智通财经APP获悉，中银国际发布研报称，携程集团-S(09961)第三季度财报超出市场预期，收入和non- GAAP营业利润同比分别增长16%和12%，反映其在国内市场和海外市场(Trip.com 平台)流量获取方面的 显著进展。重申"买入"评级，并将目标价由630港元升至638港元。截至2025年第四季，携程在其核心市 场仍录得良好增长。该行预计，中国国内稳定的竞争格局将使携程能够更专注于推动海外市场扩张。 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 25,824.00, down by 6.65 points or 0.03% as of November 19, 16:00 Eastern Time [1] - The index's highest price during the day was 25,935.21, while the lowest was 25,751.31, with a trading volume of 43.34 million shares [1] Major Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - HSBC Holdings closed at HKD 107.800, down by HKD 1.800 or 1.64% compared to the previous close [2][3] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 622.500, down by HKD 1.000 or 0.16% [3] - Alibaba Group (ADR) saw an increase, closing at HKD 156.400, up by HKD 1.800 or 1.16% [3] - Xiaomi Group closed at HKD 38.820, down by HKD 1.960 or 4.81% [3] - AIA Group closed at HKD 77.950, down by HKD 0.600 or 0.76% [3] Stock Price Changes - The stock prices of major companies showed mixed results, with some experiencing declines while others saw slight increases [2][3] - Notable declines included Kuaishou Technology, which closed at HKD 63.500, down by HKD 1.150 or 1.78% [3] - Ctrip Group saw an increase, closing at HKD 574.500, up by HKD 10.000 or 1.77% [3]

Core Insights - Trip.com Group Ltd is a leading online travel agency offering a variety of travel services globally, competing with major players like Expedia and Booking Holdings [1] Group 1: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Citigroup maintains a "Buy" rating for TCOM, raising the price target to $86 from $85, reflecting confidence in the company's growth potential [2][6] - Benchmark Equity Research reaffirms a "Buy" rating and increases the price target from $80 to $82, citing the company's structural advantages and growth phase [3][6] Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Trip.com reported a 16% year-over-year increase in net revenue, reaching 18.3 billion Chinese yuan (approximately $2.58 billion), exceeding expectations across various segments [4][6] - The company's adjusted EBITDA for the same period was 6.35 billion yuan, surpassing forecasts by over 6% [4][6] Group 3: Stock Performance - TCOM's current stock price is $72.44, reflecting a 2.19% increase, with a market capitalization of approximately $47.65 billion [5][6] - Over the past year, TCOM has traded between a high of $78.65 and a low of $51.35 [5]

机构：中金公司 风险 降本增效不及预期，市场需求不及预期，竞争加剧。 研究员：王秋婷/白洋/吴维佳/魏萌 业绩回顾 3Q25 收入、利润均好于一致预期 公司公布3Q25 业绩：收入同增16%至184 亿元，超过市场预期1%，主要系住宿、交通收入超预期；非 通用准则经营利润61 亿元，超过市场预期6%，主要系毛利超预期，非通用准则净利润为192 亿元，大 幅好于市场预期，主要系出售MakeMyTrip 股票的投资收益。 发展趋势 国内稳健增长。1）国内酒店：3Q 国内酒店间夜量同增15%，好于我们预期，ADR 同比低个位数下 滑；公司预计4Q 国内酒店价格同比下滑低个位数，间夜量同增10-15%；2）国内交通：3Q国内交通收 入同比持平，量增速和行业一致，但单票收入受价格和收益管理的影响有所下滑，公司预计4Q 或维持 这一趋势。 出境游整体韧性较强。3Q 公司出境机、酒预订量同增近20%，恢复至2019 年的140%，继续大幅领先行 业恢复度。公司预计4Q 出境机、酒量恢复度持平3Q，出境酒店收入有望延续超过20%的同比增速。近 期受日本舆情事件影响，市场担忧短途目的地需求承压，公司预计4Q 处于出境淡季，影响 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Ctrip Group-S (09961.HK) with a target price of 635 HKD, reflecting an expected upside of 12.3% from the current price of 564.50 HKD [2][4]. Core Insights - Ctrip Group reported a revenue of 18.37 billion HKD in Q3 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 15.5%. The gross margin was 81.7%, down 0.7 percentage points year-over-year. Operating profit reached 5.57 billion HKD, up 11.3% year-over-year, while net profit surged to 19.89 billion HKD, a remarkable increase of 194.0% due to gains from the disposal of certain investments [2][4]. - The accommodation booking revenue exceeded expectations, amounting to 8.05 billion HKD, with a year-over-year growth of 18.3%. Transportation ticketing revenue was 6.31 billion HKD, up 11.6% year-over-year. The international business continued to grow significantly, with total bookings on the international OTA platform increasing by approximately 60% year-over-year [8][2]. - The company has increased its marketing expenses to support overseas business expansion, leading to a sales expense ratio of 22.8%, which is an increase of 1.5 percentage points year-over-year [8][2]. - The sale of MakeMyTrip shares resulted in a substantial non-recurring gain, with other income for Q3 2025 reaching 17.03 billion HKD, a significant rise from 1.78 billion HKD in the same period last year [8][2]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Ctrip Group are estimated at 61.68 billion HKD for 2025, 70.16 billion HKD for 2026, and 79.54 billion HKD for 2027, with year-over-year growth rates of 15.7%, 13.8%, and 13.4% respectively [4][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 31.65 billion HKD in 2025, 20.62 billion HKD in 2026, and 23.59 billion HKD in 2027, with growth rates of 85.4%, -34.9%, and 14.4% respectively [4][9]. - The report anticipates a price-to-earnings ratio of 20x for 2026, leading to a target market capitalization of 452.4 billion HKD [8][4].

Core Insights - Ctrip Group-S (09961.HK) reported better-than-expected performance for Q3 2025, with revenue increasing by 15.5% year-on-year to 18.4 billion RMB, aligning with market expectations [1] - Non-GAAP net profit reached 19.2 billion RMB, and excluding a one-time investment gain of 17 billion RMB from Make My Trip, the non-GAAP net profit grew by 8% to 5.9 billion RMB, exceeding market expectations by 4% [1] - Ctrip forecasts Q4 2025 revenue to grow by 15% to 20% year-on-year to 16.7 billion RMB, consistent with market expectations [1] Investment Ratings - The stock maintains a "Buy" rating, with the target price slightly adjusted from 725 HKD to 727 HKD [1] - In the past 90 days, 13 investment banks have issued "Buy" ratings for the stock, with an average target price of 658.14 HKD [1] - CICC recently assigned an "Outperform" rating with a target price of 711.7 HKD [1] Market Position - Ctrip Group-S has a market capitalization of 363.08 billion HKD, ranking third in the internet media industry [2] - Key performance indicators show Ctrip's ROE at 12.73%, significantly higher than the industry average of -9.35% [2] - Ctrip's net profit margin stands at 32.06%, compared to the industry average of -17.09%, indicating strong profitability [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Ctrip Group-S (09961.HK) with a target price of 648.83 HKD, based on expected strong performance in the upcoming months [5]. Core Insights - Ctrip Group's Q3 2025 performance shows robust growth driven by strong travel demand, with total revenue reaching 18.3 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 16%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 19.9 billion RMB, and adjusted EBITDA was 6.3 billion RMB [1][2]. Revenue Breakdown - Accommodation booking revenue was 8 billion RMB, up 18% year-on-year, supported by strong outbound travel and international hotel bookings. Transportation ticketing revenue reached 6.3 billion RMB, a 12% increase, driven by robust international flight bookings. Vacation revenue was 1.6 billion RMB, growing 3%, primarily due to the expansion of international product lines. Business travel management revenue was 756 million RMB, up 15% as more companies adopted these services [2]. International Business Performance - Ctrip's international OTA platform saw total bookings increase by approximately 60% year-on-year, with the Asia-Pacific region being the largest contributor. All regions experienced growth exceeding 50%, with mobile bookings accounting for over 70% of total bookings. Inbound travel bookings more than doubled, with significant growth from the Asia-Pacific, Europe, and the US. Outbound hotel and flight bookings increased nearly 20%, reaching 140% of the levels seen in the same period of 2019 [2]. Demographic Trends - There is a strong demand from both senior and young travelers, indicating a trend of intergenerational diversity. The number of users in Ctrip's "Old Friends Club" grew over 70%, with affluent senior travelers focusing on quality travel experiences. Ctrip is customizing more products and services for this demographic. Young travelers are increasingly drawn to experience-driven travel, with revenues from this segment seeing triple-digit growth [2]. Profit Forecast and Investment Suggestion - The report anticipates continued enthusiasm for leisure travel, projecting revenues of 61.56 billion RMB, 70.78 billion RMB, and 80.36 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.5%, 15.0%, and 13.5%. Net profits are expected to be 31.92 billion RMB, 20.58 billion RMB, and 23.86 billion RMB, with growth rates of 87.0%, -35.5%, and 15.9% respectively. The report highlights Ctrip's significant domestic business advantages and the potential for international business to contribute additional growth [2][4].

大华继显发布研报称，携程集团-S(09961)2025年第三季度业绩表现胜预期。营收同比增15.5%至184亿 元人民币，符合市场预期。2025年第三季度非公认会计原则净利达192亿元人民币。若剔除来自Make My Trip的170亿元人民币投资收益(属非经常性项目)，非公认会计原则净利同增8%至59亿元人民币，较 市场预期高出4%。报告指，携程预测2025年第四季营收将同比增15至20%至167亿元人民币，符合市场 预期。维持"买入"评级，目标价由725港元轻微上调至727港元。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，大华继显发布研报称，携程集团-S(09961)2025年第三季度业绩表现胜预期。 营收 同比增15.5%至184亿元人民币，符合市场预期。2025年第三季度非公认会计原则净利达192亿元人民 币。若剔除来自Make My Trip的170亿元人民币投资收益(属非经常性项目)，非公认会计原则净利同增 8%至59亿元人民币，较市场预期高出4%。报告指，携程预测2025年第四季营收将同比增15至20%至167 亿元人民币，符合市场预期。维持"买入"评级，目标价由725港元轻微上调至727港元。 ...

近期港股市场波动中显现长期布局机遇。多家机构指出，尽管短期可能面临震荡，但驱动行情的中长期 核心逻辑依然稳固。当前调整或为投资者提供了难得的逢低入场机会。 11月19日，恒生指数下跌0.45%，报25812.77点；恒生科技指数下挫0.98%，恒生中国企业指数微跌 0.35%，市场半日成交额为1125.72亿港元。 科技板块方面，地平线机器人-W下跌2.62%，同程旅行下跌2.47%，理想汽车-W下跌2.46%。涨幅方 面，携程集团上涨2.19%，2025年第三季度归母净利润198.9亿元，同比大增194.01%。 国泰海通证券则预计四季度港股有望再创新高，指出"AI赋能"叙事深化与政策支持将提振基本面，叠加 外资回流和南向资金持续流入，资金面改善趋势明确。 相关ETF： 覆盖科技全产业链——港股通科技ETF基金（159101） 聚焦互联网龙头——恒生互联网ETF（513330） ...