulative losses in the foldable phone segment are projected to reach 2-3 billion yuan by 2024, while the Magic7 series has only sold 1.28 million units in a year, significantly lower than Huawei's Mate70 series [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the communication industry [1][9]. Core Insights - The establishment of China Fusion Energy Co., Ltd. marks a new phase in the development of controllable nuclear fusion, with significant investment from state-owned enterprises totaling 11.492 billion yuan [5][18]. - The investment cycle for controllable nuclear fusion is on the rise, driven by intensified US-China competition and supportive domestic policies [5][18]. - The AI infrastructure expansion and model transition are expected to drive opportunities across the computing and application stack, highlighting the synergy between hardware and software [6][19]. Summary by Sections Market Review - In the past week (July 21-27, 2025), the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.67% and 2.33%, respectively, while the CITIC Communication Index fell by 0.47%, ranking 28th among 30 primary industries [4][14]. - The top five performing stocks in the communication sector included Dongxin Peace (34.10%), Cheng Tian Wei Ye (17.14%), and Si Nan Navigation (16.54%) [4][15]. Weekly Topic - The focus is on the significant investment in the fusion energy sector by state-owned enterprises, indicating a strategic shift towards large-scale development [5][18]. - The report suggests monitoring related industry chain stocks due to the ongoing investment cycle in controllable nuclear fusion [5][18]. Industry News - China Mobile's centralized procurement for data center switches is expected to involve approximately 33,300 units, with a total budget of about 2.0294 billion yuan [7][21]. - Huawei has the highest share in this procurement, with several other established domestic manufacturers also participating [7][21][23]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on key beneficiaries across various sectors, including controllable nuclear fusion and AI-related hardware and software [6][19].

Core Insights - Chinese smartphone manufacturers are leading in the "arms race" of battery capacity, with an average battery capacity of 5418mAh in May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11%, compared to a global average increase of only 3% [1][3] Battery Capacity Trends - The trend of increasing battery capacity among domestic smartphones has been evident over the past two years, with 6000mAh batteries becoming the norm and some flagship models exceeding 7000mAh [3][4] - In the first half of this year, several mid-range models have adopted batteries over 7000mAh, with two models featuring 8000mAh batteries, marking a significant milestone in battery capacity [4] Technological Advancements - The growth in battery capacity is attributed to the adoption of Silicon Carbon (SiC) batteries, which offer higher battery density and allow for larger capacities within the same physical dimensions [5] - The first smartphone with a SiC battery was launched in February 2023, with widespread adoption expected to begin in the second half of 2024 [5] Market Share and OEM Performance - As of May 2025, the market share of smartphones with battery capacities of 6000mAh and above has increased from 9% to 35% year-on-year, indicating a significant shift in consumer preferences [6] - OnePlus leads in average battery capacity in the Chinese market, followed by brands like Honor, Huawei, and Vivo, which are also equipping their models with larger batteries [6] Competitive Landscape - In contrast to the rapid increase in battery capacity among Chinese manufacturers, Apple is reportedly launching the iPhone 17 Air with a battery capacity of only 2800mAh, which is smaller than previous models [8][9] - The decision to prioritize a thinner design for the iPhone 17 Air has led to a reduction in battery size, raising concerns about the practicality for heavy users who may need to carry external chargers [9]

Core Insights - In Q2 2025, China's smartphone shipments declined by 2.4% year-on-year, attributed to seasonal factors and demand front-loading due to subsidies [1] - Huawei maintained its leading position for the second consecutive quarter, increasing its market share from 15% to 18.1% year-on-year, driven by strong sales of the mid-range nova 14 series and significant price reductions on high-end models [1] - Vivo ranked second in shipments, supported by its strong offline channel network and the successful performance of its Y series in lower-tier cities, along with a surge in demand for the newly launched S30 series during back-to-school promotions [4] - OPPO successfully launched the Reno 14 series before the 618 shopping festival, continuing the strong sales momentum of the Reno 13 series, while its sub-brand OnePlus achieved notable growth by focusing on the gaming experience [4] - Xiaomi recorded the second-fastest growth rate in Q2 2025 with a market share of 15.7%, maintaining growth through price reductions on popular models like Redmi K80 and Xiaomi 15, despite not launching new mid-range products during promotions [5] - Apple performed strongly during the 618 shopping festival due to unprecedented price cuts on the iPhone 16 series, particularly the Pro models, although this may pressure sales of the iPhone 17 base model in the second half of the year [5] - Honor is responding to intense market competition by expanding its product lineup, with the mid-range HONOR 400 series launched at the end of May showing promising initial results [5] Industry Outlook - The demand for smartphones in China remains weak, aligning with previous expectations from Counterpoint, although promotions and subsidies have provided some support for stable sales [6] - Counterpoint anticipates a year-on-year growth in the Chinese market for 2025, albeit at a slower pace, with summer promotions and the early release of flagship products in Q3 expected to boost sales and lay a solid foundation for Q4 performance [6] - The industry will continue to monitor the evolving global market landscape, particularly regarding tariff policies, rising component costs, and changes in consumer demand [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese smartphone market experienced a year-on-year decline of 2.4% in Q2 2025, influenced by seasonal factors and demand front-loading due to subsidies [2][3]. Market Performance - Huawei maintained its leading position with a market share increase from 15% to 18.1% year-on-year, driven by strong sales of the mid-range nova 14 series and significant price reductions on high-end models [2]. - Vivo ranked second in shipments, supported by its strong offline channel network and the successful performance of its Y series in lower-tier cities [6]. - OPPO's Reno 14 series launched before the 618 shopping festival, continuing the strong sales momentum from the previous series, appealing particularly to young female consumers [6]. - Xiaomi achieved a market share of 15.7%, with growth driven by price reductions on popular models like Redmi K80 and Xiaomi 15, despite not launching new mid-range products during the promotional period [6]. - Apple saw strong performance from the iPhone 16 series, particularly the Pro models, due to unprecedented price cuts, although this may pressure sales of the iPhone 17 in the latter half of the year [7]. Future Outlook - The demand for smartphones in China is expected to remain weak, consistent with previous forecasts, but sales stability is supported by promotions and subsidies [8]. - Counterpoint anticipates a slowdown in growth for the Chinese market in 2025, with summer promotions and early flagship releases in Q3 expected to boost sales and lay a solid foundation for Q4 performance [8]. - The company will continue to monitor the evolving global market landscape, particularly regarding tariff policies, rising component costs, and changes in consumer demand [8].

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reported that Xiaomi Group-W (01810) achieved a gross merchandise volume (GMV) of 35.5 billion RMB during the 618 shopping festival, representing a year-on-year growth of 35%, and 11% higher than the GMV during the 2024 Double Eleven event [1] - The GMV data aligns with Goldman Sachs' expectations, equating to 71% of the firm's forecast for Xiaomi's Q2 2025 revenue from smartphones and AIoT in China, which is projected to grow by 31% year-on-year [1] - The 618 and Double Eleven promotions are expected to account for 69% and 66% of the quarterly revenue in China for Q2 and Q4 2024, respectively [1] Group 2 - On the JD platform, Xiaomi ranked first in both sales and GMV among domestic smartphone brands, holding four of the top ten best-selling models during the 618 promotion [2] - Xiaomi's flagship series did not make the top ten this year due to increased competition from the discounted iPhone 14, but the Xiaomi 15 Ultra entered the top ten in the ultra-high-end segment [2] - The average discount level for Xiaomi products during the 618 period was approximately 19%, consistent with the previous year, and could reach up to 33% when considering national subsidies [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that Xiaomi has emerged as the biggest winner from the recent national subsidy policy, significantly boosting its market position and sales performance in the smartphone sector [4][11]. Group 1: National Subsidy Impact - The national subsidy policy, which provided consumers with a 15% subsidy on eligible digital products, led to a substantial increase in smartphone sales, with a 65% year-on-year growth in the week following its implementation [2][3]. - In the first quarter of 2025, the total shipment of smartphones in China reached 70.9 million units, a 5% increase year-on-year, with Xiaomi reclaiming the top position in market share for the first time in ten years [3][6]. - The subsidy policy has accelerated the competition among smartphone brands, with Xiaomi's performance being particularly strong, as it capitalized on the subsidy to enhance its market share and sales [3][4]. Group 2: Xiaomi's Financial Performance - Xiaomi's total revenue for the first quarter of 2025 reached 111.3 billion yuan, a 47.4% increase year-on-year, with adjusted profits rising by 64.5% to 10.7 billion yuan [6][9]. - The average selling price (ASP) of Xiaomi smartphones hit a record high of 1,211 yuan, reflecting a 5.8% year-on-year increase, while the market share of high-end models rose to 25% [6][7]. - Xiaomi's smartphone shipments in China reached 13.3 million units, a 39.9% increase compared to the same period last year, solidifying its market leadership [7][9]. Group 3: Competitive Advantages - Xiaomi's success is attributed to its strong product capabilities, brand strength, channel efficiency, and ecosystem integration, which have collectively enhanced its market competitiveness [11][12]. - The company has effectively utilized its extensive product line to increase consumer engagement and shopping experience, leading to higher brand exposure and sales [12][13]. - Xiaomi's automotive business, although not directly involved in the subsidy, has significantly boosted the brand's visibility and market presence, contributing to its overall growth [14][26]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The article suggests that while the national subsidy has provided a temporary boost, its long-term effects may diminish, leading to increased market competition and potential risks for manufacturers [24][25]. - Xiaomi is expected to continue leveraging its ecosystem strategy and technological advancements to maintain its competitive edge, with plans for significant R&D investments in the coming years [29][28]. - The company aims to expand its user base to over 200 million by 2026, indicating a strong growth trajectory despite potential market fluctuations [29].