Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Buy" [1][7]. Core Views - The company has raised its full-year sales target for 2025 to 3 million units, maintaining an optimistic outlook for its overall operating performance [3][7]. - The report highlights a strong sales performance in June 2025, with total sales reaching 236,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 42% [7]. - The company expects continued growth in revenue and net profit, driven by its "Smart Geely 2025" strategy [7]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 179,204 million RMB in 2023 to 321,801 million RMB in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 34% [6]. - Net profit is expected to increase significantly from 5,166 million RMB in 2023 to 16,299 million RMB in 2025, with a growth rate of 222% [6]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.62 RMB in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 16.6 times, leading to a target price of 29.49 HKD [7]. Sales Performance - In June 2025, the company sold 236,000 vehicles, with new energy vehicle sales reaching 122,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 129% for pure electric vehicles and 30% for plug-in hybrids [7]. - For the first half of 2025, total sales reached 1,409,000 units, a 47% increase year-on-year, with new energy vehicle sales at 725,000 units, reflecting a growth of 173% for pure electric vehicles [7].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The "Strengthening Ocean Economy" strategy is accelerating, with significant developments in offshore wind power, ultra-deepwater platforms, and breakthroughs in high-end shipbuilding [2] - The central government's focus on high-quality development of the marine economy presents long-term growth opportunities for deep-sea technology and related industries [3] Summary by Sections Wind Power - The wind power sector is expected to see a profit restructuring and order expansion, with high demand projected for 2025. The domestic wind power installation reached 19.96 GW from January to April 2025, with a total bidding capacity of 53.4 GW from central state-owned enterprises [3] - The deep-sea wind power projects are entering a substantial advancement phase, with notable projects like the Zhejiang deep-sea demonstration project initiating equipment bidding, creating new opportunities for suppliers [3] - Recommended stocks include XinQiangLian, with related stocks being Tongyu Heavy Industry [3] Oil and Gas Equipment - The marine oil and gas sector is becoming a crucial growth area for China's energy supply, with marine crude oil accounting for nearly 80% of the national crude oil increment [3] - China has made significant advancements in deepwater oil and gas exploration, breaking the monopoly of a few international oil companies, exemplified by the domestically designed and built sixth-generation ultra-deepwater drilling platform "Fenjin" [3] - Recommended stocks include Jereh, Neway, with related stocks being CIMC, CNOOC, PetroChina, and China Oilfield Services [3] Shipbuilding Industry - The policy support is accelerating the construction of deep-sea equipment, with high demand arising from deep-sea oil and gas development, offshore wind power, and marine fisheries [3] - Key breakthroughs have been achieved in high-end ship types such as LNG carriers and ultra-deepwater drilling platforms, with the industry experiencing high levels of new orders and deliveries [3] - Recommended stocks include China Shipbuilding, China Shipbuilding Defense, and Zhenhua Heavy Industry [3]

宏观研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.07.04 | 美国非农：超预期背后仍有隐忧 | [Table_Authors] | 王宇晴(分析师) | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 021-38676666 | | 2025 年 6 月美国非农数据点评 | 登记编号 | S0880525040119 | | 本报告导读： | | 梁中华(分析师) | | 6 月美国新增非农就业超预期回升，失业率回落，市场降息预期有所降温。不过，私 | | 021-38676666 | | 人部门新增就业的走弱、劳动参与率的回落、工作时长和工资环比增速的放缓反映 | 登记编号 | S0880525040019 | | 出就业市场仍处于放缓趋势。我们认为，当前美国就业市场尚未明显失速，关税对 | | | | 通胀的影响仍有待观察，美联储短期内难以降息。 | | | 投资要点： 风险提示：就业市场非线性恶化 题 证 券 [Table_Summary] 非农数据：哪些好消息？亮点一：6 月新增非农就业超预期回升。6 月美国新增非农就业为 14.7 万人，较 5 月（14.4 万）有所增加。连 续三个月平均新 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the forklift industry [1][3]. Core Insights - Amazon has deployed over one million robots globally, establishing an efficient human-machine collaboration model, which is expected to further catalyze the development of the unmanned forklift industry [3]. - The rapid development of embodied intelligence is benefiting both domestic and international forklift companies, e-commerce logistics firms, and robotics companies, leading to a clearer trend towards unmanned forklifts and embodied handling robots [5]. - The report highlights the significant advancements made by leading companies in the unmanned logistics sector since 2025, including collaborations and technological innovations aimed at improving warehouse management and operational efficiency [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The forklift industry is experiencing a shift towards automation and intelligence, with a focus on unmanned and smart logistics solutions [5]. - Major players like Amazon are setting benchmarks in unmanned warehouse logistics, with their new robots capable of performing tasks at speeds comparable to human workers [5]. Company Developments - Domestic leaders such as Anhui Heli, Hangcha Group, and Zhongli Group are accelerating their investments in unmanned forklift technology and have made significant progress in partnerships and product innovations [5]. - Anhui Heli has announced collaborations with Huawei and major logistics companies to enhance digital transformation and smart logistics [5]. - Hangcha Group has established a smart logistics company in the U.S. and is exploring innovative collaborations in the "smart robot + logistics" sector [5]. - Zhongli Group has introduced new products in smart warehousing and robotics, indicating a clear trend towards automation in the industry [5]. Financial Projections - The report provides earnings forecasts for key companies in the industry, with Anhui Heli expected to have an EPS of 1.59 yuan per share in 2025, Hangcha Group at 1.71 yuan, and Zhongli Group at 2.30 yuan [6].

Investment Rating - The report rates the military industry as "Buy" [1] Core Viewpoints - The military industry is expected to perform well in the long term due to increasing great power competition and rising defense expenditures [3][9][10] - A grand military parade is scheduled for September 3, 2025, showcasing domestic military equipment and advancements [8][20] - Japan is set to deploy F-35B stealth fighters as early as August, indicating a shift in regional military dynamics [8][10] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - Key investment areas include: 1. Assembly: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, Aerospace South Lake, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry [4] 2. Components: AVIC Optoelectronics, Guobang Electronics, Ruichuang Micro-Nano [4] 3. Subsystems: AVIC Avionics, North Navigation [4] 4. Materials and Processing: Feilihua, Guangwei Composite, Huaqin Technology, Bolite, Western Materials, Aviation Materials [4] - Notable stocks include: - Assembly: Aerospace Rainbow, AVIC Chengfei [4] - Components: Unisoc, Aerospace Electric, Hongyuan Electronics, Zhenhua Technology, Torch Electronics [4] - Subsystems: Aero Engine Corporation, Jianghang Equipment [4] - Materials and Processing: AVIC Heavy Machinery, AVIC High-Tech, Western Superconducting, Aerospace Technology [4] Market Review - The military sector saw a 7.46% increase last week, outperforming the market by 5.54 percentage points [12][13] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.91%, while the ChiNext Index increased by 5.69% [12][13] - The China Securities National Security Index performed the best, rising by 8.31% [16] Major News in the Military Industry - The Shanghai Cooperation Organization defense ministers' meeting was held in Qingdao, emphasizing regional security cooperation [20] - The upcoming military parade will feature all domestically produced active combat equipment, highlighting advancements in military capabilities [21][23] - The focus of the parade will be on commemorating the victory in the Anti-Japanese War and showcasing the modernization of the military [24][25]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry, indicating a potential increase in stock prices relative to the CSI 300 index by over 15% [5][11]. Core Insights - On June 30, 2025, Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) reached a power purchase agreement with Google for 200MW of fusion energy, marking a significant step in Google's energy strategy and accelerating the commercialization of nuclear fusion [3][5]. - The partnership is expected to drive the development of the controllable nuclear fusion industry, with CFS planning to construct its first commercial fusion power plant, ARC, by 2030, which will have a capacity of approximately 400MW [5]. - The report highlights the increasing demand for clean energy solutions driven by the surge in energy consumption from AI technologies, positioning nuclear fusion as a key solution for sustainable energy needs [5]. Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on specific segments such as high-temperature superconducting magnets, power supplies, and detection systems [5]. - Beneficiary stocks include: 1. Midstream Equipment: Lianchuang Optoelectronics, Guoguang Electric, Antai Technology, Hezhuan Intelligent, Yingliu Co., Xuguang Electronics, and Wanyi Technology. 2. Upstream Materials: Yongding Co. and Jingda Co. [5]. Market Context - The agreement with Google signals strong market demand for fusion energy, which could accelerate research and capital investment in the sector [5]. - The competitive landscape includes other companies like Helion and TAE Technologies, which are also pursuing fusion commercialization, potentially leading to rapid industry growth [5]. Financial Metrics - The report provides a valuation table for related stocks, indicating their market capitalization and earnings per share (EPS) projections for 2025 and 2026 [6].

Core Insights - Since the second quarter, southbound capital has continued to flow into Hong Kong stocks, with a cumulative net inflow of HKD 292.5 billion in Q2, leading to a historical high in the market value share of southbound holdings in Hong Kong stocks [3][6] - The proportion of Hong Kong Stock Connect holdings increased from 19.0% at the end of Q1 to 20.7% at the end of Q2, while the foreign capital share decreased from 62.8% to 60.4% [3][6] - From a stock perspective, foreign capital still dominates most sub-sectors in Hong Kong stocks, but with the inflow of southbound capital, the marginal pricing power of southbound investors is significantly increasing in sectors such as consumer services, household products, automotive, commercial services, durable consumption, biopharmaceuticals, medical device services, energy, and banking [3][6] Industry Analysis - The report highlights that the southbound capital's marginal pricing power is notably rising in various sectors, including consumer services, household products, automotive, commercial services, durable consumption, biopharmaceuticals, medical device services, energy, and banking [3][6][13] - The data indicates that foreign capital still holds a dominant position in most sub-sectors of Hong Kong stocks, but the increasing southbound capital is changing the dynamics of pricing power in these industries [3][6][12]

国泰海通证券 6 月基金表现回顾 [Table_Authors] 魏玮(分析师) 重配 TMT、军工、有色等相关行业个股的基金表现较优 本报告导读： 2025 年 6 月，A 股上涨，债市上涨，美股上涨，油价上涨，金价调整。基金方 面，部分重配 TMT、军工、有色等相关行业个股的基金表现较优。 投资要点： 2025 年 6 月基金业绩回顾 基金研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.07.02 | | 021-38676666 | | --- | --- | | 登记编号 | S0880525040123 | | | 庄梓恺(分析师) | | | 021-38676666 | | 登记编号 | S0880525040038 | 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 基 金 研 究 基 金 月 报 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 6 月资本市场回顾 股票市场：A 股上涨，TMT、军工、有色等行业表现较优。2025 年 6 月，5 月制造业 PMI 环比上升带动 A 股上行，但受中东局势影响， 市场于月中承压调整，后在伊以宣布正式停火、央行等六部门联合 发布《关于金融支持提振 ...

Group 1: Overview of Currency and Financial System Changes - The development of stablecoins and RWA (Real World Assets) may create a parallel, decentralized currency and financial system alongside the current centralized system, potentially transforming the global monetary landscape significantly[5][20]. - The evolution of stablecoins and RWA could lead to changes comparable to the impact of AI on the global economy, presenting both opportunities and challenges for industries, institutions, and regulators[5][20]. Group 2: Nature of Currency - Currency fundamentally serves as a "social consensus" accounting tool, where its value is derived from collective trust rather than intrinsic worth[8][11]. - The scarcity of currency is crucial for maintaining its value and ensuring public trust; excessive issuance can lead to inflation and diminish the currency's acceptance[10][11]. Group 3: Stablecoins as a Parallel Currency System - Stablecoins emerged as a response to declining trust in centralized accounting systems, providing a decentralized ledger based on blockchain technology[13][14]. - As of 2014, stablecoins backed by fiat currencies, particularly the US dollar, accounted for 99% of the stablecoin market, indicating a strong preference for stability in value[14][15]. Group 4: RWA and Financial Market Innovations - RWA represents a method of tokenizing real-world assets on the blockchain, creating a decentralized market for these assets, similar to asset-backed securities (ABS) but utilizing blockchain for transactions[20][21]. - The growth of RWA could lead to a new financial ecosystem where investors can manage wealth directly on the blockchain without reverting to centralized financial systems[21][22].

Group 1: AI Industry Dynamics - Meta has recruited four key researchers from OpenAI, who contributed to major models like GPT-4, amid a competitive hiring environment with significant signing bonuses[8] - AI startup Delphi secured $16 million in Series A funding led by Sequoia, focusing on creating digital avatars for users, with some emotional coaches earning over $1 million annually[9] - Thinking Machines Lab, founded by OpenAI's former CTO, raised $2 billion in seed funding, achieving a valuation of $10 billion, marking one of the largest seed rounds in history[10] Group 2: AI Applications and Innovations - Anthropic's Claude chatbot now allows users to build AI applications directly through conversation, enhancing accessibility for non-programmers[11] - Google launched the open-source Gemini CLI, offering extensive features and a high usage limit, which has gained significant traction in the developer community[12] - Google DeepMind's AlphaGenome can read 1 million DNA bases at once, outperforming existing models in 22 out of 24 evaluations, aiding in genetic research[13] Group 3: AI Product Developments - Meta's new smart glasses, Oakley Meta HSTN, priced from $399, can record 3K video and have a battery life of up to 56 hours with the charging case[26] - Microsoft's Mu model, with only 330 million parameters, achieves performance comparable to models with 10 times the parameters, showcasing significant efficiency improvements[27] - ElevenLabs introduced the 11ai voice assistant, designed for task management and information retrieval, supporting 32 languages[20] Group 4: Market Trends and Risks - Tesla's Robotaxi service launched in Austin, Texas, with a fixed fare of $4.2, initially deploying 10-20 Model Y vehicles, but facing competition from Waymo's 1,500 operational vehicles[22] - AI software sales are underperforming expectations, with potential impacts on capital expenditure plans and product development due to supply chain constraints[33]