NORTHEAST SECURITIES

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广钢气体(688548):短期利润承压,产能扩张+供应稳定促进电子气体增长
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 05:24
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [12]. Core Views - Short-term profits are under pressure, but capacity expansion and stable supply are expected to drive growth in electronic gases [2][3]. - The company achieved revenue of 548 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing an 18.95% year-on-year increase, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 15.95% year-on-year [1][2]. - The decline in net profit is attributed to a drop in gross margin and an increase in expense ratios, particularly due to a significant decrease in helium prices [2][3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 2.612 billion yuan, 3.221 billion yuan, and 3.943 billion yuan, respectively, with expected EPS of 0.27 yuan, 0.38 yuan, and 0.50 yuan [4][3]. - The company’s gross margin decreased by 4.99 percentage points to 25.75% year-on-year, primarily due to the helium business [2][3]. - The total expense ratio increased by 2.03 percentage points year-on-year, with financial expenses rising significantly [2][3]. Capacity and Supply Chain - The company has established a robust technical barrier and is set to release significant capacity in the second half of 2025, which is expected to provide high certainty for revenue growth [3]. - A long-term helium procurement agreement with Qatar for 20 years enhances the company's supply chain stability [3].
芯碁微装(688630):盈利显著改善,PCB主业与泛半导体共振
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 04:52
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating, indicating optimism about the company's high-end PCB business and international expansion, as well as breakthroughs in the semiconductor sector [4]. Core Views - The company reported significant improvements in profitability, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 242 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 51.87 million yuan, up 30.45% year-on-year [1]. - The PCB business is advancing in high-end and international markets, with a focus on high-end applications such as HDI and IC substrates, and a strategic push towards increasing the sales proportion of mid-to-high-end products to over 60% [2]. - The semiconductor business is experiencing multiple breakthroughs across various segments, including IC substrates and advanced packaging, with new product iterations driving scale applications [2]. - The company is enhancing its product matrix to support domestic substitution and technology ecosystem development, particularly in high-end PCB equipment and advanced packaging platforms [3]. - Profitability is improving, with a gross margin of 41.25% in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.17 percentage points [3]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.428 billion yuan in 2025, 1.937 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.435 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 300 million yuan, 432 million yuan, and 564 million yuan [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 2.27 yuan in 2025, 3.28 yuan in 2026, and 4.28 yuan in 2027, indicating strong growth potential [4]. - The report highlights a significant increase in sales expenses by 172.16% due to the expansion of overseas markets, reflecting the company's commitment to international growth [3].
东北固收转债分析:2025年4月转债新券点评合集
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 04:15
Group 1: Report Summary - 2025 April saw the issuance of 3 convertible bonds: Anji Convertible Bond, Qingyuan Convertible Bond, and Weice Convertible Bond [1][2][3] - Anji Technology plans to issue up to 831 million yuan of convertible bonds on April 7, 2025, with funds earmarked for various projects and working capital [1] - Qingyuan Co., Ltd. intends to issue up to 500 million yuan of convertible bonds on April 8, 2025, for project investment and working capital [2] - Weice Technology aims to issue up to 1.175 billion yuan of convertible bonds on April 9, 2025, for project investment, loan repayment, and working capital [3] Group 2: Anji Convertible Bond Analysis Pricing - Expected first - day conversion premium rate: 22% - 27% [13][18] New Bond Subscription Analysis - Issue method: Priority placement and online pricing; bond and issuer ratings: AA -; issue size: 831 million yuan; initial conversion price: 168.11 yuan; bond value: 96.09 yuan [19] - First - day target price: 120 - 125 yuan; recommended for active subscription [24] - Expected first - day new bond subscription winning rate: 0.0076% - 0.0103% [25] Underlying Stock Fundamentals - Main business: R & D and industrialization of key semiconductor materials [23] - Industry upstream: Fine chemical industry; downstream: Integrated circuit manufacturing and advanced packaging [27] - Operating performance: Revenue grew from 687 million yuan in 2021 to 1.312 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, with a stable gross and net profit margin [30][34] - Equity structure: Concentrated, with the top two shareholders holding 35.44% of shares as of September 30, 2024; no actual controller; 8 holding subsidiaries and 4 important affiliated companies [56] - Business advantages: Deep - rooted in high - end semiconductor materials, with intellectual property rights, efficient product conversion, international talent, and a quality assurance system [59][60] - Fund use: Projects include Shanghai Anji Integrated Circuit Materials Base, etc., with 220 million yuan for working capital [18] Group 3: Qingyuan Convertible Bond Analysis Pricing - Expected first - day conversion premium rate: 25% - 30% [13][67] New Bond Subscription Analysis - Issue method: Priority placement and online pricing; bond and issuer ratings: A+; issue size: 500 million yuan; initial conversion price: 12.93 yuan; bond value: 83.41 yuan [68] - First - day target price: 124 - 129 yuan; recommended for active subscription [72] - Expected first - day new bond subscription winning rate: 0.003% - 0.0038% [73] Underlying Stock Fundamentals - Main business: R & D, production, and sales of solar photovoltaic brackets, development and operation of photovoltaic power stations, and R & D of photovoltaic power electronics [71] - Industry upstream: Metal processing; downstream: Photovoltaic power stations [75] - Operating performance: Revenue increased from 1.018 billion yuan in 2021 to 1.319 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, with stable gross and net profit margins [78] - Equity structure: Relatively dispersed, with the top two shareholders holding 44.8% of shares as of June 30, 2024; Hong Daniel as the actual controller; 58 holding subsidiaries [105] - Business advantages: International market strategy, product advantages to meet customer needs, and technological innovation [109][110][111] - Fund use: Projects include Distributed Photovoltaic Bracket Smart Factory and Energy R & D Center, with 150 million yuan for working capital [67] Group 4: Weice Convertible Bond Analysis Pricing - Expected first - day conversion premium rate: 41% - 46% [13][115] New Bond Subscription Analysis - Issue method: Priority placement and online pricing; bond and issuer ratings: AA; issue size: 1.175 billion yuan; initial conversion price: 82.15 yuan; bond value: 98.08 yuan [116] - First - day target price: 124 - 128 yuan; recommended for active subscription [120] - Expected first - day new bond subscription winning rate: 0.0068% - 0.0099% [121] Underlying Stock Fundamentals - Main business: Wafer testing, chip finished product testing, and related supporting services [119] - Industry upstream: Test equipment and consumables manufacturers; downstream: Integrated circuit design [123][124] - Operating performance: Revenue rose from 493 million yuan in 2021 to 740 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, with a declining gross and net profit margin [127][131] - Equity structure: Relatively dispersed, with the top two shareholders holding 37.11% of shares as of September 30, 2024; Pian Wensheng as the actual controller; 5 holding subsidiaries and 3 affiliated companies [156] - Business advantages: Talent, technology, customer base, production capacity, and location advantages [158][159][160] - Fund use: Projects include Weice Semiconductor Wuxi Integrated Circuit Testing Base and Integrated Circuit Chip Wafer - Level and Finished Product Testing Base, with 275 million yuan for loan repayment and working capital [115]
泛亚微透(688386):进口替代趋势下增长稳健,季度业绩表现亮眼
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 03:44
[Table_Info1] 泛亚微透(688386) 基础化工 [Table_Date] 发布时间:2025-04-30 调整盈利预测,维持"买入"评级。考虑关税冲击下 ePTFE 核心技术 产品进口替代进程有望提速,我们调整盈利预测,预计公司 2025-2027 年归母净利润分别为 1.52/2.18/3.04 亿元(原为 1.52/1.93 亿元,新增 2027 年 3.04 亿元),对应 PE 分别为 26/18/13X,维持"买入"评级。 风险提示:项目建设不及预期;估值模型及盈利预测不及预期 | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 411 | 515 | 655 | 827 | 1,051 | | (+/-)% | 12.64% | 25.39% | 27.16% | 26.36% | 27.03% | | 归属母公司净利润 | 87 | 99 | 152 | 218 | 304 | | (+/-)% | 1 ...
征和工业(003033):深耕链传动领域,2025Q1业绩大幅增长
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 02:46
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3][5]. Core Views - The company achieved significant growth in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 395 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.32%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 54 million yuan, reflecting a remarkable year-on-year growth of 100.09% [1]. - The increase in government subsidies contributed to the substantial profit growth, with 27.03 million yuan recognized in the current period. The company's cash flow from operating activities also improved significantly, turning positive with a year-on-year increase of 109.96% [1]. - The company is focused on deepening its core business in chain transmission, with plans to invest 800 million yuan in a key component industrial park project in Shandong Province, targeting agricultural machinery and high-end equipment [2]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.16 billion yuan, 2.37 billion yuan, and 2.61 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 177 million yuan, 224 million yuan, and 261 million yuan [3][4]. - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was reported at 22.42%, a slight increase of 0.13 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio rose to 15.09%, an increase of 1.91 percentage points [2]. - The company’s earnings per share are expected to grow from 2.16 yuan in 2025 to 3.20 yuan in 2027, with a projected price-to-earnings ratio decreasing from 19.43x in 2025 to 13.14x in 2027 [4][10].
三祥新材(603663):控股股东拟增持股份,彰显长期发展信心
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 02:45
[Table_Title] 证券研究报告 / 公司点评报告 控股股东拟增持股份,彰显长期发展信心 风险提示:原材料价格波动风险;在研项目的研发进度不及预期风险; 下游应用不及预期风险;业绩预测和估值判断不及预期的风险。 | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 1,080 | 1,054 | 1,514 | 1,702 | 1,885 | | (+/-)% | 11.07% | -2.41% | 43.66% | 12.44% | 10.75% | | 归属母公司净利润 | 79 | 76 | 202 | 274 | 309 | | (+/-)% | -47.48% | -4.38% | 166.32% | 35.72% | 12.79% | | 每股收益(元) | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.48 | 0.65 | 0.73 | | 市盈率 | 57.84 | 88.61 | 48.18 | 35.50 | 31. ...
润本股份(603193):产品渠道齐发力,业绩持续高增
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 02:18
[Table_Title] 证券研究报告 / 公司点评报告 产品渠道齐发力,业绩持续高增 报告摘要: [Table_Summary] 事件: 润本股份发布 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报,2024 年公司实现营收 13.18 亿元/+27.61%,归母净利润 3.00 亿元/+32.80%,扣非归母净利润 2.89 亿元/+32.28%,非经常性损益 0.11 亿元,主要来自政府补助和公允价 值变动损益。2024Q4 公司实现营收 2.81 亿元/+34.01%,归母净利润 0.39 亿元/-13.28%,扣非归母净利润 0.33 亿元/-19.57%。拟每 10 股派 发现金红利 2.30 元(含税)。2025Q1 实现营收 2.40 亿元/+44.00%,归 母净利润 0.44 亿元/+24.60%,扣非归母净利润 0.39 亿元/+ 22.85%。 点评: 多产品多渠道全面推进,收入维持快增。2024 年公司实现营收 13.18 亿元/+27.61%,分产品看:1)驱蚊产品营收 4.39 亿元/占比 33.33%/ +35.39%,其中销量+25.89%。2)婴童护理产品营收 6.90 亿元/占比 ...
潮宏基(002345):Q1利润超预期,强劲产品力及品牌力持续显现
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 02:18
潮宏基发布 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报,2024 年公司实现营收 65.18 亿 元/+10.48%,归母净利润 1.94 亿元/-41.91%,扣非归母净利润 1.87 亿 元/-38.72%,非经常性损益 0.07 亿元,主要来自公允价值变动损益。 2024Q4 公司实现营收 16.59 亿元/+18.40%,归母净利润-1.22 亿元,扣 非归母净利润-1.23 亿元。拟每 10 股派发现金红利 2.5 元(含税)。 2025Q1 公司实现营收 22.52 亿元/+25.36%,归母净利润 1.89 亿元 /+44.38%,扣非归母净利润 1.88 亿元/+46.17%。 [Table_Info1] 潮宏基(002345) 饰品/纺织服饰 [Table_Date] 发布时间:2025-04-30 [Table_Title] 证券研究报告 / 公司点评报告 Q1 利润超预期,强劲产品力及品牌力持续显现 报告摘要: [Table_Summary] 事件: 点评: 轻资产运营优势显现,销售费用率持续下降。2024 年公司费用率 15.29%/-2.47pct,其中:1)销售费用 7.62 亿元/-7 ...
爱美客(300896):25Q1业绩承压,期待重磅管线及海外布局顺利推进
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 02:18
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 663 million yuan in Q1 2025, a decrease of 17.90% year-on-year, and a net profit of 444 million yuan, down 15.87% [1]. - Despite the challenging industry environment, the company is expected to show performance resilience through internal enhancements and external expansions, including the acquisition of Korean Regen and the development of its product pipeline [2]. - The company’s gross margin remains high at 93.85%, although the net profit margin has temporarily declined due to reduced revenue [3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 3.338 billion yuan, 3.825 billion yuan, and 4.363 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.159 billion yuan, 2.464 billion yuan, and 2.793 billion yuan [4]. - The company’s expense ratio increased to 21.93% in Q1 2025, with sales expenses at 654 million yuan and management expenses at 313.6 million yuan [2]. - The company’s cash flow from operations decreased by 37.99% to 333 million yuan in Q1 2025, attributed to declining net profit and changes in working capital [3].
苏州银行(002966):2024年年报点评:业绩表现稳健,贷款规模扩张
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 11:21
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Suzhou Bank, indicating a positive outlook for the stock over the next six months [14]. Core Insights - Suzhou Bank's 2024 annual report shows steady performance with total operating income of 12.224 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.01%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.068 billion yuan, up 10.16% year-on-year [1][2]. - The bank's investment business significantly supported its performance, with investment income and fair value changes rising by 50.12% to 3.049 billion yuan, accounting for 24.95% of total income [2]. - The loan portfolio expanded, with total loans reaching 333.36 billion yuan, a 13.62% increase year-on-year, and corporate loans growing by 23.21% to 241.48 billion yuan, representing 72.44% of total loans [3]. Financial Performance Summary - The bank's net interest margin decreased to 1.38%, down 0.30 percentage points year-on-year, while the net interest spread was 1.45%, down 0.28 percentage points [4]. - The non-performing loan ratio improved to 0.83%, a decrease of 0.01 percentage points year-on-year, with corporate loans showing a non-performing rate of 0.51% [4][19]. - Total deposits increased by 14.61% year-on-year to 416.97 billion yuan, with corporate deposits growing by 8.57% and personal deposits by 20.41% [3]. Future Projections - The report forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 5.355 billion yuan, 5.843 billion yuan, and 6.388 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 5.66%, 9.12%, and 9.33% [4][25].