中信证券：内外兼顾，寻求交集 从此次中央经济工作会议内容来看，做大内循环仍是重心，定位和去年相似。但对于股票市场而言，内需品种 和外需品种的预期和定价与去年存在巨大差异：去年底，投资者对外需普遍谨慎，对内需充满期待，但最终外 需的表现大超预期；今年是重仓布局外需敞口品种，预期相对充分，但对内需品种欠缺信心。实际上，明年外 需继续超预期的难度在加大，但内需可期待的因素在增多。 从这些角度来看，海外敞口品种业绩兑现力强，但估值继续提升难度大；内需敞口品种景气度一般，但一旦超 预期修复，估值弹性不小。配置上要寻求交集，即海外敞口为基底、内需积极变化也会产生催化的品种。 国泰海通：当下是布局春季行情的重要窗口 对于后市，我们比市场共识更乐观：部分投资者以政策表述从"超常规"到"跨周期"解读政策不积极，但这存在 谬误，2025年超常规是相较于2024年尾部风险暴露而言。面向2026年，中央经济工作会议明确"巩固拓展经济 稳中向好势头"，并要求财政政策"更加积极"与"内需主导"，首次提出"推动投资止跌回稳"，并时隔十年重提 房地产"去库存"；中财办副主任韩文秀表示将根据形势变化出台实施增量政策，继续实施"国补"与靠前实 ...

【大河财立方消息】2025年A股已进入收官倒计时，步入年末，市场正处于全年业绩兑现与2026年开局 衔接的关键节点。来年如何布局？跨年行情怎么看？大河财立方记者梳理了6家券商最新解读。 中信建投：跨年行情蓄势待发 中信建投分析师夏凡捷、何盛发表研报认为，从9月初至12月初，AH两地市场经历了较长时间的调整， 投资者情绪趋于谨慎，而近期，多项关键事件与数据相继公布，整体基调符合或略好于市场预期。 中信建投认为，牛市底层逻辑仍在，主要由结构性行情和资本市场改革政策推动。目前市场已经基本完 成调整，叠加基金排名基本落地，跨年有望迎来新一波行情。 中期行业配置方面，中信建投建议重点关注具有一定景气催化的有色金属和AI算力，主题上以商业航 天为主，可控核聚变和人形机器人为辅；港股也具有投资机会，潜在热点板块主要有互联网巨头、创新 药。重点关注：有色、商业航天、AI、人形机器人、可控核聚变、创新药、非银金融等。 中信证券：内外兼顾，寻求交集 中信证券裘翔、刘春彤等人发表研报认为，从此次中央经济工作会议内容来看，做大内循环仍是重心， 定位和去年相似。 研报中提到，但对于股票市场而言，内需品种和外需品种的预期和定价与去年存在 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the insurance sector, recommending specific companies such as China Pacific Insurance, China Ping An, China Life (H), and China Taiping, while also recommending New China Life Insurance [4][17]. Core Insights - The financial industry experienced a mixed performance, with the non-bank financial index rising by 0.81%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.89 percentage points. The insurance sector showed a notable increase of 2.36%, while the banking sector declined by 1.77% [2][11]. - The central economic work conference emphasized a proactive fiscal policy, which is expected to benefit the insurance sector by increasing infrastructure asset supply and improving credit risk perceptions [14][15]. - The report highlights the potential for valuation recovery in the brokerage sector, driven by regulatory changes that align public fund interests with long-term investor returns [18][19]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Performance and Sector Insights - The non-bank financial index rose by 0.81%, with the insurance sector outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.44 percentage points [2][11]. - The banking sector underperformed, with a decline of 1.77%, attributed to macroeconomic policy expectations [3][21]. 2. Insurance Sector Data Tracking - The insurance sector's premium income showed steady growth, with life insurance and property insurance premiums increasing by 9.6% and 4.0% year-on-year, respectively [17][26]. - The report notes that the 10-year government bond yield decreased to 1.84%, which is favorable for the insurance sector's investment strategies [31]. 3. Brokerage Sector Data Tracking - The brokerage sector's PB valuation stands at 1.37x, indicating potential for valuation recovery as earnings improve [19][42]. - Regulatory changes in public fund sales are expected to enhance the industry's focus on long-term investor interests [18][19]. 4. Banking Sector Data Tracking - The banking sector's PB valuation is at 0.54x, suggesting it remains undervalued [21][25]. - The central economic work conference's focus on domestic demand and flexible monetary policy is expected to support the banking sector's growth [22][23].

转自：证券时报 人民财讯12月14日电，中信证券研报称，中信证券判断2026年将是北美主要云计算厂商收入加速增长的 一年，来自大客户的AI训练、推理料将成为主要需求驱动力，传统云业务需求亦稳步复苏，而数据中 心、定制芯片的投产等将会进一步缓解算力供给端的紧缺程度。综合来看，从订单兑现的节奏，以及各 家云厂商的数据中心储备情况来看，预计其2026年云计算收入同比增速相较2025年进一步加速。中信证 券持续看好一线云厂商在2026年的投资机遇。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The focus of the Central Economic Work Conference remains on expanding domestic circulation, similar to last year, with increasing factors supporting domestic demand while external demand faces greater challenges [1] Group 1: Economic Outlook - The difficulty of exceeding expectations for external demand in the coming year is increasing, while factors supporting domestic demand are on the rise [1] - Companies with overseas exposure are expected to have strong performance, but the difficulty in increasing valuations remains [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy should seek intersections, with overseas exposure as a foundation and potential catalysts from positive changes in domestic demand [1] - The most significant intersection for investment is in resource and traditional manufacturing sectors where China has a competitive advantage globally [1] Group 3: Key Industries - Key industries to focus on include non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and new energy, which have high visibility in niche markets overseas [1] - If there are positive changes in domestic demand, these sectors are expected to have considerable valuation elasticity [1]

中信证券研报指出，从此次中央经济工作会议内容来看，做大内循环仍是重心，定位和去年相似。实际 上，明年外需继续超预期的难度在加大，但内需可期待的因素在增多。从这些角度来看，海外敞口品种 业绩兑现力强，但估值继续提升难度大；内需敞口品种景气度一般，但一旦超预期修复，估值弹性不 小。配置上要寻求交集，即海外敞口为基底、内需积极变化也会产生催化的品种。从配置角度，最大的 交集就是我们此前一直提示的资源与传统制造业领域中国在全球有份额优势的行业对应的龙头企业，讲 出"供应在内反内卷，需求在外出利润"的投资逻辑，不断提升在全球的定价权，重点关注的行业包括有 色、化工和新能源等，虽然能见度高的利基市场在海外，但如果内需有积极变化，这些品种的弹性不 小。 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes that new regulations in fund sales are reshaping the fund ecosystem, creating opportunities for investment as the spring market approaches [1][2] - The insurance sector is expected to see high growth in performance, supported by the introduction of a new commercial health insurance drug directory, which encourages product innovation [2][16] - The report suggests focusing on specific stocks within the insurance sector, including Xinhua Insurance, China Life, Ping An, and others, as they are likely to benefit from these developments [2][16] Weekly Performance - As of December 13, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index reported a decrease of 0.34%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.84% [11] - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.95 trillion yuan, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 15.14% [6] Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The performance of listed insurance companies is expected to continue high growth, with long-term interest rate spreads showing marginal improvement [13][16] - The 10-year government bond yield was 1.84%, down 1 basis point from the previous week, providing a supportive environment for insurance stock valuations [13][16] Securities Sector - The issuance of the "Publicly Raised Securities Investment Fund Sales Behavior Norms (Draft for Comments)" aims to systematically regulate sales behavior and protect investor rights [17][18] - The new regulations mark a shift from a scale-driven approach to one focused on investor interests, promoting a fundamental transformation in the industry [18][23] Key Company Valuation and Financial Analysis - The report provides detailed valuation metrics for key companies in the insurance and securities sectors, indicating a "Buy" rating for several firms based on their projected earnings and price-to-earnings ratios [7][8] - For instance, Ping An is rated with a target price of 76.65 yuan per share, while Xinhua Insurance has a target price of 94.21 yuan per share, reflecting strong expected performance [7] Regulatory and Policy Environment - The national financial system work conference emphasized the need for risk prevention, strong regulation, and promotion of high-quality development in the financial sector [25][26] - The focus will be on stabilizing the market, enhancing financial governance, and addressing local government debt risks, which will shape the future landscape of the financial industry [25][29]

Group 1: Economic Policies and Initiatives - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) emphasizes multiple measures to stabilize investment and optimize the implementation of the old-for-new consumption policy [2][3] - The Ministry of Finance plans to increase the scale of central budget investment and utilize various government bond funds to support construction and consumption initiatives [4] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology highlights the rapid development of the power and energy storage battery industry, while also addressing challenges such as irrational competition and the need for quality supervision [5][9] Group 2: Healthcare and Insurance Developments - The National Healthcare Security Administration aims to support the development of commercial health insurance and enhance the multi-tiered medical security system, including the goal of achieving "no out-of-pocket" expenses for childbirth within policy coverage [6][7] - The healthcare sector is encouraged to innovate in drug coverage and expand investment in innovative drugs, promoting a more robust pharmaceutical industry [7][8] Group 3: Corporate News - Great Wall Motors and Chery Automobile both express commitment to compliance with the Automotive Industry Pricing Behavior Compliance Guidelines, emphasizing long-termism and integrity in their operations [17][18] - Snowman Group announces advancements in controllable nuclear fusion technology and hydrogen fuel cell systems, indicating strong market potential and technological leadership [18] - Yushu Technology launches a humanoid robot "App Store," facilitating a global sharing platform for developers to upload and share models, enhancing user engagement and innovation [19] Group 4: Market Trends and Investment Opportunities - CITIC Securities reports a shift in market sentiment towards short-term trading, with an acceleration in thematic rotation, particularly in sectors like domestic GPU companies, controllable nuclear fusion, AI applications, and commercial aerospace [20]

Core Viewpoint - Yuntian Lifei (688343.SH) reported significant revenue growth for the first three quarters of 2025, with a revenue of 9.51 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 96.85%. However, the company continues to face net losses, although the losses have decreased compared to the previous year [1][4]. Financial Performance - For the period of January to September 2025, the company achieved an operating revenue of 9.51 billion yuan, which is a 96.85% increase compared to the same period last year [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -2.98 billion yuan, an improvement from -4.25 billion yuan in the same period last year [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was -3.41 billion yuan, compared to -5.00 billion yuan in the previous year [1]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was 1.95 billion yuan [1]. Historical Performance - From 2017 to 2024, the net profit attributable to shareholders has shown a trend of increasing losses, with figures of -54.64 million yuan in 2017, -1.95 billion yuan in 2018, and reaching -5.79 billion yuan in 2024 [4]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses has also increased from -64.56 million yuan in 2017 to -6.84 billion yuan in 2024 [4]. Stock Market Activity - Yuntian Lifei was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board on April 4, 2023, with an initial public offering of 88.78 million shares at a price of 43.92 yuan per share [3]. - The company raised a total of 389.94 million yuan, with a net amount of 358.35 million yuan after deducting issuance costs, exceeding the original fundraising plan by 58.35 million yuan [3].

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Stock Exchange's Listing Review Committee approved the initial public offering (IPO) of Youyan Metal Composite Materials (Beijing) Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Youyan Composite"), marking it as the 90th company to pass the review this year [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Youyan Composite is a high-tech enterprise primarily engaged in the research, production, and sales of metal composite materials and special non-ferrous metal alloy products. Its business is divided into two segments: metal composite materials and special non-ferrous metal alloy products [3]. - The main products include metal matrix composite materials, bimetallic composite materials, special aluminum alloy products, and special copper alloy products, which are widely used in aerospace, military electronics, smart terminals, and household appliances [3]. Group 2: Shareholding Structure - As of the signing date of the prospectus, China Youyan Technology Group Co., Ltd. holds 50.85% of Youyan Composite's shares directly, and through its subsidiary, Youyan Engineering Technology Research Institute Co., Ltd., it indirectly holds 19.81%. Additionally, through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Youyan Dingsheng Investment Development Co., Ltd., it indirectly holds 1.39%, totaling a control of 72.06% of Youyan Composite's shares [3][4]. - China Youyan is a state-owned enterprise fully funded by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council, making it the actual controller of Youyan Composite [4]. Group 3: IPO Details - Youyan Composite plans to issue no more than 159,102,201 shares (excluding any shares issued under the over-allotment option), which will account for no less than 10% and no more than 30% of the total share capital after the issuance. The company aims to raise 900 million yuan for the second phase of the advanced metal matrix composite material industrialization project, a research and development center project, and to supplement working capital [4]. - The company is sponsored by CITIC Securities Co., Ltd., with representatives Wu Yulu and Li Qinpei, marking the 11th IPO project successfully sponsored by CITIC Securities this year [2].