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创新药集体上涨的追本溯源,是一波流还是可持续行情?
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-20 08:19
近期创新药行情如火如荼,这里到底是为何呢? 截至 5 月,全球大型跨国药企引进的创新药项目中,42% 来自中国企业,交易总金额超 370 亿美元(接近 2023 年全年水平)。 技术追赶。ASCO大会中国医药公司表现非常的亮眼, 中国药企贡献 73 项口头报告,首次有 11 项入选 "最新突破摘要"(LBA),涵盖肿瘤免疫、ADC 等前沿领域,与跨国药企同台竞 技。 这个抢了大部分海外头部医药公司的风头创新药企业 出海战略的成功不仅带来现金流(如首付 款和里程碑收入),更通过国际多中心临床试验(如 ASCO 会议上 73 项口头报告)提升品 牌影响力,为后续产品出海奠定基础。 其实可以拆分成主要的三个原因: 政策支持。 2024年出台的《全链条支持创新药发展实施方案》为创新药产业构建了覆盖从研 发到商业化的系统性支持体系,尤其突出价格机制、医保支付与商业保险三大核心环节的协同 作用 。 这个简单说就是要保证创新药企业卖药有钱可赚;将创新药进入医保名单的速度加快, 快速通 道进入医保谈判,显著缩短上市后放量周期 。 除此之外, 优先审评审批政策持续推进,如 5 月 29 日单日获批 11 款创新药(含 7 款 ...
谁在定义新消费信仰?消费巨变进行时
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-20 08:08
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the shift in consumer behavior in China, highlighting the rise of "new consumption" and its contrast with traditional consumption, emphasizing the importance of emotional value in purchasing decisions [1][2][4][30]. Group 1: Current Consumption Landscape - Domestic consumption in China accounts for less than 40% of GDP, compared to 70% in the US and 60% in Japan, indicating significant growth potential [3]. - There is a notable disparity in the consumption market, with traditional sectors declining while new consumption categories are thriving [4][5]. - Traditional dining categories are struggling, with brands like 湊湊火锅 closing 73 stores and incurring losses exceeding 3.5 billion yuan, while new tea beverage brands like 蜜雪冰城 are rapidly expanding [6]. Group 2: Traditional vs. New Consumption - Traditional consumption focuses on essential daily needs, while new consumption shifts towards "self-pleasing" demands [21][22]. - The rise of "emotional consumption" is evident, with over 40% of young consumers prioritizing emotional value in their purchases [31]. - The concept of new consumption encompasses various sectors, including snack retail and new tea beverages, reflecting a broader trend towards personalized and emotional purchasing [34]. Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The article notes that new consumption trends are not merely a passing fad but are rooted in changing consumer environments and behaviors [54]. - Despite the current enthusiasm for new consumption, many companies are experiencing stock price corrections, indicating potential overvaluation [52][53]. - Long-term prospects for sectors like pet economy and new consumer electronics appear promising, with emerging trends suggesting continued growth [55][56].
创新药集体上涨的追本溯源,是一波流还是可持续行情?
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-20 08:08
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the innovative drug market is driven by three main factors: policy support, improved liquidity, and positive performance indicators [1][2][3] Group 1: Policy Support - The implementation of the "Full Chain Support for Innovative Drug Development" plan in 2024 establishes a systematic support framework for the innovative drug industry, emphasizing the collaboration of pricing mechanisms, medical insurance payments, and commercial insurance [1] - The acceleration of the inclusion of innovative drugs into the medical insurance list and the establishment of a fast track for negotiations significantly shorten the post-launch volume cycle [1] - Continuous promotion of priority review and approval policies has led to record approvals, with 11 innovative drugs approved in a single day on May 29, marking a five-year high for the same period [1] Group 2: Improved Liquidity - After enduring difficult times, innovative drug companies are now entering a harvest season, aided by the anticipated interest rate cuts in the U.S. in 2024, which will facilitate financing and reduce costs [2] - Many companies that faced cash flow issues between 2019 and 2021 are now achieving milestone results in drug development [2] - By 2025, China's innovative drugs are expected to enter a "golden period" for overseas expansion, with transaction amounts and numbers reaching historical highs [2] Group 3: Performance Indicators - Chinese pharmaceutical companies showcased impressive performances at the ASCO conference, contributing 73 oral presentations, with 11 selected for "Latest Breakthrough Abstracts," covering cutting-edge fields like tumor immunology and ADC [2] - The successful overseas strategies of innovative drug companies not only generate cash flow through upfront payments and milestone revenues but also enhance brand influence through international multi-center clinical trials [2] - The innovative drug ETF has been a market leader from the beginning of the year, reflecting the positive impact of policy, liquidity, and performance improvements [3]
价值投资:安全边际与企业内在价值双维筛选|嘉宾重磅来袭
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-20 08:08
7 月 4 日 -5 日,【 格隆汇中期策略峰会 2025 】将在深圳拉开帷幕。 在两天的会期里将分别举办 2025 年格隆汇中期策略会、全球机构投资者思享会、"格隆汇金格 奖" ESG 卓越榜单发布、数十家上市公司路演汇等活动。 任文启 普通席位 388/ 人(早鸟价,原价 688/ 人) 名额 200 人 ,先到先得! 请联系专属客服购买票! 其中,全球机构投资者思享会作为峰会的重要组成部分,将邀请市场表现优异的顶级二级市场投 资人,分享其独到的投资策略和理念,同时分享其对下半年投资方向和路径的看法,为投资者锚 定航向。 本次全球机构投资者思享会我们非常荣幸的邀请到了泽元投资执行董事、 基金经理 —— 任文 启先生 莅临现场! 嘉宾介绍 泽元投资执行董事、基金经理 北京大学经济学博士、法学硕士、中国科技大学/香港科技大学经济学学 士,拥有长期经济学相关学术研究和政策研究背景,具备丰富的一级市场 VC/PE项目经验以及实业经营经验。 在泽元投资担任基金经理,并负责二级市场投资研究工作;任文启先生所 管理的泽元通宝系列产品在过去的五年里均实现正收益并获得平均年化 30%以上的复合回报。 在2025态势不断变动 ...
避险?高低切?新消费崩了!
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-19 09:56
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market continues to show weakness, with major indices declining and market sentiment remaining cold, as evidenced by a significant drop in the number of rising stocks compared to falling ones [1] Market Performance - The A-share market saw a collective decline in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.79% to 3362.11 points, the Shenzhen Component down 1.21% to 10051.97 points, and the ChiNext Index down 1.36% to 2026.82 points, with a total market turnover of 1.28 trillion yuan [1] - Despite the overall market pressure, certain sectors like military and robotics showed resilience, with military stocks such as Zhongbing Hongjian rising by 3.88% and Changcheng Military by 10.02%, indicating a preference for defensive investments amid geopolitical tensions [2] - The technology sector, particularly the robotics segment, also performed well, with stocks like Aobi Zhongguang and Jing Shan Qingji rising by 3.95% and 5.19% respectively, suggesting a recovery after a prolonged adjustment period [2] Geopolitical Events - The ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel has heightened market tensions, leading to increased interest in energy-related stocks, with indices such as the Energy Equipment and Services Index rising by 1.98% [3] - The Iranian substitute concept stocks, including Jin Niu Chemical and Xinghua Shares, saw gains of over 3%, reflecting investor optimism regarding resource demand amid geopolitical risks [3] Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong market experienced widespread declines, with the Hang Seng Index dropping 1.99% to 23237.74 points and the Hang Seng Tech Index falling 2.42%, indicating a lack of trading enthusiasm with a turnover of only 112.76 billion HKD, down nearly 40% from the previous day [4] - Major tech stocks such as Tencent, Baidu, and Alibaba all fell over 1%, while the new consumption sector also faced significant declines, with stocks like Pop Mart and Lao Pu Gold dropping over 5% [5] Market Summary - There is a noticeable increase in risk-averse sentiment, leading to a strategy of high cutting and low buying across market sectors [6]
父女齐上阵,深圳宝安冲出一家半导体IPO,深创投押注,2023年收入下滑
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-19 09:56
格隆汇新股 父女齐上阵,深圳宝安冲出一家半导体IPO,深创投押注,2023年收入下滑 原创 阅读全文 ...
国产机器人,疯狂割老外的“草”
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-19 09:56
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid growth and challenges in the lawn mowing robot industry, highlighting the increasing competition and market dynamics as domestic companies expand into overseas markets, particularly in Europe and the United States [2][5][12]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Lawn mowing robots have become a mainstream product for domestic companies entering the European and American markets, with significant sales growth reported [3][4]. - Major markets for exported lawn mowers include Germany, the UK, and the US, with Germany being the largest consumer [4][9]. - The market for lawn mowing robots is currently valued at $2.5 billion, with a sales penetration rate of only 12.5% and a volume penetration rate of 4-5% [27][29]. Group 2: Industry Challenges - The industry is experiencing a mix of successes and failures, with some companies facing operational challenges and even dissolution due to restructuring and funding issues [6][12]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with many new entrants and established players vying for market share, leading to a potential "bloodbath" in the market by 2025 [14][33]. - The survival of companies in this sector depends on their ability to innovate and manage costs effectively, as any weakness in technology, supply chain, or distribution can jeopardize their success [12][33]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The evolution of lawn mowing robots is marked by a shift from manual to fully automated systems, driven by the need for efficient lawn maintenance in outdoor spaces [15][21]. - Advanced technologies such as RTK positioning and laser radar are being integrated into lawn mowing robots to enhance their operational capabilities [25][23]. - The introduction of innovative designs, such as the use of roll blade technology, aims to address common issues with traditional mowing methods [12]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The global lawn mower market is projected to reach $32.31 billion in 2023, with an expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.0% from 2023 to 2030 [32]. - By 2030, the market for lawn mowing robots is anticipated to exceed $15.937 billion, with a penetration rate of 33% [32]. - The competitive landscape will continue to evolve, with both traditional and new players focusing on technological innovation and market penetration strategies [33][34].
风起青萍之末,浪成微澜之间|嘉宾重磅来袭
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-19 09:56
浙江久兴投资管理有限公司董事长,以独特投资策略纵横A股十余年,虽 然刚进入私募基金行业2年时间,便已获得包括证券时报2024年金长江年 度新锐私募基金经理,私募排排网2024年度十佳基金经理,西南证券首届 私募实盘大赛年度荣誉金鼎奖在内的多项行业权威奖项。 7 月 4 日 -5 日,【 格隆汇中期策略峰会 2025 】将在深圳拉开帷幕。 在两天的会期里将分别举办 2025 年格隆汇中期策略会、全球机构投资者思享会、"格隆汇金格 奖" ESG 卓越榜单发布、数十家上市公司路演汇等活动。 其中,全球机构投资者思享会作为峰会的重要组成部分,将邀请市场表现优异的顶级二级市场投 资人,分享其独到的投资策略和理念,同时分享其对下半年投资方向和路径的看法,为投资者锚 定航向。 本次全球机构投资者思享会我们非常荣幸的邀请到了久兴投资董事长 —— 王玺先生 莅临现 场! 嘉宾介绍 王玺 2024年度5-10亿规模组十佳基金经理 (数据来源:私募排排网) 价,原价 1 088/ 人), 限前 7 2 位! 普通席位 388/ 人(早鸟价,原价 688/ 人) 名额 200 人 ,先到先得! 请联系专属客服购买票! 星火汇聚,终成 ...
上海青浦区跑出一家IPO,豪募超24亿!特斯拉、蔚来汽车均为客户
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-18 10:01
上海青浦区跑出一家IPO,豪募超24亿!特斯拉、蔚来汽车均为客户 原创 阅读全文 格隆汇新股 ...
逆向者的胜利,用安全边际穿越牛熊|嘉宾重磅来袭
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-18 10:01
7 月 4 日 -5 日,【 格隆汇中期策略峰会 2025 】将在深圳拉开帷幕。 拥有12年公开产品管理经验,研究功底深厚,坚持基本面分析,极其看重 企业股东回报,擅长通过自主研究挖掘优质股,致力于长期绝对收益。 曾获"2021年度金牛奖·一年期金牛私募投资经理(股票策略)"、"2023年 度金长江奖·资管先锋私募基金经理"、"2022年度金长江奖·资管先锋私募 基金经理"、2021年度"金长江奖·年度新锐私募基金经理"、"2023年度英华 奖·五年期优秀私募投资经理"、"2022年度英华奖·五年期最佳私募投资经 理"、"2024年度金阳光奖·五年卓越私募基金经理奖"、"2023年度金阳光奖 ·三年卓越私募基金经理奖"、"2022年度巴伦中国40岁以下投资精英"、远 川研究所"2022年度40岁以下极具潜力的私募基金经理"、"第三届新财富 最佳私募·最佳私募投资经理"等荣誉。 在两天的会期里将分别举办 2025 年格隆汇中期策略会、全球机构投资者思享会、"格隆汇金格 奖" ESG 卓越榜单发布、数十家上市公司路演汇等活动。 其中,全球机构投资者思享会作为峰会的重要组成部分,将邀请市场表现优异的顶级二级市场投 ...