Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - Gold prices are expected to remain stable at high levels, with a downward trend continuing as the market awaits the December FOMC results. Concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve are ongoing, and China's central bank continues to increase its gold reserves [4][9] - Copper prices are on an upward trajectory, driven by supply constraints in non-US regions. The LME copper price reached a new high of $11,665 per ton, with significant warehouse cancellations raising concerns about potential supply shortages [10][11] Summary by Sections Weekly Research Views - Gold: The Federal Reserve's silence and mixed economic data have led to fluctuations in gold prices. The probability of a rate cut in December remains high at 80-90% [9] - Copper: The LME copper price has surged, with significant warehouse cancellations indicating potential supply issues. The market is expected to maintain a bullish sentiment towards copper stocks [10] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals index increased by 5.07%, outperforming the broader market by 4.70%. The top-performing sectors included copper, aluminum, and nickel [11][12] Metal Prices and Inventories - Prices for basic metals have generally risen, with SHFE copper up 4.99% to 91,560 yuan per ton, and LME copper up 2.33% to $11,450 per ton. Inventory levels show a mixed trend, with LME copper inventory increasing by 2.0% while SHFE copper inventory decreased by 9.2% [25][31]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry [5] Core Insights - The communication sector showed strong performance with a 3.69% increase in the Shenwan Communication Index during the week of December 1-7, 2025, outperforming major indices [13][16] - Credo's FY26Q2 financial results demonstrated significant growth, with revenues reaching $268 million, a year-on-year increase of 272.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20.2%, indicating robust demand in AI infrastructure [23][24] - Marvell announced a strategic acquisition of Celestial AI for $3.25 billion, aiming to enhance its capabilities in AI and cloud data center interconnects [29][30] - AWS launched the new Trainium 3 chip, which offers significant performance improvements and announced plans for the upcoming Trainium 4 chip, enhancing its competitive position in the AI chip market [33][34] - Meta is shifting its focus from the metaverse to AI and AR, planning to cut its metaverse budget by 30% in 2026 to reallocate resources towards AI-related projects [38][39] Summary by Sections Market Review - The communication sector ranked second among 31 Shenwan primary industries, with notable increases in sub-sectors such as communication network equipment (5.67%) and communication cables (3.53%) [16][19] Industry Dynamics - **Credo's Financial Performance**: Credo's revenue growth is driven by its AEC and IC segments, with significant contributions from major data center clients [23][24] - **Marvell's Acquisition**: The acquisition of Celestial AI is expected to bolster Marvell's position in the AI interconnect market, with anticipated revenue contributions starting in FY2028 [29][31] - **AWS's Chip Launch**: The Trainium 3 chip features a 4x speed increase and enhanced memory capacity, positioning AWS favorably against competitors [33][34] - **Meta's Strategic Shift**: Meta's budget cuts in the metaverse sector reflect a strategic pivot towards AI and AR technologies, indicating a significant resource reallocation [38][40]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Synchronize Trend" investment rating for the gas turbine industry [1]. Core Insights - The global gas turbine market is expected to exceed $30 billion, driven by the growth of data center construction and increasing power demands [2]. - The gas turbine is a type of rotary heat engine widely used in power generation, oil and gas, and marine propulsion [10]. - The market is dominated by international leaders such as GE, Siemens, and Mitsubishi, which hold over 80% of the market share, while domestic companies are gradually improving their production capabilities [2][65]. Summary by Sections 1. Gas Turbine Overview - Gas turbines convert fuel energy into mechanical power through a continuous flow of gas, with core components including compressors, combustion chambers, and turbines [10][35]. - Gas turbines are categorized by power output into heavy, medium, light, and micro turbines, with heavy turbines typically exceeding 50MW [13][16]. 2. Market Growth and Trends - The global gas turbine market size is projected to grow from $23.96 billion in 2024 to $34.75 billion by 2032, with the Asia-Pacific region accounting for 56% of the market [2][52]. - The demand for power from data centers is expected to significantly increase, with AI data center IT energy consumption projected to reach 55.1 TWh in 2024, double that of 2023 [2][63]. 3. Domestic Industry Development - Domestic companies like Harbin Electric, Dongfang Electric, and Shanghai Electric are making strides in heavy gas turbine production, although they still rely on imports for advanced technologies [2][69]. - The domestic market for light gas turbines is largely self-sufficient, with a market size of approximately 56.57 billion yuan in 2022 [58]. 4. Competitive Landscape - Major international players dominate the market, with GE holding a 34% market share, Mitsubishi 27%, and Siemens 24% [65][68]. - Domestic companies are focusing on improving their technology and production capabilities to compete with these international giants [69][73]. 5. Technological Advancements - The report highlights the importance of advanced materials and manufacturing techniques in the production of turbine components, particularly for high-temperature applications [40][44]. - Innovations in turbine design and efficiency, such as combined-cycle systems, are expected to enhance performance and reduce emissions [21][29].

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The upcoming listing of China Uranium Industry is expected to create investment opportunities in the nuclear power sector, driven by a sustained demand for nuclear materials due to global nuclear energy construction [1] - A long-term supply-demand gap for nuclear materials is anticipated, as the global nuclear power capacity is projected to increase significantly by 2050, reaching between 561GW and 992GW [1][2] - China's nuclear power capacity is expected to grow to 130 million kW by 2030, 170 million kW by 2035, and 340 million kW by 2050, representing 4.5%, 5.1%, and 6.7% of the total national power capacity respectively [1][2] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - As of the end of 2024, there are 440 operational nuclear reactors globally, with a total installed capacity of 398GW, an increase from 392GW at the end of 2023 [1] - The report highlights the strategic importance of nuclear materials as scarce resources essential for the development of the nuclear industry, with increasing downstream demand expected [1] Policy Support - The Chinese government is actively promoting nuclear power development as part of its "dual carbon" goals, with a series of supportive policies and plans aimed at increasing nuclear power capacity [2] - The approval of new nuclear power units has significantly increased in recent years, with 10 units approved in 2022, 10 in 2023, and 11 in 2024 [2] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Sanxiang New Materials, which has begun production of nuclear-grade zirconium sponge and has successfully integrated into the nuclear power supply chain [3] - China Uranium Industry is highlighted as a key player, with its main product, natural uranium, being critical for nuclear industry development [3] - Shenzhen New Star is also mentioned, with its production lines for boron trifluoride nearing completion, which is used in nuclear reactor control agents [3]

Report Summary - The new Yalta system has been substantially established, with the global governance plan divided into two parts: the US's "New Monroe Doctrine" leads to strategic contraction, while China's "Community with a Shared Future for Mankind" emphasizes unity with Southern countries [1]. - In the bipolar world order, five global trends are worth noting: supply chain regionalization, debt - driven growth, political right - shift in the Western world, the decline of the US dollar hegemony, and the decreasing strategic significance of the First Island Chain and the First Continental Chain. Long - term optimism is held for precious metals and industrial metals, and pessimism for the US dollar [2]. - In 2026, three macro - events need attention: Sino - US economic and trade relaxation, the potential end of the Russia - Ukraine war, and the US mid - term elections. For China, exports may still be the economic highlight [3]. Group 1: Evolution of the Yalta System - After WWI, the global political pattern evolved through four stages: the "Versailles System" (1919 - 1939), the "Yalta System" (1945 - 1991), the "Post - Yalta Era" (1991 - 2024), and the "New Yalta System" starting from 2025 [19][23][25]. - The new Yalta system is characterized by the division of governance between China and the US. The US has shifted from strategic expansion to strategic contraction, and the global governance plan has changed from one in the old Yalta system to two [33][36]. Group 2: US Strategic Contraction - The US officially entered the strategic contraction phase during Trump's first term. Trump's "America First Strategy" is a return to realism and the protection of national interests [41]. - The meaning of G2 has changed. In the Obama era, it implied a "subordinate relationship" between the US and China, while in the Trump era, it implies a more "divide - and - rule" approach [49]. - Trump is more like Nixon than Reagan as he tries to seize power from Wall Street financial capital. He pretends to be like Reagan to gain capital support [54]. - Although Trump may cause political and social unrest in the US, he is unlikely to become the US's Gorbachev. If he changes the US's economic foundation, he may be a "hero" for the US [56]. - Trump's actions have led to the deterioration of the US's internal order, including the qualitative change of the two - party system, the failure of the separation of powers, and the continuous testing of the president's power boundaries [61][64]. - Trump's "New Monroe Doctrine" has led to the reconstruction of the global order. The US focuses on domestic affairs, strongly controls neighboring countries, maintains a surface - level control over Latin America, and retreats from Western Hemisphere allies [70]. Group 3: Long - term Trends in the Bipolar World - Supply chain regionalization will lead to one pole being unable to get out of inflation and the other out of deflation [84]. - The global economy will enter a debt - driven growth phase, with fiscal expansion as a long - term trend. Monetary policy will become subordinate to fiscal policy [87]. - The political spectrum in the Western world has shifted to the right since 2021, while the Eastern camp remains relatively stable [95]. - The US dollar hegemony is in decline. The US is trying to solve the US debt liquidity problem by issuing US debt stablecoins, but this may lead to the collapse of the US dollar credit in the long run [103]. - The strategic significance of the First Island Chain and the First Continental Chain is decreasing, and the economic integration of Northeast Asia is irresistible [111]. Group 4: Key Macro - events in 2026 - There will be a one - year window period for Sino - US economic and trade relaxation. The US will accelerate the independence of rare earth and chip supply chains, and China will accelerate the autonomy of high - end chip supply chains [3]. - The Russia - Ukraine war may end, with the US and Russia jointly reaping benefits from Ukraine. Russia's possible entry into the G8 does not necessarily mean it is unfavorable to China [3]. - In the US mid - term elections, the president's party is likely to lose the House of Representatives, which will hinder policy implementation and intensify partisan opposition [3]. - For China, exports may still be the economic highlight in 2026, driven by the repair of the trade environment, European re - armament, and post - war reconstruction in Russia and Ukraine [3]. Group 5: Asset Judgments - Long - term optimism is held for precious metals and industrial metals, and pessimism for the US dollar. A cautious view is taken on oil prices [117].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 38.59 CNY based on a 32 times PE valuation for the estimated earnings per share in 2026 [5]. Core Insights - The company is actively developing its core automotive parts business and is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of solid-state batteries [3]. - The company has established strong partnerships with major automotive manufacturers globally, enhancing its market presence [1]. - The acquisition of Aizhuo Technology is expected to broaden the product structure and enhance growth momentum [2]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 2004, is a comprehensive provider of automotive parts, focusing on R&D, manufacturing, and sales [1]. - It has diversified its product offerings into three main categories: noise reduction and thermal insulation products, electric pumps and motors, and automotive electronics [1]. Business Development - The company has successfully developed materials specifically for electric vehicles, achieving a revenue of 29.31 million CNY in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 74.12% [2]. - The acquisition of a 70% stake in Aizhuo Technology aims to enhance product intelligence and expand the company's capabilities in automotive components [2]. Solid-State Battery Initiatives - The company is focusing on solid-state batteries, primarily using oxide electrolyte technology, which has passed various safety tests and certifications [3]. - A strategic cooperation agreement with Jiangxi Jiangling Group for solid-state battery projects is in place, indicating a commitment to advancing this technology [3]. - The company is investing in pilot production lines for solid-state batteries, with plans for mass production in the future [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 4.96 billion CNY, 5.43 billion CNY, and 5.95 billion CNY, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 116 million CNY, 182 million CNY, and 249 million CNY [4]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in profitability, with net profit growth rates of 256.62% in 2025 and 57.46% in 2026 [4].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 96.11 CNY based on a 65 times PE valuation for 2026E [3][5]. Core Insights - The company, Rongqi Technology, specializes in industrial AI quality inspection equipment and has significant growth potential in the future [1]. - The company has made substantial breakthroughs in the consumer electronics sector, becoming a key supplier for major players like Apple, Amazon, and Meta, with approximately 80% of its revenue coming from this sector [2]. - The company is actively expanding into the solid-state battery field, holding a 20% stake in Sichuan Lieneng, which focuses on hydraulic machinery for various applications, including solid-state batteries [3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 414 million CNY, 655 million CNY, and 910 million CNY, respectively, indicating a growth rate of 11.67% in 2025 and 58.21% in 2026 [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 46 million CNY in 2025, 79 million CNY in 2026, and 165 million CNY in 2027, with a significant growth rate of 69.84% in 2026 and 109.22% in 2027 [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.87 CNY in 2025 to 3.09 CNY in 2027, reflecting strong profitability growth [4]. Market Position - The company has established strong partnerships with leading EMS companies, enhancing its market position in the consumer electronics industry [2]. - The company has a solid technical foundation and continues to expand its application areas, particularly in consumer electronics and new energy sectors [1].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report presents the top ten convertible bonds for December 2025, analyzing each bond's issuer, including its financial performance, business scope, and key attractions [1][3][4]. 3. Summary by Company 3.1 Zhongte Convertible Bond - **Company Profile**: A globally leading specialized special steel material manufacturing enterprise with a production capacity of about 20 million tons of special steel materials per year [11]. - **Financial Performance**: In 2024, its operating income was 109.203 billion yuan (YoY -4.22%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 5.126 billion yuan (YoY -10.41%). In the first three quarters of 2025, the operating income was 81.206 billion yuan (YoY -2.75%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 4.33 billion yuan (YoY +12.88%) [11]. - **Company Highlights**: It is one of the world's most comprehensive special steel enterprises in terms of variety and specifications, with leading market shares in core products such as bearing steel and automotive steel. It has a complete industrial chain and strong cost - control capabilities, and is actively seeking external expansion [12]. 3.2 Shanlu Convertible Bond - **Company Profile**: Mainly engaged in road and bridge engineering construction and maintenance, and actively expanding into other fields. It has a complete business and management system [29]. - **Financial Performance**: In 2024, its operating income was 71.348 billion yuan (YoY -2.3%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 2.322 billion yuan (YoY +1.47%). In the first three quarters of 2025, the operating income was 41.354 billion yuan (YoY -3.11%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 1.41 billion yuan (YoY -3.27%) [29]. - **Company Highlights**: Controlled by the Shandong Provincial State - owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, it has the concept of "China Special Valuation". It is expected to benefit from infrastructure construction in Shandong and the "Belt and Road" initiative [30]. 3.3 Hebang Convertible Bond - **Company Profile**: With advantages in salt mines, phosphate mines, and natural gas supply, it has completed the basic layout in the chemical, agricultural, and photovoltaic fields [44]. - **Financial Performance**: In 2024, its operating income was 8.547 billion yuan (YoY -3.13%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 31 million yuan (YoY -97.55%). In the first three quarters of 2025, the operating income was 5.927 billion yuan (YoY -13.02%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 93 million yuan (YoY -57.93%) [44]. - **Company Highlights**: Its phosphate mines and salt mines contribute stable profits, and the liquid methionine business has high - margin performance [45]. 3.4 Huayuan Convertible Bond - **Company Profile**: Focused on building a complete vitamin D3 upstream - downstream industrial chain, with products including cholesterol, vitamin D3, and chemical preparations [57]. - **Financial Performance**: In 2024, its operating income was 1.243 billion yuan (YoY +13.58%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 309 million yuan (YoY +60.76%). In the first three quarters of 2025, the operating income was 936 million yuan (YoY -0.2%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 234 million yuan (YoY -3.07%) [57]. - **Company Highlights**: It is a leader in NF - grade cholesterol and 25 - hydroxyvitamin D3 products. It is expanding its product matrix and has a layout in the pharmaceutical manufacturing field [58]. 3.5 Xingye Convertible Bond - **Company Profile**: One of the first joint - stock commercial banks approved by the State Council and the People's Bank of China, evolving into a modern financial service group [71]. - **Financial Performance**: In 2024, its operating income was 212.226 billion yuan (YoY +0.66%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 77.205 billion yuan (YoY +0.12%). In the first three quarters of 2025, the operating income was 161.234 billion yuan (YoY -1.82%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 63.083 billion yuan (YoY +0.12%) [71]. - **Company Highlights**: It has stable asset quality and scale growth, with a large number of corporate and retail customers [72]. 3.6 Huanxu Convertible Bond - **Company Profile**: A global leader in electronic manufacturing design, providing value - added services to brand customers [81]. - **Financial Performance**: In 2024, its operating income was 60.691 billion yuan (YoY -0.17%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 1.652 billion yuan (YoY -15.16%). In the first three quarters of 2025, the operating income was 43.641 billion yuan (YoY -0.83%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 1.263 billion yuan (YoY -2.6%) [81]. - **Company Highlights**: It is a leading manufacturer of smart wearable SiP modules, with advanced packaging technologies and a global production layout [82]. 3.7 Chongyin Convertible Bond - **Company Profile**: The earliest local joint - stock commercial bank in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River and Southwest China, listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and selected for the "Leading Bank" program [94]. - **Financial Performance**: In 2024, its operating income was 13.679 billion yuan (YoY +3.54%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 5.117 billion yuan (YoY +3.8%). In the first three quarters of 2025, the operating income was 11.74 billion yuan (YoY +10.4%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 4.879 billion yuan (YoY +10.19%) [94]. - **Company Highlights**: Benefiting from the Chengdu - Chongqing economic circle strategy, it has stable asset - scale growth and a reasonable credit strategy [96]. 3.8 Tianye Convertible Bond - **Company Profile**: The first industrial enterprise of the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps and a leading enterprise in the chlor - alkali chemical industry, with an integrated circular economy industrial chain [103]. - **Financial Performance**: In 2024, its operating income was 11.156 billion yuan (YoY -2.7%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 68 million yuan (YoY +108.83%). In the first three quarters of 2025, the operating income was 7.97 billion yuan (YoY +2.2%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 7 million yuan (YoY -28.79%) [103]. - **Company Highlights**: The cost of caustic soda production is relatively fixed, and it plans to increase the dividend frequency and has coal - mine projects in progress [106]. 3.9 Aorui Convertible Bond - **Company Profile**: A company focusing on the R & D, production, and sales of complex APIs and preparations, leading in several technical fields [119]. - **Financial Performance**: In 2024, its operating income was 1.476 billion yuan (YoY +16.89%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 355 million yuan (YoY +22.59%). In the first three quarters of 2025, the operating income was 1.237 billion yuan (YoY +13.67%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 354 million yuan (YoY +24.58%) [119]. - **Company Highlights**: It has an optimized distributor network, expanding preparation products, and high - quality customer resources [120]. 3.10 Yushui Convertible Bond - **Company Profile**: The largest water supply and drainage integrated enterprise in Chongqing, with a stable monopoly position in the local market [133]. - **Financial Performance**: In 2024, its operating income was 6.999 billion yuan (YoY -3.52%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 785 million yuan (YoY -27.88%). In the first three quarters of 2025, the operating income was 5.568 billion yuan (YoY +7.21%), and the net profit attributable to the parent was 779 million yuan (YoY +7.1%) [133]. - **Company Highlights**: It has a high market share in Chongqing, is expanding externally, and has effective cost - control measures [134].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the real estate sector, indicating a positive outlook despite current challenges [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the competitive landscape of Hong Kong commercial real estate, emphasizing that Hong Kong developers dominate the high-end market in mainland China, with significant advantages in sales per square meter compared to domestic developers [2][17]. - It notes that the real estate market is showing signs of stabilization, with policies expected to support demand and mitigate risks, particularly in first-tier cities [3]. - The report suggests that the financial health of Hong Kong developers is generally robust, with a focus on high-end commercial properties, which positions them well to benefit from increased consumer spending in mainland China [6][28]. Summary by Sections 1. Hong Kong Commercial Real Estate Landscape - Hong Kong developers like Hang Lung, Swire, and Sun Hung Kai dominate the high-end commercial sector, capturing a significant market share in major cities such as Shanghai, Beijing, and Guangzhou [2][17]. - The average sales per square meter for Hong Kong high-end projects (8.6 billion/10,000 sqm) significantly outperforms domestic counterparts (5.6 billion/10,000 sqm) [20]. 2. Market Performance - The report indicates that both A-shares and Hong Kong real estate stocks underperformed the broader market, with A-shares down 0.72% and Hong Kong real estate down 0.95% [3]. - The issuance of real estate credit bonds totaled 17.84 billion, with a net financing amount of 11.50 billion, reflecting ongoing challenges in the sector [4]. 3. REITs Market - The REITs index showed a slight decline of 0.11%, with the property-type REITs index at 118.22 points and the franchise-type REITs index at 118.85 points [4]. - The report notes that REITs have outperformed the CSI 300 index over the past month by 2.92 percentage points [4]. 4. Housing Market Trends - New and second-hand housing transaction volumes have seen significant year-on-year declines, with new housing down 34.37% and second-hand housing down 19.46% [6]. - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in the second-hand housing market, while new housing metrics are expected to stabilize [6]. 5. Land Market Dynamics - The report highlights a substantial increase in land supply and transaction volumes across major cities, with a 144.35% increase in supply and a 40.81% increase in transactions [5]. - The premium rate for land transactions has shown a slight increase, indicating a competitive bidding environment [5]. 6. Policy Outlook - The report outlines expectations for future policies aimed at stabilizing the housing market, including potential adjustments to purchase restrictions in first-tier cities and measures to alleviate inventory pressures [3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [4] Core Views - The report highlights the continued trading around December interest rate cuts and the geopolitical issues surrounding Russia and Ukraine. The probability of a December rate cut is currently at 85%, with several Federal Reserve officials supporting the continuation of rate cuts. This has led to a decrease in U.S. Treasury yields and an increase in gold prices. However, the upcoming FOMC meeting will also focus on the dot plot and comments from Powell, which may impact short-term gold prices [2][11]. - The uncertainty surrounding the Russia-Ukraine negotiations remains significant, with recent proposals from the U.S. and Europe facing resistance from Ukraine and Russia. The report suggests that substantive territorial issues are challenging to resolve, indicating a complex negotiation landscape ahead [2][11]. - The potential appointment of Hassett as the Federal Reserve Chair could further strengthen gold prices, as his dovish stance may enhance market expectations for future rate cuts and raise concerns about the Fed's independence [2][11]. Summary by Sections Weekly Research Views - The report discusses the ongoing focus on December interest rate cuts and geopolitical tensions, emphasizing the high probability of a rate cut and its implications for gold prices. It also notes the complexities in the Russia-Ukraine negotiations and the potential impact of a new Fed Chair on market expectations [2][11]. Sector Performance - The report indicates that the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.40%, while the non-ferrous metals index increased by 3.42%, outperforming the market by 2.02%. The top-performing sub-sectors included tungsten, lead-zinc, and nickel-cobalt-tin [13][14]. Metal Prices and Inventories - The report notes a general increase in metal prices, with LME copper reaching $11,189 per ton, marking a 3.8% increase. Other metals also saw price increases, with significant movements in lithium and cobalt prices. The report highlights the ongoing bullish sentiment in the copper market, driven by expectations of rate cuts and supply constraints [12][32][46].