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沪上阿姨上市次日股价大幅下跌 行业人士:估值偏高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-09 14:42
Core Viewpoint - The recent IPO of "沪上阿姨" on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange has shown a significant initial surge in stock price, but the subsequent decline raises concerns about the competitive landscape and financial performance of new tea beverage companies [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - "沪上阿姨" opened at HKD 190.6 per share, a 68.5% increase from the issue price, with a market capitalization exceeding HKD 18.4 billion, setting a record for first-day gains in the new tea beverage sector [1]. - On the second day, the stock price fell to HKD 160, closing at HKD 144.5, a decrease of 8.78% [1][3]. Group 2: Industry Competition - The new tea beverage market is highly saturated, with many established players like "奈雪的茶," "古茗," "茶百道," "蜜雪冰城," and "霸王茶姬" already in the space, leading to intense competition [4]. - The presence of over 40,000 stores for "蜜雪冰城" and nearly 10,000 for "沪上阿姨" indicates significant scale but also highlights the competitive pressures within the industry [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - "沪上阿姨" is experiencing a decline in revenue and profits, with projections indicating a 15% drop in profit for 2024, which is significantly lower than competitors like "蜜雪冰城" [4]. - The valuation of "沪上阿姨" is considered high relative to its financial performance, especially when compared to "蜜雪冰城" and "霸王茶姬," which are viewed as having more reasonable valuations based on their earnings growth [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The industry is expected to see continued mergers and acquisitions as companies strive for efficiency and scale amidst fierce competition [5]. - The performance of new tea beverage companies post-IPO will heavily depend on their ability to grow profits, with significant disparities in valuations based on financial results [4][5].
沪上阿姨登陆港交所,刷新新茶饮板块首日涨幅纪录
Core Viewpoint - Hu Shang A Yi officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on May 8, becoming the fifth new tea beverage company in the Hong Kong market, with a significant first-day price increase of 68.5% from the issue price [1] Group 1: Company Performance - On its first trading day, Hu Shang A Yi opened at HKD 190.6 per share, reaching a market capitalization of over HKD 18.4 billion, setting a record for first-day gains in the new tea beverage sector [1] - The company's store count is projected to reach 9,176 by the end of 2024, representing a 73% increase from 2022, with 50.4% of stores located in third-tier cities and below [1] - Revenue for Hu Shang A Yi from 2022 to 2024 is forecasted at CNY 2.199 billion, CNY 3.348 billion, and CNY 3.284 billion respectively, with adjusted net profits of CNY 154 million, CNY 416 million, and CNY 418 million during the same period [1] Group 2: Market Context - The new tea beverage market in China is expected to exceed CNY 400 billion by 2028, but has shifted from an incremental market to a stock market since 2022, leading companies to focus on high-quality development rather than just expansion [1] - The stock performance of new tea beverage companies has shown significant divergence, with notable gains for Gu Ming, Mi Xue Ice City, and Ba Wang Tea Ji, while earlier entrants like Nai Xue's Tea and Cha Bai Dao have seen substantial declines in their stock prices [2] - The initial success of Hu Shang A Yi's listing is attributed to the confidence instilled in the market by Mi Xue Ice City, indicating a "domino effect" among new tea brands [2]
沪上阿姨上市背后,新茶饮红海突围战怎么打?
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-05-09 04:33
Core Viewpoint - The listing of "Hushang Ayi" on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange marks a significant milestone in the ongoing trend of new tea beverage companies going public, reflecting the growing confidence in the market for ready-to-drink tea products [1][6]. Company Summary - Hushang Ayi was listed on May 8, 2023, with an initial offering price of HKD 113.12 per share, equivalent to the price of approximately ten cups of its tea [3]. - The company's stock performed exceptionally well on its debut, reaching a peak of HKD 197.6 per share, a 74.68% increase from the offering price, and closing at HKD 158.40, representing a 40.03% rise, with a total market capitalization of HKD 16.607 billion [3][6]. - Founded in 2013 by a couple who left their corporate jobs, Hushang Ayi has grown from a small 25 square meter shop to a brand with nearly 10,000 stores projected by the end of 2024 [3][5]. Market Context - Hushang Ayi is the fifth new tea beverage company to go public in Hong Kong, following brands like Nayuki, Cha Baidao, and others, indicating a phase of consolidation in the new tea beverage market [1][6]. - The new tea beverage market has shifted from an expansion phase to a focus on high-quality development, with projections indicating the market could exceed RMB 400 billion by 2028 [8]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by a transition from rapid growth to refined operations, emphasizing the importance of supply chain management and product innovation to meet evolving consumer preferences [8]. Competitive Landscape - Hushang Ayi has adopted a mid-price and down-market expansion strategy, with over 52% of its stores located in northern China, where it is the largest mid-priced tea beverage brand [5][6]. - Despite its strong market presence, analysts suggest that Hushang Ayi lacks a robust brand effect and scale efficiency compared to competitors, which may impact its long-term sustainability [7]. - The company has diversified its offerings with premium and budget lines to compete in a crowded market, but it faces challenges in establishing a unique market position [7].
新茶饮资本盛宴:沪上阿姨(02589)首日大涨40%,成蜜雪后人气新星!
智通财经网· 2025-05-09 03:05
Core Insights - The new tea beverage industry has become a highly attractive sector in the capital market this year, with several leading companies going public and experiencing significant stock price increases [1][2] - Hushang Ayi, a new entrant in the market, successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on May 8, 2023, with a stock price increase of 40.03% on its debut, reaching a market capitalization of HKD 16.632 billion [1][2] - The company has rapidly expanded its store network, reaching 9,176 stores by 2024, making it one of the top five fresh tea beverage brands in China [2][3] Industry Trends - The market for fresh tea beverages in lower-tier cities is expected to grow significantly, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.8% from 2023 to 2028 [3] - By 2030, it is anticipated that 66% of personal consumption growth in China will come from third-tier cities and below, highlighting the potential of the lower-tier market as a growth engine for the industry [3] Company Strategy - Hushang Ayi's store distribution is heavily focused on third-tier cities and below, with over 50% of its stores located in these areas, allowing the company to avoid intense competition in higher-tier cities [6] - The company employs a multi-brand strategy to cover various consumer segments, with its core brand targeting the mass market and other brands catering to different price points [6][7] - Hushang Ayi has optimized its supply chain management, resulting in an increase in gross margin from 26.7% in 2022 to 31.3% in 2024, indicating improved profitability [7]
上市首日大涨40%后,如何看待沪上阿姨(02589.HK)的长期价值?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-09 02:15
Core Viewpoint - The successful IPO of Hu Shang A Yi on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange reflects strong market confidence in its business model and growth potential, with a market capitalization exceeding HKD 18.1 billion after a significant stock price increase [1][3]. Group 1: Business Model and Growth - Hu Shang A Yi's rapid expansion is driven by a franchise-focused business model, with 99.7% of its 9,176 stores operated by franchisees across over 300 cities in China [4][5]. - The company has seen a strong reinvestment from existing franchisees, with 48.8% of new stores in 2024 coming from current franchisees, indicating a well-functioning franchise system [6]. - The average initial investment for a new store is approximately CNY 275,000, lower than the industry average, making it attractive for potential franchisees [6][7]. Group 2: Product and Supply Chain - Hu Shang A Yi has a diverse product line, including the "Light Enjoy" brand and "Hu Coffee," catering to various consumer preferences and enhancing franchisee profitability [7][9]. - The company sources ingredients globally, ensuring product quality and innovation, with over 100 new products launched from 2022 to 2024 [8][9]. - A centralized procurement platform helps maintain low ingredient costs, benefiting franchisees and creating a sustainable growth loop [8]. Group 3: Market Strategy and Positioning - The company is strategically focusing on the lower-tier markets, with 50.4% of its stores located in these areas by 2024, capitalizing on the expected rapid growth in these segments [9][10]. - The mid-priced tea beverage market is projected to grow significantly, with Hu Shang A Yi positioned to capture a substantial share due to its extensive network and brand recognition [13][16]. - The combination of its franchise model, product diversification, and focus on lower-tier markets positions Hu Shang A Yi for sustainable growth and competitive advantage in the tea beverage industry [19][20].
港股沪上阿姨一度跌近10%,昨天上市首日收涨超40%。
news flash· 2025-05-09 01:46
港股 沪上阿姨一度跌近10%,昨天上市首日收涨超40%。 ...
港股沪上阿姨盘初跳水跌近10%
news flash· 2025-05-09 01:43
港股沪上阿姨盘初跳水跌近10%,昨日上市首日收涨超40%。 ...
港股迎第五杯“奶茶”:沪上阿姨能否复制“蜜雪”资本盛宴?
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-09 00:40
Core Viewpoint - The IPO of "沪上阿姨" (Hushang Ayi) has generated significant interest, with a strong opening price and high subscription rates, indicating robust market demand for new tea beverage brands in Hong Kong [2][3]. Company Overview - "沪上阿姨" was founded by a couple, inspired by local tea shops, and has evolved from a small business to a significant player in the tea beverage market, with a focus on "五谷茶" (five-grain tea) and a variety of products [4][6]. - The company has expanded aggressively, particularly into lower-tier cities, and has seen rapid growth in store numbers and sales, reaching 7,789 stores by the end of 2023 [6][8]. Financial Performance - The company reported significant revenue growth from 2021 to 2023, with GMV increasing from 41.61 billion yuan to 97.32 billion yuan, and total revenue rising from 16.40 billion yuan to 33.48 billion yuan [6][8]. - However, the company faces challenges with declining average store GMV and profitability, with a net profit margin of only 10.1% [8][9]. Market Position - As of the end of 2023, "沪上阿姨" holds a market share of 4.6%, ranking fifth among tea beverage brands in China, behind "蜜雪冰城" (Mixue), "古茗" (Guming), "茶百道" (Chabaidao), and "霸王茶姬" (Chagee) [10]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with many brands vying for market share in the mid-range segment, which is the most competitive area [11][13]. Expansion Strategy - The company has adopted a franchise model for rapid expansion, with a significant portion of its stores located in second-tier and below cities, accounting for 71.85% of its total stores [8][13]. - "沪上阿姨" is also exploring international markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, where the tea beverage market is expected to grow rapidly [14][15]. Challenges and Risks - The company has faced operational challenges, including high closure rates of franchise stores and issues with brand recognition and consumer loyalty [9][13]. - The overall tea beverage market is transitioning from growth to a more competitive environment, necessitating a focus on operational efficiency and capital management [16].
小米汽车深夜致歉;比尔·盖茨将捐出几乎全部财富;知名连锁超市将退市,董事长“火线”辞职;宇树回应机器狗Go1存在后门漏洞丨邦早报
创业邦· 2025-05-08 23:47
完整早报音频,请点击标题下方小耳机收听 【宇树科技回应机器狗Go1存在后门漏洞】 记者了解到,针对此前一些博主声称"宇树科技的Go1机器狗 存在后门漏洞"的情况,宇树科技公布了调查结果。宇树科技表示,黑客非法获取了Go1所使用的第三方 云隧道服务的管理密钥,并利用该密钥以高级权限在用户设备内修改数据和程序,从而获得对用户设备 的操作控制权并能够访问视频流,侵犯了客户的隐私和安全。宇树科技表示上述密钥由第三方云服务商 提供,该问题所涉及到的服务也由第三方云隧道服务商提供。宇树科技已经在2025年3月24日更改了该隧 道服务的管理密钥,3月29日,宇树科技完全关闭了上述隧道服务,该问题将不再影响 Go1系列产品的使 用。(第一财经) 【比尔·盖茨宣布将捐出几乎全部财富】 美国企业家和慈善家比尔·盖茨于5月8日宣布,未来20年他将通过 盖茨基金会捐出个人几乎全部财富,用来挽救和改善世界各地的生命。同日,盖茨基金会宣布两项重大 决定:一是未来20年捐赠总额将提升至2000亿美元,二是计划于2045年12月31日永久关闭机构。值得注 意的是,今年正值该基金会成立25周年,已累计捐赠达1000亿美元。(第一财经) 【Op ...
沪上阿姨正式登陆港交所;鸿蒙电脑即将上市|消费早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-08 23:31
每经记者|丁舟洋 每经编辑|董兴生 丨 2025年5月9日 星期五 丨 NO.1 沪上阿姨正式登陆港交所 5月8日,沪上阿姨正式登陆港交所。沪上阿姨是继奈雪的茶、茶百道、古茗以及蜜雪集团之后,港股第 五家新茶饮公司。沪上阿姨董事会主席兼首席执行官单卫钧表示,公司在下沉市场构筑起较大规模的渠 道网络,将加大产品创新,进一步推进单品类、多品牌全球化战略,以更高效的精细化运营提升服务质 量。 点评:此次财报与战略发布,印证了迪士尼从"内容巨头"向"生态帝国"的转型。短期看,流媒体盈利拐 点与乐园复苏支撑业绩;长期看,中东新乐园或成为全球化2.0的样板,但需平衡文化适配性与商业回 报。 NO.3 鸿蒙电脑即将上市 5月8日,在鸿蒙电脑技术与生态沟通会上,鸿蒙操作系统(HarmonyOS 5)首次在电脑端亮相。华为终 端平板与PC产品线总裁朱懂东在会上宣布,搭载鸿蒙操作系统的PC(个人电脑)产品将于5月19日正式 上市发布。微软对华为的Windows授权已于2025年3月底正式到期,这意味着华为无法继续在新款PC上 预装Windows系统。因此,对华为而言,鸿蒙电脑已经成为一个必选项。 点评:华为布局鸿蒙电脑已有5年, ...