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中国不买美国大豆,特朗普拟禁中国食用油
日经中文网· 2025-10-15 07:55
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant decline in U.S. soybean exports to China, which has dropped to zero, raising alarms within the industry and prompting potential government intervention to support affected farmers [2][4]. Group 1: Impact on U.S. Soybean Industry - The U.S. Soybean Association's president indicated that the zero procurement from China is a critical issue for the industry, warranting the highest level of concern [2][4]. - Historically, China has been the largest buyer of U.S. grains, accounting for approximately 25% of total U.S. grain exports [4]. - The current soybean harvest season, which runs from September to November, has begun without any orders from China, contrasting with previous years [4]. Group 2: Shift in Procurement Sources - In response to the trade tensions, China has significantly reduced its purchases of U.S. soybeans, with Brazilian soybeans now making up 70% of China's total soybean imports [4]. - China has also diversified its soybean procurement channels to include countries like Argentina [4]. Group 3: Government Response - The Trump administration is considering implementing a subsidy policy to assist soybean farmers affected by the lack of Chinese orders [4].
"高市首相"双向布局:稳党内和分化在野党
日经中文网· 2025-10-15 07:55
高市早苗出席自民党的两院议员恳谈会(10月14日,自民党总部) 在恳谈会上,有人指出,关于导致公明党退出执政联盟的政治资金问题,"外界普遍认为我们的政治改 革严重滞后"。也有人着眼于未来与公明党的选举合作,呼吁"不应与公明党陷入对立"。 "总总分离"论抬头 会上还出现了党首(总裁)与首相(内阁总理大臣)由不同人士担任的"总总分离"提议。若该方案落 地,现任首相石破茂将继续任职。 尽管会上对自民党执行部的批评并不突出,但党内不满情绪暗流涌动。原二阶派的部分议员明确表示, 在首相提名选举中可能不投票给高市,"甚至有可能倒戈"。一名当选过两次众议院议员的自民党成员 说:"无法接受选举合作终止的结果,希望能恢复执政联盟"。 石破政权的一名阁僚批评高市领导的执行部引发了公明党退出,并抱怨道:"很难说他们理解公明党的 敏感诉求"。该阁僚认为,高市团队任命政治资金收支报告存在大量未申报问题的萩生田光一担任代理 干事长,是激化矛盾的重要原因之一。 高市表示,若获得首相提名,将任命小泉进次郎为防卫相,并考虑让林芳正担任总务相。意在通过吸纳 二人入阁,营造全党团结氛围。自民党正加紧推动在野党阵营分裂,防止三个在野党推出统一候选 ...
日经Gaming精选:《Monster Hunter Now 》开服两年 开发方谈未来规划与出售影响(一)
日经中文网· 2025-10-15 02:55
Core Insights - Niantic's location-based game "Monster Hunter Now" launched in September 2023 and has gained significant popularity, with downloads exceeding 20 million by April 2025, indicating strong operational performance [5]. Group 1: Game Development and Popularity - "Monster Hunter Now" integrates Capcom's popular IP and has successfully created a unique gaming experience where players can team up to hunt monsters in the real world [5]. - The game's development was inspired by the curiosity of what it would be like if monsters from the "Monster Hunter" universe appeared in the real world, aligning with Niantic's mission to explore the world together [5]. Group 2: Future Prospects and Company Strategy - Niantic's strategy includes expanding service content while promoting offline activities, which has contributed to the game's sustained popularity [5]. - The company announced a significant shift in March 2025, planning to sell "Pokémon GO" and other games to Scopely, marking a pivotal moment for Niantic [3].
IMF上调2025年全球增长预期至3.2%
日经中文网· 2025-10-15 02:55
IMF每季度都会重新评估经济展望。美国宣布对等关税后的4月展望将2025年经济增长率下调0.5个百分 点,但7月和10月连续上调,合计恢复0.4个百分点。 国际货币基金组织和世界银行的年会(10月13日,美国华盛顿,Reuters) 中国的增长率维持了从2024年的5.0%降至2025年的4.8%、2026年降至4.2%这一上次预测。目前针对中 国的稀土出口管制,美国总统特朗普表示将加征100%的关税,但并未反映在此次展望中…… 10月14日,国际货币基金组织(IMF)将2025年的全球经济增长率展望上调至3.2%,较上次的7月上调 0.2个百分点。这反映了美国与主要国家和地区关税谈判取得的进展。虽然是可以避免急速下滑的预 期,但IMF新提出了"人工智能(AI)热潮崩溃"这一风险。 2025年的3.2%增长预期,与美国大选前的2024年10月的展望相同。此次预测2026年增长率为3.1%,与7 月相同。在避免急速下滑的同时,预计从达到3.3%的2024年起,维持缓慢减速。 美国2025年经济增长率提高0.1个百分点,至2.0%,欧元区也提高0.2个百分点至1.2%。欧盟和日本7月 以后与美国就关税谈判达成协议 ...
谁是下任日本首相取决于这两个党的动向
日经中文网· 2025-10-15 02:55
日本或在10月21日召开临时国会的当天实施首相提名选举。自民党正在寻求获得国民民主党的合作。而国民民主党与立宪民主 党、维新会也将展开磋商组成在野党联盟。一方面,公明党的应对方式也有可能导致局势发生变化…… 10月14日,日本自民党向立宪民主党传达了在21日召开临时国会来确定下任首相的方针。目前已出现召开国会当天实施首相提 名选举的方案,各政党将有一周时间采取行动来组建多数派。谁能成为下任日本首相的胜败取决于国民民主党和公明党的动 向。 日本自民党干事长铃木俊一10月14日在国会内与国民民主党干事长榛叶贺津也举行会谈,请求对方在首相提名方面给予合作。 会谈结束后,铃木向记者团提到,将设立探讨政治资金问题应对措施的磋商机制等,同时称:"希望获得对方的信任,并得到配 合"。 另一方面,玉木对成为在野党统一候选人持谨慎态度,并向立宪民主党提出,实现合作的条件是立宪方面修改国家安全保障及 核电站相关政策。在野党联盟能否实现,取决于国民民主党的判断。 立宪民主党、维新会、国民民主党3党的干事长在14日的会谈上达成共识,决定15日举行3党党首会谈,协商首相提名选举的应 对方案。 如果在野党联盟得以成立,拥有24个议席的公 ...
中美对立波及第三国,中国制裁韩国船企
日经中文网· 2025-10-15 02:55
Group 1 - The ongoing US-China rivalry is increasingly involving third countries, with the US tightening export controls on high-tech products to China and including third-country companies in sanctions [1][8] - Japan is under pressure to align its semiconductor sales with US restrictions on China, indicating a complex economic relationship with both the US and China [1][3] - China's Ministry of Commerce announced sanctions against five US subsidiaries of South Korea's Hanwha Ocean for their involvement in a US investigation into China's shipbuilding practices, citing threats to China's sovereignty and security [1][3] Group 2 - The sanctions against Hanwha's subsidiaries are based on China's Anti-Foreign Sanctions Law, which prohibits assistance to foreign entities that impose discriminatory measures against Chinese companies [3][5] - The US investigation into China's shipbuilding industry, initiated under Section 301 of the Trade Act, aims to revitalize the US shipbuilding sector, which has lagged behind South Korea and Japan [5][6] - The timeline of events includes the US investigation starting in April 2024, with subsequent actions and responses from both the US and China, culminating in the sanctions on October 14, 2024 [6][7] Group 3 - Hanwha Ocean's acquisition of the Philadelphia shipyard for $100 million in 2024 is part of its strategy to enhance shipbuilding capabilities in the US, but the recent sanctions may lead to hesitance in future investments by South Korean companies in the US [7][8] - The potential for further sanctions against third-country companies that assist the US government in investigations against China raises concerns for international businesses navigating the US-China tensions [8][9]
世博会结束后,这里将变身国际娱乐中心
日经中文网· 2025-10-14 08:00
Group 1 - The Osaka Kansai Expo site will undergo redevelopment, retaining only a 200-meter section of the 2-kilometer circular roof and part of the Osaka Health Care Pavilion, with all other pavilions set to be demolished [2][4] - The redevelopment will occur in two phases, with the first phase involving the tendering of approximately 42 hectares of central area land expected to begin around spring 2026 [4] - Plans for the redevelopment include a "world-class water park" and facilities aimed at attracting F1 events, with a focus on creating a long-stay resort [4] Group 2 - The adjacent area will feature Japan's first integrated resort (IR), with construction already underway and a planned opening in 2030, aiming to attract 30 million visitors annually [2] - The integrated resort will include a casino, luxury hotels, and an international conference center capable of accommodating over 6,000 people [4]
日经平均股指大跌2.58%
日经中文网· 2025-10-14 08:00
Market Overview - The Nikkei average index closed at 46,847 points on October 14, down 1,241 points (2.58%) from the previous weekend, primarily due to political uncertainty following the Komeito party's exit from the ruling coalition with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and concerns over US-China tensions [2][4]. Political Impact - The exit of the Komeito party has led to increased political uncertainty, causing investors to withdraw from the market. The volatility index (Nikkei Volatility Index, VI) reached around 34, the highest level since April 22, indicating heightened market anxiety [4]. - Analysts express concerns about the potential for a change in government if opposition parties unite, which could lead to a lack of clarity in policy execution and delays in investments in growth sectors, further impacting the Japanese stock market [4]. Stock Performance - Stocks that were previously bought during the "Takaichi trade" following the appointment of LDP President Sanae Takaichi saw significant declines, with defense-related IHI shares dropping over 3% and cybersecurity stocks like NEC falling more than 4% [4]. - Despite the overall market decline, some stocks showed resilience, with Yaskawa Electric rising by 7% amid speculation that the exit of the Komeito party would not significantly impact corporate performance [5]. Market Sentiment - There is a prevailing market assumption that the LDP will continue to govern as a minority party, leading to expectations of limited market declines despite potential operational gridlock [5]. - Some analysts noted stronger-than-expected buying demand, suggesting that the broader fiscal expansion framework would remain unchanged even after the Komeito's exit from the coalition [5].
广场协议40年(5)穿越“货币G零”的日企
日经中文网· 2025-10-14 08:00
Core Insights - The article discusses the strategic shift of Japanese companies, particularly Ajinomoto, towards local production and sales to mitigate currency risks and reduce reliance on the US dollar and Japanese yen [5][8]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Ajinomoto's popular seasoning product "Sazon" has been sold in Brazil for over 30 years, with production and sales primarily conducted in local currency, the Brazilian real [2]. - The proportion of Japan's exports to Asia priced in US dollars has decreased from over 50% a decade ago to 46% by the first half of 2025, while local currencies, especially the Chinese yuan, have increased in significance [5]. Group 2: Financial Strategies - Ajinomoto utilizes 20 to 30 different currencies for transactions, with a global finance department in Tokyo managing currency risks by minimizing discrepancies between foreign currency assets and liabilities [4]. - The company has adopted a "local production for local consumption" model over the past 40 years, which has strengthened its resilience against currency fluctuations [4][8]. Group 3: Historical Context - The strategic shift towards local manufacturing was catalyzed by the Plaza Accord in 1985, which led to a significant appreciation of the yen and a decline in exports, with export revenue dropping from 41.6 billion yen in 1984 to approximately 22.1 billion yen by 1988 [5]. - Japanese companies have learned from past currency volatility, leading to a business model that does not rely on either the US dollar or the Japanese yen [5][8]. Group 4: Local Financing Initiatives - The Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC) has been providing local financing to Japanese companies through partnerships with local banks since 2011, indicating a growing trend of local corporate development [7]. - Mitsubishi UFJ Bank's acquisition of a Thai bank in 2013 exemplifies the move towards establishing local credit mechanisms in emerging markets [7].