Core Viewpoint - The prices of copper, aluminum, and zinc on the London Metal Exchange (LME) reached their highest levels since early April due to the U.S. adjusting tariffs on Chinese imports, which temporarily increased the risk appetite for metals reliant on economic growth [1][3]. Price Movements - As of May 14, 2023, LME three-month copper rose by $7 to $9,606.50 per ton, having previously hit a peak of $9,664, the highest since April 2 [1][2]. - Three-month aluminum reached $2,543.5 per ton, marking its highest point since April 1 [1]. - Three-month zinc increased by 2.22%, closing at $2,765.00 per ton [1][2]. Tariff Adjustments - The U.S. has rescinded a total of 91% of tariffs on Chinese goods and modified a 34% tariff, with 24% of it suspended for 90 days, while retaining 10% [3]. - The adjustments are in line with the consensus reached during high-level economic talks between the U.S. and China [3]. Market Conditions - The U.S. dollar has weakened following disappointing consumer inflation data, providing further support to the market [4]. - China's social financing scale stock was reported at 424 trillion yuan at the end of April 2025, reflecting an 8.7% year-on-year growth, indicating future demand for industrial metals [4]. - The premium of COMEX copper over LME copper has decreased from 18% at the end of March to around 10% currently, with COMEX copper inventories increasing by 77% since late February [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that tin prices are maintaining a range-bound operation due to a tight supply in the short term and a lack of significant demand boost from downstream industries [1] - The main contract for tin closed at 265,770 yuan/ton, reflecting a slight increase of 0.92% [1] - The Congo (DRC) has become China's largest source of imported tin concentrate, surpassing Myanmar, with the Bisie tin mine resuming operations after a temporary halt due to armed conflict [1] Group 2 - The recovery of the Bisie tin mine is progressing well, with the first batch of tin concentrate expected to enter the smelting phase by June 2025 [2] - The operating rates of tin smelting enterprises in Yunnan and Jiangxi remain low due to raw material supply shortages, with the import volume from Myanmar falling below the warning line for several months [1] - The overall order situation from downstream customers is limited, as the willingness to restock in the electronics and home appliance sectors is low despite relatively high tin prices [1]

智利国家铜业公司（Codelco）网站公布，在美国银行全球金属、矿业和钢铁会议上，必和必拓和 Codelco宣布了一项针对该国有公司在安托法加斯塔地区的资产的勘探协议。 本协议须遵守第19,137号法律规定的要求，该法律规定了Codelco与第三方合作开发目前尚未运营的采 矿项目的条件，或者不属于公司决定通过直接开发分配给其替换或扩建计划的采矿项目的条件。 2022年，Codelco向感兴趣的公司提供了34项勘探资产组合，以评估合作开发这些不符合公司独立开发 条件的项目的可能性。 该投资组合包括"Anillo"矿区，位于安托法加斯塔地区，占地24,000公顷。该矿目前处于早期勘探阶 段，Codelco和第三方过去曾对该矿进行过多次勘探活动。 必和必拓在探索该项目方面具有独特的优势，如果成功，必和必拓将拥有独特的基础设施能力来加速该 项目的发展。根据协议的一部分，该多金属矿业公司将能够投资高达4000万美元来勘探和研究该矿产的 采矿潜力。 必和必拓首席执行官迈克·亨利表示："必和必拓是全球领先的铜生产商之一，而铜是推动经济发展、脱 碳和数字化进程的重要金属。我们很高兴能与智利国家铜业公司（Codelco）共同探 ...

Group 1 - Codelco and Rio Tinto announced a new collaboration agreement to accelerate the potential development of mining areas around Nuevo Cobre in the Atacama region of Chile [1] - Nuevo Cobre is a joint venture between Rio Tinto (57.74%) and Codelco (42.26%), established in 2023 to explore and develop mineral resources located 10 kilometers southeast of the Potrerillos smelter [1] - The agreement includes the formation of a joint committee, with both companies providing equal funding for a 12-month preliminary concept study, which may be extended [1] Group 2 - The collaboration aims to maximize the value of the region, effectively develop mineral resources, and explore synergies and opportunities related to infrastructure [2] - The study will focus on development pathways while considering the highest social and environmental standards, local community interests, and the development of the Atacama region [2] - Codelco's chairman emphasized that collaboration is fundamental to sustainable mining and is the best way to address increasingly challenging project demands [1]

SHMET 网讯： 清明节后铜价因受美国"对等关税"政策的利空打击而快速探底，但随后不断传出缓和消息，且有来自供需面的提振，铜价逐步反弹回升，弥补前期缺口；4 月底后呈窄幅波动走势，上方压力依然明显。 宏观情绪缓和中略谨慎 现货端供应略偏紧 国内精铜库存降势未止，截止上周四，SMM铜社库降至12.01万吨，较五一节前降0.95万吨，实现连续10周周度去库，较年内高点及去年同期均明显回落。 上周，上期所铜总库存下降8602吨至8.07万吨，仓单数量下降9001吨至1.92万吨，而期货上05合约的持仓尚有3.7万手，虚实比较高。现货供给偏紧张，上周 升水快速冲高，同时期货上back结构较为突出，对铜价有较强的带动。LME铜库存也呈降势，注册仓单在11万吨左右，0-3现货升水也逐步抬升，至50美元/ 吨左右，关注可能的挤仓风险。COMEX铜库存快速增长至16万吨左右，注册仓单则徘徊于8.6万吨上下。 5月10日至11日，中美经贸代表于瑞士进行会谈，会后中方代表表示，此次会谈达成重要共识，并取得实质性进展，关注后续声明，可能会对有色市场情绪 有一定提振。此前，美英已就关税贸易协议条款达成一致，未掀起大的波澜，市场更多 ...

Group 1 - Rio Tinto and Sumitomo Metal Mining signed a final joint venture agreement for the Winu copper-gold project in Western Australia, expected to complete this year [1] - The Winu project, discovered by Rio Tinto in 2017, is considered an attractive low-risk, long-life copper-gold deposit with promising expansion prospects after initial development [1] - Rio Tinto will continue to develop and operate the Winu project, while Sumitomo Metal Mining will pay up to $430.4 million for a 30% stake, including a $195 million upfront payment and $235.4 million in deferred payments [1] Group 2 - Both companies will explore broader strategic partnerships in copper, other base metals, and lithium for commercial, technical, and strategic collaboration opportunities [2] - The transaction is expected to be completed by 2025, pending regulatory approval and typical conditions [2]

审查最初从环境审计开始的，现在可能会扩大到包括财务条款。BMO Capital Markets分析师Matt Murphy认为，这是一种潜在的好处，表明平行审查可能会加速解决问题。 财务谈判尚未开始，也不清楚巴拿马是否聘请了具有采矿业相关经验的法律专家。根据BMO的说法， 之前的谈判条款可能已经过时了。"现在的首要任务是制定新的条款，使巴拿马成为全球矿业投资具有 竞争力的目的地，"Murphy写道。 Cobre Panamá是中美洲最大的露天铜矿，在运营中断前，2023年铜产量超过33万吨。这个价值100亿美 元的项目有望在2024年底实现100万吨的铜产量，将使其成为全球最大的铜生产商之一。 第一量子矿物继续推进赞比亚Kansanshi铜矿价值130亿美元的S3阶段的扩张计划。计划今年晚些时候投 入使用，升级后，矿石的年加工能力将从3,000万吨提升至5,500万吨，并将该矿的寿命延长超过20年。 5月10日（周六），加拿大第一量子矿物公司（First Quantum Minerals）对于其在巴拿马铜矿的前景仍 持谨慎乐观态度，因当地政府正在考虑如何以及何时重启已关闭的Cobre Panamá铜矿。 法律 ...

Core Viewpoint - The aluminum oxide futures market has experienced a significant rebound after a nearly 50% decline since early December, with recent price increases attributed to supply-side adjustments and market sentiment improvements [2][3][4]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Recent reports indicate a reduction in aluminum oxide inventory, suggesting a potential improvement in supply-demand dynamics, driven by production cuts and maintenance activities in the industry [4][5]. - The supply-side disruptions include a halt in production at certain facilities due to compliance reviews and mining license issues, which have contributed to a tightening of supply and a subsequent price rebound [3][4][5]. - Despite the recent positive trends, the overall supply situation remains precarious, with excess capacity still a concern, as evidenced by the high operating rates of aluminum oxide plants [5][6]. Future Outlook - The long-term outlook for aluminum oxide remains cautious, with expectations of continued oversupply due to planned capacity expansions and the potential for resumed production from recently idled facilities [6][7]. - The industry is closely monitoring regulatory developments regarding new capacity approvals, particularly in regions like Hebei, which could impact future supply levels [3][6][7]. - Analysts suggest that while short-term sentiment may be bullish, the fundamental oversupply conditions are unlikely to change significantly in the near term, keeping upward price pressures limited [6][7].

SHMET 网讯： 4月中旬后，消费旺季刺激国内铜库存去化明显，沪铜也随之迎来反弹行情。近日沪铜上行动能减弱，主力合约期价在78000元/吨一线附近徘徊。 全球铜矿市场延续偏紧局面 智利作为全球主要的铜矿生产国和出口国，过去十年中其在全球铜的市场份额从30%下降到24%。这主要由于受到采矿条件严峻、矿石品位降低、水资源短 缺以及重大投资项目推迟等问题影响。智利3月铜产量为477049吨，同比增长9.1%。智利国家矿业协会预计2025年铜产量将达到540万至560万吨。 继刚果民主共和国在2023年取代秘鲁成为全球第二大铜生产国之后，秘鲁的市场地位受到挑战，目前秘鲁铜矿产量位于智利和刚果（金）之后。秘鲁矿业部 数据显示， 2月份秘鲁铜产量为21.7万吨，较去年增长0.01%。产量增长主要来自五矿资源公司（MMG）的班巴斯（Las Bambas）铜矿。虽然遭遇两天的中 断，但该矿产量仍然增长了58.4%。秘鲁矿业部长预计2025年铜产量将超过290万吨。 2025年2月全球矿山产量同比下滑6.09%至180.3万吨。2月全球矿山产能222.9万吨，同比下滑9.43%。4月份以来全球多家矿商公布一季报，其中多家矿企 ...

Group 1: Zinc Price Trends - Zinc prices have been under pressure due to weakened market demand and easing supply constraints from zinc mines [1][2] - The fluctuation of U.S. tariff policies has led to a significant drop in zinc prices, reaching a near one-year low [1][3] - The macroeconomic factors influencing zinc prices include U.S. tariff policies and the potential slowdown of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [1][3] Group 2: Supply Dynamics - Overseas mining operations are expected to increase production, while domestic zinc mines experienced a seasonal reduction of 10.04% in Q1 [2] - Zinc concentrate port inventories are projected to remain above 300,000 tons, indicating a loose supply environment [2] - The processing fees for zinc concentrates are anticipated to rise due to increased ore supply, which will enhance smelting profits [2][3] Group 3: Demand Factors - The construction sector has shown weak performance, with cement and asphalt plant operating rates below expectations [3][4] - The automotive sector has exceeded market expectations, but overall demand for zinc remains weak due to trade policy uncertainties [3][4] - The domestic market's ability to support zinc prices is limited, particularly with export restrictions impacting effective demand [4] Group 4: Market Outlook - The zinc market is expected to transition towards a more relaxed supply-demand balance, with a downward trend in zinc prices anticipated in the medium term [5]