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春节累库期间 预计铜价将以高位震荡为主
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 06:08
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that copper futures in Shanghai experienced significant strength, rising by 3.08% to reach 103,370.00 yuan/ton as of January 12 [1] - The average price of electrolytic copper in Shanghai increased by 2,895 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day, with a range of 102,850-103,600 yuan/ton [2] - Major copper smelting companies in China decided not to set a unified processing/refining fee (TC/RC) guidance price for imported copper concentrate for the first quarter of 2026 [2] Group 2 - A report from Yide Futures highlights global copper supply tightness and insufficient elasticity, with new consumption from green energy and computing driving copper prices upward [4] - Dongwu Futures notes that the recent ADP employment data from the U.S. fell short of market expectations, indicating a still-weak labor market, while the initial jobless claims showed some resilience [4] - The high copper prices are suppressing domestic demand, leading to low spot transaction volumes and a continued accumulation of inventory, with the pace of accumulation faster than in previous years [4]
苯乙烯当前仍处于需求淡季 盘面上方高度仍有限制
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 06:08
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news indicates that the domestic futures market for styrene has shown mixed performance, with styrene futures experiencing fluctuations and a notable increase in price [1] - As of January 8, the overall production of styrene in China reached 355,700 tons, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 3,500 tons, or 0.99% [2] - The capacity utilization rate for styrene factories was reported at 70.92%, with a week-on-week increase of 0.69% [2] Group 2 - The latest inventory of styrene stands at 162,000 tons, with East China port inventory at 132,300 tons, indicating expectations for continued inventory reduction [2] - Nanhua Futures noted that there were no new maintenance schedules for styrene facilities this week, and the market sentiment remains strong due to frequent export news and downstream factory purchases [2] - Newhu Futures suggested that while short-term styrene prices may remain strong due to market sentiment and inventory reduction, there are limitations on the upper price levels due to potential increases in production and uncertainties regarding raw material price sustainability [3]
从经济利率到制度信用 黄金迎“完美风暴”
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 06:08
摘要今日周五(1月9日)亚市时段,黄金价格一度冲高至约4600美元/盎司,刷新历史纪录。在全球不确定 性加剧的背景下,避险资金持续涌入黄金市场,同时市场对美联储年内降息的预期也为金价提供了重要 支撑。地缘政治风险是本轮金价上行的重要驱动因素。美国总统特朗普正在权衡针对伊朗的多种潜在军 事选项,此前伊朗国内发生致命抗议事件。相关不确定性显著推升市场风险厌恶情绪,强化了黄金作为 传统避险资产的吸引力。 今日周五(1月9日)亚市时段,黄金价格一度冲高至约4600美元/盎司,刷新历史纪录。在全球不确定性加 剧的背景下,避险资金持续涌入黄金市场,同时市场对美联储年内降息的预期也为金价提供了重要支 撑。地缘政治风险是本轮金价上行的重要驱动因素。美国总统特朗普正在权衡针对伊朗的多种潜在军事 选项,此前伊朗国内发生致命抗议事件。相关不确定性显著推升市场风险厌恶情绪,强化了黄金作为传 统避险资产的吸引力。 【基本面解析】 分析认为,鲍威尔或因政治压力选择留任理事至2028年,以限制特朗普对理事会的控制。特朗普与鲍威 尔的矛盾由来已久,第二任期批评更甚,甚至试图以欺诈指控驱逐其他理事,相关案件将由最高法院审 理。 【最新现货黄金 ...
市场淡季之下 铸造铝合金期货被动随铝价上涨
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 06:08
Group 1 - The main contract for casting aluminum alloy futures experienced a rapid increase, reaching a peak of 23,450.0 yuan, with a current price of 23,370.0 yuan, reflecting a rise of 2.43% [1] - Overall, the aluminum alloy prices are maintaining high volatility in line with aluminum prices, supported by high scrap aluminum prices, while demand is weakening due to increased caution from downstream buyers [2] - The casting aluminum alloy is experiencing a "cost-push" increase due to rising prices of scrap aluminum and copper, alongside environmental restrictions affecting production, leading to concerns about supply tightening [3] Group 2 - The market for casting aluminum alloy is passively following the rise in aluminum prices, with no significant increase in market participation noted [3] - The reference price range for casting aluminum alloy is expected to be between 22,000 and 23,500 yuan per ton, indicating a high volatility trend [3] - The seasonal performance of the price difference between casting aluminum alloy and Shanghai aluminum is expected to remain weaker than in previous years due to macroeconomic factors [3]
地缘冲突激烈加剧 集运指数盘面有一定补涨预期
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 06:07
Group 1 - The main contract of the shipping index (European line) opened at 1203.0 points and experienced high volatility, reaching a peak of 1319.5 points and a low of 1190.2 points, with an increase of 11.42% [1] - The shipping index (European line) is currently showing a strong upward trend, influenced significantly by seasonal demand [2] - Various institutions have differing views on the future of the shipping index, with some suggesting caution due to potential price declines and geopolitical improvements [2] Group 2 - According to Ruida Futures, the support for price increases is weakening as multiple shipping companies have begun to lower prices, indicating a potential decline in shipping rates [2] - Shenyin Wanguo Futures notes that with the upcoming Chinese New Year in mid-February, shipping volumes and price stability are expected to be challenged, leading to a potential turning point in shipping rates in late January [2] - Zhongcai Futures expresses a strong bullish outlook, citing a faster recovery in trade and heightened geopolitical tensions that could drive up shipping demand [2]
沪金全线走强受资金推升创新高
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 06:02
今日周一(1月12日)亚盘时段,黄金期货目前交投于1030附近,截至发稿,黄金期货暂1027.20元/克,涨 幅2.66%,最高触及1031.30元/克,最低下探1003.38元/克。目前来看,黄金期货短线偏向看涨走势。 美联储主席鲍威尔11日表示,美国联邦检察官对其展开的刑事调查意在向美联储施压。他在美联储网站 声明称,司法部9日送达传票,威胁就他2025年6月就美联储办公楼翻新项目向参议院作证的证词提起刑 事诉讼。鲍威尔强调,这一"史无前例"的行动发生在政府持续施压背景下,指控威胁源于美联储基于公 众利益独立制定利率,而非遵从总统意愿。调查关乎美联储能否依据经济实际设定利率,还是受政治压 力左右。据悉,调查由哥仑比亚特区联邦检察官办公室开展,内容包括分析其公开言论及审查支出记 录,已于去年11月获批。特朗普11日表示对调查"一无所知",并称鲍威尔在美联储"做得不够好"。 【最新黄金期货行情解析】 今日沪金期货日K线图显示,自2025年9月以来,价格从760低点强势拉升至当前1020附近,全线上涨趋 势明显,多头格局稳固。近期K线呈阳线密集排列,成交量柱状图(红绿交替)伴随放大,表明资金流入 活跃,买盘支撑 ...
美国非农数据低于预期 金价刷新历史最高纪录
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 06:01
上周黄金市场在避险情绪下周初高开在4350.5的位置后行情小幅回踩给出4345的位置后行情强势震荡拉 升,到周五非农后周线最高触及到了4517.6的位置后整理,周线最终收线在了4509.95的位置后,周线以 一根略带上下影线的饱和大阳线收线,而这样的形态收尾后,本周市场延续多,点位上,下方3325和 3322的多和3368-3370的多和3377和3385多和3563的多减仓后止损跟进在4000持有,前一周4176和4174 的多和4187和4184的多以及4208和4205多止损跟进在4210持有,上周五4455的多减仓后止损跟进在4460 持有,今日4480多止损4474,目标看4500和4517,破位看4524和4532和4543和4552历史压力争夺。 央行购金和ETF持仓的增加表明贵金属的需求依旧旺盛,全球央行12月黄金储备继续增加0.93吨,总持 仓升至新高。 据央视新闻消息,记者当地时间1月11日获悉,据知情官员透露,美国哥伦比亚特区联邦检察官办公室 已对美国联邦储备委员会主席鲍威尔展开刑事调查,调查内容涉及美联储对其华盛顿总部大楼的翻修工 程,以及鲍威尔是否就该项目的范围向国会撒谎。 该知情官 ...
黄金建立良好上升趋势 金价上涨空间充足
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 06:01
周一(1月12日)亚市盘中,现货黄金价格开盘高涨,目前交投于4569.29美元/盎司附近,现货黄金在近期 盘内交易中强势上涨,突破历史阻力位4550美元,创下历史新高,显示交易中多头势头占据主导地位, 黄金的长期前景依然向好,但由于价格处于高位,短期风险有所上升。 与此同时,美国联邦储备委员会主席杰罗姆.鲍威尔表示,针对他的刑事起诉威胁是因为中央银行根据 对公众利益的最佳评估设定利率,而不是遵循总统的偏好。 从技术面来看,周线级别,金价上周再度走强收复前景跌幅,减弱了其阴包阳的见顶看空形态,同时走 势也持稳运行在5-10周均线上方,布林带也有向上延伸的倾向,这暗示看涨前景加大,金价仍有再度向 上攀升刷新历史高点的潜力。就算再度遇阻回落,也是横盘调整为主,同时也再度入场的良机。 金价稳定运行在短期均线及中轨之上,布林带向上延伸,指标维持多头信号发展,看涨前景加大,今日 开盘多头再度发力,使此预期动力加大,将继续维持目前的震荡上升趋势保持不断测试新高的预期不 便。 相对强弱指数(RSI)目前为71.82(超买),这可能会抑制即时涨幅,并邀请在上边界附近整合。回调将在 4365美元区域的通道底部找到支撑,200SM ...
四川金融监管局同意平安产险青白江支公司变更营业场所
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 05:15
2026年1月5日,四川金融监管局发布批复称,《关于中国平安财产保险股份有限公司青白江支公司变更 营业场所的请示》(平保产川分发〔2025〕216号)收悉。经审核,现批复如下: 一、同意中国平安财产保险股份有限公司青白江支公司将营业场所变更为:四川省成都市青白江区便民 路10号25楼2501号。 二、中国平安财产保险股份有限公司应按照有关规定及时办理变更及许可证换领事宜。 未尽事项按金融监管总局有关规定办理。 ...
温州监管分局同意中国平安温州中心支公司苍南县营销服务部变更营业场所
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 05:15
一、同意中国平安人寿保险股份有限公司温州中心支公司苍南县营销服务部的营业场所变更为:浙江省 温州市苍南县灵溪镇苍南大道981—985号第13层13-01室。 二、中国平安人寿保险股份有限公司应按照有关规定及时办理变更及许可证换领事宜。 2026年1月7日,国家金融监督管理总局温州监管分局发布批复称,《中国平安(601318)人寿保险股份 有限公司浙江分公司关于变更中国平安人寿保险股份有限公司温州中心支公司苍南县营销服务部营业场 所的请示》(平保寿浙分发〔2025〕395号)收悉。经审核,现批复如下: ...