高盛发表研报指，中芯国际去年第四季收入按季升4%至25亿美元，较该行及市场预期高3%，并高于管 理层指引的0%至2%增长。期内毛利率19%，符合管理层指引的18%至20%，亦大致符合该行及市场预 期。收入增长主要因晶圆出货量及平均售价按季升1%，而毛利率相比上季的22%有所下降，主要因折 旧及摊销费用增加。 管理层指引今年首季收入将按季持平，与该行预期的2%增长及市场预期的持平大致相符。首季毛利率 指引维持18%至20%，略低于该行预期的21.7%及市场预期的20.9%。针对今年全年，中芯管理层预期收 入增长将高于可比同业的平均水平，资本支出按年持平；该行认为指引有上行空间。 高盛维持中芯国际"买入"评级，H股目标价为134港元，A股目标价为241.6元，对公司的长期增长持正 面看法，由本土无晶圆厂客户需求增长及AI机遇所推动。 ...

Core Viewpoint - SMIC's stock dropped nearly 4%, currently trading at HKD 68.85 with a transaction volume of HKD 2.943 billion [1] Financial Performance - For Q4 2025, SMIC reported sales revenue of USD 2.489 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.5% [1] - The profit attributable to shareholders was USD 173 million, showing a year-on-year growth of 60.7% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.9% [1] Future Guidance - For Q1 2026, the company provided guidance indicating that sales revenue will remain flat quarter-on-quarter, with a gross margin expected to be between 18% and 20% [1] - Under the assumption of no significant changes in the external environment, the company anticipates that the revenue growth for 2026 will exceed the average of comparable peers, with capital expenditures expected to remain roughly the same as in 2025 [1] Analyst Insights - Goldman Sachs noted that the management's guidance for Q1 revenue being flat aligns with their expectation of a 2% growth and the market's flat outlook [1] - The gross margin guidance for Q1 is slightly lower than Goldman Sachs' expectation of 21.7% and the market's expectation of 20.9% [1] - For the full year, management expects revenue growth to surpass the average of comparable peers, with capital expenditures remaining stable year-on-year; Goldman Sachs believes there is potential for upward revision in guidance [1]

Core Viewpoint - SMIC's stock fell nearly 4%, closing at HKD 68.85 with a trading volume of HKD 2.943 billion, following the announcement of its financial results and guidance for 2026 [1] Financial Performance - For Q4 2025, SMIC reported sales revenue of USD 2.489 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.5% [1] - The profit attributable to shareholders was USD 173 million, showing a year-on-year growth of 60.7% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.9% [1] 2026 Guidance - For Q1 2026, the company provided guidance indicating that sales revenue will remain flat quarter-on-quarter, with a gross margin expected to be between 18% and 20% [1] - In the absence of significant changes in the external environment, the company anticipates that the revenue growth for 2026 will exceed the average of comparable peers, with capital expenditures expected to remain roughly the same as in 2025 [1] Analyst Insights - Goldman Sachs noted that the management's guidance for Q1 revenue being flat aligns with their expectation of a 2% growth and the market's flat outlook [1] - The gross margin guidance for Q1 is slightly lower than Goldman Sachs' expectation of 21.7% and the market's expectation of 20.9% [1] - For the full year, management expects revenue growth to surpass the average of comparable peers, with capital expenditures remaining stable year-on-year, indicating potential upside in the guidance [1]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry is advancing along two parallel but distinct paths: TSMC leads in cutting-edge process technology, while SMIC focuses on mature processes and advanced packaging strategies, each holding unique advantages in the market [1][2][5]. Group 1: TSMC and SMIC Performance - TSMC reported a record monthly revenue of NT$401.26 billion (approximately $12.71 billion) in January, a year-on-year increase of 36.8% [1]. - SMIC achieved an annual revenue of $9.327 billion, marking a 16.2% year-on-year growth and setting a historical high [1][2]. - Despite differing growth rates, both companies are not in direct competition; TSMC is pushing the limits of process technology while SMIC is solidifying the foundation of Chinese manufacturing [2][5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Trends - The global semiconductor industry is experiencing a shift, with mature process capacity increasingly moving to mainland China, projected to contribute over one-third of global mature process capacity by 2027 [6]. - SMIC's production of 9.7 million wafers in the past year, with a capacity utilization rate of 93.5%, indicates strong demand and operational efficiency [5][6]. - The demand for mature processes remains robust, particularly in sectors like automotive and industrial control, which consume large volumes of chips [5][8]. Group 3: Advanced Packaging and Domestic Technology - Advanced packaging is becoming a strategic focus for domestic technology advancements, with China expected to capture 25% of the global advanced packaging market by 2028 [10]. - The penetration rate of domestic front-end equipment in 28nm and above production lines has exceeded 35%, indicating significant progress in self-sufficiency [8][10]. - The trend of advanced packaging is driving the upgrade of domestic equipment technology, creating a positive feedback loop that enhances the manufacturing ecosystem [10]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - Evaluating semiconductor companies solely based on process technology and growth rates may be misleading; TSMC represents technological excellence, while SMIC is a key player in domestic manufacturing recovery [11]. - For investors, direct investment in individual semiconductor companies carries high risks due to rapid technological changes and market volatility; a diversified approach through ETFs is recommended [11][12]. - Notable ETFs include the Chip ETF (159995), Semiconductor Equipment ETF (562590), and Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF (588170), which provide exposure to the entire semiconductor supply chain and mitigate individual stock risks [12].

截至2026年2月11日10:21，上证科创板半导体材料设备主题指数(950125)下跌0.78%。成分股方面涨跌互 现，耐科装备领涨2.20%，华峰测控上涨1.93%，华海清科上涨0.87%；神工股份领跌4.01%，芯源微下 跌3.26%，京仪装备下跌2.58%。科创半导体ETF(588170)下跌0.73%，最新报价1.76元。 截至2026年2月11日10:23，中证半导体材料设备主题指数(931743)下跌0.78%。成分股方面涨跌互现，广 立微领涨6.02%，有研新材上涨2.38%，华峰测控上涨2.26%；珂玛科技领跌3.61%，神工股份下跌 3.07%，芯源微下跌3.00%。半导体设备ETF华夏(562590)下跌0.78%，最新报价1.9元。 规模方面，科创半导体ETF近1周规模增长2.15亿元，实现显著增长，新增规模领先同类；半导体设备 ETF华夏最新规模达27.6亿元。 相关ETF：公开信息显示， 科创半导体ETF（588170）及其联接基金（A类：024417；C类：024418） 跟踪上证科创板半导体材料设备主题指数，囊括科创板中半导体设备（60%）和半导体材料（25%）细 分领域的硬科 ...

赵海军认为，存储需求因为危机感，"大家有点慌张，这个需求被放大了。" 在此背景下，公司凭借在BCD、模拟、存储、MCU、中高端显示驱动等细分领域中的技术储备与领先 优势、客户的产品布局，在本轮行业发展周期中，仍能保持有利位置。公司将积极响应市场的紧急需 求，推动2026年收入继续增长。 尽管市场普遍处于淡季，但中芯国际交出了一份"淡季不淡"的成绩单：四季度销售收入24.89亿美元， 环比增长4.5%，产能利用率逆势攀升至95.7%。 2月11日，中芯国际联席CEO赵海军在业绩说明会上详细拆解了公司2025年第四季度业绩及未来展望。 面对复杂的半导体周期，赵海军重点阐述了AI需求对传统市场的"挤压效应"、产能利用率的超预期表现 以及高达81亿美元资本开支背后的逻辑。 AI强劲需求"挤压"中低端市场 电话会上，最令市场关注的是管理层对半导体需求结构变化的深度拆解。赵海军明确指出，人工智能 （AI）的爆发正在对传统消费电子供应链产生挤出效应。 赵海军指出，经过与产业链伙伴的广泛沟通，公司发现人工智能对于存储的强劲需求，"挤压了手机等 其他应用领域特别是中低端领域能拿到的存储芯片供应。" 这种挤压效应直接传导至终端厂 ...

Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 10, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.13% to close at 4128.37 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.02% to 14210.63 points. The ChiNext Index fell by 0.37% to 3320.54 points [1] - In the overnight U.S. market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.10%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index decreased by 0.59% and the S&P 500 Index fell by 0.33%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped by 0.68% [1] Group 2: Company News - Semiconductor manufacturer SMIC (688981.SH) reported a revenue of 17.813 billion yuan for Q4 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.223 billion yuan, up 23.2% year-on-year. However, total profit decreased compared to the previous year due to rising financial costs and declining investment income [2] - Jiangbolong (301308) indicated during an institutional survey that only a few companies globally can develop UFS4.1 products at the chip level. Their self-developed UFS4.1 products outperform comparable market products in terms of process, read/write speed, and stability. UFS4.1 is a high-end consumer storage product and is the preferred storage configuration for Tier 1 flagship smart terminal models, indicating a broad market potential [2] Group 3: Industry Insights - Donghai Securities projected that the combined capital expenditure of the four major U.S. CSPs will exceed 670 billion dollars in 2026, marking a significant year-on-year increase of over 60%. The demand for computing power is expected to experience explosive growth driven by the ongoing penetration of AI into end-user applications and the evolution of AIAgent technology [3] - The Sci-Tech Innovation Semiconductor ETF (588170) tracks the Shanghai Stock Exchange's semiconductor materials and equipment theme index, focusing on hard-tech companies in semiconductor equipment (60%) and materials (25%). The semiconductor equipment and materials industry is crucial for domestic substitution, benefiting from the AI revolution and advancements in lithography technology [3]

相关ETF：公开信息显示， 科创半导体ETF（588170）及其联接基金（A类：024417；C类：024418） 跟踪上证科创板半导体材料设备主题指数，囊括科创板中半导体设备（60%）和半导体材料（25%）细 分领域的硬科技公司。 半导体设备和材料行业是重要的国产替代领域，具备国产化率较低、国产替代 天花板较高属性，受益于人工智能革命下的半导体需求，扩张、科技重组并购浪潮、光刻机技术进展。 半导体设备ETF华夏（562590）及其联接基金（A类：020356；C类：020357），指数中半导体设备 （63%）、半导体材料（24%）占比靠前，充分聚焦半导体上游。 1.中芯国际（688981.SH）发布2025年第四季度业绩快报，报告期内，公司实现营业收入178.13亿元， 同比增长11.9%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润12.23亿元，同比增长23.2%；基本每股收益0.15元。 2025年第四季度利润总额较上年同期减少，主要是由于本季度财务费用上升及投资收益下降所致。2025 年第四季度归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润较上年同期增加，主要是由于本季度晶圆 销售量增加、产能利用率上升及产品组合变动所 ...

Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor foundry leader SMIC reported a revenue increase for Q4 2025 but faced margin pressure due to depreciation, with a significant stock price decline since October 2022 [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the full year 2025, SMIC achieved sales revenue of $9.327 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of $685 million, up 39.1% year-on-year [1] - In Q4 2025, SMIC reported sales revenue of $2.489 billion, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.5% and a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, with a net profit of $173 million, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 60.7% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 9.9% [1] - The gross margin for Q4 2025 was 19.2%, down 2.8 percentage points from Q3, while capacity utilization remained high at 95.7% [1] Group 2: Future Guidance - SMIC provided guidance for 2026, expecting revenue growth to exceed the industry average, with capital expenditures remaining consistent with 2025 levels and a gross margin target of 18%-20% [1] - The revenue increase is attributed to higher wafer sales, improved capacity utilization, and optimized product mix, with an upward price adjustment for 8-inch processes due to surging demand [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Management indicated a decrease in orders for mid-to-low-end products, while orders related to AI, storage, and mid-to-high-end applications are on the rise [2] - The company is positioned as a significant component in various indices, including the Sci-Tech 50 and Hang Seng Technology Index, with notable holdings in related ETFs [2]

【长江电子杨洋团队】中芯国际2025Q4业绩点评：收入略超预期+利润延续增长，淡季指引不淡未来成长继续向 上 12025Q4财务情况： ▷ 销售收入24.89亿美元，环比+4.5%，同比+12.8%，延续上升趋势，超出此前指引的环比持平或增长+2%； ▷ 资本开支24.08亿美元，环比+0.5%，2025年全年资本开支81.0亿美元，大幅扩产支撑长期成长； 【长江电子杨洋团队】中芯国际2025Q4业绩点评：收入略超预期+利润延续增长，淡季指引不淡未来成长继续向 上 12025Q4财务情况： ▷ 销售收入24.89亿美元，环比+4.5%，同比+12.8%，延续上升趋势，超出此前指引的环比持平或增长+2%； ▷ 毛利率19.2%，处于指引18%~20%区间上限，环比-2.8pct，同比-3.4pct，主要受折旧增加影响； ▷ 净利润1.73亿美元，环比-9.9%，同比+60.7%，产品结构优化驱动盈利改善； ▷ 月产能达105.88万片（折合8吋），环比+3.5%，同比+11.7%，产能不断扩张； ▷ 毛利率19.2%，处于指引18%~20%区间上限，环比-2.8pct，同比-3.4pct，主要受折旧增加影响； ...