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57家上市公司预亏,疫苗龙头首亏超百亿,有公司净利大增14倍
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-13 10:54
Core Viewpoint - The A-share annual report performance forecast season is witnessing an unusual trend where companies announcing losses are doing so simultaneously with those reporting gains, breaking the traditional pattern of early positive disclosures and delayed negative ones [1][2]. Group 1: Pre-Loss Companies - As of January 13, 2026, 105 companies have released performance forecasts for 2025, with 57 companies (54.29%) announcing losses, including 42 continuing losses and 15 first-time losses [1][3]. - The losses are concentrated in traditional cyclical industries, particularly real estate, where all six companies that disclosed forecasts reported losses, resulting in a 100% loss rate [3]. - Leading real estate company Greenland Holdings is projected to incur a net loss of 16 billion to 19 billion yuan for 2025, marking its third consecutive year of losses due to declining asset prices and insufficient market demand [3][4]. Group 2: Pre-Gain Companies - In contrast, companies reporting gains are primarily from resource and technology sectors, benefiting from rising commodity prices and technological innovations [8]. - The non-ferrous metals industry is a key driver of profit growth, with Zijin Mining expected to achieve a net profit of 51 billion to 52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62% [9]. - Technology firms like Sanhua Intelligent Control are also expected to see significant profit increases, with projected growth of 25% to 50% due to advancements in automotive components for new energy vehicles [9][10]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The unusual disclosure pattern is attributed to increased regulatory pressure and a push for greater market transparency, encouraging companies to disclose negative information earlier to mitigate stock price volatility [14]. - Economic factors and industry cycles are contributing to a widening loss landscape, with demand falling short of expectations, particularly in traditional consumer sectors [14]. - Market sentiment is improving, with expectations for a recovery in corporate earnings in 2026, driven by increased investor confidence and capital inflows [15].
独家专访比亚迪CTO孙华军:反超特斯拉,藏着“死磕”磷酸铁锂的20年
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-13 09:18
Core Viewpoint - BYD has surpassed Tesla in pure electric vehicle sales for the first time, achieving a total of 2.2567 million units in 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 27.86% [5] Group 1: Historical Development - The journey of BYD began 23 years ago with a focus on lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries, which were initially deemed unsuitable for electric vehicles due to low energy density [5][7] - In 2002, BYD's chairman Wang Chuanfu decided to pursue the LFP route, prioritizing safety and resource independence over higher energy density alternatives like nickel-cobalt-aluminum batteries [7][9] - BYD launched its first plug-in hybrid model, the F3DM, in 2008, featuring self-developed LFP batteries, which laid the foundation for subsequent models [8][9] Group 2: Market Challenges and Strategic Decisions - Between 2017 and 2019, the electric vehicle market faced challenges, leading to a temporary shift in focus towards high-energy-density ternary lithium batteries [8][9] - In 2019, during a critical period for the company, BYD made two key strategic decisions: shifting focus from commercial to passenger vehicles and continuing to refine the LFP battery technology despite market pressures [10][11] - The "Qinghai Conference" in 2018 was pivotal in reaffirming the commitment to LFP batteries, focusing on achieving longer ranges [10][19] Group 3: Technological Innovations - The development of the "blade battery" was a significant breakthrough, allowing for improved space utilization and safety, which ultimately enabled LFP batteries to achieve a range of 600 kilometers [10][11][23] - The blade battery's design involved a long, flat structure that increased energy density and safety, overcoming previous limitations of traditional battery shapes [10][24] - BYD's commitment to R&D is evident, with a team of around 10,000 dedicated to battery technology, ensuring a competitive edge in the electric vehicle market [12][27] Group 4: Future Directions - BYD plans to enhance its LFP battery technology further, focusing on safety and charging efficiency, with the introduction of a "megawatt fast-charging battery" expected by 2025 [12][30] - The company aims to maintain its leadership in LFP technology while adapting to new industry standards and safety regulations [30][31] - Future iterations of the blade battery will prioritize faster charging speeds and improved performance in extreme conditions [29][30]
上海初婚平均年龄29.7岁
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-13 09:18
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant increase in marriage registrations in Shanghai, with a projected total of 175,092 couples registered in 2025, reflecting a growth of approximately 38.7% compared to 2024 [4] - The average age for first marriages in Shanghai is reported to be 29.7 years in 2025, with males averaging 30.3 years and females 29.1 years [4] - Since the implementation of the "nationally unified marriage registration" on May 10, 2025, Shanghai has processed 41,332 marriage registrations under this new system, which includes 34,040 marriage registrations and 7,292 divorce registrations, accounting for 38.49% and 21.3% of the total marriage registrations during the same period [1][4] Group 2 - The new marriage registration regulations have removed regional restrictions, allowing couples to register their marriage without needing a household registration book, significantly enhancing the convenience of the process [4]
中国对美韩太阳能级多晶硅征税
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-13 09:18
Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Commerce has decided to continue anti-dumping measures on imported solar-grade polysilicon from the United States and South Korea, effective from January 14, 2026, for a period of five years [2][3]. Group 1: Anti-Dumping Measures - The anti-dumping tax rates for U.S. companies range from 53.3% to 57%, while for South Korean companies, the rates range from 4.4% to 113.8% [4][5]. - The specific products under investigation include solar-grade polysilicon produced using modified Siemens and silane methods, which are essential for manufacturing crystalline silicon photovoltaic cells [3][4]. Group 2: Review and Investigation - The Ministry of Commerce conducted a review to assess the likelihood of continued or renewed dumping of solar-grade polysilicon from the U.S. and South Korea, concluding that such dumping could indeed continue, potentially harming China's solar-grade polysilicon industry [2][3]. Group 3: Implementation of Anti-Dumping Tax - From January 14, 2026, importers of solar-grade polysilicon from the U.S. and South Korea will be required to pay the corresponding anti-dumping tax based on the customs-determined taxable price [6].
国产存储芯片一哥H股首日涨超37%
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-13 09:18
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strong performance of the semiconductor company Zhaoyi Innovation, particularly following its recent H-share listing, and discusses its market position as a leading storage chip manufacturer in China and globally [1][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - Zhaoyi Innovation's H-share debuted with a significant increase, reaching a peak of over 53% on its first trading day, ultimately closing with a gain of 37.53%, valuing the company at 155.2 billion HKD [1]. - The company's A-share market capitalization reached 176 billion CNY as of January 13, making it one of the few companies in the storage industry with a market cap exceeding 100 billion CNY [4]. Group 2: Market Position - Zhaoyi Innovation is recognized as the world's leading fabless Flash supplier and the top Arm-based MCU supplier in China [3]. - The company has established itself as a key player in the semiconductor sector, particularly in NOR Flash, SLC NAND Flash, niche DRAM, and microcontroller markets [4]. Group 3: Historical Context - Founded in April 2005 by Zhu Yiming, Zhaoyi Innovation went public on the A-share market in August 2016, raising approximately 582 million CNY [4]. - The company has been actively expanding its market presence and has invested in industry projects, including a stake in Changxin Technology [4].
特朗普称将对伊朗的贸易伙伴征收25%关税,外交部回应
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-13 08:20
1月13日,外交部发言人毛宁主持例行记者会。有记者问:美国总统特朗普12日下午在社交媒 体发文称,任何与伊朗伊斯兰共和国开展商业往来的国家,在与美国进行的任何商业活动中都 将被征收25%的关税。对此如何评论? 外交部:会采取一切必要措施保护在伊朗中国公民安全 来源丨央视新闻 编辑丨江佩佩 SFC 更多阅读: 外交部:中方维护全球关键矿产产业链稳定安全立场没有变化 毛宁表示,中方在关税问题上的立场非常明确,关税战没有赢家。中方将坚定维护自身的正当 合法权益。 ...
搭上特斯拉,人形机器人供应商冲刺A股IPO
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-13 08:20
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the upcoming IPO of Xinjian Transmission, a key supplier for Tesla's humanoid robot "Optimus," signaling strong industrialization prospects for the humanoid robot sector and the potential for mass production by 2026 [6]. Group 1: Company Overview - Xinjian Transmission, established in 1999, specializes in precision machinery processing and is classified under "C34 General Equipment Manufacturing" [8]. - The largest shareholder, Shanghai Xinjian Asset Management Co., holds 29.40% of the shares, while the actual controllers hold 35.27% [8]. - Initially focused on producing watch screws and precision gears, Xinjian has transitioned into the planetary roller screw industry, which is crucial for robotics [8][9]. Group 2: Market Position and Opportunities - Xinjian Transmission began domestic production of planetary roller screws in 2022, coinciding with Tesla's release of the Optimus Gen1 robot, expanding the market potential significantly [9]. - The company has secured a project to produce 1 million planetary roller screws annually, capitalizing on the growing demand in the humanoid robot market [9]. - Xinjian's geographical advantage and early entry into the screw market have positioned it as a core supplier for Tesla's humanoid robots, despite not being a key supplier for Tesla's vehicles [9]. Group 3: Industry Impact and Collaborations - The IPO of Xinjian Transmission is seen as a landmark event for the humanoid robot industry, potentially leading to a revaluation of core component assets within the sector [13]. - Collaborations with suppliers like Wuzhou Xinchun, which will provide various critical components, indicate a strengthening of Xinjian's supply chain and market presence [12]. - The anticipated IPO and subsequent production capacity expansion are expected to benefit related equipment manufacturers and enhance the clarity of supply chain shares [13][15].
90后带队创出千店巨头,年入25亿冲刺港股IPO
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-13 08:20
记者丨 刘婧汐 编辑丨高梦阳 全国门店超4000家的"中国第一现制水饺品牌"要冲刺港股上市了。 2026年1月12日,袁记食品集团股份有限公司(以下简称"袁记食品")在香港联交所递交上市申请,拟在香港主板上市,其联席保荐人为华泰 国际和广发证券。 招股书显示,截至目前, 袁记食品共经历过三轮融资 ,分别于2023年6月、2025年9月、12月完成,陆续引入了黑蚁资本、启承资本、厦门建 发、益海嘉里等新外部投资者。 根据灼识咨询相关报告,截至2025年9月30日,按门店数量计,袁记食品是中国及全球最大的中式快餐公司。截至2025年9月30日止九个月期 间,以饺子及云吞产品在零售及餐饮业的GMV计,袁记食品也是中国最大的饺子云吞企业。 依托其高密度门店网络,袁记食品可实时为社区提供堂食、外带及外卖服务,外卖已成为公司核心增长引擎之一。袁记食品外卖GMV由截至 2024年9月30日止九个月的14.57亿元,增长46.6%至截至2025年9月30日止九个月的21.36亿元,分别占其GMV的32.4%及44.6%。 全球门店4 2 6 6家,门店数量最多的中式快餐 创始人袁亮宏与联合创始人田伟同为90后,过去十余年,他 ...
专家预计人民币汇率将温和升值
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-13 08:20
Group 1 - The article discusses the ongoing trend of the weakening dominance of the US dollar and the potential for the Chinese yuan (RMB) to appreciate, particularly in the context of the recent economic forum held in Shanghai [1] - Experts predict that the RMB will continue to appreciate in 2026, with varying opinions on the extent of this appreciation, ranging from 2%-3% annually to a potential total appreciation of over 30% in the next decade [3][4] - The depreciation of the US dollar is expected to lead to the appreciation of non-US currencies, including the RMB, which has already crossed the 7 mark against the dollar [3][4] Group 2 - Zhao Wei, Chief Economist at Shenwan Hongyuan Securities, anticipates an annual appreciation of 2%-3% for the RMB against the USD, with a total appreciation of over 30% over ten years [3] - Yang Delong, Chief Economist at Qianhai Kaiyuan Fund, emphasizes that the decline of the US dollar index will drive the appreciation of the RMB, which is already evident [3] - Goldman Sachs' Chief Economist for China, Shan Hui, projects that the RMB will reach approximately 6.85 against the USD by the end of 2026, indicating a controlled impact of the appreciation on export companies [3][4]
A股三大指数下挫,军工股大回调,AI应用尾盘跳水,贵金属多股创新高,黄金白银下跌
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-13 07:32
Market Overview - A-shares experienced a collective pullback on January 13, with the Shanghai Composite Index ending a 17-day winning streak, closing down 0.64% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached a historical high of 3.7 trillion [1] Sector Performance - Significant declines were observed in various sectors, including commercial aerospace, satellite internet, and military industries, with many stocks dropping over 8% [3] - The large aircraft and military sectors also faced downturns, with several stocks hitting the daily limit down [3] - The commercial aerospace index fell by 6.15%, with a net outflow of 230.78 billion [4] Individual Stock Movements - Over 1,600 stocks rose, with more than 70 stocks hitting the daily limit up, while the commercial aerospace sector saw over 60 stocks limit down or drop more than 10% [3] - Specific stocks such as Aerospace Electronics and Beidou Star Communication experienced significant declines, with many stocks in the sector down by nearly 10% [7] Investment Insights - Analysts suggest that the current market sentiment may indicate a nearing peak, with potential for further structural upward trends despite short-term volatility [12] - Key investment strategies include avoiding speculative risks in popular sectors, focusing on policy-driven industries, and maintaining diversified portfolios to balance risk and return [14] - The emphasis is on sectors with strong earnings growth and valuation alignment, particularly in technology manufacturing and innovative healthcare [14]