证券简称：潍柴动力 证券代码：000338 上海荣正企业咨询服务（集团）股份有限公司 关于 潍柴动力股份有限公司 2023年A股限制性股票激励计划 第一个解除限售期解除限售条件成就 之 独立财务顾问报告 2025年12月 1 | | | 一、释义 | 潍柴动力、公司、 | 指 | 潍柴动力股份有限公司 | | --- | --- | --- | | 上市公司 | | | | 独立财务顾问 | 指 | 上海荣正企业咨询服务（集团）股份有限公司 | | 独立财务顾问报告 | | 上海荣正企业咨询服务（集团）股份有限公司关于潍柴动力股份有限公 | | | 指 | 司2023年A股限制性股票激励计划第一个解除限售期解除限售条件成就 | | | | 之独立财务顾问报告 | | 本次激励计划、本 激励计划、本计划 | 指 | 潍柴动力股份有限公司2023年A股限制性股票激励计划 | | | | 公司根据本激励计划规定的条件和价格，授予激励对象一定数量的公司 | | 限制性股票 | 指 | 股票，该等股票设置一定期限的限售期，在达到本激励计划规定的解除 | | | | 限售条件后，方可解除限售流通 | | 激励对象 | 指 ...

Core Viewpoint - Weichai Power expects to sell over 7,700 units of its M series large-bore engines in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of over 30% [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - The sales of large-bore engines in the data center market exceeded 900 units, showing a year-on-year increase of over 300% [1] - The rapid growth in demand for backup power sources in data centers is attributed to the acceleration of computing infrastructure driven by AI technology [1] Group 2: Product Advantages - The large-bore engines are recognized for their quick start, strong load capacity, and high reliability, which have contributed to their acceptance in various domestic and international projects [1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to actively explore strategic customers to expand its market share [1]

Core Viewpoint - Weichai Power is focusing on the SOFC (Solid Oxide Fuel Cell) sector, having signed a technology licensing agreement with Xilius in November 2025, which allows the company to master core technologies related to batteries, stacks, systems, and power stations [1] Group 1 - The company is concentrating on key scenarios such as AI data centers and industrial parks, launching a new generation of high-power metal-supported commercial products [1] - Significant improvements have been made in power generation efficiency, volume power density, start-stop cycles, and startup speed [1] - The company has established intention to cooperate with several leading domestic and international enterprises, laying the foundation for large-scale commercialization [1]

Group 1: SOFC Business Development - The company is continuously deepening its SOFC (Solid Oxide Fuel Cell) business through technological innovations and market deployment, aiming to drive the development of this strategic emerging industry [2] - In November 2025, the company signed a technology licensing agreement with Xilius, enabling full mastery of core technologies related to batteries, stacks, systems, and power stations [2] - The company has launched a new generation of high-power metal-supported commercial products, significantly improving power generation efficiency, power density, start-up speed, and operational reliability, establishing a foundation for large-scale commercialization [2] Group 2: Heavy Truck Industry Trends - According to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, from January to November this year, the cumulative sales of heavy trucks in China reached 1.042 million units, a year-on-year increase of 27.5% [3] - Heavy truck exports totaled 308,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.1%, indicating a diversified energy structure in the domestic heavy truck market [3] - The company is optimistic about the future of the heavy truck industry and is laying out multiple technological routes to adapt to short- and medium-term industry trends [3] Group 3: Large Bore Engine and Data Center Business Progress - In the first three quarters of this year, the sales of the M series large bore engines exceeded 7,700 units, representing a growth of over 30% [3] - Sales in the data center market surpassed 900 units, showing a year-on-year increase of over 300%, contributing significantly to the company's performance [3] - The rapid iteration of AI technology is driving the expansion of the data center backup power market, leading to a surge in demand for high-end engines in this segment [3]

Core Conclusions - The 2026 automotive industry investment strategy emphasizes "breaking old and establishing new," suggesting that the industry is at a crossroads similar to 2011 and 2018, with the end of the electric vehicle (EV) boom and the rise of smart technology [2][3] - The report predicts a total domestic demand of 22 million vehicles in 2026, a decrease of 3.5% year-on-year, with new energy vehicle (NEV) sales expected to reach 13.2 million, an increase of 6.4% [2][10] - The commercial vehicle sector is expected to see a wholesale volume of 1.16 million units in 2026, with a slight increase of 1.5% year-on-year, while the bus sector is projected to maintain strong export growth [2][19] Passenger Vehicle Sector - The passenger vehicle sector is projected to experience a total sales volume of 22 million units in 2026, with NEV sales expected to reach 13.2 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.4% [2][10] - The report highlights the impact of a 5% purchase tax on NEVs starting January 1, 2026, which is expected to support domestic demand [10] - Key investment opportunities include BYD and Jianghuai Automobile in the passenger vehicle sector [2][3] Commercial Vehicle Sector - The heavy truck segment is forecasted to have a wholesale volume of 1.16 million units in 2026, with domestic sales expected to decline by 5.5% to 770,000 units, while exports are projected to grow by 18.8% [2][15] - The bus sector is expected to see a total domestic sales volume of 81,000 units, with exports anticipated to grow by over 30% [2][19] Motorcycle Sector - The motorcycle industry is expected to achieve total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 14%, with large-displacement motorcycles projected to grow by 31% [2][22] - Domestic sales of large-displacement motorcycles are expected to reach 430,000 units, while exports are projected to grow significantly [22] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies key investment opportunities across various segments, including Yutong Bus and King Long in the bus sector, and Spring Power and Longxin General in the motorcycle sector [2][3] - The focus on L4 RoboX investment opportunities highlights the importance of software over hardware in the autonomous driving sector, with recommended stocks including XPeng Motors and Horizon Robotics [2][3] Growth Trends - The report anticipates a continued focus on smart technology and robotics, with significant growth expected in the L4 RoboX industry and AIDC (Automated Identification and Data Capture) sectors [2][3] - The penetration rate of smart driving technology in new energy vehicles is expected to reach 40% by 2026, with a notable shift in chip supplier market shares [13][14]

Core Viewpoint - Weichai Power (000338) is accelerating its layout in new business areas, including new energy and new technologies, to meet diverse market demands [1] Group 1: Business Strategy - The company is advancing the research and development of multiple technology routes, including pure electric power systems, fuel cells, and hybrid technologies [1] - Weichai Power aims to leverage its full industry chain advantages to seize opportunities in the new energy sector [1] Group 2: Market Response - The company is focusing on differentiated product offerings and extensive customer channel resources to drive rapid growth in its new energy business [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company is optimistic about the future development of the heavy truck industry, emphasizing a diversified energy structure and the importance of various energy routes in different application scenarios [1] Industry Summary - In the first eleven months of this year, the cumulative sales of heavy trucks in China reached 1.042 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.5% [1] - Heavy truck exports totaled 308,000 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 15.1% [1] - The domestic heavy truck industry is experiencing a trend towards diversified energy sources, with diesel, natural gas, and electric options each having distinct advantages in various applications [1] Company Strategy - The company plans to strengthen its product matrix to provide comprehensive power solutions across all scenarios and cycles [1] - There will be an acceleration in the deployment of new energy products to meet diverse scenario demands [1] - The company aims to deepen its presence in overseas markets by optimizing products and enhancing personnel collaboration to seize growth opportunities abroad [1]

Core Viewpoint - The rapid development of AI is driving a surge in global electricity demand, presenting significant growth opportunities for the power generation industry [1] Company Summary - Weichai Power (000338) is leveraging precise technology and product offerings, along with forward-looking capacity planning, to rapidly expand its market presence in the power generation sector [1] - The company is diversifying its profit sources through its power generation business, which includes a combination of diesel, natural gas, and SOFC products to meet diverse market demands for both backup and primary power sources [1] - Weichai aims to provide efficient, reliable, safe, and clean data center power solutions while establishing a comprehensive ecosystem for high-end global customers in the big data center business [1]

Core Viewpoint - Weichai Power has been deeply engaged in the SOFC (Solid Oxide Fuel Cell) field and has signed a technology licensing agreement with Xilius for battery stack technology, fully mastering core technologies related to batteries, stacks, systems, and power stations [1] Group 1 - The company has launched a new generation of high-power metal-supported commercial products, significantly improving power generation efficiency, volume power density, start-stop cycles, and startup speed [1] - Weichai Power has established intention to cooperate with several leading domestic and international enterprises, laying the foundation for large-scale commercialization [1]

Company Overview - Weichai Power (SZ 000338) announced an investor meeting scheduled for December 18, 2025, from 9:30 to 11:00, where company representatives Li Tingting and Zhao Honglei will address investor inquiries [1] - As of the report, Weichai Power has a market capitalization of 149.8 billion yuan [1] Revenue Composition - For the first half of 2025, Weichai Power's revenue composition is as follows: 77.74% from transportation equipment manufacturing, 20.63% from agricultural equipment, and 1.62% from other industries [1]