Group 1 - COMEX silver is currently trading above $92.31, with an opening price of $94.36 per ounce and a current price of $93.12, reflecting a 3.53% increase, with a high of $94.75 and a low of $92.63, indicating a short-term bearish trend [1] - The upcoming Supreme Court ruling on the Cook case is expected to impact the value of the US dollar significantly, with potential immediate effects on market sentiment and exchange rates [2] - The outcome of the Cook case will define the relationship between the Federal Reserve and executive power, affecting its credibility in combating inflation and the effectiveness of monetary policy, as well as the institutional credibility of the dollar as a global reserve currency [2] Group 2 - The daily K-line chart for COMEX silver shows a clear upward trend, with consecutive higher peaks and troughs, indicating a typical trend continuation structure [3] - The key resistance level is at $94.099, which, if broken with volume, could lead to an acceleration in price movement [3] - Key support levels to watch include $91, which serves as a short-term pivot point, and $85, which is a more definitive mid-term support line that will determine if the strong trend can maintain its structure [3]

如果货币政策开始迎合政治诉求，这种公信力及其带来的益处就将面临风险，而这正是若总统能够随意 解雇美联储官员所可能产生的后果。 【最新国际白银行情解析】 白银目前在93美元上方运行，短期多空分界线92-92.5美元之上，多头强势；下破走弱看调整继续，调 整之后继续看涨，只有下破关键支撑86~87美元，那空头才有可能进一步走下行，不排除去80关口，甚 至是78美元，但是下来之后还是多头的机会。 上方的话，当前的历史高点暂时阻力，一旦多头发力，当前的历史高点会轻松突破，并上攻96.5-97美 元乃至100美元以上；然后101-102是重中之重，对于100美元大关，不认为一次性会站上，冲上100美元 是多头的巨大风险。 美联储成立一个多世纪以来，对其独立性最重要的考验本周三(1月21日)将在美国最高法院进行，焦点 在于法官们是否会按照国会的意图，保护美联储免受政治影响，还是会允许美国总统唐纳德.特朗普随 心所欲地进行人事清洗。 这起案件围绕特朗普试图因涉嫌抵押贷款欺诈解雇美联储理事丽莎.库克，在极端情况下可能会侵蚀美 联储的独立性，但即便达不到这一结果，也可能为总统如何解除深度独立的央行治理机构成员职务提供 首个路线 ...

【最新黄金t+d行情解析】 黄金t+d(AU(t+d))于2026年1月20日收盘报1047.60元/克，日内上涨0.69%，最高触及1048.50元/克，站稳 1040元/克关键支撑，延续强势上行趋势。日线级别呈现多头排列，价格持续运行于布林带上轨， MACD红柱稳定放大，RSI维持在67附近，未现超买钝化，量能温和放大，确认趋势动能坚实。驱动因 素包括国际金价突破4670美元/盎司、全球央行持续购金(2026年预期购金超950吨)、美联储降息预期强 化及地缘风险升温。短期支撑位1040–1042元/克，阻力位上看1050–1055元/克，突破后有望挑战1060元/ 克心理关口。 【要闻速递】 欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩19日在达沃斯论坛会见美国国会两党代表团时强调，美方须明确尊重格陵兰岛 和丹麦主权，此为跨大西洋关系关键。她表示欧盟愿继续与美、北约及盟友在丹麦合作下推进共同安全 利益，并指出加征关税与欧美经贸共同利益相悖。 摘要今日周二(1月20日)亚盘时段，黄金T+D目前交投于1045元附近，截至发稿，黄金T+D暂报1045.18 元/克，涨幅0.46%，最高触及1048.50元/克，最低下探1042.74 ...

今日周二(1月20日)亚盘时段，白银td目前交投于22919一线上方，今日开盘于23100元/千克，截至发 稿，白银td暂报23193元/千克，上涨2.14%，最高触及23574元/千克，最低下探23000元/千克，目前来 看，白银td盘内短线偏向看涨走势。 【要闻速递】 建立在2025年美欧关税协议的脆弱基础之上，美国总统特朗普宣布拟对来自八个欧洲国家的进口商品征 收10%的关税。 2025年年中，美欧刚刚通过谈判缓解了贸易战带来的波动，如今特朗普的举动犹如一枚重磅炸弹，再次 将欧洲企业推向风口浪尖。 欧洲方面迅速作出回应，不仅断然拒绝美方的关税威胁，直言此类措施不可接受，还重申格陵兰岛绝非 可交易的商品。此外，欧洲官员警告称，美方举措不仅会招致贸易报复，还可能损害这两个保持着紧密 贸易与军事联系的经济体之间的外交关系。 截至目前，尚未有任何能够缓和冲突的实质性进展传出，欧洲已呼吁召开特别会议，市场信心也因此逐 渐陷入摇摆不定的状态。 【最新白银td行情解析】 日图来看，白银td昨日因避险需求价格高涨，今日价格震荡上涨，后小幅回调，一小时MACD正柱状图 逐渐缩短，表明目前上涨趋势减弱，趋势线由靠近零线趋向 ...

同日，德副总理兼财长克林贝尔与法国外长莱斯库尔会晤后表示，德法团结一致"不会被勒索"，批评特 朗普持续挑起对抗，强调"作为欧洲人必须明确：底线已至"。 【最新黄金期货行情解析】 沪金期货主力合约(AU2602)于2026年1月19日收盘报1048.88元/克，日内上涨1.52%，盘中最高触及1054 元/克，创上市以来新高。价格突破关键阻力位，站稳1050元/克心理关口，日线级别呈现强势多头排 列，5日均线上穿20日均线形成"金叉"，RSI指标升至68附近，未现超买钝化，MACD红柱持续放大，量 能显著放大，确认趋势动能强劲。驱动因素包括国际金价逼近4700美元/盎司、地缘风险加剧及全球黄 金ETF连续7个月净流入。当前支撑位关注1040元/克，阻力位上看1065元/克。 今日周二(1月20日)亚盘时段，黄金期货目前交投于1050附近，截至发稿，黄金期货暂1049.64元/克，涨 幅0.98%，最高触及1053.74元/克，最低下探1047.80元/克。目前来看，黄金期货短线偏向震荡走势。 打开APP，查看更多高清行情>> 【要闻速递】 德国总理默茨19日向内阁通报与英法就特朗普格陵兰岛关税威胁的协商进展(细 ...

当特朗普以格陵兰岛主权为由威胁对英法德等欧洲盟友加征关税时，按金融理论，市场本应剧烈波动 ——通胀升温、企业投资与股价回调、增长承压。但实际情况是：标普500期货仅跌超1%，欧洲股市跌 幅相近，黄金涨幅不足2%，投资者似乎并未将此视为"灾难"。 摘要今日周二(1月20日)亚盘时段，纸黄金目前交投于1046元附近，截至发稿，纸黄金暂报1045.33元/ 克，跌幅0.10%，最高触及1047.55元/克，最低下探1043.14元/克。目前来看，纸黄金短线偏向看涨走 势。 今日周二(1月20日)亚盘时段，纸黄金目前交投于1046元附近，截至发稿，纸黄金暂报1045.33元/克，跌 幅0.10%，最高触及1047.55元/克，最低下探1043.14元/克。目前来看，纸黄金短线偏向看涨走势。 【要闻速递】 长期看，若西方因关税分裂，俄罗斯或趁虚而入，或欧洲重整军备成第三极，均对投资者不利。但当前 市场反应平淡，反映投资者对特朗普政策的"适应性"与对不确定性的"选择性忽视"。温顿集团数据显 示，二战初期英国股市先跌后涨，投资者曾误判局势;如今，外国股市已跑赢美国，美元走弱，《华尔 街日报》专栏作家Mackintosh认为 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soybean oil futures prices experienced a slight increase, indicating a stable market trend in the soybean oil sector [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 20, CBOT soybean oil futures opened at 52.65 cents per pound and were reported at 52.55 cents per pound, with a gain of 0.08%. The intraday high reached 52.82 cents per pound, while the low was 52.51 cents per pound [1]. - On January 16, the closing price for soybean oil was 52.63 cents per pound, reflecting a decrease of 0.47% from the previous trading session [2]. Group 2: Trading Volume and Inventory - On January 19, the national first-class soybean oil trading volume was 16,000 tons, which represents a decrease of 5.88% compared to the previous trading day [2]. - As of January 16, 2026, the commercial inventory of soybean oil in key national regions was 963,300 tons, showing a reduction of 61,800 tons, or 6.03%, from the previous week [2]. Group 3: Price Adjustments - On January 19, the C&F price for Argentine soybean oil for February shipment was adjusted to $1,209 per ton, an increase of $9 per ton from the previous trading day. The C&F price for April shipment was set at $1,139 per ton, up by $31 per ton [2].

Group 1 - The latest spot gold price is reported at 1042.67 yuan per gram, showing a decrease of 0.43 yuan or 0.04% from the previous trading day, indicating a downward trend during the day [1] - The opening price for the day was 1045.46 yuan per gram, with a daily high of 1046.79 yuan per gram and a low of 1042.80 yuan per gram, reflecting limited volatility in trading [1] Group 2 - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is set to attend a Supreme Court hearing regarding the potential dismissal of Fed Governor Cook, marking a rare public display of support for Cook [2] - Powell's attendance at the hearing is seen as his most direct support for Cook, amidst ongoing tensions with the Trump administration, which has previously attempted to remove Cook [2] - Powell has criticized subpoenas issued by the Trump administration as a means to pressure the Fed into lowering interest rates significantly [2] Group 3 - Gold prices experienced a narrow range of fluctuations after a previous rise driven by risk aversion, attributed to light trading due to the early closure of the US market [3] - The current price level of 4662 is viewed as a potential entry point for long positions, with expectations of an upward breakout [3] - The bullish trend for gold remains intact, with prices stabilizing above 4650, indicating a strong support level and a likelihood of continued upward movement towards historical highs [3]

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The latest spot gold price is reported at 1044.47 CNY per gram, showing a decrease of 0.52 CNY, or 0.05%, from the previous trading day, indicating a downward trend during the day [1] - The opening price for the day was 1045.44 CNY per gram, with a daily high of 1046.78 CNY and a low of 1042.74 CNY [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve Independence Case - The U.S. Supreme Court is set to hear a critical case regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve, focusing on whether President Trump can dismiss Fed Governor Lisa Cook on grounds of "alleged mortgage fraud" [2] - The case raises concerns about the definition of "just cause" for dismissing Fed officials, which could potentially undermine the Fed's independence and allow for political interference in monetary policy [2][3] - Legal and academic experts express worries that even if Cook remains, a lack of strict standards for "just cause" could open the door for presidential intervention, threatening the Fed's credibility in managing inflation [2][3] Group 3: Market Implications of the Court Ruling - The outcome of the Supreme Court ruling will have direct implications for the U.S. dollar and gold prices, with any signals weakening the Fed's independence likely to trigger a sell-off of the dollar [3] - If the Fed's independence is significantly eroded, the "excess privilege" of the dollar may be challenged, impacting global capital flows and asset pricing [3] - Gold is positioned as a key asset for "de-dollarization" and inflation hedging, gaining upward momentum due to the risks associated with the court case [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) is experiencing a range-bound trading pattern against the US dollar (USD), influenced by commodity price fluctuations and changing market expectations regarding the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) monetary policy [1][2]. Group 1: Currency Performance - As of January 20, the AUD/USD exchange rate is at 0.6698, showing a slight decline of 0.16% from the previous trading day, with fluctuations between 0.6685 and 0.6702 [1]. - The AUD has been under pressure since reaching a high of 0.68 on January 7, currently trapped in a consolidation range of 0.6650 to 0.6750 [1]. - The recent price action reflects a balance of bullish and bearish forces, with the AUD showing signs of hesitation [1]. Group 2: Commodity Price Influence - The AUD's performance is significantly influenced by the divergent trends in commodity prices, particularly iron ore and copper [1]. - Iron ore prices remain above $130 per ton, supported by temporary demand from Chinese infrastructure projects, but are expected to decline by 4% by 2026 due to a sluggish real estate market in China [1]. - Conversely, copper prices are projected to rise by 1% by 2026, driven by demand from renewable energy technologies and AI infrastructure, providing some support for the AUD [1]. Group 3: Monetary Policy Expectations - Market expectations regarding RBA policy have shifted from a focus on rate hikes to anticipations of early rate cuts, influenced by recent inflation data [2]. - The probability of a rate hike in February has decreased from 36% to 22% following a lower-than-expected CPI increase of 3.4% year-on-year [2]. - Some institutions are betting on a rate cut cycle, with JPMorgan predicting potential cuts as early as mid-2026 if core inflation falls below 3% [2]. Group 4: Technical Analysis - The short-term outlook for the AUD/USD shows increasing downward pressure, with technical indicators suggesting a bearish trend [2]. - Key resistance levels are identified at 0.6745 and 0.6768, while support levels are at 0.6665 and 0.6650, with a potential test of the 0.6610-0.6595 range if the 0.6650 support is breached [2]. Group 5: Institutional Perspectives - There is a notable divergence in institutional views on the AUD's trajectory, with some predicting short-term volatility and others maintaining a bullish outlook for the medium term [3]. - JPMorgan forecasts a trading range of 0.66-0.68 for the AUD in the short term, while Goldman Sachs is more optimistic, projecting a rise to 0.69 by the third quarter [3]. - The overall outlook for 2026 suggests a strengthening AUD, with a projected average exchange rate of 0.69, although falling iron ore prices may limit appreciation [3]. Group 6: Risk Factors - Key risk factors that could disrupt the current trading range include upcoming inflation data from the RBA, developments in China's real estate policies, and fluctuations in the USD index [3]. - Monitoring the 0.6650 support level is crucial for assessing the potential for further short-term adjustments in the AUD [3].