Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and antimony industries [12]. Core Views - The gold market is expected to maintain an upward trend due to the Federal Reserve's ongoing interest rate cut cycle [12]. - Short-term demand for copper and aluminum may weaken, but long-term supply-demand dynamics are expected to remain tight [12]. - Tin prices are supported by tight supply, while antimony prices are expected to remain weak in the short term but are supported by long-term supply constraints [12]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector (Shenwan) saw a 6.3% increase over one month, 8.6% over three months, and 16.7% over twelve months, outperforming the CSI 300 index [3][21]. Gold Market - The average gold price in London was $3,331.90 per ounce, up 1.83% from the previous week [32]. - The SPDR gold ETF holdings decreased by 230,000 ounces to 30.47 million ounces [33]. Copper Market - LME copper closed at $9,880 per ton, a 0.25% increase from the previous week, while SHFE copper closed at 79,990 yuan per ton, a 0.11% decrease [41]. - Domestic copper social inventory was reported at 131,800 tons, a 0.17% increase from the previous week [41]. Aluminum Market - Domestic electrolytic aluminum price was 20,750 yuan per ton, down 0.91% from the previous week [42]. - The operating rate of leading aluminum profile enterprises was reported at 49.5%, a slight decrease of 0.5 percentage points [42]. Tin Market - Domestic refined tin price was 267,820 yuan per ton, down 0.88% from the previous week [43]. - LME tin inventory decreased by 65 tons to 2,110 tons [43]. Antimony Market - Domestic antimony ingot price was 185,500 yuan per ton, down 2.11% from the previous week [43]. Recommended Stocks - Gold industry recommendations include Zhongjin Gold, Shandong Gold, and Chifeng Jilong Gold [12]. - Copper industry recommendations include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Western Mining [12]. - Aluminum industry recommendations include Shenhuo Co., Yunnan Aluminum, and Tianshan Aluminum [12]. - Tin industry recommendations include Xiyang Silver Tin and Huaxi Nonferrous [12].

| | | 投资咨询业务资格· 证监作司 【2011】1292号 2025年6月23日 星期一 Z0015979 | | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 車位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SMM 0#锌锭 | 22030 | 21990 | +40.00 | 0.18% | 元/吨 | | 升贴水 | ت ت ج | 140 | -25.00 | / | 元/吨 | | SMM 0#锌锭 (广东) | 22000 | 21970 | +30.00 | 0.14% | 元/吨 | | 升贴水(广东) | 220 | 302 | -85.00 | / | 元/吨 | | 比价和盈亏 | | | | | | | | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | | 单位 | | 进口盈亏 | -585 | -491 | -93.73 | | 元/吨 | | 沪伦比值 | 8.32 | 8.34 | -0.03 | | / | | 月间价差 | | | | | | | | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | | 单位 | | 2507-2508 | 170 | 182 | ...

有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/06/19 铜 ： 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2025/06/12 95 990 107404 32785 -642.66 374.84 38.0 60.0 85.51 116850 68125 2025/06/13 50 660 - 36269 -901.68 236.81 38.0 60.0 73.41 114475 63625 2025/06/16 25 570 - 47051 -854.45 266.19 39.0 60.0 95.59 107325 56325 2025/06/17 230 804 - 54541 -1307.92 -170.98 39.0 60.0 122.77 107550 54600 2025/06/18 190 827 - 47014 -1191.00 9.70 40.0 61.0 105.96 107350 53175 变化 -40 23 - -7527 116.92 180 ...

有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/06/13 铜 ： 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2025/06/06 75 974 107404 32278 -1323.74 19.48 41.0 65.0 69.84 132400 77800 2025/06/09 70 944 107404 34242 -1215.58 217.42 43.0 66.0 95.78 122400 67800 2025/06/10 90 1043 107404 33746 -1195.14 161.13 43.0 66.0 84.10 120400 71725 2025/06/11 90 1103 107404 33373 -874.85 136.66 38.0 60.0 55.49 119450 70700 2025/06/12 95 990 107404 32785 -642.66 374.84 38.0 60.0 85.51 116850 68125 变化 5 -113 ...

锡 ： | 日期 | 现货进口收益 | 现货出口收益 | 锡持仓 | LME C-3M | LME库存 | LME注销仓单 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/05/27 | -10819.50 | -24919.57 | 48480 | -111 | 2660 | 375 | | 2025/05/28 | -3334.52 | -31350.77 | 52484 | -55 | 2680 | 545 | | 2025/05/29 | -5734.59 | -28569.64 | 52130 | -72 | 2680 | 555 | | 2025/05/30 | -7455.23 | -26155.01 | 58096 | -78 | 2680 | 555 | | 2025/06/03 | -15695.14 | -19012.96 | 60730 | -79 | 2605 | 480 | | 变化 | -8239.91 | 7142.05 | 2634 | -1 | -75 | -75 | 有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/06/04 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究（有⾊每⽇报告） 2025-05-29 美元走势偏弱，有色下方仍有支撑 有⾊观点：美元⾛势偏弱，有⾊下⽅仍有⽀撑 交易逻辑：5月欧美制造业PMI初值好于预期且回升，美元指数延续弱 势；上周末前特朗普威胁6月1日起对欧洲加税50%，但随后延期至7月 9日，这意味着美国关税政策仍有反复，不过整体略偏正面。供需面 来看，基本金属供需有再度趋紧迹象，库存整体重回去化，并且像铜 等品种再度出现矿端扰动的问题。中短期来看，现实供需基本面支撑 有望再度趋强，宏观面预期有反复，但偏正面，主要关注结构性机 会，谨慎关注供应端有扰动品种的短多机会，比如：铜铝锡等，中长 期来看，基本金属需求前景仍存在不确定性，可关注部分供需偏过剩 或者预期过剩品种的逢高沽空机会。 铜观点：供应端再现扰动，铜价⾼位震荡。 氧化铝观点：现货涨势放缓，氧化铝盘⾯回落。 铝观点：贸易紧张局势缓解，铝价偏强震荡。 锌观点：检修消息逐步消化，锌价再度回落。 铅观点：成本⽀撑暂稳，铅价震荡运⾏。 镍观点：供需整体偏弱，短期镍价震荡偏弱。 不锈钢观点：盘⾯⼤幅下跌，现货升⽔⾛阔。 锡观点：供给端出现扰动 ...