Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The report systematically evaluates the product design, implementation, risks, and governance of buffered ETFs, aiming to offer a set of auditable pilot suggestions for fund managers, channels, and regulators. Buffered ETFs use a four - leg option strategy to limit downside and cap upside, with their key being a dynamic reinvestment path determined by market snapshots, option pricing, and execution on reset days [1][3]. - In China, a gradual pilot strategy for buffered ETFs is recommended, starting with "quasi - buffered" products based on broad - based ETFs or futures, and large public funds with market - making and hedging capabilities should take the lead. The long - term value of buffered ETFs depends on the issuer's hedging ability, market - maker sustainability, and regulatory cooperation [3]. Summary by Directory 1. Introduction - Traditional "60/40" stock - bond portfolios failed in 2022, leading investors to seek a "third - type asset". The report focuses on buffered ETFs, aiming to explore their localization in the Chinese ETF market and provide decision - making references for relevant parties [10]. - Buffered ETFs use derivatives to limit downside and upside in each outcome period. The report will detail key engineering issues such as the four - leg option strategy, reset days, and the difference between price return and total return [11]. 1.1 Product Design Goals and Constraints - "Spot" in buffered ETFs and similar products can be various assets. The difference between price return and total return affects dividend handling, liquidity, and tax treatment, and should be clearly disclosed [12][13]. 1.2 Buffered ETF Four - Leg Strategy - A typical buffered ETF consists of four option positions: buying deep in - the - money calls, buying at - the - money puts, selling out - of - the - money puts, and selling out - of - the - money calls. Each leg has its own engineering purpose, Greek - letter characteristics, and practical points [14][17]. 1.3 Pricing Balance Formula and Cap's Endogeneity - The design of buffered ETFs requires a "zero - cost structure". The formula for premium balance is Premium(Short OTM Call)=Premium(Long ATM Put)−Premium(Short OTM Put). The Cap is determined by market variables such as implied volatility, volatility skew, interest rates, etc., and is an endogenous result of market conditions [18]. 1.4 Product's Reset Day - The reset day is crucial. FLEX options, which allow customization of contract elements, are used. Key factors to consider on the reset day include contract specifications, settlement and underlying types, market - making and liquidity risks, pricing sources and model assumptions, margin and cash requirements, execution strategies, and scenario - based backtesting [25][27]. 1.5 Impact of Price Return Index - Option pricing and settlement in buffered ETFs are often based on price return indexes, not total return indexes. This means investors forgo dividend cash - flows, which can significantly drag down long - term returns. The net long - term drag can be calculated as Net Long - Term Drag ≈ Expense Ratio + Dividend Yield − Net Option Carry [28][31]. 1.6 Scenario - Based Stress Testing - Stress testing is essential for buffered ETFs due to their high dependence on reset - day market conditions, non - linearity in tail events, and potential margin and liquidity risks. Different types of stress - testing scenarios include historical replay, parametric scenarios, stochastic Monte Carlo simulation, and reverse stress testing [32][35]. 2. Outcome Period Mechanism and Intra - Period Trading Path 2.1 Outcome Period and Reset - Buffered ETFs have a defined outcome period, and the Buffer and Cap are locked at the start of each period. The length of the period affects cash - flow, hedging, and investor exposure. The reset process involves market snapshots, option selection, and contract settlement. Only buying on the first day of the period and holding to maturity can ensure the promised returns [39][42]. 2.2 Intra - Period Trading Complexity - Intra - period trading in buffered ETFs is complex, with returns determined by option layouts and Greek - letter exposures. To reduce risks, measures such as pre - trading visualization, setting hedging frequencies, formulating liquidity and execution strategies, and providing clear disclosures are recommended [43][46]. 3. Overseas Market Competition and Product Line Differentiation 3.1 Mainstream Issuer Strategy Comparison - Major issuers in the overseas market have different strategies. Innovator ETFs is a pioneer with a full product line; First Trust is a channel giant; AllianzIM focuses on innovative reset periods; Pacer ETFs combines trends with buffering; and iShares is a price - cutter [49][52]. 3.2 Tabular Stratification of Buffer Depth and Product Line - Products are classified into different buffer - depth categories: moderate buffer, deep buffer, and principal protection, each with typical parameters, target investors, use scenarios, and risk - control points [53][55]. 3.3 Strategy Comparison, Stratification Logic, and Issuance Suggestions - Issuers should consider their capabilities, channels, and regulatory compliance when designing products. In China, large public funds, comprehensive brokerage asset managers, and small technology - driven asset managers are likely candidates to issue buffered ETFs, and a step - by - step pilot strategy is recommended [56][58]. 4. Buffered ETF Market Analysis - In the US, the rise of buffered ETFs is due to macro - environment, market infrastructure, distribution networks, and tax and regulatory factors. In China, there is demand for such products, but implementation faces challenges, and a gradual pilot approach is needed [59][62]. 5. Comparison of Buffered ETFs and Snowball - Type Structured Products - Buffered ETFs and snowball - type products differ in terms of issuance, structure and counter - party risk, liquidity, transparency, return and cost, and investor suitability. Buffered ETFs are more suitable for institutional and retail clients seeking transparency and tradability, while snowball - type products are for high - net - worth individuals [63][67]. 6. Conclusion - Buffered ETFs transform institutional risk - management techniques into standardized products, offering downside protection at the cost of giving up potential high - end returns. They are suitable for investors who understand their complexity but may be a long - term wealth drag for those blindly seeking "capital preservation" [68].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company has shown robust growth in the first three quarters, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 27.0% to 8.36 billion yuan and a net profit increase of 14.6% to 890 million yuan [1]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 19.3%, down 2.0 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 10.7%, down 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company’s smart electronic control products are the main growth driver, with sales of 4.733 million units in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 41.6% [2]. - The company has a strong order backlog and is actively advancing capacity construction, with 536 projects under research, a year-on-year increase of 24.1% [3]. - The company raised 2.802 billion yuan through convertible bonds in July 2025 to invest in various production projects, including the production of 600,000 units of EMB and 1 million units of WCBS annually [3]. Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 12.8 billion, 15.8 billion, and 19.2 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.42 billion, 1.81 billion, and 2.23 billion yuan [4]. - The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025-2027 are 22, 17, and 14 times, respectively [4]. - The gross margin is expected to improve, with a forecast of 20.5% for Q3 2025, up 1.4 percentage points from the previous quarter [1].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [3][55]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a rare comprehensive provider of optical interconnection solutions, benefiting significantly from its long-term stable partnership with Google in the MPO field and its strategic layout in active products like optical modules and AOC [3][55]. - The company's revenue is expected to grow rapidly, with projected revenues of 34.52 billion, 69.92 billion, and 120.22 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside net profits of 3.72 billion, 10.94 billion, and 19.05 billion yuan for the same years [3][55]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company started with PLC optical splitters and has gradually built a complete optical interconnection system solution, targeting telecommunications, data centers, and industrial interconnection fields [13]. - Its product range includes PLC optical splitters, PON optical transceivers, DWDM, AWG, VMUX for telecommunications, and AOC and copper cable products for data centers, covering speeds from 10G to 800G [13]. Market Opportunities - Google is a key beneficiary of the company's offerings, with a strong emphasis on AI commercialization and the urgent need for capacity expansion, aiming to double its computing power every six months [2][37]. - The company has established a long-term stable supply relationship with Google in the MPO field, which is crucial for high-density optical connections [2][43]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 1.675 billion yuan in 2023, with a projected increase to 3.452 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 97.54% [6][55]. - The net profit for 2023 was 81 million yuan, expected to rise to 372 million yuan in 2025, indicating a significant growth trajectory [6][55]. - The overall gross margin improved to 40.19% in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by the growth in data communication and industrial interconnection markets [27]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to become a core beneficiary of Google's computing power expansion, with its data communication business projected to achieve rapid growth [3][55]. - The report highlights the potential for significant market opportunities in the AOC and MPO sectors, with the company already making strides in silicon photonics technology [2][49].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near future [3][6]. Core Insights - The first batch of L3 autonomous driving vehicles has been approved by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, including the Changan Deep Blue SL03 and BAIC Arcfox Alpha S, which will conduct pilot tests in designated areas of Beijing and Chongqing [1]. - A mandatory national standard for intelligent connected vehicles will be implemented starting January 1, 2027, which is expected to significantly increase the mandatory testing items for intelligent driving, leading to higher testing costs for vehicles [2]. - The i-VISTA platform, developed by China Automotive Research, is enhancing industry influence and testing capabilities for intelligent connected vehicles, with significant investments planned for testing bases in East and South China, expected to be completed by 2026 [2]. Financial Summary - Projected revenues for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 46.60 billion, 53 billion, and 67.91 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 9.31 billion, 10.65 billion, and 14.69 billion yuan [3][4]. - The company is expected to see a revenue growth rate of 14.7% in 2024, followed by a slight decline of 0.8% in 2025, and then a recovery with growth rates of 13.7% and 28.1% in 2026 and 2027 respectively [14]. - The earnings per share are projected to increase from 0.92 yuan in 2024 to 1.46 yuan in 2027, reflecting a positive trend in profitability [4][14].

——房地产 2025 中期策略 [Table_Title] 证券研究报告/行业动态报告 房地产行业有何可预见趋势 降门槛、拓空间，北京打响新轮松绑第一枪 政策复盘&展望：止跌回稳信心坚决，楼市政策窗口期将 ---2025W52 房地产周报 报告摘要： 近 [Table_Summary] 本周观点：降门槛、拓空间，北京打响新轮松绑第一枪 楼市量价止跌回稳进度如何 商业地产：稳地产促消费，消费+地产助力房企穿越周期 2025 展望：二手房市场量升价稳，新房市场各指标磨底 修复 ①当前北京首套商贷利率为 3.05%，五环内二套房商贷利率为 3.45%， 五环外二套房贷为 3.25%，新政后首套二套房贷利率将保持一致；②本 次北京将首付比例降至 25%，仍高于其他一线城市，未来北京的公积金 政策在降低首付比例、扩大公积金使用范围、优化公积金提取次数等方 面仍具备进一步优化空间；③新政后，区级备案预计审批周期会明显缩 短，房企可更快启动规划建设，有效匹配新政释放的需求，房企也将更 有动力推进"好房子"类产品设计开发，契合住房高质量发展的导向。 本周地产：A 股与港股均跑输大盘 投资建议：整体看来，2024 年 924 ...

Group 1: Report Summary - The report analyzes the settings of domestic and international stock-bond constant indices and their impacts on underlying assets and the asset management product ecosystem. Since 2024, China Securities Index Co., Ltd. has released a series of stock-bond constant indices, with 9 allocation strategies, 5 stock-bond ratio gradients, and a total of 39 stock-bond constant ratio indices [1][2][112]. - Stock indices in the stock-bond constant indices focus on 2 smart beta indices (dividend and cash flow) and the A500 index representing industry-balanced mid- and large-cap stocks. Bond indices correspond to a combination of medium- to high-grade credit and treasury and policy financial bond indices [1][2][112]. - From a 3-year perspective, stock-bond constant indices are in a low-drawdown, medium-elasticity range. The stock-bond ratio determines cost-effectiveness, the bond style determines the return bottom, and the equity index determines return elasticity. Historically, the 20:80 stock-bond constant index has a better risk-return ratio than many secondary bond funds [2][100][113]. Group 2: Background of Stock-Bond Constant Indices - In 1952, Harry M. Markowitz proposed the modern portfolio theory, providing a mathematical basis for asset allocation. Diversified asset allocation has become an important direction in wealth management, and multi-asset funds are key tools for implementing this strategy [15]. - The constant ratio strategy, especially the stock-bond constant ratio, is a common strategy in multi-asset index compilation. In the US market, the correlation between stocks and bonds varies with inflation and monetary policy. In the domestic market, stocks and bonds are mainly negatively correlated, and the correlation among stock indices has been decreasing [16][17][20]. Group 3: Basic Information and Risk-Return Characteristics of Stock-Bond Constant Indices 3.1 Basic Information of Stock-Bond Constant Series Indices - As of the end of November 2025, China Securities Index Co., Ltd. has released 100 multi-asset indices, covering strategies such as constant ratio, risk parity, volatility control, target date, and target risk [28]. - The newly released stock-bond constant series indices have 9 allocation strategies and 5 stock-bond ratio gradients, with a total of 39 indices. Stock indices focus on dividend and cash flow smart beta indices and the A500 index, while bond indices are a combination of medium- to high-grade credit and treasury and policy financial bond indices [32]. 3.2 Components and Industry Characteristics of Stock-Bond Constant Indices - The report focuses on the component stocks and sample adjustment of stock indices in stock-bond constant indices. For example, the CSI Dividend Index adjusts its samples once a year, and the CSI 800 Cash Flow Index adjusts quarterly [43][50]. - There are differences in the component stocks among the CSI Dividend Index, CSI 800 Cash Flow Index, and CSI A500 Index. The A500 Index emphasizes industry balance, while the Dividend Index is more concentrated in the financial and energy sectors [58]. 3.3 Return, Volatility, and Drawdown Performance of Stock-Bond Constant Indices - In the past 3 years, the CSI 800 Cash Flow Index has a higher annualized return, followed by dividend-related indices, and the A500 Index has the lowest return among the three. Among bond indices, medium- to high-grade credit bonds have a higher return-volatility ratio [61]. - In the past year, the performance of these indices has changed. The growth style represented by innovation has outperformed the dividend style, and the A500 Index has exceeded the CSI 800 Cash Flow and dividend-related indices in terms of return [74]. Group 4: Comparison between Stock-Bond Constant Indices and Active Fixed-Income Plus Products - Stock-bond constant indices have strong defensive capabilities. Based on the long-term weak negative correlation between stocks and bonds, the 10/90 and 20/80 stock-bond constant indices can reduce volatility and enhance portfolio defense [93]. - In the past three years, the overall return of stock-bond constant indices has been better than that of the WIND Secondary Bond Fund Equal-Weighted Index, and their volatility is lower. The 20:80 stock-bond constant index performs better than most secondary bond funds in the same maximum drawdown range [96][100]. - If stock-bond constant ETFs are launched, due to their low fees and high liquidity, some funds may switch from secondary bond funds to stock-bond constant ETFs, which may cause passive selling of secondary capital bonds and local structural frictions [106][108].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, consistent with the previous rating [5]. Core Insights - Marvell Technology, Inc. has launched the "Golden Cable" initiative to accelerate and expand the Active Electrical Cable (AEC) ecosystem, facilitating faster time-to-market for large-scale AI deployments. This initiative provides leading software, validated reference designs, and comprehensive support in an open model [2][24]. - LightCounting forecasts that the CPO market will reach $10 billion by 2030, with significant contributions from companies like Broadcom and NVIDIA, who are expected to launch integrated CPO products by 2026. Marvell will also leverage its acquisition of Celestial AI technology to introduce similar products, with shipments starting in 2027 [2][31]. - USI plans to establish a production capacity of over 1 million units of 800G and 1.6T silicon photonic modules in Vietnam, focusing on data center-related businesses and accelerating product and capacity development [3][36]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The communication index rose by 4.07% during the week of December 22-28, 2025, outperforming other major indices [14]. - Among the communication sub-sectors, communication cables and accessories saw the highest increase at 6.52%, followed by other communication equipment (5.90%) and communication terminals and accessories (5.38%) [17]. Industry Dynamics - Marvell's "Golden Cable" initiative aims to support the growing demand for AEC in AI data centers, with market size projected to grow from $644 million in 2025 to $1.4 billion by 2029 [24][25]. - LightCounting's report indicates that the CPO market is gaining traction, with expected growth driven by advancements in AI and networking technologies [29][30]. - USI's investment in Vietnam is part of a broader strategy to meet the increasing demand for optical modules in North America, with plans to expand production capacity significantly [36][37].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [3]. Core Insights - The company plans to raise up to 299.71 million yuan (approximately 30 million USD) through a private placement to fund the production base project for PSPI materials, which are critical for OLED display manufacturing [1]. - The global PSPI market is projected to grow from approximately 677 million USD in 2024 to 3.181 billion USD by 2031, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.1% from 2025 to 2031 [1]. - The company has achieved key technological breakthroughs in PSPI materials and has begun industrial applications, holding over 400 invention patents and establishing a comprehensive technology barrier in the OLED materials sector [2]. - The company’s evaporation source products are compatible with both 6th and 8.6th generation AMOLED production lines, adapting to the transition in domestic panel manufacturing [2]. Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 689 million yuan, 1.163 billion yuan, and 1.376 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 113 million yuan, 262 million yuan, and 385 million yuan for the same years [3][4]. - The revenue growth rates are forecasted at 29.36% for 2025, 68.76% for 2026, and 18.30% for 2027, while net profit growth rates are expected to be 24.64%, 132.54%, and 46.94% for the same periods [4].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2][4] Core Insights - The company focuses on data center services, with a strong emphasis on the full lifecycle management of data centers. It is a leading third-party data center service provider in China, with its core business being IDC services, which accounted for a significant portion of its revenue. By mid-2025, the company plans to have established 35 data centers across key regions in China, aligning with the "East Data West Computing" policy [1] - The company's revenue model is primarily wholesale, with 98% of its income derived from wholesale business, serving major global internet clients. The revenue from its largest client is expected to remain stable at 98% for 2024, ensuring a reliable cash flow for the next 8 to 10 years through a flexible billing model [1] - The company employs advanced energy-saving technologies, achieving a minimum PUE of 1.09 and an average PUE of 1.21, which positions it competitively in the market [1] - The company is actively exploring the upstream and downstream of the industry chain to enhance its cloud service offerings, driven by increasing customer demands for customized solutions [2] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of CNY 1.89 billion, CNY 2.05 billion, and CNY 2.19 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of CNY 181 million, CNY 225 million, and CNY 272 million [3][10] - The projected growth rates for revenue are 10.02%, 8.02%, and 7.02% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, while net profit growth rates are expected to be 37.30%, 24.07%, and 20.58% for the same years [3][10] - The report indicates a PE ratio of 119.38, 96.21, and 79.79 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting the company's valuation trends [3][10]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Insights - The company's microelectronics business, primarily focused on the distribution of general-purpose and AI-specific chips, is experiencing rapid growth, with IT distribution and value-added services accounting for 95.54% of revenue in the first half of 2025 [1]. - The company is advancing its "Digital Cloud Integration" strategy, with its AI-driven digital cloud services and software business achieving revenue of 1.64 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.1% [2]. - The company has established a robust ecosystem with over 1,500 partners through its "Thousand Sails Program," enhancing its channel network and industry coverage [1]. - The proprietary brand business is stable, with the company developing AI computing servers suitable for various applications, and has completed product mutual certification with nearly 300 ISV partners [3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 144.87 billion yuan, 156.93 billion yuan, and 168.46 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.10 billion yuan, 1.55 billion yuan, and 1.76 billion yuan [3][4]. - The company’s PE ratios are projected to be 24.82, 17.60, and 15.47 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3][4]. - The net profit margin is expected to improve, with net profit growth rates of 45.83% in 2025 and 41.05% in 2026 [4][17].