证券研究报告·公司点评报告·其他电源设备Ⅱ 麦格米特（002851） 2025 年业绩预告点评：加大投入 ALL IN AI， 26 年业绩有望拐点加速向上 2026 年 01 月 29 日 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 司鑫尧 执业证书：S0600524120002 sixy@dwzq.com.cn 股价走势 -24% -7% 10% 27% 44% 61% 78% 95% 112% 129% 146% 2025/2/5 2025/6/4 2025/10/1 2026/1/28 麦格米特 沪深300 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 6,754 | 8,172 | 8,683 | 12,220 | 16,613 | | 同比（%） | 23.30 | 21.00 | 6.25 | 40.72 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·工业金属 鼎胜新材（603876） 2025 年业绩预告点评：电池箔盈利水平明显 提升，Q4 业绩超预期 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 19,064 | 24,022 | 26,582 | 30,163 | 33,019 | | 同比（%） | (11.76) | 26.01 | 10.66 | 13.47 | 9.47 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 534.83 | 301.09 | 522.25 | 904.18 | 1,102.78 | | 同比（%） | (61.29) | (43.70) | 73.45 | 73.13 | 21.96 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.58 | 0.32 | 0.56 | 0.97 | 1.19 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 27.21 | 48.33 | 27.86 | 16.09 | 13.20 | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to increase its investment in AI, with a potential turning point in performance anticipated in 2026 [1] - The company's revenue for 2025 is projected to be 8.68 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.25% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is forecasted to be 133.47 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 69.40% year-on-year [1] - The company is positioned as the only supplier of AI server power supplies for Nvidia in mainland China, with expectations for increased orders and market share [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 6.75 billion yuan - 2024: 8.17 billion yuan - 2025: 8.68 billion yuan - 2026: 12.22 billion yuan - 2027: 16.61 billion yuan [1][8] - Net profit projections are: - 2023: 629.32 million yuan - 2024: 436.12 million yuan - 2025: 133.47 million yuan - 2026: 800.61 million yuan - 2027: 1.72 billion yuan [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast is: - 2023: 1.14 yuan - 2024: 0.79 yuan - 2025: 0.24 yuan - 2026: 1.46 yuan - 2027: 3.12 yuan [1][8] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 139.18 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 76.56 billion yuan [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is currently 121.65, projected to rise to 573.63 in 2025 before decreasing to 44.54 by 2027 [1][5]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电池 宁德时代（300750） 盈利韧性强，份额提升，龙头地位稳固 2026 年 01 月 29 日 买入（维持） ◼ 风险提示：政策不确定，需求低于预期。 证券分析师 曾朵红 | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 400,917 | 362,013 | 428,249 | 578,071 | 708,193 | | 同比（%） | 22.01 | (9.70) | 18.30 | 34.98 | 22.51 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 44,121 | 50,745 | 70,020 | 91,363 | 113,644 | | 同比（%） | 43.58 | 15.01 | 37.98 | 30.48 | 24.39 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 9.67 | 11.12 | 15.34 | 20.02 | 24.90 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 35.17 ...

宁德时代（300750） 盈利韧性强，份额提升，龙头地位稳固 2026 年 01 月 29 日 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 400,917 | 362,013 | 428,249 | 578,071 | 708,193 | | 同比（%） | 22.01 | (9.70) | 18.30 | 34.98 | 22.51 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 44,121 | 50,745 | 70,020 | 91,363 | 113,644 | | 同比（%） | 43.58 | 15.01 | 37.98 | 30.48 | 24.39 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 9.67 | 11.12 | 15.34 | 20.02 | 24.90 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 35.17 | 30.58 | 22.16 | 16.98 | 13.65 | [Table_Tag] [T ...

宏观点评 20260129 1 月 FOMC：平安夜——2026 年 1 月 FOMC 会议点评 2026 年 01 月 29 日 证券分析师 芦哲 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 张佳炜 执业证书：S0600524120013 zhangjw@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 韦祎 执业证书：S0600525040002 weiy@dwzq.com.cn 证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观点评 证券分析师 王茁 执业证书：S0600526010001 wangzhuo@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《公积金改革可以撬动多少消费？》 2026-01-28 《"雨带北移"或推动 2026 年水利相 关投资录得较高增长》 2026-01-28 东吴证券研究所 1 / 5 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] ◼ 核心观点：1 月美联储 FOMC 会议以 10-2 投票维持利率水平不变，发 布会上 Powell 回避了所有的政治问题，其守口如瓶的行为弱化了市场 对美联储独立性的交易。由于此前市场已充分定价到 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·通用设备 宏盛股份（603090） ◼ 板翅式换热器龙头，渠道优势叠加产品优势，确定液冷核心生态位 液冷技术是解决数据中心散热压力的必由之路，其具备低能耗、高散热、低 噪声和低 TCO 的优势，同时其能降低数据中心 PUE 值，满足国家要求。现阶 段液冷的主要方案中冷板式占据主流地位，浸没式有望成为未来的发展方向。 冷板式液冷系统由室内及室外侧组成，CDU 和分集液管成本占比最高。 2025 年业绩预告点评：订单增长叠加业务 结构优化，利润弹性显著释放 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 695.93 | 713.04 | 759.95 | 1,005.61 | 1,357.30 | | 同比（%） | (2.57) | 2.46 | 6.58 | 32.33 | 34.97 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 53.78 | 49.36 | 79.67 | 198.35 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [1]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 75 to 85 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 52% to 72%, with a median estimate of 80 million yuan, which corresponds to a 62% increase [2]. - The anticipated revenue for 2025 is approximately 760 million yuan, reflecting a 6.7% increase compared to 2024, driven by an increase in orders and a strategic business structure optimization [2]. - The company has terminated its overseas lithium battery PACK e-commerce business, which is expected to reduce losses by about 30 million yuan compared to 2024, significantly improving overall profitability [2]. - The report highlights the company's strong position in the liquid cooling technology sector, which is essential for addressing the heat dissipation challenges in data centers, emphasizing its low energy consumption and high efficiency [3][4]. Financial Projections - The projected total revenue for the company is as follows: 695.93 million yuan in 2023, 713.04 million yuan in 2024, 759.95 million yuan in 2025, 1,005.61 million yuan in 2026, and 1,357.30 million yuan in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of -2.57%, 2.46%, 6.58%, 32.33%, and 34.97% [1]. - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 53.78 million yuan in 2023, 49.36 million yuan in 2024, 79.67 million yuan in 2025, 198.35 million yuan in 2026, and 320.07 million yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.73%, -8.22%, 61.40%, 148.97%, and 61.37% respectively [1]. - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) to be 0.54 yuan in 2023, 0.49 yuan in 2024, 0.80 yuan in 2025, 1.98 yuan in 2026, and 3.20 yuan in 2027 [1].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a maintained rating [1] Core Views - The company has released its earnings forecast for 2025, indicating a significant recovery in net profit due to the release of historical quality accident risks associated with wind turbines and the acquisition of Dehua Chip to enter the domestic satellite power market [1][4] - The company expects a substantial increase in revenue and net profit in the coming years, with a projected net profit of 897.66 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 159% [1][4] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is forecasted to reach 41.215 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 51.76% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 897.66 million yuan in 2025, with further growth projected to 2.114 billion yuan in 2026 and 3.174 billion yuan in 2027 [1][4] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.40 yuan in 2025, increasing to 0.93 yuan in 2026 and 1.40 yuan in 2027 [1][4] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 62.68 in 2025 to 17.73 in 2027, indicating improved valuation as earnings grow [1][4] Acquisition and Technological Advancements - The acquisition of Dehua Chip will enhance the company's capabilities in high-end compound semiconductor technology and energy systems, allowing for comprehensive solutions in the photovoltaic sector [3] - The company has achieved significant advancements in photovoltaic technology, including a certified efficiency of 22.4% for its perovskite modules and over 34% for its perovskite/HJT tandem cells [3]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·风电设备 明阳智能（601615） 2025 年业绩预告点评：风机历史质量事故风 险释放，收购德华芯片进军国内卫星电源 Tier1 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 28,124 | 27,158 | 41,215 | 38,616 | 43,200 | | 同比（%） | (8.53) | (3.43) | 51.76 | (6.31) | 11.87 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 376.72 | 346.11 | 897.66 | 2,113.61 | 3,173.78 | | 同比（%） | (89.06) | (8.12) | 159.35 | 135.46 | 50.16 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.40 | 0.93 | 1.40 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 149.36 | 162.56 | 62. ...