Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing a resurgence, positively impacting the defense and military industry, as evidenced by the performance of the representative defense and military ETF (512810) which rose by 1.03% on December 1st, marking two consecutive days of gains [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The defense and military ETF (512810) has recovered key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, and 6-month lines, with a trading volume of 67.12 million yuan, an increase of over 40% compared to the previous period [1] - Notable stocks in the commercial aerospace sector include Guangqi Technology, which saw a 10.01% increase, and Aerospace Development, which rose by 9.99%, with total market capitalizations of 107 billion yuan and 23.8 billion yuan respectively [2] Group 2: Regulatory Developments - The establishment of the "Commercial Aerospace Department" by the National Space Administration aims to oversee the management of the commercial aerospace industry, including launch approvals and operational licenses [3] - The "High-Quality and Safe Development Action Plan for Commercial Aerospace (2025-2027)" outlines the integration of commercial aerospace into the national aerospace framework, targeting a market size of approximately 2.3 trillion yuan by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of about 22% since 2015 [3] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The defense and military ETF (512810) serves as an efficient investment tool for core assets in the defense and military sector, covering themes such as commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, and military AI [4] - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to benefit from increased demand for satellite and rocket capabilities, particularly with the planned construction of a space data center system in the 700-800 km orbit [3]

Market Overview - The A-share and Hong Kong stock markets have rebounded significantly, continuing the upward trend from the previous week, indicating the start of the year-end market rally [1] - The recent market adjustment, particularly in the technology sector, is viewed as a normal correction rather than the end of the bullish trend, suggesting that the market is still in a growth phase [1] Technology Sector Insights - The current bull market is driven by multiple factors, including the recently approved "14th Five-Year Plan," which emphasizes support for technology innovation in areas such as AI, robotics, semiconductors, and biomedicine [2] - The technology sector is expected to continue leading the market, with significant profit opportunities anticipated in 2026 as the bull market deepens [2][3] Investment Strategy - Investors are encouraged to adopt a balanced allocation strategy to capture structural opportunities across various sectors, including technology, new energy, and consumer goods [3][4] - The bull market is expected to last longer than a short-term spike, providing a more sustainable investment environment that can enhance household wealth and stimulate economic recovery [4] Future Market Expectations - The technology bull market is projected to persist into 2026, with an anticipated sequence of market leadership starting with "small tech stocks," followed by "mid-tech stocks," and eventually traditional sectors [3] - The current market dynamics suggest a rotation pattern that could become a defining characteristic of this bull market, highlighting the importance of both growth and value investments [4]

Group 1 - The chemical sector continues to rise, with the Chemical ETF (516020) showing a maximum intraday increase of 1.89% and closing up 0.76% as of the report [1][2] - Key stocks in the sector include phosphorous chemicals, rubber additives, lithium batteries, and coatings, with notable gains from companies like Hebang Biological, Tongcheng New Materials, and Tinci Materials [1][2] - The Chemical ETF has outperformed major indices this year, with a year-to-date increase of 27.76%, compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 16.02% and the CSI 300 Index's 15.04% [1][3] Group 2 - The lithium battery sector is expected to see a threefold increase in shipments from 2025 to 2035, leading to price increases for lithium hexafluorophosphate, projected to exceed 250,000 yuan per ton by 2026 [4] - The current price-to-book ratio of the Chemical ETF is 2.32, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to the past decade, suggesting a favorable long-term investment opportunity [4] - The Chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap stocks, providing exposure to leading companies in various chemical sub-sectors [5] Group 3 - The chemical industry is currently at a valuation and profit bottom, with net profits of 116 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.45% [9] - Demand is expected to improve due to the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts and stabilization of global political conditions, while cost pressures from oil and coal prices are anticipated to weaken [9] - The chemical sector is poised for a turning point driven by anti-involution policies, with a significant decrease in construction projects expected in the first half of 2025 [9]

12月1日，算力概念领涨，创业板人工智能涨超2%，成份股大面积飘红。其中，算力卫星概念股航宇微 盘中20CM涨停，截至发稿仍大涨超15%，存储芯片北京君正涨超14%，光模块龙头中际旭创涨超5%， 润泽科技、星宸科技、富瀚微、全志科技、金信诺等多股跟涨超3%。 热门ETF方面，超七成仓位布局算力的创业板人工智能ETF（159363）场内再涨2%，放量成交超6亿 元，资金重启净申购2000万份。 | 分时 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 ▼ | 给合屏 F9 前置权 超级盘加 画线 工具 @ 2 | 创业板人工智能ETF华室 | 159363 | E | 159363.SZ[创业相人工智能ETFS空白 2025/12/01 皮 0.897 幅 2.28%(0.020) 开 0.881 高 0.909 低 | 0.897 | +0.020 +2.28% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | MAS 0.874] MA10 0.851] MA20 0.852] MA60 0.8551 MA120 0.7271 | 2025/08/29-2025/ ...

Core Insights - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing strong performance, with the China Securities Nonferrous Metals Index rising by 2.58% as of December 1 [1] - Leading stocks in the sector include Jiangxi Copper, which surged by 7.88%, followed by Silver and Yunnan Tin, which increased by 7.32% and 7.18% respectively [1] - The Nonferrous Metal ETF (159876) also saw a price increase of 2.49%, with a trading volume of 34.44 million yuan [1] Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector is entering a new upward cycle, driven by macroeconomic expectations and supply chain disruptions due to tariffs and resource control policies [1][3] - The anticipated recovery in macro expectations from the Geneva Agreement between China and the U.S. is expected to further boost non-ferrous metal prices and industry performance [1][3] Investment Strategy - A diversified investment approach through the Nonferrous Metal ETF (159876) is recommended to capture the overall sector's performance while mitigating risks associated with individual metal investments [3] - The ETF covers a wide range of metals including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, making it suitable for inclusion in investment portfolios [3] Future Outlook - The upward trend in non-ferrous metal prices and corporate profitability is expected to continue into 2026, supported by ongoing macroeconomic factors [1][3] - Structural demand for copper is anticipated to grow due to the transition to renewable energy and increased demand from data centers, despite some downward pressure on traditional copper consumption [3]

今年以来，A股整体延续牛市走势。主要在流动性、政策面及重要行业催化的共同引领下，A股走出了 以科技创新为最重要主线的"科技牛"行情，AI更成为其中最强的投资主题。同时，在全球地缘变局及外 部宽松条件支持下，上游强周期、海外与国产算力、电力设备及新能源等多个方向均表现出色。 从行业层面上看，大A"新旧"阵营表现严重分化，"小登"们表现优异，"老登"们相对落寞。而从宽基指 数看，代表市场风偏活跃程度的万德微盘股指数与作为此轮全球股市风向标的科创类指数表现最为醒 目，迄今涨幅分别仍有70%+与50%左右。整体而言，A股市场今年以来的"结构牛"特征十分显著。一半 是海水，一半是火焰。 进入11月，A股市场在创出本轮行情阶段新高后，波动有所加大。究其原因，恐怕既有外部地缘政治突 发扰动的"黑天鹅"因素，更有临近岁末绝对收益型机构倾向于兑现收益和暂时的"马放南山"，以及相对 收益型机构短期的高低切以争取年度更佳排名等的诸多内部因素的综合考量。 从主流机构观点看，对A股中长期走势相对乐观仍为目前的市场共识，短期震荡不改上行趋势。对此， 我们也基本认同。如果时间线延到明年，个人当下的一个基本判断是，预期A股市场或将有望从风偏 ...

Core Viewpoint - The brokerage sector is experiencing a divergence between performance and valuation, with high profitability amid market activity, yet stock prices and valuations remain under pressure [2][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - On the first trading day of December, the brokerage sector showed positive fluctuations, with the top-tier brokerage ETF (512000) opening lower but turning positive, gaining 0.35% and achieving a trading volume exceeding 4 billion yuan within half a day [1]. - Individual stocks within the sector mostly rose, with Guolian Minsheng increasing over 3%, and other major brokerages like Huatai Securities, Guotai Junan, and CITIC Securities rising more than 1% [1]. Group 2: ETF and Fund Flows - The brokerage ETF (512000) has seen significant inflows, with a net inflow of 497 million yuan over the week of November 24-28, leading among 14 similar ETFs, and over 2.1 billion yuan in the past 20 days [3]. - The ETF, which tracks the CSI All Share Securities Companies Index, has a historical fund size exceeding 40 billion yuan as of November 6, with an average daily trading volume of over 1 billion yuan [5]. Group 3: Valuation Metrics - As of the end of November, the brokerage ETF (512000) tracked index has a year-to-date change of -0.09%, significantly lagging behind the broader market indices [2]. - The price-to-book (PB) ratio for the brokerage sector has decreased to 1.45 times, placing it at the 35th percentile over the past decade, indicating an increasing value proposition for investors [2].

自2025年初以来，市场风险偏好系统性上升，受益于科技投资热潮及企业资本开支扩张，股票市场整体 表现较强劲。相较之下，债券市场则面临一定压力，在基本面相对疲弱与风险偏好回升之间博弈，整体 表现主要受风险情绪主导，投资体验相对欠佳。核心原因或在于，当前低利率环境下债券票息收益有 限，难以有效对冲净值波动，导致防御属性有所弱化。 一、2025年以来债券市场回顾 图1：截至2025年11月14日十年国债走势 数据来源：wind，诺德基金整理；统计区间：2025.01.01-2025.11.14。指数行情走势不预示其未来 表现，也不代表具体基金产品表现。以上信息仅供参考，不代表任何投资建议，基金有风险，投资需谨 慎。 截至2025年11月14日，10年期国债收益率运行于1.81%附近，较年初上行约13个基点，全年走势呈现窄 幅震荡，区间大致维持在1.6%至1.9%之间。全年债市走势与经济基本面脱钩，调整主要由宏观叙事驱 动。2024年四季度市场对货币政策空间预期偏高，收益率提前定价，透支了一定上行空间。 全年债券市场大致呈现"两轮调整+两轮修复"的震荡格局，利率中枢整体有所抬升： 诺德基金债券投资部副总监徐娟 第一轮 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market showed a slight upward trend on the first trading day of December, with significant movements in AI-related stocks, particularly Alibaba and Tencent, indicating a potential recovery in the sector [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index opened slightly higher, with Alibaba-W rising over 3% and Tencent Holdings and Kuaishou-W increasing by more than 1% [1]. - Meituan-W, after initially dropping over 2%, managed to turn positive during the early trading session [1]. - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) saw a price increase of 0.9%, surpassing the 5-day moving average [1]. Group 2: Company-Specific Developments - Meituan reported a significant loss of approximately 14.1 billion yuan in its local market business for the third quarter, primarily due to irrational competition in the food delivery sector [2]. - Alibaba indicated a slowdown in subsidies for its flash purchase business, suggesting a conclusion to the intense competition in the food delivery market [2]. Group 3: Investment Insights - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) passively tracks the CSI Hong Kong Internet Index, which is heavily weighted towards leading internet companies, with Alibaba-W, Tencent Holdings, and Xiaomi Group-W comprising the top three holdings [3]. - The ETF's latest scale exceeds 10 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of over 600 million yuan, indicating strong liquidity and support for intraday T+0 trading [3]. - The index has shown a significant performance variation over the past five years, with a notable increase of 23.04% in 2024, following declines in previous years [5].

华西证券表示，数据显示，我国商业航天市场规模从2015年的约0.38万亿元增长至2024年的2.3万亿元， 年均复合增长率约22%。若按照25%的增速计算，2030年我国商业航天市场规模有望接近10万亿元。另 据工信部赛迪研究院预测， 2025年中国商业航天市场规模有望历史性突破2.5万亿元，全产业链正全面 进入"黄金发展期"。 资金动向印证国防军工板块关注度，截至发稿，国防军工板块实时获30亿元主力资金净买入，在31个申 万一级行业中高居第二。 | स्टेंड | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 | 主力净流入额 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 801050 | 有色金属(申万) | 7638.06 | 3.26% | 61.68亿 | | 801740 | 国防军工(申万) | 1712.07 | 1.33% | 29.92亿 | | 801770 | 通信(申万) | 5019.25 | 2.24% | 21.47亿 | | 801890 | 机械设备(申万) | 1984.20 | 0.18% | 17.53亿 | 12月首个交易日，国防军工板块继续活跃，商业 ...