Core Viewpoint - The current decline in terminal demand is attributed not to a loss of consumer willingness but rather to a supply chain resource mismatch caused by the explosion of AI demand [3][5]. Financial Performance - In 2025, SMIC reported a record annual revenue of $9.327 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.2%, and a net profit of $685 million, up 39.1% [2]. - The gross margin for Q4 2025 decreased by 2.8 percentage points to 19.2%, with guidance for Q1 2026 indicating a range of 18%-20% [2][9]. Supply Chain Dynamics - The memory chip market is experiencing price volatility, leading to heightened supply chain tensions, with memory prices significantly increasing in Q1 2026 compared to Q4 2025 [3]. - AI's strong demand for storage chips, particularly HBM and high-density DDR5, is squeezing the supply available for mobile and other applications [5][6]. Capacity Utilization and Market Trends - SMIC maintained a high capacity utilization rate of 95.7% in Q4 2025, but the revenue structure showed subtle changes, with the PC and tablet segment's revenue share slightly increasing to 15.2% [5]. - The company is shifting its production capacity towards high-demand areas such as data centers and automotive sectors, as orders for mid-range mobile and PC devices decline due to storage shortages [11]. Capital Expenditure and Depreciation - SMIC's capital expenditure reached $8.1 billion in 2025, exceeding initial expectations, primarily to meet strong customer demand and adapt to external changes [9][10]. - The company anticipates a 30% year-on-year increase in total depreciation in 2026 due to rising unit depreciation costs from new factory operations [9][10]. Future Outlook - For 2026, SMIC expects revenue growth to exceed the average of comparable peers, driven by internal efficiency improvements and high capacity utilization [14]. - The company is optimistic about navigating through the high depreciation phase and entering a phase of healthy development as capacity gradually releases and market demand rebounds [14][15]. Industry Trends - The semiconductor industry is undergoing a localization shift, with significant opportunities arising from domestic design companies capturing supply chain shares [16]. - As AI technology penetrates edge devices, there will be an upgrade in specifications for mobile and PC devices, leading to increased demand for higher-value chips [16].

2月10日，中芯国际发布2025年第四季度业绩快报，报告期内，公司实现营业收入178.13亿元，同比增 长11.9%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润12.23亿元，同比增长23.2%；基本每股收益0.15元。 此外，中芯国际公告显示，2025年第四季度销售收入为24.89亿美元，环比增长4.5%，毛利率为19.2%。 2025年全年销售收入为93.27亿美元，同比增长16.2%，毛利率为21%。 展望2026年，综合各因素，公司给出的一季度指引为：销售收入环比持平，毛利率在18%-20%之间。 编辑丨瑜见 公司表示，业绩变动主要是由于本年晶圆销售量增加、产能利用率上升及产品组合变动。 | | | 甲山: 儿 中代:人民日 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 项目 | 2025年第四季度 | 2024年第四季度 | 增减变动 幅度 | | | (10-12月) | (10-12月) | | | | | | (%) | | 营业总收入 | 17.812.776 | 15,916,850 | 11.9 | | 营业利润 | 2.114.049 | 2.746.202 | -23.0 | | ...

经济观察报记者 郑晨烨 2月11日上午，中芯国际（00981.HK/688981.SH）召开2025年第四季度业绩说明会，就在前一晚，该公司披露了2025年第四季度及全年业绩。 数据显示，中芯国际2025年全年销售收入达到93.27亿美元，同比增长16.2%，创下历史新高；归属于上市公司股东的净利润为6.85亿美元，同比增长 39.1%。 供需错配 2025年第四季度，中芯国际的产能利用率继续维持在95.7%的高位，但营收结构却出现了微妙变化。 其财报数据显示，以应用分类，电脑与平板业务的营收占比为15.2%，较第二季度的15.0%仅微增，而在此前几个季度，该板块曾是增长主力。 对于近期市场感受到的"中低端手机和电脑订单疲软"，赵海军在业绩会上解释称，终端市场的总需求实际上没有下降，目前中低端订单减少，是因为人工智 能对存储芯片的强劲需求，"挤压了手机等其他应用领域能拿到的存储芯片供应"。 赵海军表示，最近两个月公司与产业链伙伴广泛沟通后发现，人工智能（AI）对于存储芯片（特别是HBM和高密度DDR5）的强劲需求，挤压了手机等其他 应用领域能拿到的存储芯片供应。这种挤压效应通过价格和供应两个维度传导至终端厂商 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [6][3]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of $2.489 billion in Q4 2025, exceeding guidance and achieving a year-over-year growth of 12.8% [1]. - The gross margin decreased to 19.2% due to increased depreciation, which aligns with guidance [1]. - The company expects revenue growth in 2026 to surpass the average growth of comparable peers [1]. - The company plans to acquire 49% of the minority stake in SMIC North and increase its stake in SMIC South from 38.515% to 41.561% [3]. - The revenue from the industrial and automotive sectors grew significantly, with year-over-year increases of 81.4% and 43.4%, respectively [2]. Financial Performance - Q4 2025 sales revenue reached $2.489 billion, with wafer revenue accounting for 92.4% of total revenue [1]. - The company shipped 2.51 million 8-inch wafers in Q4 2025, a year-over-year increase of 26.3% [1]. - Capital expenditures for Q4 2025 were $2.408 billion, a 45% increase year-over-year [1]. - The company expects capital expenditures in 2026 to remain approximately the same as in 2025, around $8.1 billion [1]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of $9.327 billion, $11.008 billion, and $12.532 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 16.2%, 18.0%, and 13.8% [5]. - Net profit estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are $685 million, $876 million, and $1.031 billion, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 39.1%, 27.8%, and 17.7% [5].

沪港通（南向）十大活跃成交公司 深港通（南向）十大活跃成交公司 智通财经APP获悉，2026年2月11日当天，小米集团-W(01810)、中芯国际(00981)、腾讯控股(00700)位 居沪港通（南向）成交额前3位，成交额分别为32.82 亿元、30.18 亿元、29.45 亿元；阿里巴巴- W(09988)、中芯国际(00981)、腾讯控股(00700) 位居深港通（南向）成交额前3位，成交额分别为31.15 亿元、24.30 亿元、22.20 亿元。 | 公司名称 | 成交金额 | 净买入额 | | --- | --- | --- | | 阿里巴巴-W(09988) | 31.15 亿元 | -5.51 亿元 | | 中芯国际(00981) | 24.30 亿元 | -8.36 亿元 | | 腾讯控股(00700) | 22.20 亿元 | +5.05 亿元 | | 小米集团-W(01810) | 16.11 亿元 | +1.73 亿元 | | 长飞光纤光缆(06869) | 13.13 亿元 | -7716.44 万元 | | 泡泡玛特(09992) | 10.47 亿元 | +5507.12 万元 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global semiconductor industry is experiencing a new wave of price increases across the entire supply chain, driven by surging AI demand and rising raw material costs [1][3][61]. Group 1: Price Increases in Domestic Semiconductor Companies - Over 20 semiconductor companies have officially announced price increases [2][62]. - Domestic chip manufacturers are significantly raising prices, with increases as high as 80% for certain products [4][63]. - Guokewai announced price hikes for its KGD storage products, with increases of 40% to 80% [6][66]. - Zhongwei Semiconductor is raising prices for MCU and NOR Flash products by 15% to 50% due to supply chain pressures [9][73]. - Biyiwei has also announced price increases across its entire product line, citing rising raw material costs [17][76]. Group 2: Price Increases in International Semiconductor Companies - International semiconductor giants are also raising prices, with ADI increasing prices by 15% to 30% starting February 1, 2026 [21][81]. - Infineon plans to raise prices for power switches and IC products due to increased demand from AI data centers [24][83]. - Texas Instruments is expected to raise prices by over 30% across nearly all categories due to rising costs [21][81]. Group 3: Price Increases in Wafer Foundry and Packaging - Wafer foundries are increasing prices, with TSMC raising advanced process prices by 3% to 10% [25][85]. - Packaging and testing services are seeing price increases of up to 30%, driven by high demand and capacity constraints [27][86]. Group 4: Impact of Raw Material Costs - The prices of precious metals like gold, silver, and copper are rising, significantly impacting chip manufacturing costs [57][116]. - The increase in raw material costs is leading to a ripple effect across the semiconductor supply chain, prompting many companies to raise their product prices [57][116]. Group 5: Effects on End Markets - The price increases in storage chips are affecting end markets, with PC manufacturers like Dell and Lenovo planning price hikes of 10% to 30% [59][118]. - In the smartphone sector, rising storage costs are pressuring new product pricing, particularly for low-end models [59][118]. - The automotive electronics sector is also feeling the impact, with companies like Xiaomi and NIO reporting cost pressures due to rising semiconductor prices [59][119].

智通财经APP获悉，2月11日港股市场，北水成交净买入48.16亿港元，其中港股通(沪)成交净买入28.24亿港元，港股通 (深)成交净买入19.92亿港元。 北水净买入最多的个股是腾讯(00700)、紫金黄金国际(02259)、美团-W(03690)。北水净卖出最多的个股是阿里巴巴- W(09988)、中芯国际(00981)、中国人寿(02628)。 | 股票名称 | 买入额 | 卖出额 | 买卖总额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 净流入 | | 小米集团-W | 15.04 乙 | 17.78亿 | 32.82亿 | | HK 01810 | | | -2.74 Z | | 中芯国际 | 17.32 乙 | 12.86 Z | 30.18亿 | | HK 00981 | | | +4.451Z | | 腾讯控股 | 15.88 亿 | 13.57亿 | 29.45 亿 | | HK 00700 | | | +2.30 Z | | 阿里巴巴-W | 11.12亿 | 10.82亿 | 21.93亿 | | HK 09988 | | | +2978.33万 | | 泡 ...

Group 1 - Southbound funds net bought Hong Kong stocks worth 4.816 billion HKD on February 11 [1] - Notable net purchases included Tencent Holdings at 735 million HKD, Zijin Mining International at 191 million HKD, Meituan-W at 162 million HKD, Pop Mart at 144 million HKD, and CNOOC at 122 million HKD [1] - Significant net sales were observed in Alibaba-W at 520 million HKD, SMIC at 390 million HKD, China Life at 246 million HKD, Yangtze Optical Fibre at 159 million HKD, and Xiaomi Group-W at 100 million HKD [1]

2月11日，港股收盘， 恒生指数收涨0.31%，恒生科技指数收涨0.9%。 有色金属、稀土永磁板块上涨，赤峰黄金涨近6%，山东黄金涨4.4%，金力永磁涨5%，赣锋锂业涨5.5%。 | 黄金珠宝 | 水泥 | 雄安新区 | 智能建筑 | 贵金属 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6.02% | 4.70% | 4.58% | 4.34% | 4.28% | | 智能家居 | 智能终端 | 电讯设备 | 充电桩 | 燃料电池 | | 4.27% | 3.70% | 3.53% | 3.48% | 3.38% | | 芯片 | 工业4.0 | 令日头条系 | GEO | 文化传媒 | | -1.68% | -1.73% | -1.87% | -1.90% | -1.93% | | 彩票 | 成电路产业基 | 中资保险 | 影视传媒 | 恋宴 | | -2.01% | -2.05% | -2.11% | -2.72% | -3.42% | 光通信、cpo等板块回落，长飞光纤光缆跌近6%，剑桥科技跌5.7%。 在一般的"唱高散货"骗局中，骗徒会冒充为知名投资专家，集中推介及"唱高" ...

每经记者｜马原 每经编辑｜程鹏 记者|马原 编辑|程鹏 杜恒峰 校对|许绍航 2月11日，港股收盘， 恒生指数收涨0.31%，恒生科技指数收涨0.9%。 有色金属、稀土永磁板块上涨，赤峰黄金涨近6%，山东黄金涨4.4%，金力永磁涨5%，赣锋锂业涨5.5%。 | 黄金珠宝 | 水泥 | 雄安新区 | 智能建筑 | 贵金属 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6.02% | 4.70% | 4.58% | 4.34% | 4.28% | | 智能家居 | 智能终端 | 电讯设备 | 充电桩 | 燃料电池 | | 4.27% | 3.70% | 3.53% | 3.48% | 3.38% | | 芯片 | 工业4.0 | 令日头条系 | GEO | 文化传媒 | | -1.68% | -1.73% | -1.87% | -1.90% | -1.93% | | 彩票 | 成电路产业基 | 中资保险 | 影视传媒 | 恋宴 | | -2.01% | -2.05% | -2.11% | -2.72% | -3.42% | 光通信、cpo等板块回落，长飞光纤光缆跌近6%，剑桥科技跌5.7 ...