CNOOC(00883)
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中国海油:2025年一季报点评:油气产量稳步增长,继续高质量发展-20250502
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-02 03:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A and H shares of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1][6] Core Views - CNOOC's oil and gas production continues to grow steadily, contributing to high-quality development [1] - The company achieved a total revenue of RMB 106.9 billion in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was RMB 36.6 billion, down 8% year-on-year but up 72% quarter-on-quarter [6] - The report highlights the successful launch of projects leading to increased oil and gas production, with a net production of 189 million barrels of oil equivalent in Q1 2025, a 5% increase year-on-year [6] - CNOOC's capital expenditure for Q1 2025 was RMB 27.71 billion, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year, with a total budget of RMB 125-135 billion for the year [6] - The report emphasizes the company's strong cost control, with a barrel of oil cost of USD 27.03, down 2% year-on-year [6] - CNOOC is focused on shareholder returns, with an expected dividend payout of approximately RMB 62.3 billion for 2025, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.2% for A shares and 8.4% for H shares before tax [6] - The report projects net profits of RMB 138.4 billion, RMB 141.8 billion, and RMB 146.7 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios for A shares of 8.6, 8.4, and 8.1 [6] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is RMB 416.609 billion, with a slight decline expected in 2025E to RMB 409.877 billion [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be RMB 138.391 billion in 2025E, showing a marginal increase from 2024A [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be RMB 2.91 in 2025E, with a steady increase projected through 2027 [1] - The report indicates a decrease in capital expenditures and a focus on maintaining profitability through effective cost management [6][7]
中国海油(600938):油气产量稳步增长,成本优势巩固体现韧性
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-01 07:19
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1068.54 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decline of 4.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 365.63 billion yuan, down 7.9% year-on-year. However, the net oil and gas production increased steadily, and the decline in oil prices was less than the market average, indicating resilience in performance [2][6] - The company continues to focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with a significant cost advantage per barrel of oil. The main cost per barrel was 27.03 USD, a decrease of 2% year-on-year, showcasing the company's ability to maintain competitiveness during periods of declining oil prices [12] - Looking ahead, the company anticipates a stable growth in production and a mid-range oil price forecast above 60 USD per barrel, supported by limited production increases in the U.S. and OPEC's production cuts [12] - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, maintaining a dividend payout ratio of approximately 44.7% in 2024, with plans to continue this trend in the coming years [12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net production of 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%. Domestic production rose by 6.2% to 130.8 million barrels, while overseas production increased by 1.9% to 58.0 million barrels [12] - The average Brent crude oil price for Q1 2025 was 74.98 USD per barrel, down 8.3% year-on-year, while the company's realized oil price was 72.65 USD per barrel, a decline of 7.7%, indicating better performance relative to market trends [12] Cost Management - The company has integrated cost control throughout its exploration, development, and production processes, achieving a significant cost advantage over peers. The reduction in operating expenses and taxes contributed to the overall cost efficiency [12] Future Outlook - The company has set production targets for 2025-2027, aiming for net production of 760-780 million barrels of oil equivalent in 2025, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 5.9%, 2.6%, and 3.8% for the following years [12] - The company plans to repurchase shares worth 20-40 billion yuan in the next 12 months, indicating confidence in its valuation and future performance [12] Valuation - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 2.93 yuan, 2.99 yuan, and 3.12 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 8.58X, 8.40X, and 8.04X, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [12]
中国海油(600938):油气产量稳步增长,继续高质量发展
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-01 02:02
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A and H shares of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1][6] Core Views - CNOOC's oil and gas production continues to grow steadily, contributing to high-quality development [6] - The company achieved a total revenue of 106.9 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 36.6 billion yuan, down 8% year-on-year but up 72% quarter-on-quarter [6] - The report highlights the successful launch of projects leading to increased oil and gas production, with a net production of 189 million barrels of oil equivalent in Q1 2025, a 5% increase year-on-year [6] - CNOOC's capital expenditure for Q1 2025 was 27.71 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year, with a total budget of 125-135 billion yuan for the year [6] - The report emphasizes the company's strong cost control, with a barrel of oil cost of 27.03 USD in Q1 2025, down 2% year-on-year [6] - CNOOC is focused on shareholder returns, with an expected dividend payout of approximately 62.3 billion yuan for 2025, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.2% for A shares and 8.4% for H shares before tax [6] Financial Forecasts - The report provides financial forecasts for CNOOC, projecting total revenue of 409.88 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.53% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 138.39 billion yuan for 2025, with a slight increase of 0.33% year-on-year [7] - The report anticipates earnings per share (EPS) of 2.91 yuan for 2025, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.59 for A shares and 5.32 for H shares [7][8]
一季度“三桶油”营收集体受挫 仍净赚966亿元
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-04-30 16:09
截至4月29日,"三桶油"(中国石化、中国石油、中国海油)已相继披露2025年一季度经营业绩。财报 显示,三家企业实现净利润合计约966.34亿元,但营收均出现不同程度的下滑。 其中,按中国企业会计准则,2025年一季度,中国石油实现营收7531.08亿元,同比下滑7.3%,净利润 468.07亿元,同比增长2.3%。 相比之下,中国石化、中国海油的营收和净利润水平双双下滑。财报显示,2025年一季度,中国海油实 现营收1068.54亿元,同比下滑4.1%;净利润365.63亿元,同比下滑7.9%。中国石化则实现营收7353.56 亿元,同比下滑6.9%;净利润132.64亿元,同比下滑27.6%。 尽管营收下滑,但"三桶油"在2025年一季度的油气当量产量均实现了同比增长。其中,中国石油实现油 气当量产量4.67亿桶,同比增长0.7%;国内油气当量产量4.18亿桶,同比增长1.2%。中国石化实现油气 当量产量130.97百万桶,同比增长1.7%,其中,天然气产量3684.3亿立方英尺,同比增长5.1%。中国海 油实现净产量188.8百万桶油当量,同比增长4.8%。其中,中国净产量130.8百万桶油当量,同比 ...
中国海油(600938):Q1净利润366亿,成本竞争优势进一步巩固
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-30 13:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price based on expected returns exceeding 20% over the next six months [7][16]. Core Views - The company reported a net profit of 36.6 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with revenues of 106.85 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.14% in revenue and 7.95% in net profit [1]. - Domestic oil production increased by 3.4% year-on-year, with domestic production growing by 4.4%, primarily due to contributions from the Bohai Zhong 19-6 oil and gas field [2]. - The average realized oil price was 72.65 USD per barrel, down 7.7% year-on-year, with a slight improvement in the discount to Brent crude [4]. Financial Performance - The main cost per barrel of oil equivalent was 27.03 USD, a decrease of 2% year-on-year, attributed to lower oil prices and changes in production structure [3]. - The company forecasts net profits of 128.3 billion yuan, 133.1 billion yuan, and 135.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.3 and 5.8 times for A/H shares [4]. - The projected dividend yield for 2025 is 4.8% based on a 45% payout ratio [4]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company's revenue is expected to decline by 3.44% in 2025, with a gradual recovery projected in subsequent years [5]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 2.70 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 9.27 [5]. - The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with an asset-liability ratio of 28.74% and a net asset value per share of 16.49 yuan [7].
港股通(深)净买入8.48亿港元
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-04-30 12:29
证券时报•数据宝统计,4月30日港股通全天合计成交金额为894.01亿港元,成交净买入56.37亿港元。 具体来看,沪市港股通成交金额580.69亿港元,成交净买入47.89亿港元;深市港股通成交金额313.33亿 港元,成交净买入8.48亿港元。 4月30日港股通成交活跃股 代码简称类型成交金额 4月30日恒生指数上涨0.51%,报收22119.41点,全天南向资金通过港股通渠道合计净买入56.37亿港 元。 成交活跃股方面,沪市港股通前十大成交活跃股中,小米集团-W成交额为53.25亿港元,成交金额居 首;其次是阿里巴巴-W、中国银行,成交金额分别为27.93亿港元、26.06亿港元。以净买卖金额统计, 盈富基金净买入额为15.80亿港元,净买入金额居首,该股收盘股价上涨0.54%。净卖出金额最多的是阿 里巴巴-W,净卖出3.01亿港元,收盘股价上涨2.17%。 深市港股通前十大成交活跃股中,成交额居首的是小米集团-W,成交金额31.66亿港元;其次是阿里巴 巴-W、腾讯控股,成交金额分别为16.29亿港元、14.63亿港元。以净买卖金额统计,有5只股为净买 入,净买入金额最多的是阿里巴巴-W,净买入5. ...
南向资金今日成交活跃股名单(4月30日)
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-04-30 12:19
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.51% on April 30, with a total southbound trading volume of HKD 89.401 billion, including HKD 47.519 billion in buy transactions and HKD 41.882 billion in sell transactions, resulting in a net buying amount of HKD 5.637 billion [1] - The southbound trading through Stock Connect (Shenzhen) totaled HKD 31.333 billion, with buy transactions of HKD 16.090 billion and sell transactions of HKD 15.243 billion, leading to a net buying amount of HKD 0.848 billion [1] - The southbound trading through Stock Connect (Shanghai) reached HKD 58.069 billion, with buy transactions of HKD 31.429 billion and sell transactions of HKD 26.640 billion, resulting in a net buying amount of HKD 4.789 billion [1] Group 2 - Among the actively traded stocks, Xiaomi Group-W had the highest trading volume at HKD 84.91 billion, followed by Alibaba-W at HKD 44.22 billion and Meituan-W at HKD 37.36 billion [1][2] - The top net buying stock was the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (盈富基金) with a net buying amount of HKD 15.80 billion, closing with a price increase of 0.54% [1] - Meituan-W recorded a net buying amount of HKD 5.54 billion, while China Construction Bank had a net buying amount of HKD 5.21 billion [1] Group 3 - Meituan-W was among the stocks with continuous net buying for more than three days, achieving a total net buying amount of HKD 49.78 billion over six days [2] - The trading data for April 30 shows that the net selling amount was highest for Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, with a net selling of HKD 3.58 billion, and the stock closed down by 2.92% [1][2] - Other notable net selling amounts included XPeng Inc. and China Mobile, with net selling amounts of HKD 1.64 billion and HKD 1.26 billion, respectively [1]
智通港股通活跃成交|4月30日
智通财经网· 2025-04-30 11:02
深港通(南向)十大活跃成交公司 | 公司名称 | 成交金额 | 净买入额 | | --- | --- | --- | | 小米集团-W(01810) | 31.66 亿元 | +4.81 亿元 | | 阿里巴巴-W(09988) | 16.29 亿元 | +5.51 亿元 | | 腾讯控股(00700) | 14.63 亿元 | -4019.63 万元 | | 工商银行(01398) | 12.47 亿元 | -3.58 亿元 | | 美团-W(03690) | 12.41 亿元 | +2.00 亿元 | | 中芯国际(00981) | 8.71 亿元 | -1.01 亿元 | | 金山云(03896) | 7.56 亿元 | +1004.11 万元 | | 泡泡玛特(09992) | 6.62 亿元 | -8131.25 万元 | | 中国海洋石油(00883) | 5.97 亿元 | +6794.73 万元 | | 小鹏汽车-W(09868) | 5.81 亿元 | -1.64 亿元 | 智通财经APP获悉,2025年4月30日当天,小米集团-W(01810)、阿里巴巴-W(09988)、中国银行(039 ...
北水动向|北水成交净买入56.37亿 内银股绩后出现分化 建行(00939)获加仓、工行(01398)遭抛售
智通财经网· 2025-04-30 09:51
智通财经APP获悉,4月30日港股市场,北水成交净买入56.37亿港元,其中港股通(沪)成交净买入47.89 亿港元,港股通(深)成交净买入8.48亿港元。 北水净买入最多的个股是盈富基金(02800)、美团-W(03690)、建设银行(00939)。北水净卖出最多的个股 是工商银行(01398)、小鹏汽车-W(09868)、中国移动(00941)。 | 股票名称 | 买入额 | 卖出额 | 买卖总额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 净流入 | | 小米集团-W | 25.53亿 | 27.72亿 | 53.25亿 | | HK 01810 | | | -2.18 Z- | | 阿里巴巴-W | 12.46 亿 | 15.47 乙 | 27.93亿 | | HK 09988 | | | -3.011Z | | 中国银行 | 13.63 乙 | 12.43 亿 | 26.06亿 | | HK 03988 | | | +1.20 乙 | | 美团-W | 14.24 Z | 10.71亿 | 24.95亿 | | HK 03690 | | | +3.53 乙 | | 腾讯控 ...
中国海油(600938):油气产量稳步增长,成本优势持续深化
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-30 08:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in oil and gas production, with a net production of 189 million barrels of oil equivalent in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [2]. - Despite a decline in revenue and net profit, the company continues to demonstrate strong cost control, with a decrease in per barrel cost to $27.03, down 2.0% year-on-year [4]. - The company is advancing new projects that will support continued production growth, including several domestic and international projects with significant production capacities [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1068.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 365.6 billion yuan, down 7.9% year-on-year [1]. - The company’s oil price realization was $72.65 per barrel, a decline of 7.7% year-on-year, while natural gas prices increased by 1.2% to $7.78 per thousand cubic feet [2]. Production and Projects - The company achieved a net production of 1.89 million barrels of oil equivalent in Q1 2025, with domestic and overseas production contributing 69.3% and 30.7% respectively [2]. - Seven new projects have been put into production, contributing to the overall production capacity, including significant contributions from the Bohai Zhong 26-6 oil field and the Brazil Buzios 7 project [3]. Cost Management - The company has effectively managed costs, with a reduction in operational expenses and taxes, leading to a lower cost per barrel [4]. - The report highlights the intention of the controlling shareholder to increase their stake in the company, indicating confidence in its future performance [4]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain strong dividend characteristics and benefit from a high oil price environment, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 of 1268.78 billion, 1306.44 billion, and 1345.41 billion yuan respectively [5][6].