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东北固收转债分析:2025年9月十大转债-2025年9月
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-09-01 00:45
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report presents the top ten convertible bonds for September 2025, including detailed information on each bond such as credit rating, closing price at the end of August, conversion premium rate, and the financial and business conditions of the underlying companies, as well as their key attractions [13][23][35]. 3. Summary by Company 3.1 Zhongte Convertible Bond - **Bond Information**: AAA rating, August closing price of 114.493 yuan, conversion premium rate of 96.64%, and a positive stock PE - TTM of 12.68 [6][13]. - **Company Overview**: A global leader in specialized special - steel materials manufacturing, with a production capacity of about 20 million tons of special - steel materials per year. It has multiple production and raw material bases, forming a strategic layout along the coast and rivers [13]. - **Financial Data**: In 2024, its operating income was 109.203 billion yuan (YoY - 4.22%), net profit attributable to the parent was 5.126 billion yuan (YoY - 10.41%). In the first half of 2025, operating income was 54.715 billion yuan (YoY - 4.02%), and net profit attributable to the parent was 2.798 billion yuan (YoY + 2.67%) [13]. - **Company Highlights**: It is one of the world's most comprehensive special - steel enterprises in terms of variety and specifications, with leading market shares in core products. It has a complete industrial chain and strong cost - control capabilities. It also seeks external expansion opportunities [14]. 3.2 Shanlu Convertible Bond - **Bond Information**: AAA rating, August closing price of 117.2 yuan, conversion premium rate of 48.74%, and a positive stock PE - TTM of 4.02 [6][23]. - **Company Overview**: Mainly engaged in road and bridge engineering construction and maintenance, and is expanding into other fields. It has a complete business and management system [23]. - **Financial Data**: In 2024, its operating income was 71.348 billion yuan (YoY - 2.3%), net profit attributable to the parent was 2.322 billion yuan (YoY + 1.47%). In the first half of 2025, operating income was 28.575 billion yuan (YoY + 0.26%), and net profit attributable to the parent was 1.029 billion yuan (YoY + 0.89%) [23]. - **Company Highlights**: Controlled by the Shandong Provincial SASAC, it has the potential for improvement in its balance sheet, liquidity, and order volume. It is expected to benefit from infrastructure construction in Shandong and the Belt and Road Initiative [24]. 3.3 Hebang Convertible Bond - **Bond Information**: AA rating, August closing price of 121.6 yuan, conversion premium rate of 27.33%, and a positive stock PE - TTM of - 154.7 [6][35]. - **Company Overview**: It has advantages in salt mines, phosphate mines, and natural gas supply. Its business has expanded from single - product operations to multiple sectors including chemicals, agriculture, and photovoltaics [35]. - **Financial Data**: In 2024, its operating income was 8.547 billion yuan (YoY - 3.13%), net profit attributable to the parent was 0.031 billion yuan (YoY - 97.55%). In the first half of 2025, operating income was 3.921 billion yuan (YoY - 19.13%), and net profit attributable to the parent was 0.052 billion yuan (YoY - 73.07%) [35]. - **Company Highlights**: Its phosphate mines and salt mines contribute to profits, and its liquid methionine production is a major profit - contributor [36]. 3.4 Aima Convertible Bond - **Bond Information**: AA rating, August closing price of 127.164 yuan, conversion premium rate of 31.95%, and a positive stock PE - TTM of 14.18 [6][46]. - **Company Overview**: A leading enterprise in the electric two - wheeler industry, producing and selling various electric two - wheelers through dealers [46]. - **Financial Data**: In 2024, its operating income was 21.606 billion yuan (YoY + 2.71%), net profit attributable to the parent was 1.988 billion yuan (YoY + 5.68%). In the first half of 2025, operating income was 13.031 billion yuan (YoY + 23.04%), and net profit attributable to the parent was 1.213 billion yuan (YoY + 27.56%) [46]. - **Company Highlights**: It may benefit from government subsidies for trade - ins, the implementation of new national standards, and has potential for improving gross margins [47]. 3.5 Xingye Convertible Bond - **Bond Information**: AAA rating, August closing price of 124.698 yuan, conversion premium rate of 17.91%, and a positive stock PE - TTM of 6.14 [6][55]. - **Company Overview**: One of the first - established joint - stock commercial banks, evolving into a modern financial service group [55]. - **Financial Data**: In 2024, its operating income was 212.226 billion yuan (YoY + 0.66%), net profit attributable to the parent was 77.205 billion yuan (YoY + 0.12%). In the first half of 2025, operating income was 110.458 billion yuan (YoY - 2.29%), and net profit attributable to the parent was 43.141 billion yuan (YoY + 0.21%) [55]. - **Company Highlights**: It has stable asset quality and scale growth, with a large number of corporate and retail customers [56]. 3.6 Wentai Convertible Bond - **Bond Information**: AA - rating, August closing price of 123.15 yuan, conversion premium rate of 23.63%, and a positive stock PE - TTM of - 19.91 [6][67]. - **Company Overview**: A global leader in semiconductor R & D and manufacturing, adopting the IDM model [67]. - **Financial Data**: In 2024, its operating income was 73.598 billion yuan (YoY + 20.23%), net profit attributable to the parent was - 2.833 billion yuan (YoY - 339.83%). In the first half of 2025, operating income was 25.341 billion yuan (YoY - 24.56%), and net profit attributable to the parent was 0.474 billion yuan (YoY + 237.36%) [67]. - **Company Highlights**: After divesting some subsidiaries, it focuses on the semiconductor business, which has shown growth. Its automotive and consumer electronics businesses also have development potential [68]. 3.7 Chongqing Bank Convertible Bond - **Bond Information**: AAA rating, August closing price of 123.688 yuan, conversion premium rate of 21.55%, and a positive stock PE - TTM of 6.47 [6][78]. - **Company Overview**: One of the earliest local joint - stock commercial banks in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River and Southwest China, with a wide range of business operations [78]. - **Financial Data**: In 2024, its operating income was 13.679 billion yuan (YoY + 3.54%), net profit attributable to the parent was 5.117 billion yuan (YoY + 3.8%). In the first half of 2025, operating income was 7.659 billion yuan (YoY + 7%), and net profit attributable to the parent was 3.19 billion yuan (YoY + 5.39%) [78]. - **Company Highlights**: It benefits from the national strategy of the Chengdu - Chongqing economic circle, has stable asset - scale growth, and actively adjusts its credit strategy [79]. 3.8 Tianye Convertible Bond - **Bond Information**: AA + rating, August closing price of 123.717 yuan, conversion premium rate of 84.35%, and a positive stock PE - TTM of 146.1 [6][90]. - **Company Overview**: A leading enterprise in the chlor - alkali chemical industry in Xinjiang, with an integrated circular economy industrial chain [90]. - **Financial Data**: In 2024, its operating income was 11.156 billion yuan (YoY - 2.7%), net profit attributable to the parent was 0.068 billion yuan (YoY + 108.83%). In the first half of 2025, operating income was 5.16 billion yuan (YoY - 0.98%), and net profit attributable to the parent was - 0.009 billion yuan (YoY - 228.22%) [90]. - **Company Highlights**: It has relatively stable caustic soda production costs and plans to increase dividend frequency, while its group is promoting two coal - mine projects [91]. 3.9 Huanxu Convertible Bond - **Bond Information**: AA + rating, August closing price of 127.8 yuan, conversion premium rate of 24.45%, and a positive stock PE - TTM of 27.85 [6][101]. - **Company Overview**: A global leader in electronic manufacturing design, providing value - added services to brand customers [101]. - **Financial Data**: In 2024, its operating income was 60.691 billion yuan (YoY - 0.17%), net profit attributable to the parent was 1.652 billion yuan (YoY - 15.16%). In the first half of 2025, operating income was 27.214 billion yuan (YoY - 0.63%), and net profit attributable to the parent was 0.638 billion yuan (YoY - 18.66%) [101]. - **Company Highlights**: It is a leading manufacturer of smart - wearable SiP modules and has strengthened its R & D and production capabilities in key fields through global expansion [102]. 3.10 Yushui Convertible Bond - **Bond Information**: AAA rating, August closing price of 124.714 yuan, conversion premium rate of 28.15%, and a positive stock PE - TTM of 27.4 [6][111]. - **Company Overview**: The largest integrated water supply and drainage enterprise in Chongqing, with a monopoly position in the local market [111]. - **Financial Data**: In 2024, its operating income was 6.999 billion yuan (YoY - 3.52%), net profit attributable to the parent was 0.785 billion yuan (YoY - 27.88%). In the first half of 2025, operating income was 3.519 billion yuan (YoY + 7.16%), and net profit attributable to the parent was 0.458 billion yuan (YoY + 10.06%) [111]. - **Company Highlights**: It has a high market share in Chongqing, is expanding its business externally, and has achieved cost control through intelligent applications [112].
华润置地(01109):2025H1业绩点评:积极拿地,经常利润贡献超六成
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-08-29 11:18
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% within the next six months [11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 949.2 billion yuan for H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.9%. The gross margin improved to 24.0%, and the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 118.8 billion yuan, up 16.2% year-on-year [2][4]. - The development business saw a significant increase of 25.8% in revenue, totaling 743.6 billion yuan, driven by an optimized project turnover structure [2]. - The company maintained a strong sales performance, with a sales amount of 1,103.0 billion yuan in H1 2025, despite a year-on-year decline of 11.6% [2]. - The commercial segment continues to lead, with recurring business income growing by 2.5% to 205.6 billion yuan, contributing 21.3% to total revenue [3]. - The company has a robust financial structure, with cash on hand amounting to 1,202.4 billion yuan and a net interest-bearing debt ratio of 39.2% [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 949.2 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 24.0% and a core net profit of 100.0 billion yuan [2][4]. - The development business's gross margin improved to 15.6%, up 3.2 percentage points [2]. Sales and Investment - The company ranked among the top three in sales, with a 46% share from first-tier cities, which increased by 8 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - In H1 2025, the company added 18 new investment projects totaling 447.3 billion yuan, with a land acquisition intensity of 40.6% [2]. Commercial Operations - The company operates 94 shopping malls, generating rental income of 104.2 billion yuan, with an occupancy rate of 97.3% [3]. - The retail sales reached 1,101.5 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 20.2% [3]. Financial Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2,834.8 billion yuan, 2,877.6 billion yuan, and 2,989.9 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 257.7 billion yuan, 267.4 billion yuan, and 298.5 billion yuan for the same years [4].
理想汽车-W(02015):销量短期承压,盈利能力显韧性,纯电周期开启在即
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-08-29 09:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][4]. Core Insights - The company reported total revenue of 56.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.0%, with vehicle sales revenue at 53.6 billion yuan, down 1.8%. However, net profit increased by 3.0% to 1.7 billion yuan [1][2]. - The company faced short-term sales pressure, with a projected delivery volume of 90,000 to 95,000 units for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 37.8% to 41.1% [2]. - Despite the challenges, the company demonstrated resilience in profitability, with a gross margin increase from 19.0% to 19.6% due to effective cost control measures [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 129.4 billion, 205.3 billion, and 229.1 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -10.5%, 58.7%, and 11.6% respectively [4]. - The net profit forecast for the same period has been revised to 7.79 billion, 12.44 billion, and 15.80 billion yuan [4]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to remain stable around 20.1% in the coming years [4]. Sales and Product Development - The company has launched the VLA driver model to enhance its advanced driver-assistance capabilities, which is expected to strengthen its competitive edge [3]. - The new electric SUV model i8 is anticipated to achieve a delivery volume of 8,000 to 10,000 units by the end of September 2025, with a steady monthly sales forecast of around 5,000 units [3]. - The upcoming i6 model is expected to further boost sales, with projections indicating a potential monthly sales volume exceeding 10,000 units [3].
德林国际(01126):毛绒玩具提速明显,看好东南亚产能扩张
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-08-29 09:28
[Table_Title] 证券研究报告 / 港股公司报告 毛绒玩具提速明显,看好东南亚产能扩张 [Table_Summary] 25H1 收入稳健增长,SG&A 费用率整体下降:25H1,公司实现营业收 入 25.78 亿港元/+12.39%,毛利率 20.08%/-3.91pcts,销售费用率 1.63%/ 同比+0.24pcts,行政费用率 6.56%/-1.61pcts,SG&A 费用总计 2.11 亿元 /-3.73%,SG&A 费用率 8.20%/-1.37pcts,我们认为或因规模化进一步提 升+产线数字化导致管理费用降低。财务费用 0.04 亿港元,财务费用率 0.14%/+0.08pcts,或由于产能扩张导致负债增加。实现净利润 3.07 亿港 元/+10.10%,净利率 11.91%/-0.25pcts,盈利能力略有下降。 分品类:毛绒玩具较 24 提速,塑胶手板表现稳定:(1)毛绒玩具:实现 收入 13.24 亿港元/+11.7%,环比 24 年底提速 10.6pcts,占比 51.4%,主 要系亚洲主题公园贡献;(2)塑胶手板模型:实现收入 10.69 亿港元 /+14.2%,主要系亚 ...
龙佰集团(002601):2025年半年报点评:25Q2行业景气底部业绩承压,守得云开见月明
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-08-29 09:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 13.34 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 3.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.385 billion yuan, down 19.53% year-on-year [1]. - Despite price pressures on titanium dioxide and titanium ore, the company saw a 2.08% increase in titanium dioxide sales volume to 612,000 tons in the first half of 2025 [2]. - The company is actively advancing two core projects to enhance resource utilization, aiming to increase titanium concentrate capacity to 2.48 million tons per year [3]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 29.57 billion yuan, with a net profit of 2.54 billion yuan, reflecting a 17% increase in net profit by 2026 [4][12]. - The earnings per share are expected to be 1.06 yuan in 2025, increasing to 1.74 yuan by 2027 [12]. - The company’s price-to-earnings ratio is projected to be 17X in 2025, decreasing to 11X by 2027 [3][12].
先导智能(300450):财务指标持续改善、固态电池提升空间
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-08-29 09:19
[Table_Info1] 先导智能(300450) 电力设备 [Table_Date] 发布时间:2025-08-29 [Table_Title] 证券研究报告 / 公司点评报告 财务指标持续改善、固态电池提升空间 [Table_Summary] 事件:2025 上半年公司实现营业收入 66.1 亿元,较上年同期增长 14.92%; 实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润 7.4 亿元,较上年同期增加 61.19%; 实现归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润 7.32 亿元,较上 年同期增加 63.48%。 点评: 1、公司财务指标持续改善。2023 年,公司总减值额达到 11.62 亿元,同 比增幅为 97%。2024 年减值总额为 11.03 亿元,同比下降 5%。2023Q4 至 2024Q2 期间信用减值为主,2025Q1 信用减值转回 1.01 亿元,2025Q2 信用减值转回 1.33 亿元,信用减值持续改善。2023 年之后,公司整体净 经营现金流承压明显,2023 年一季度净经营现金流出 17.09 亿元,全年 净流出 8.63 亿元。2024 年公司前三季度经营现金净流出 25.8 亿元, ...
桐昆股份(601233):行业反内卷深入,公司业绩有望底部抬升
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-08-29 09:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 44.16 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.4%, with a gross margin of 6.76%, an increase of 0.57 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.1 billion yuan, up 2.9% year-on-year [1]. - The company is implementing a comprehensive development strategy focusing on integration, scale, intensification, and differentiation, successfully entering the coal sector with a coal mine resource of 500 million tons in the Turpan region [3]. - The company is expected to benefit from the upcoming domestic unified market policy, which is anticipated to enhance industry concentration and improve pricing power for leading enterprises [3]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue for 2023 is projected at 82.64 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 33.30%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 797 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 539.10% [5][14]. - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is 1.982 billion yuan, 3.015 billion yuan, and 3.704 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 18X, 12X, and 9X [4][14]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 4.6% in 2024 to 7.9% in 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [14].
道明光学(002632):25H1业绩稳健增长,探索新材料领域新机遇
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-08-28 14:16
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock's performance in the coming months [4][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a steady revenue growth of 9.97% year-on-year for H1 2025, achieving a total revenue of 734 million yuan, with a net profit of 114 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21.88% [1]. - The reflective materials business showed resilience, generating 516 million yuan in revenue for H1 2025, up 5.7% year-on-year, driven by strong demand from the growing electric vehicle market [2]. - The optical display materials segment achieved a revenue of 128 million yuan, marking a 14.1% increase year-on-year, supported by the resilience of the home appliance market [3]. - The electronic functional materials sector saw a significant revenue increase of 25.9% year-on-year, reaching 76 million yuan, primarily due to growth in release materials and graphene thermal films [3]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of 247 million yuan, 282 million yuan, and 323 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 25X, 22X, and 19X [4]. - Revenue projections for the years 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 1.596 billion yuan, 1.769 billion yuan, and 1.960 billion yuan, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 10.76% [10]. - The gross profit margin is expected to remain stable, with slight fluctuations projected over the next few years [10].
金奥博(002917):民爆智能装备龙头,政策推动提升公司盈利弹性
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-08-28 12:53
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [10]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in the civil explosives intelligent equipment sector, benefiting from policy support that enhances its profit elasticity [1]. - The company's revenue for H1 2025 reached 825 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.47%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 87 million yuan, up 20.91% year-on-year [1]. - The report highlights the stable growth of the company's performance, driven by its specialized equipment business, which saw a revenue increase of 62.46% year-on-year [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company's gross margin improved to 36.17%, up 2.19 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 10.51%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points [2]. - The company’s operating cash flow for H1 2025 was 143 million yuan, reflecting a strong market demand and improved collection capabilities [2]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.955 billion, 2.372 billion, and 2.883 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.79%, 21.34%, and 21.50% respectively [2]. Business Segment Performance - The specialized equipment segment generated 148 million yuan in revenue, accounting for 17.96% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 57.48% [1]. - The chemical materials segment reported revenue of 265 million yuan, representing 32.17% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 18.00% [1]. - The civil explosives product segment had revenue of 388 million yuan, making up 47.05% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 40.75% [1]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates significant growth in the company's specialized equipment business due to the push for automation and intelligence in the civil explosives industry [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.58, 0.74, and 1.01 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 25.12, 19.82, and 14.43 [2].
贝瑞基因(000710):解码生命经纬,智绘基因新篇
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-08-28 12:44
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3][4]. Core Insights - The company focuses on reproductive health and genetic disease testing, providing a comprehensive solution of "products + services" and is a leading player in the domestic genetic testing field [1][15]. - The market for life science sequencing solutions in China is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.9% from 2018 to 2023, reaching 138.8 billion yuan by 2033, indicating potential for the company's continued market penetration [1]. - The company is leveraging its data and technology to build competitive barriers in the AI healthcare industry, with the AI medical market projected to reach 11.43 billion yuan by 2025 and 28.61 billion yuan by 2027 [2]. Summary by Sections Company Overview and Business Layout - The company, established in 2010 and listed in 2017, began with non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) and has expanded into genetic disease testing and research services [15]. - It utilizes high-throughput sequencing and third-generation HiFi sequencing technologies to provide genetic testing services and related equipment, reagents, and software [15]. Industry Development and Core Business - The company’s core business includes high-throughput sequencing technology and third-generation sequencing services, focusing on reproductive health and genetic disease testing [40]. - The company has established a comprehensive service model for hospitals and third-party laboratories, integrating advanced sequencing technology with AI applications [40]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company’s revenue is projected to be 1.05 billion yuan in 2025, with a gradual increase to 1.42 billion yuan by 2027, while net profit is expected to improve from a loss of 140 million yuan in 2025 to a profit of 400 million yuan in 2027 [3][4]. - The company’s gross margin has shown an upward trend, increasing from 42.72% in 2022 to 46.86% in 2024, driven by a higher proportion of reagent sales [29]. AI Medical Sector - The company is positioned to capitalize on the AI medical sector, with its GENOisi™ intelligent model facilitating a smart data management and clinical decision-making process [2][20]. - The AI medical market is rapidly expanding, supported by favorable domestic policies, and the company aims to leverage its extensive clinical data and self-developed algorithms for commercial applications [2].