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如若是场长久的“慢牛”,何妨一时降降温
天天基金网· 2025-09-05 11:11
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of a "slow bull" market for sustainable growth in the A-share market, suggesting that a cooling-off period is essential for the longevity of the market trend [2][8][19]. Market Cooling's Positive Significance - Valuation returns to a reasonable range, releasing risks from previously overheated sectors and revealing investment value [4]. - The optimization of the chip structure allows for the exit of short-term speculative chips, providing more opportunities for long-term investment funds [4]. - A healthier investment ecosystem is created as market volatility decreases, making it more attractive for medium to long-term capital to enter the market [4]. Historical Context and Investor Sentiment - From May to mid-August, the Shanghai Composite Index showed monthly increases of 2.09%, 2.90%, 3.74%, and 3.46%, indicating a slow but sustainable upward trend [5]. - A slow bull market is characterized by consistent upward movement in the index, reasonable valuation increases, and sustained investor confidence without excessive optimism [20]. - Historical examples illustrate that fast bull markets often lead to fleeting gains, while slow bull markets allow for real value creation and wealth distribution over time [11][18]. Structural Changes and Future Outlook - The current macro environment, market systems, and investor behaviors have undergone significant changes, suggesting a potential for a slow bull market [23]. - The unique safety of the A-share market and supportive policies since September 2024 have created a conducive environment for a slow bull market [24]. - A shift in wealth allocation is occurring, with a decrease in the proportion of housing assets in family wealth and a significant increase in public fund sizes, indicating a trend towards equity investments [26]. Investment Strategy - In a slow bull market, investors should focus on long-term trends rather than short-term fluctuations, with an emphasis on sectors like artificial intelligence [30]. - A dividend-based investment approach, supplemented by capital gains, remains a viable strategy in a slow bull market [31]. - Investors are encouraged to adopt a rational mindset, understanding the importance of time in realizing returns and managing risks effectively [36].
【网络安全宣传周】最全网络安全指南,你知道几个?
天天基金网· 2025-09-05 11:11
2025年9月15日-9月21日 树立正确的网络安全观 2025年国家网络安全宣传周 网络让时空不再成为交流的阻碍,但也让我们每一个人都变得"透明"。 一个人的全部信息在网络上无所遁形,诈骗短信、垃圾邮件、钓鱼网站等一系列安全问题也将随之而来。 关注网络环境,加强警惕意识,提升防范技能,是我们每一个人都必须要做的事。 人民日报整理了一份最全的网络安全知识,快来看一看你知道多少? A … 关于电信诈骗 U WEEF "8个凡是"全属诈骗! 1凡是自称公检法要求汇款的 2凡是叫你汇款到"安全账户"的 3凡是通知中奖、领奖要你先交钱的 4凡是通知"家属"出事要先汇款的 5凡是在电话中索要银行卡信息及验证码的 6凡是让你开通网银接受检查的 7凡是自称领导要求汇款的 8凡是陌生网站要登记银行卡信息的 总结:电话里谈到钱,就要小心! @人民日报 … 关于电信诈骗 WEET "6个一律"请记好! 1只要一谈到银行卡,一律挂掉 2只要一谈到中奖了,一律挂掉 3只要一谈到"电话转接公检法"的一律挂掉 4所有短信,让我点击链接的,一律删掉 5微信不认识的人发来的链接,一律不点 6一提到"安全账户"的一律是诈骗 @人民目报 … 关 ...
2.55万亿!农行成新“宇宙行”,总市值首次登顶A股
天天基金网· 2025-09-05 11:11
以下文章来源于财经图解 ,作者乘桴于海 财经图解 . 关于A股市值第一的争夺方面,数据显示,自2006年工商银行上市后,A股市值第一就只在工商银行、中国石油和贵州茅台三股之间进行变更,直到现在 农业银行首次登顶才打破这一格局。 2006年10月,工商银行上市伊始就成为A股市值第一,直至次年11月中国石油上市才被超越。中国石油上市首日,盘中最高市值超8.8万亿元,而当日工行 的总市值为2.6万亿元,中国石油上市首日即登顶。 此后多年中国石油股价持续走低,领先优势持续收窄,至2015年9月被工商银行反超,当时两者的市值均在1.5万亿元左右。贵州茅台当时的市值只有约 2400亿元,但此后股价持续走强,2020年6月市值反超工商银行登顶A股时,贵州茅台的市值已涨至1.8万亿元。 2021年12月贵州茅台市值创下3.27万亿元的历史纪录后震荡回落,叠加2023年起银行股走高,此消彼长之下工商银行自2025年初开始坐稳A股市值第一。 再到当前,农行市值首超工商银行登顶A股,成为了新"宇宙行"。 财经大事早知道,关注东方财富股票! 农业银行总市值首超工商银行完成登顶,A股"宇宙行"桂冠变更。 9月4日,农业银行涨超5%再创 ...
高位加仓?富时中国A50指数九月调仓名单一览
天天基金网· 2025-09-05 11:11
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the quarterly review changes of the FTSE China A50 index announced by FTSE Russell, highlighting the inclusion and exclusion of specific stocks and the implications for investment funds tracking the index [5][6]. Group 1: Index Changes - Four stocks, including BeiGene, NewEase, WuXi AppTec, and Zhongji Xuchuang, will be added to the FTSE China A50 index, while China Nuclear Power, China Unicom, Guodian NARI, and Wanhua Chemical will be removed [5]. - The newly added stocks belong to the innovative drug and CPO sectors, while the removed stocks are from traditional industries such as utilities and telecommunications [5]. - The newly included stocks have shown significant price increases this year, with NewEase and Zhongji Xuchuang rising over 200%, and BeiGene and WuXi AppTec around 90% [5]. Group 2: Market Impact - The estimated size of passive funds tracking the FTSE China A50 index exceeds $10 billion, indicating that changes in constituent stocks can lead to substantial capital flows, potentially in the hundreds of millions to billions [5]. - Investors have raised concerns about the inclusion of stocks perceived as overvalued and whether this adjustment is a strategy for foreign capital to take over high-priced stocks [6]. - The adjustment is based on market capitalization and liquidity criteria, with the review conducted quarterly, using data from the third Friday of February, May, August, and November [6].
新品降价!余承东:三折叠屏堪称“炒股神器”
天天基金网· 2025-09-05 05:12
Core Viewpoint - Huawei has launched the world's second commercial three-fold smartphone, the Huawei Mate XTs, which features significant upgrades in hardware and software, targeting the financial market with specialized applications [2][3][14]. Group 1: Product Features and Specifications - The Huawei Mate XTs has a fully expanded size of 10.2 inches, comparable to a mini tablet, and integrates financial applications for stock trading [2]. - It is powered by the new Kirin 9020 chip and the latest HarmonyOS, with a performance improvement of 36% [3][14]. - The device features a dual-track hinge system for enhanced durability, with a tensile strength of 2400MPa, and an impact resistance improvement of 35% [12][14]. - The phone supports satellite communication and boasts significant improvements in video upload and download speeds, with increases of 76% and 105% respectively [14]. Group 2: Pricing and Market Position - The starting price of the Huawei Mate XTs is set at 17,999 yuan, which is a reduction of 2,000 yuan compared to the previous generation [5][14]. - Huawei holds a 75% market share in the foldable smartphone segment, with cumulative shipments exceeding 10 million units, making it the first brand in China to reach this milestone [9][15]. - The company has established a diverse product lineup in the foldable screen market, including dual-fold, three-fold, and wide-fold designs [14]. Group 3: Market Outlook and Future Projections - According to IDC, the Chinese foldable smartphone market is expected to see a year-on-year growth of 12.6% in total shipments by the first half of 2025, with Huawei projected to maintain a leading position [15]. - The forecast indicates that the total shipment volume of foldable smartphones in China will reach 9.47 million units by 2025, reflecting strong growth potential [15].
刚刚,锂电板块大涨
天天基金网· 2025-09-05 05:12
Market Overview - On September 5, A-shares opened mixed with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.11%, Shenzhen Component Index up 0.18%, and ChiNext Index up 0.49% [2][3] - As of the report, the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.06% to 3763.68 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.26% to 12271.22 points, and the ChiNext Index rose by 2.29% to 2839.96 points [2][3] Sector Performance - Solid-state batteries, photovoltaics, energy storage, and lithium batteries saw significant gains, with Tianhong Lithium's stock hitting the daily limit, and companies like Lijia Technology and Xianhui Technology also rising [4] - Aiyue Lithium Energy opened with a surge, increasing over 11% at the time of reporting [6] Key Stocks - Tianhong Lithium: +29.98% in the last five days, +78.80% overall [5] - Lijia Technology: +23.13% in the last five days, +62.80% overall [5] - Xianhui Technology: +9.50% in the last five days, +10.77% overall [5] - Ningde Times: increased over 4% [4] Policy Impact - On September 4, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration for Market Regulation issued the "Action Plan for Stable Growth in the Electronic Information Manufacturing Industry (2025-2026)" [8] - The plan aims for an average growth rate of around 7% in the added value of major electronic manufacturing industries, with an overall annual revenue growth rate exceeding 5% when including lithium batteries, photovoltaics, and related components [8] Film and Entertainment Sector - The film and cinema sector showed active performance, with China Film hitting the daily limit and companies like Happiness Blue Sea, Shanghai Film, and Hengdian Film also rising [9] - China Film: +10.04% with a 5-day increase of +7.75% [10]
A股上涨空间仍在,瑞银最新展望!海外投资者态度越发积极
天天基金网· 2025-09-05 05:12
Core Viewpoint - Investor confidence in Chinese assets is increasing, with a notable rise in overseas investors' willingness to allocate to non-USD assets, particularly Chinese assets, indicating a potential strong year for Chinese assets [2][3]. Group 1: Foreign Investment Trends - As of June, foreign investors' holdings in A-shares exceeded 3 trillion RMB, accounting for 7.4% of the total free float market capitalization of A-shares [2]. - The number of overseas investors from the US and the Middle East attending the UBS A-share seminar has significantly increased compared to previous years [2]. - Recent data suggests that foreign capital is gradually increasing its allocation to Chinese assets, driven by expectations of potential Fed rate cuts and a stabilizing PPI in China [2][4]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Economic Policies - The growth of ETFs and new trading rules have heightened the attention of trading-oriented foreign capital towards the Chinese market, while allocation-oriented foreign capital remains cautious, focusing on the sustainability of fundamental policies [4]. - Since September of last year, foreign investors' attitudes towards China have become more positive, supported by domestic policies providing a protective floor for A-shares and the emergence of new economic themes [4][5]. - The current global low-interest rate environment, combined with domestic low rates, has created a favorable liquidity environment for capital inflow into the Chinese stock market [4]. Group 3: A-share Market Dynamics - The narrative of building an investor-centric financial market in A-shares has been realized, with a slow bull market expected to continue [7]. - The current market rally is largely liquidity-driven, with indicators suggesting that individual investor participation is still low, indicating that the shift in household investment behavior is just beginning [7][8]. - Growth stocks are favored, with expectations that the second half of the year will favor growth styles for investors, although structural market dynamics may shift from small-cap growth to large-cap growth [8]. Group 4: Earnings and Valuation Outlook - A-share earnings are expected to improve this year, with a projected growth rate of around 6% for the full year, driven by a favorable base effect [10]. - Despite the recovery in A-share valuations, the decline in government bond yields is expected to push A-share valuations higher, as the market remains relatively attractive compared to historical averages [10]. - The technology sector is anticipated to continue its momentum, supported by policy backing and changing industry trends, with further room for valuation increases as fundamental performance improves [11].
重要数据不及预期!美联储9月降息概率提升
天天基金网· 2025-09-05 05:12
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rising expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September, driven by disappointing ADP employment data for August, which is seen as a significant factor supporting the potential increase in gold prices in the fourth quarter [2][6]. Economic Data Summary - The ADP employment data for August showed an increase of only 54,000 jobs, significantly below the expected 65,000 and revised down from a previous increase of 104,000 [6]. - The labor market growth in the U.S. is indicated to be slowing, which may influence the Federal Reserve's decision-making regarding interest rates [6]. Market Reactions - Following the ADP data release, U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones down 0.04%, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 rose by 0.04% and 0.08%, respectively [4][5]. - U.S. Treasury yields mostly declined, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping to 4.188%, marking a new low for the past four months [6]. Gold and Commodity Market - The article notes that the international gold price experienced a slight decline but remains above the $3,600 per ounce mark, with COMEX gold futures down 0.90% [10][11]. - Oil prices also continued to decline, with both NYMEX and ICE crude oil futures dropping over 1% [10][11]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the Federal Reserve is likely to restart interest rate cuts in September, with a potential total reduction of 50 basis points by the end of the year [6]. - The World Gold Council is planning to launch "digital gold," which aims to create a new way of trading, settling, and using gold as collateral, potentially enhancing the investment value of gold [15].
10000亿元,央行出手!
天天基金网· 2025-09-05 05:11
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is conducting a 1 trillion yuan buyout reverse repurchase operation to maintain liquidity in the banking system, indicating a supportive monetary policy stance amid tightening liquidity conditions [2][3][4]. Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - On September 5, the PBOC will conduct a 1 trillion yuan buyout reverse repurchase operation with a term of 3 months (91 days) [2]. - The buyout reverse repo tool, launched in October 2024, allows the central bank to lend funds to the market by purchasing specific bonds from primary dealers, enhancing liquidity management [3]. - As of early September 2025, the PBOC has conducted multiple buyout reverse repo operations, with the current operation aimed at stabilizing market expectations and supporting government bond issuance [3][6]. Group 2: Market Conditions and Expectations - In September, the government bond issuance is at a peak, with commercial bank interbank certificates maturing at 3.5 trillion yuan, the second-highest level of the year [3]. - Analysts predict that the liquidity gap in September may narrow compared to August, with limited government bond supply disturbances expected [3][4]. - The PBOC is likely to implement a reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut in the fourth quarter to maintain liquidity and encourage bank lending [4]. Group 3: Future Operations and Coordination - The PBOC is expected to conduct another 300 billion yuan 6-month buyout reverse repo operation in September, along with potential increases in medium-term lending facility (MLF) operations [6]. - A recent meeting between the Ministry of Finance and the PBOC emphasized the importance of coordinating fiscal and monetary policies to support economic recovery and ensure the smooth operation of the bond market [6].
“医药一哥”,大消息!
天天基金网· 2025-09-05 05:11
Core Viewpoint - Heng Rui Medicine has signed a licensing agreement with Braveheart Bio for the innovative drug HRS-1893, which could yield milestone payments up to $1.013 billion [5][8]. Group 1: Licensing Agreement Details - The agreement allows Braveheart Bio exclusive rights to develop, produce, and commercialize HRS-1893 globally, excluding Greater China [7]. - HRS-1893 is a Myosin selective inhibitor currently in Phase III clinical development for treating obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (oHCM) [7]. - Braveheart Bio will pay an upfront fee of $65 million, including $32.5 million in cash and $32.5 million in equity, plus an additional $10 million upon technology transfer completion [8]. Group 2: Financial Implications - Heng Rui Medicine is eligible for milestone payments related to clinical development and sales, potentially reaching $1.013 billion [5][8]. - The agreement is expected to enhance Heng Rui's international market presence and improve its innovative brand and overseas performance [8]. Group 3: Recent Developments - Heng Rui Medicine has initiated its first A-share buyback, purchasing 270,000 shares at a total cost of approximately 18.31 million yuan [11]. - The company reported a revenue of 15.761 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.88%, with a net profit of 4.450 billion yuan, up 29.67% [12].